a 先锋期货期权日报 2025-8-25 风险揭示 本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议。本报告所载 的资料、工具、意见及推测只提供给客户作参考之用。过去的表现并不代表未来 的表现，未来的回报也无法保证，投资者可能会损失本金。 在任何情况下，我们不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损 失负任何责任，投资者需自行承担风险。此报告中所指的投资及服务可能不适合 阁下，我们建议阁下如有任何疑问应咨询独立投资顾问。 | 标 的 | 平值期权隐 | 排 名 | 标的30天历 | 排 名 | 标的当日 | 排 名 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 含波动率 | | 史波动率 | | 真实波幅 | | | 科创50etf8月 | 5.0% | 1 | 2.3% | 7 | 5.3% | 2 | | 科创板50etf8月 | 4.9% | 2 | 2.4% | 6 | 5.4% | 1 | | ps2510 | 3.7% | 3 | 3.5% | 2 | 3.4% | 7 | | lc2510 | 3.4% | 4 | 4.0% | ...

先锋期货期权日报 2025-8-22 风险揭示 本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议。本报告所载 的资料、工具、意见及推测只提供给客户作参考之用。过去的表现并不代表未来 的表现，未来的回报也无法保证，投资者可能会损失本金。 在任何情况下，我们不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损 失负任何责任，投资者需自行承担风险。此报告中所指的投资及服务可能不适合 阁下，我们建议阁下如有任何疑问应咨询独立投资顾问。 | 标 的 | 平值期权隐 | 排 名 | 标的30天历 | 排 名 | 标的当日 | 排 名 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 含波动率 | | 史波动率 | | 真实波幅 | | | 科创50etf8月 | 3.8% | 1 | 2.2% | 9 | 8.8% | 2 | | ps2510 | 3.5% | 2 | 3.9% | 2 | 2.7% | 8 | | lc2510 | 3.1% | 3 | 4.6% | 1 | 6.1% | 3 | | 科创板50etf8月 | 3.0% | 4 | 2.3% | 8 ...

Group 1: Implied Volatility Index and Its Calculation - The implied volatility index of financial options reflects the 30 - day implied volatility (IV) trend as of the previous trading day. The implied volatility index of commodity options is obtained by weighting the IV of the two strike - prices above and below the at - the - money option of the front - month contract, reflecting the IV change trend of the front - month contract [2] - The difference between the IV index and historical volatility (HV) indicates the relative level of IV to HV. A larger difference means higher IV relative to HV, and a smaller difference means lower IV relative to HV [2] Group 2: Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility Difference Graph - The document presents graphs showing the IV, HV, and IV - HV differences for various financial and commodity options, including 300 - stock index, 50ETF, 1000 - stock index, 500ETF, and many commodity options such as soybeans, corn, sugar, cotton, etc [3] Group 3: Implied Volatility Quantile and Volatility Spread Quantile Ranking - Implied volatility quantiles represent the current level of a variety's IV in history. A high quantile means the current IV is high, and a low quantile means the current IV is low. The volatility spread is calculated as the IV index minus the historical volatility [4] - The implied volatility quantile rankings are provided for different options, such as 50ETF with a quantile of 0.79, 300 - stock index with 0.80, iron ore with 0.37, PVC with 0.46, etc [5][7]

