华龙证券近日发布电力设备行业动态点评报告：10月光伏新增装机12.60GW，同比-38%。截至2025年 10月底，光伏装机容量11.4亿千瓦，同比增长43.8%。2025年1-10月，国内光伏新增装机252.87GW，同 比+39%。10月份，国内光伏新增装机12.60GW，同比-38%。 以下为研究报告摘要： 事件： 投资：1-10月电源投资同比+0.7%，电网投资同比+7.2%。1-10月份，全国发电设备累计平均利用2619小 时，比上年同期降低260小时；全国主要发电企业电源工程完成投资7218亿元，同比增长0.7%；电网工 程完成投资4824亿元，同比增长7.2%。 国家能源局发布10月份全国电力工业统计数据。 投资建议：行业方面，新能源装机需求长期有望持续增长。维持行业"推荐"评级。个股方面，建议关注 光伏龙头隆基绿能、爱旭股份、晶科能源、阿特斯、TCL中环等，建议关注盈利性较强的逆变器及储能 环节，阳光电源、德业股份、上能电气等，虚拟电厂业务标的国能日新、安科瑞等。 观点： 风险提示：宏观经济下行风险，政策不及预期，装机进度不及预期，成本大幅波动，电价大幅下行，利 用小时数波动，行业竞争加剧，重 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the articles highlights a significant decline in China's photovoltaic (PV) installations in recent months, with a total of 230.61 GW added in the first eight months of the year, representing a 65% year-on-year increase, but a sharp drop in August with only 7.36 GW added, down 55.3% year-on-year and 33.3% month-on-month [1][2] - The PV market has experienced a continuous decline in new installations for three consecutive months, following a peak in May where installations surged to 92.92 GW, marking a historical high with a year-on-year increase of 388% [1][2] - In contrast, wind power installations showed signs of recovery in August, with 4.17 GW added, a 13% year-on-year increase and an 83% month-on-month increase, despite earlier declines [4][5] Group 2 - The cumulative installed capacity of solar power reached 1.117 billion kW by the end of August, a 48.5% year-on-year increase, while wind power capacity reached 580 million kW, a 22.1% year-on-year increase [4] - The new pricing mechanism for renewable energy projects introduced by the government has created uncertainty regarding the profitability of solar projects, particularly in Shandong, where solar prices fell below wind power prices [5] - The latest report from Wood Mackenzie forecasts unprecedented growth in the global wind power market over the next decade, with annual new installations expected to exceed 170 GW [5][6] Group 3 - President Xi Jinping announced new national contributions at the UN Climate Change Summit, aiming for a 7%-10% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2035 and a target of 360 million kW for wind and solar capacity, six times the 2020 level [7] - As of August, the cumulative installed capacity of wind and solar reached 1.7 billion kW, indicating a need for an additional 1.9 billion kW to meet the new target [8] - The stock market reacted positively to the wind power sector, with several companies experiencing significant stock price increases [8]

Core Viewpoint - The wind power sector is experiencing a strong rally, with companies like Mingyang Smart Energy and Jixin Technology hitting the daily limit up, while others like Tianneng Heavy Industry and Daikin Heavy Industries also see significant gains. This surge is driven by a positive outlook from Wood Mackenzie regarding global wind power capacity growth [1]. Industry Summary - Wood Mackenzie's latest report projects that the global annual新增风电装机容量 will exceed 170 gigawatts over the next five years. This growth is expected to accelerate further after 2028, reaching a peak of 200 gigawatts by 2034 [1].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that multiple renewable energy operators have recently received significant subsidies, with solar projects seeing a 232% increase in funding compared to the previous year, reaching 170% of the total amount for the entire year of 2024 [1][2] - Jin Kai New Energy reported a 342% increase in subsidy funding for the same period, achieving 190% of the total expected for 2024 [1][2] - The accelerated issuance of renewable energy subsidies is expected to stimulate investment in wind, storage, and solar projects, enhancing operators' investment capabilities and driving growth in installed capacity [2] Group 2 - The issuance of subsidies is anticipated to strengthen the growth expectations for wind power installations in 2026, supported by a recent recovery in wind power bidding and rising average winning prices [2] - The market-driven demand for high-quality energy storage is increasing, with leading storage battery companies nearing full production and some beginning to raise prices [2] - The subsidy issuance is expected to support domestic demand for solar energy in 2026, facilitating the acceleration of large-scale projects while maintaining high overseas demand [2]

Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has achieved significant progress and transformative changes, establishing China as a stable and reliable force in global development [1] Economic Strength - During the "14th Five-Year Plan," China's GDP has consistently crossed milestones of 110 trillion, 120 trillion, and 130 trillion yuan, with an expected reach of around 140 trillion yuan this year, contributing over 30% to global economic growth [2] - The average economic growth rate over the first four years of the "14th Five-Year Plan" was 5.5%, showcasing resilience amid various challenges [2] - China remains the world's largest manufacturing power, goods trading nation, and foreign exchange reserve holder, with the largest middle-income group and social security system [2] Domestic Demand - Domestic demand has been the main driver of economic growth, contributing an average of 86.4% to economic growth during the first four years of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3] - Final consumption contributed an average of 56.2% to economic growth, an increase of 8.6 percentage points compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" [3] - Investment has played a crucial role in optimizing supply structure, with high-tech industry investment growth outpacing overall investment growth [3] Security Foundations - The security foundations in food, energy, industry, and national defense have been strengthened, with food production achieving a record of 1.4 trillion jin [4] - China has built the world's largest power infrastructure system, with a power generation capacity accounting for one-third of the global total [4] - The energy self-sufficiency rate remains above 80%, ensuring energy supply for over 1.4 billion people [4] Green Development - China's forest coverage rate has increased to over 25%, contributing to a quarter of the world's new greening area [5] - Air quality has improved, with the proportion of days with good air quality stabilizing at around 87% [5] - The scale of renewable energy generation has surpassed that of coal, establishing the largest clean power generation system globally [5] Innovation and Technology - R&D expenditure is expected to grow by nearly 50% by 2024 compared to the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan," reaching an increase of 1.2 trillion yuan [7] - China has the largest R&D workforce globally and leads in the number of high-tech enterprises, with over 460,000 [7] - The production of integrated circuits is projected to increase by 72.6%, adding approximately 190 billion units [9] Institutional Advantages - The welfare of the population has improved, with stable participation rates in education, healthcare, and social security systems [10] - The business environment has improved, with significant reductions in restrictions on foreign investment and an increase in the number of private enterprises [11] - China's commitment to global green development and cooperation has expanded, with a reduction of 11.6% in energy consumption per unit of GDP over four years [12]