Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the challenges faced by XPeng Motors in January 2026, with a significant year-on-year decline in delivery volume due to policy changes and product transitions [4] - XPeng Motors reported a total delivery of 20,011 vehicles in January, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 34.1% and a month-on-month decrease of 46.6% [4] - The company held a global product launch event on January 8, 2026, introducing four new models and outlining its brand strategy for 2026, which includes advancements in AI-driven products [5] Group 2 - The automotive industry is expected to face a dual challenge of declining sales and profits in 2026, driven by policy changes and rising material costs [6] - The overall retail sales of passenger vehicles in China are projected to slightly decline year-on-year, while the export of new energy vehicles is expected to maintain rapid growth [6] - The market is shifting from price competition to configuration competition, with a potential weakening of demand driven by trade-in programs and the impact of tax reductions on new energy vehicles [6]

2026 年 2 月 4 日 公司盈利预测与估值简表 公司研究 1 月销量承压，静待 AI 应用场景逐步兑现 ——小鹏汽车（XPEV.N）跟踪报告 要点 1 月交付量数据披露：2 月 1 日小鹏汽车披露 1 月交付量数据，1 月小鹏汽车交 付量同比-34.1%/环比-46.6%至 20,011 辆。我们判断，小鹏汽车 1 月销量承压 主要由于补贴政策退坡、新老产品切换导致。 一车双能战略升级，关注四大物理 AI 产品量产落地：1 月 8 日小鹏召开 2026 全球新品发布会，以"AI 驱动全球化出行革新"为核心，1）正式发布四款新车： 2026 款 P7+（纯电+超级增程）、G7 超级增程、2026 款 G6、2026 款 G9，其 中，P7+与 G7 首次引入超级增程版本；2）宣布 2026 年小鹏品牌规划，主要包 含第二代 VLA（实现从视觉信号到动作指令的端到端直接生成，预计 1Q26E 上 车）、Robotaxi（搭载第二代 VLA 并已通过第三方测试机构场地测试，将于 2026 年开启运营）、人形机器人（量产版已完成首台下线测试，将于 2026 年规模量 产）、飞行汽车（将于 2026 年规模量产） ...

今年 1月初在广州，小鹏选择了一种并不"保守"的方式，拉开了 2026 年的序幕：2026款P7+、2026 款 G7、超级增程、2026款G6、2026款G9四车同台，其中的 P7+ 直接以"全球 36 国同步发布"的节奏登 场。 这不是常规意义上的年度改款发布会，更像是一种主动的叙事切换，小鹏想把外界对它的认知，从"纯 电+智驾"这两个标签，升级成产品双能源、技术新范式、市场全球化三条线同时推进的结构。 真正值得反复咀嚼的，是这场发布会所承载的周期意味。 源：小鹏汽车 交流中，何小鹏将 2025 年定义为"行稳致远的第三年"，他给未来三年明确框定为一个时间窗 口："2026、2027、2028 年是物理 AI 非常重要的三年，而 2026 年是其中的第一年。" 这句话的潜台词很明确：2026年作为新周期的开端，要么把过去两年的积累兑现成可感知的产品力与交 付力，要么就被行业的下一轮淘汰赛反噬。 所以，为什么要"四车齐上"？首先是把节奏抢回来。过去几年，新势力的很多发布会像是被市场牵着 走：竞品出一招、我跟一招；热点来了、就临时加戏。小鹏这次的动作更像按计划出牌，主力价位段同 时补齐纯电与增程的产品供给，并 ...

Group 1 - The restructuring of two major energy state-owned enterprises, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation and China Aviation Oil Group, has been approved by the State Council, aiming to enhance supply chain efficiency and reduce costs [3] - Vanke A announced the retirement of its representative manager Yu Liang after 35 years, with the board set to complete the director replacement process soon [3] - Gold has officially surpassed U.S. Treasury bonds to become the largest reserve asset globally for the first time in 30 years, with a value of $3.93 trillion compared to $3.88 trillion for U.S. bonds [3] Group 2 - The Ministry of Commerce held a press conference addressing recent hot topics, including the evaluation of Meta's $2 billion acquisition of AI platform Manus, which must comply with Chinese laws [4] - The Vice Minister of Finance expressed confidence in China's economic growth, welcoming deeper cooperation with the London Stock Exchange Group [4] - The U.S. President has agreed to promote a bill aimed at strengthening sanctions against Russia, impacting countries like China and India regarding cheap Russian oil purchases [4] Group 3 - Guangzhou has introduced a plan to build a strong advanced manufacturing city, focusing on five strategic industries including AI, semiconductors, and new energy [5] Group 4 - The A-share market showed slight fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.07% and the Shenzhen Component down 0.51%, while the total market turnover reached 2.83 trillion yuan [6] - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index down 1.17% [6] - The margin financing balance in the A-share market reached a historical high of 2.6047 trillion yuan, marking a significant increase [6] Group 5 - Ping An Life announced its fourth stake increase in China Merchants Bank H-shares, holding 20% of the total share capital [7] - HSBC and Hang Seng Bank announced the approval of HSBC's proposal to privatize Hang Seng Bank, with shares expected to be delisted [7] - There are reports that Bawang Tea Princess is considering an IPO in Hong Kong, potentially raising several hundred million dollars [7] Group 6 - The market regulator has warned major polysilicon companies against monopolistic practices, emphasizing the need for fair competition [9] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting addressing irrational competition in the battery industry, calling for better capacity management [9] - The Chinese automotive market has seen a wave of promotions from various manufacturers, indicating a positive growth outlook for 2026 [9] Group 7 - The Sichuan Provincial Medical Insurance Bureau has set the costs for invasive brain-computer interface procedures at various public medical institutions [10] - The AI search market is undergoing significant changes, with Google Gemini's daily web visits increasing by 24% while ChatGPT's visits decreased by 9% [10] Group 8 - Tether has launched a new unit called Scudo, representing one-thousandth of a gold ounce, aimed at lowering transaction barriers [11] Group 9 - NVIDIA has requested full prepayment for its H200 AI chips from overseas customers amid regulatory uncertainties, with orders exceeding 2 million units [12] - Apple announced that CEO Tim Cook's total compensation for 2025 will be $74.3 million, and JPMorgan will replace Goldman Sachs as the issuer of Apple's credit card [12] - Glencore confirmed discussions with Rio Tinto regarding a potential business merger, which may involve a full stock merger [12] Group 10 - Geopolitical tensions have led to a significant increase in Venezuelan assets following a U.S. military raid, with the Caracas stock index soaring by approximately 124% [18] - Samsung Electronics reported a 208.2% year-on-year increase in operating profit for Q4 2025, driven by rising storage chip prices [18]