Market Performance - The stock market experienced a significant upward trend on August 20, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.04%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.89%, the ChiNext Index by 0.23%, and the STAR Market 50 Index by 3.23% [1] - All four major indices closed in the green, with the Shanghai 50 Index increasing by 1.23%, the CSI 300 Index by 1.14%, the CSI 500 Index by 1.09%, and the CSI 1000 Index by 0.86% [1] Options Market Activity - The trading volume of various options increased overall, with specific figures showing that the 50ETF options had a trading volume of 1,709,339 contracts and a turnover of 612 million yuan [2] - The 300ETF options recorded a trading volume of 1,887,385 contracts with a turnover of 942 million yuan, while the 500ETF options had a trading volume of 2,431,663 contracts and a turnover of 2.282 billion yuan [2] - The ChiNext ETF options had a trading volume of 2,648,667 contracts and a turnover of 1.328 billion yuan, indicating robust market activity [2] Implied Volatility - The implied volatility for various options is currently elevated, with the 50ETF options at 0.1826 and the 300ETF options at 0.1902, reflecting a positive market sentiment [3] - The implied volatility for the ChiNext ETF options is at 0.3542, which is among the highest, indicating strong market expectations for future price movements [3] Market Outlook - The market sentiment is positive, with expectations for continued upward movement in the stock indices, suggesting that investors may consider buying on dips [4] - Investors holding stocks are advised to roll over out-of-the-money call options to enhance profits, while being cautious of potential risks as the main ETF options contracts are set to expire next Wednesday [4]

Key Points of the Report Core Concepts - The implied volatility index of financial options reflects the 30 - day implied volatility trend as of the previous trading day. The implied volatility index of commodity options is obtained by weighting the implied volatilities of the two - point - up and - down options at the at - the - money strike price of the main contract month, reflecting the implied volatility change trend of the main contract [2]. - The difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility shows the relative level of implied volatility to historical volatility. A larger difference means the implied volatility is relatively higher, and a smaller difference means it is relatively lower [2]. - The implied volatility quantile represents the current implied volatility level of a variety in history. A high quantile means the current implied volatility is high, and a low quantile means it is low. The volatility spread is the implied volatility index minus the historical volatility [4]. Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility Data - The report presents the implied volatility (IV), historical volatility (HV), and their differences (IV - HV) of various options, including 300 Index, 50ETF, 1000 Index, 500ETF, and many commodity options such as soybean meal, corn, sugar, cotton, etc. [3] Implied Volatility Quantile and Volatility Spread Quantile Ranking - The report shows the ranking of implied volatility quantiles and historical volatility quantiles of different varieties, such as 300 Index, PVC, PTA, corn, etc. [4][5]

