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【环球财经】5月欧元区工业生产环比回升1.7%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 14:35
Group 1 - The Eurozone's industrial production showed a significant rebound in May 2025, with a month-on-month increase of 1.7%, following declines of 2.2% in April [1] - Year-on-year, the Eurozone's industrial production grew by 3.7% in May, indicating overall improvement in manufacturing activities [1] - Non-durable consumer goods production was the main driver of the industrial production recovery, with a month-on-month increase of 8.5% in the Eurozone [1] Group 2 - Energy production also saw a recovery, with a month-on-month increase of 3.7% in the Eurozone [1] - Capital goods production continued its upward trend, growing by 2.7% in the Eurozone [1] - However, intermediate goods and durable goods production showed weakness, with month-on-month declines of 1.7% and 1.9% respectively in the Eurozone [1] Group 3 - Ireland recorded the highest month-on-month industrial production growth at 12.4%, followed by Malta at 3.4% and Germany at 2.2% [1] - Year-on-year, non-durable consumer goods production in the Eurozone increased by 11.6%, while intermediate goods and durable goods saw declines of 1.8% and 0.1% respectively [1][2]
宏观研究-中国正在输出通缩吗?(英文)
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-31 09:47
Group 1 - The core conclusion of the report is that China's exported deflation to Japan is primarily driven by domestic supply and demand imbalances rather than US tariffs, with a limited overall impact on Japan's inflation trends [2][8][54] - Over the past few years, the prices of Chinese goods exported to Japan have decreased by approximately 15% relative to similar imports from other countries, with about half of this decline attributed to the depreciation of the renminbi against the US dollar [12][34][50] - The report highlights that the decline in prices is particularly evident in industrial raw materials, while durable consumer goods and general machinery have also seen price reductions, although the impact on electrical equipment and non-durable goods has been less pronounced [39][40][41] Group 2 - The direct impact of Chinese imports on Japan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) is limited, accounting for just over 20% of Japan's total import value, with a cumulative effect of about 0.4% on Japan's new core CPI [8][12][50] - Future projections indicate that the negative contribution of China's exported deflation to Japan's CPI will be around 0.2 percentage points, with peak impacts expected to be less than 0.1 percentage points, suggesting no immediate need to adjust Japan's inflation forecasts [2][34][56] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring China's economic policies and the real estate market, as these factors will influence future trends in Chinese export prices and their effects on Japan [2][8][54]