Industry Rating - The industry rating is maintained at "Outperform" [1] Core Viewpoints - The domestic large aircraft industry chain's self-control is urgent, with vast market space. China's commercial aircraft global market share exceeds 20%, and the C919 production capacity is continuously expanding. By 2042, the global passenger aircraft fleet is expected to reach 48,455 units, approximately 2.2 times that of 2022, with China's fleet reaching 9,969 units, accounting for 21% [2][51]. - The demand for new commercial aircraft in China over the next 20 years (2023-2042) is projected to exceed 9,000 units, corresponding to a market value of $1.4 trillion [2]. - The C919's production capacity is set to reach 150 units per year by 2027 and 200 units per year by 2029, with plans for accelerated operations in Southeast Asia and positive progress in European airworthiness [2][18]. - The engine system, referred to as the "heart" of large aircraft, has a high technical content and value, with engine maintenance costs expected to match procurement costs over their lifecycle. The demand for new commercial engines in China over the next 20 years may exceed $600 billion, averaging over 200 billion RMB annually [2][25]. - The onboard systems are of high value, and China is transitioning from "having" to "good" in this area, with significant development plans in place [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Current Development Status of China's Civil Aircraft Industry - The C919 has achieved commercial-scale operations, and the C929 is making positive progress [8]. - The development of large aircraft in China has gone through several stages, with the C919 being the first domestically developed jet airliner with independent intellectual property rights [12]. 2. Review of Boeing and Airbus Development - The report reviews the historical development of Boeing and Airbus, providing insights into their growth patterns and strategies, which may serve as references for China's large aircraft industry [32][41]. 3. Market Demand and Supply - The global demand for passenger aircraft is expected to grow, with China projected to maintain a 21% market share by 2042. The report anticipates a total of 43,644 new aircraft deliveries globally over the next 20 years, with a market value of approximately $6.5 trillion [51][53]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on various segments of the industry, including materials, structures, engines, onboard systems, and total assembly, highlighting specific companies for potential investment [4]. 5. Engine Development Progress - The CJ-1000 and CJ-2000 engines are under development, with the CJ-1000 entering the airworthiness certification phase. The report emphasizes the importance of these engines for the C919 and C929 aircraft [25][27]. 6. Aviation Material Supply and Demand - The aviation material market in China is heavily reliant on imports, with a significant need for domestic production to meet the demands of over 4,000 existing civil aircraft [22][24]. - The aviation material management industry is projected to grow, with the market size reaching 1,601 billion RMB in 2023 [24]. 7. Future Outlook - The report indicates that the domestic large aircraft industry is on the verge of historic development opportunities, driven by external changes, national policies, and funding support [4].

Summary of the Conference Call for Hangfa Technology Industry Overview - Hangfa Technology operates in the aerospace engine component manufacturing sector, with a leading position in blades, casings, and sheet metal parts [2][3] - The Chinese aerospace engine industry is undergoing a transition, with a pressing need for domestically controlled large aircraft due to technological gaps with the U.S. [2][9] Company Performance - The company reported a profit growth rate of 43% for 2024, with a turnaround in net profit in Q1 2025 [2][7] - Both domestic and foreign trade businesses are experiencing strong growth, with foreign trade maintaining high profit margins [2][7] - The company’s internal trade business has shown signs of recovery, indicating significant future growth potential [2][7] Research and Development - Hangfa Technology invests approximately 3% of its revenue in R&D to enhance core competitiveness in both military and civilian markets [2][8] Market Potential - The domestic market is expected to be a significant source of long-term growth, driven by equipment upgrades, aftermarket maintenance, and developments in the civilian sector [2][9] - The military aerospace engine component market in China is projected to reach 800 billion yuan in the next five years, indicating substantial growth opportunities for the company [10] Foreign Trade Importance - Foreign trade is crucial for the company, with over 20 years of collaboration with major international aerospace companies like Boeing and Rolls-Royce [2][11] - The company has achieved a compound annual growth rate of 21% in foreign trade from 2002 to 2019, but entering the foreign outsourcing production system requires strict certification [11] Shareholder Structure - Hangfa Technology's controlling shareholder is Hangfa Chengfa, with a relatively dispersed ownership structure [4][5] Competitive Landscape - Hangfa Technology's subsidiary, Hangfa Ha Axis, holds a significant position in the Chinese aerospace bearing market, with a compound growth rate of 21.4% since 2013 [12] - The company is actively positioning itself in the commercial aerospace engine sector, which has immense potential [4][13] Global Market Insights - The global commercial aerospace engine market is expected to exceed 13 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with the Chinese market estimated at around 2.6 trillion yuan [14] - The commercial aerospace engine market is highly concentrated, with six companies dominating 97% of the market share [15] Future Development - The domestic commercial aerospace engine market is characterized by a significant supply-demand mismatch, creating opportunities for domestic manufacturers [20] - Hangfa Technology is strategically developing production bases to capitalize on the growing demand for domestically produced commercial aerospace engines [20]