Group 1: General Information - The report is the Pioneer Futures Options Daily Report dated August 15, 2025 [1] - It provides data on the implied volatility of at - the - money options, 30 - day historical volatility, and the true daily range of various option targets, along with rankings [3][5] - The volatility data are daily - based and can be directly compared. Higher implied volatility implies a greater likelihood of significant market movements, and differences between historical and implied volatility can indicate option price trends [6] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report Group 3: Core Viewpoints - The report presents detailed data on option targets' volatility and trading information, offering reference for different types of traders such as trend traders, option sellers, and intraday traders based on the volatility characteristics [6] - It also provides basic information, volatility trading suggestions, and risk - free arbitrage analysis for options on various ETFs and commodities across different exchanges Group 4: Summary by Directory 1. Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 1.1 Shanghai 50ETF - Basic Information: Presents the T - type quotation table of Shanghai 50ETF options, including call and put option prices at different strike prices. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 1,163,646 lots, the open interest is 969,586 lots, the call - to - put volume ratio is 1.77, and the weighted average implied volatility is 17.15% [19][21] - Volatility Trading: Suggests selling options with higher - positioned curves (either across different months or within the same month) and buying those with lower - positioned curves based on the implied volatility curves [23] - Risk - Free Arbitrage: The optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity yields a minimum annualized return of 14.6% at the settlement price and 3.74% at the counter - party price [27][29] 1.2 Huatai - Berry Shanghai - Shenzhen 300ETF - Basic Information: Displays the T - type quotation table of 300ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 1,027,221 lots, the open interest is 732,654 lots, the call - to - put volume ratio is 1.64, and the weighted average implied volatility is 18.61% [30][33] - Volatility Trading: Similar to the Shanghai 50ETF, it recommends selling high - curve options and buying low - curve options according to the implied volatility curves [37] - Risk - Free Arbitrage: The optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity has a minimum annualized return of 11.8% at the settlement price and 2.65% at the counter - party price [40][42] 1.3 Southern China Securities 500ETF - Basic Information: Shows the T - type quotation table of 500ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 1,691,096 lots, the open interest is 778,728 lots, the call - to - put volume ratio is 1.43, and the weighted average implied volatility is 20.63% [43][45] - Volatility Trading: Advises selling high - curve options and buying low - curve options based on the implied volatility curves [49] - Risk - Free Arbitrage: The optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity offers a minimum annualized return of 15.5% at the settlement price and 3.42% at the counter - party price [52][54] 1.4 Huaxia Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - Basic Information: Presents the T - type quotation table of Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 737,709 lots, the open interest is 923,760 lots, the call - to - put volume ratio is 2.39, and the weighted average implied volatility is 29.49% [55][57] - Volatility Trading: Suggests selling high - curve options and buying low - curve options according to the implied volatility curves [62] - Risk - Free Arbitrage: The optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity gives a minimum annualized return of 15.6% at the settlement price and 0.93% at the counter - party price [64][66] 1.5 E Fund Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - Basic Information: Displays the T - type quotation table of Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 182,129 lots, the open interest is 269,106 lots, the call - to - put volume ratio is 2.19, and the weighted average implied volatility is 30.56% [67][69] - Volatility Trading: Recommends selling high - curve options and buying low - curve options based on the implied volatility curves [71] - Risk - Free Arbitrage: The optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity yields a minimum annualized return of 15.6% at the settlement price and 1.90% at the counter - party price [75][77] 2. Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options 2.1 Harvest Shanghai - Shenzhen 300ETF - Basic Information: Presents the T - type quotation table of Shenzhen 300ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options is 232,529 lots, the open interest is 158,549 lots, the call - to - put volume ratio is 1.4, and the weighted average implied volatility is 22.03% [78][81] - Volatility Trading: Advises selling high - curve options and buying low - curve options according to the implied volatility curves [83] - Risk - Free Arbitrage: No specific risk - free arbitrage data are provided in the extracted content Other Exchanges' Options - The report also has a directory for options on the China Financial Futures Exchange, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, Dalian Commodity Exchange, Shanghai Futures Exchange, Shanghai International Energy Exchange, and Guangzhou Futures Exchange, but detailed data are not fully presented in the provided content for all of them. Only the directory structure and general analysis directions are given, including basic information, volatility trading, and risk - free arbitrage for each option type [8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18]

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report presents the option daily report of Pioneer Futures on August 14, 2025, including the volatility data of various option targets and the basic information, volatility trading, and risk - free arbitrage analysis of options on multiple exchanges [3][19]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options - **1.1 Shanghai 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - force options of Shanghai 50ETF is 1,504,832 lots, the position is 960,669 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.87, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 15.46% [21]. - **Volatility Trading**: Suggestions are given based on the implied volatility curves of call options with different strike prices and different Deltas, such as selling the months or options above the curve and buying those below [24]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 3.94% at the settlement price and 0.93% at the counter - price [27][29]. - **1.2 Huatai - Baorui CSI 300ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - force options is 1,105,047 lots, the position is 727,031 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.71, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 16.41% [33]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar volatility trading suggestions are provided according to the implied volatility curves [36]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 7.24% at the settlement price and 0.70% at the counter - price [40][42]. - **1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - force options is 1,528,831 lots, the position is 776,258 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.3, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 18.79% [45]. - **Volatility Trading**: Volatility trading suggestions are given based on the implied volatility curves [48]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 26.7% at the settlement price and 7.73% at the counter - price [52][54]. - **1.4 Huaxia Shanghai - Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - force options is 1,306,982 lots, the position is 893,513 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 2.13, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 27.76% [57]. - **Volatility Trading**: Volatility trading suggestions are made according to the implied volatility curves [61]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 26.0% at the settlement price and 1.75% at the counter - price [64][66]. - **1.5 E Fund Shanghai - Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - force options is 319,275 lots, the position is 263,988 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 2.42, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 29.98% [68]. - **Volatility Trading**: Volatility trading suggestions are provided based on the implied volatility curves [72]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 17.5% at the settlement price and 1.12% at the counter - price [75][77]. 3.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options - **2.1 Harvest CSI 300ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - force options of Shenzhen 300ETF is 195,481 lots, the position is 151,071 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 2.32, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 17.88% [81]. - **Volatility Trading**: Volatility trading suggestions are given according to the implied volatility curves [85].

