Workflow
10Y农发债
icon
Search documents
国泰海通|固收:交易盘做多情绪已浓
Group 1: Core Insights - The report indicates a significant increase in net buying of 7-10 year long-term bonds and bonds over 10 years, with weekly net buying intensity reaching the second highest and highest levels of the year respectively [1] - The overall funding market has warmed up, with both net inflow and outflow amounts rising, and an increase in the leverage ratio in the interbank bond market [2] - The secondary market shows improved activity, particularly in ultra-long bonds, with a rise in turnover rates for 30-year government bonds and an increase in average duration for medium to long-term pure bond funds [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - In the primary market, there was a noticeable "marginal" sentiment, with an increase in the issuance of government bonds and a rise in the bid-to-cover ratio for government bonds, while the ratio for policy financial bonds decreased [2] - Major institutional behaviors indicate that funds are aggressively allocating to long-term and ultra-long-term bonds, while rural commercial banks are selling off across all maturities, particularly in the 7-10 year and over 10-year segments [3] - The scale of wealth management products in June did not show the typical seasonal decline, with a slight overall decrease in the week of June 15, while fund sizes increased significantly compared to previous months [4]
国泰海通|固收:大行融出在降准生效后反而回落
Funding Market - The large banks' lending scale rapidly increased in the first half of last week but declined after the reserve requirement ratio cut took effect [1] - The overall funding market cooled down in the past week, with net borrowing amounts turning negative for major borrowers and net lending amounts rising for major lenders [1] - The total repo balance in the interbank market increased, while the leverage ratio in the interbank bond market remained stable [1] Primary Market - The issuance heat in the primary market showed divergence, with one 10-year government bond, two 10-year policy bank bonds, and one 10-year other policy financial bond issued in the past week [1] - The bid-to-cover ratio for government bonds and policy bank bonds decreased, while it increased for other policy financial bonds [1] - The price spread between primary and secondary markets narrowed for government and policy bank bonds, while it widened for other policy financial bonds [1] Secondary Market - The overall heat in the secondary market improved, with an increase in the turnover rate of ultra-long bonds and stronger buying interest for short-term bonds [2] - The total borrowing volume of bonds increased, and the proportion of active bonds rose [2] - Major buyers increased net purchases of short and medium-term bonds while reducing net purchases of long and ultra-long bonds [2] Wealth Management and Fund Scale - Since May, the growth of wealth management scale has been weaker than historical averages, with a cumulative increase of 164.4 billion yuan as of May 18 [3] - The fund scale (net asset value) increased by 83.2 billion yuan in May, with equity and bond funds increasing by 56.1 billion yuan and 25.3 billion yuan respectively [3] - The issuance of new bond funds saw a significant rise compared to the previous week [3]