Group 1: Implied Volatility Index and Historical Volatility - The financial option implied volatility index reflects the 30 - day implied volatility (IV) trend as of the previous trading day. The commodity option implied volatility index is obtained by weighting the IV of the two - strike options around the at - the - money option of the front - month contract, reflecting the IV change trend of the front - month contract [3] - The difference between the IV index and historical volatility (HV) indicates the relative level of IV to HV. A larger difference means higher IV relative to HV, and a smaller difference means lower IV relative to HV [3] Group 2: Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility Graphs - The document presents graphs showing the IV, HV, and IV - HV differences for various financial and commodity options, including 300 - stock index, 50ETF, 1000 - stock index, 500ETF, and many commodity options such as silver, soybean meal, corn, etc [4] Group 3: Implied Volatility Quantile and Volatility Spread Quantile Ranking - Implied volatility quantile represents the current level of a variety's IV in history. A high quantile means the current IV is high, and a low quantile means the current IV is low. Volatility spread is the difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility [5] - The document provides the implied volatility quantile rankings for different options, such as PVC with a quantile of 0.92, PTA with 0.39, etc [6]

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: Pioneer Futures Option Daily Report [1] - Date: July 22, 2025 [1] Group 2: Option Volatility Ranking - The report provides a ranking of option underlying assets based on at-the-money option implied volatility, 30-day historical volatility, and daily true range [3][5]. - For example, zc509 has an at-the-money option implied volatility of 5.1%, ranking 1st; ps2509 has a 30-day historical volatility of 3.1%, ranking 1st; and fg509 has a daily true range of 6.7%, ranking 2nd [3]. Group 3: Option Trading Analysis by Exchange 3.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 3.1.1 Shanghai 50ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options of Shanghai 50ETF on the day was 800,140 lots, the open interest was 621,524 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.71, and the weighted average implied volatility was 17.22% [21]. - **Volatility Trading**: Suggestions include selling the month with the curve above and buying the month with the curve below for different months; selling options with points above the curve and buying options with points below the curve for the same month [23]. - **Risk-Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return for the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 235% when traded at the settlement price and 33.6% when traded at the counterparty price [27][29]. 3.1.2 Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options of Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF on the day was 656,899 lots, the open interest was 418,736 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.8, and the weighted average implied volatility was 20.07% [33]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as for Shanghai 50ETF [37]. - **Risk-Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return for the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 117% when traded at the settlement price and 29.5% when traded at the counterparty price [41][43]. 3.1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options of Southern CSI 500ETF on the day was 906,135 lots, the open interest was 438,698 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.35, and the weighted average implied volatility was 21.18% [46]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above [49]. - **Risk-Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return for the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 155% when traded at the settlement price and 25.7% when traded at the counterparty price [53][55]. 3.1.4 Huaxia SSE STAR 50 ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options of Huaxia SSE STAR 50 ETF on the day was 405,641 lots, the open interest was 562,902 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.91, and the weighted average implied volatility was 24.49% [58]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as before [60]. - **Risk-Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return for the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 4.78% when traded at the settlement price and 2.14% when traded at the counterparty price [64][66]. 3.1.5 E Fund SSE STAR 50 ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options of E Fund SSE STAR 50 ETF on the day was 93,595 lots, the open interest was 124,079 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.74, and the weighted average implied volatility was 25.93% [69]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as other ETFs [71]. - **Risk-Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized rate of return for the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 4.02% when traded at the settlement price and 1.56% when traded at the counterparty price [75][77]. 3.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options 3.2.1 Harvest CSI 300ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options of Harvest CSI 300ETF on the day was 89,876 lots, the open interest was 83,549 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.62, and the weighted average implied volatility was 24.13% [81]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as other ETFs [85].

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Name: Pioneer Futures Options Daily Report [1] - Date: July 7, 2025 [1] Group 2: Option Underlying Volatility Ranking - A table presents the implied volatility, historical volatility, and true range of various option underlying assets, along with their rankings [3][5] - The implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of future price fluctuations of the underlying asset; the historical volatility reflects the actual price fluctuations in the past; and the true range reflects the intraday price fluctuations [6] Group 3: Exchange Option Analysis - Shanghai Stock Exchange 1.1 Shanghai 50ETF - **Basic Information**: Provides the call and put option prices at different strike prices and expiration months, as well as the trading volume, open interest, trading volume ratio of call to put options, and weighted average implied volatility of the main - contract options [19][21] - **Volatility Trading**: Suggests selling options with higher implied volatility curves and buying those with lower ones, both for different months and within the same month [23] - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 6.74% at the settlement price and none at the counter - price [27][29] 1.2 Huatai - Berry SSE 300ETF - **Basic Information**: Presents the call and put option prices at different strike prices and expiration months, along with the trading volume, open interest, trading volume ratio of call to put options, and weighted average implied volatility of the main - contract options [30][32] - **Volatility Trading**: Similar to the Shanghai 50ETF, it suggests selling options with higher implied volatility curves and buying those with lower ones [36] - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 5.86% at the settlement price and 0.35% at the counter - price [41][42] 1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF - **Basic Information**: Provides the call and put option prices at different strike prices and expiration months, along with the trading volume, open interest, trading volume ratio of call to put options, and weighted average implied volatility of the main - contract options [43][45] - **Volatility Trading**: Suggests selling options with higher implied volatility curves and buying those with lower ones [47] - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 55.3% at the settlement price and 11.8% at the counter - price [51][53] 1.4 Huaxia SSE STAR 50ETF - **Basic Information**: Presents the call and put option prices at different strike prices and expiration months, along with the trading volume, open interest, trading volume ratio of call to put options, and weighted average implied volatility of the main - contract options [54][56] - **Volatility Trading**: Suggests selling options with higher implied volatility curves and buying those with lower ones [58] - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 7.59% at the settlement price and 1.36% at the counter - price [62][64] 1.5 E Fund SSE STAR 50ETF - **Basic Information**: Provides the call and put option prices at different strike prices and expiration months, along with the trading volume, open interest, trading volume ratio of call to put options, and weighted average implied volatility of the main - contract options [65][67] - **Volatility Trading**: Suggests selling options with higher implied volatility curves and buying those with lower ones [69] - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 16.0% at the settlement price and 1.22% at the counter - price [73][75] Group 4: Exchange Option Analysis - Shenzhen Stock Exchange 2.1 Harvest SSE 300ETF - **Basic Information**: Presents the call and put option prices at different strike prices and expiration months, along with the trading volume, open interest, trading volume ratio of call to put options, and weighted average implied volatility of the main - contract options [76][79] - **Volatility Trading**: Suggests selling options with higher implied volatility curves and buying those with lower ones [83] - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 18.6% at the settlement price and 0.83% at the counter - price [87][89] 2.2 E Fund ChiNext ETF - **Basic Information**: Provides the call and put option prices at different strike prices and expiration months, along with the trading volume, open interest, trading volume ratio of call to put options, and weighted average implied volatility of the main - contract options [90][92] - **Volatility Trading**: Implied volatility curves are presented, but specific trading suggestions are similar to other sections [94]