根据TrendForce集邦咨询最新调查，NVIDIA（英伟达）于2025年第三季调整Rubin平台的HBM4规格， 上修对Speed per Pin的要求至高于11Gbps，致使三大HBM供应商需修正设计。此外，AI热潮刺激 NVIDIA前一代Blackwell产品需求优于预期，Rubin平台量产时程顺势调整。两项因素皆导致HBM4放量 时间点延后，预期最快于2026年第一季末进入量产。 ...

人民财讯1月8日电，根据TrendForce集邦咨询最新调查，NVIDIA(英伟达)于2025年第三季调整Rubin平 台的HBM4规格，上修对Speed per Pin的要求至高于11Gbps，致使三大HBM供应商需修正设计。此外， AI热潮刺激NVIDIA前一代Blackwell产品需求优于预期，Rubin平台量产时程顺势调整。两项因素皆导 致HBM4放量时间点延后，预期最快于2026年第一季末进入量产。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia (NVDA.US) reported a strong performance in Q3 of fiscal year 2026, with revenue of $57 billion, a year-on-year increase of 62%, and net profit of $31.8 billion, up 59%, exceeding market expectations [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 FY2026 reached $57 billion, reflecting a 62% year-on-year growth [1] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 73.6%, a decrease of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was $31.8 billion, representing a 59% increase year-on-year [1] Market Position and Future Projections - The strong demand for Blackwell products and successful shipments of the GB300 series contributed to the positive performance [1] - The company raised its revenue forecast for FY2026 by 3% to $213.6 billion, while maintaining its non-GAAP net profit estimate [1] - Revenue and non-GAAP net profit forecasts for FY2027 were increased by 16% and 13% to $341.5 billion and $191.1 billion, respectively [1] Valuation and Rating - The current stock price is trading at a 23.9x P/E ratio for FY2027 [1] - The rating is maintained at "Outperform" with a target price increase of 14% to $228, corresponding to a 29.2x P/E ratio for FY2027, indicating an upside potential of 22% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's Q3 revenue for fiscal year 2026 reached $57 billion, representing a 62% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations and aligning with the company's forecasts [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Non-GAAP gross margin was 73.6%, down 1.4 percentage points year-over-year [1] - Net profit amounted to $31.8 billion, reflecting a 59% year-over-year increase [1] Group 2: Market Position and Forecasts - Strong demand for Blackwell products and successful shipments of the GB300 series contributed to the positive performance [1] - The company raised its revenue forecast for fiscal year 2026 by 3% to $213.6 billion, while maintaining its Non-GAAP net profit forecast [1] - For fiscal year 2027, revenue and Non-GAAP net profit forecasts were increased by 16% and 13% to $341.5 billion and $191.1 billion, respectively [1] - The company maintains an "outperform" rating and raised the target price by 14% to $228 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's next-generation platform, Rubin, is expected to enter mass production by mid-2026, promising significant performance improvements [1][4] - The company's customer base is diversifying, with sovereign customer revenue projected to double by 2025 [1][6] - Strong demand from hyperscale data centers and non-traditional customers will drive Nvidia's explosive growth in 2026 [1][8] Group 1: Next-Generation Platform - Nvidia's next-generation platform, Rubin, is in early manufacturing stages and is anticipated to achieve mass production by mid-2026 [4] - All six chips that comprise the Rubin platform have begun trial production, with management optimistic about improvements in workload performance, efficiency, and cost-effectiveness compared to the Blackwell platform [4][5] Group 2: Customer Diversification - Nvidia's growth narrative is becoming increasingly diversified, moving away from reliance on a few hyperscale cloud service providers [6] - Currently, large cloud service providers account for 50% of data center revenue, indicating the rise of other customer segments [6] - Revenue from sovereign AI projects is expected to exceed $20 billion in 2025, more than doubling from 2024, highlighting a new and substantial market opportunity [6] Group 3: Dual Drivers of Growth - Nvidia's potential for significant growth in 2026 is driven by both traditional advantages and emerging opportunities [8] - Increased spending from hyperscale cloud service providers and demand from non-traditional customers, such as sovereign AI projects, are expected to contribute to revenue and profit growth [8] Group 4: Short-Term Challenges and Long-Term Logic - Despite facing uncertainties in the Chinese market due to export restrictions, Nvidia is actively communicating with the U.S. government to secure sales approvals for Blackwell-based products [9][10] - If uncertainties are resolved, Nvidia anticipates third-quarter H20 product shipments in China could reach between $2 billion to $5 billion, providing additional growth momentum for 2026 [9] - The long-term growth logic for Nvidia remains strong, with 2026 projected as a critical year for explosive growth [10]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs maintains a "buy" rating on Nvidia, expressing extreme optimism for the company's performance in 2026, despite short-term downward pressure on stock prices following the second-quarter earnings report [1] Group 1: Future Earnings Projections - Goldman Sachs sets Nvidia's 2026 earnings per share (EPS) estimate significantly above Wall Street consensus, approximately 10% higher, supported by three core reasons [1] - The next-generation platform "Rubin" is expected to enter mass production by mid-2026, with all six chips in the platform currently in trial production, indicating a substantial performance and efficiency improvement over the previous generation [2] Group 2: Customer Diversification - Nvidia's customer base is diversifying, reducing reliance on a few large cloud service providers (CSPs), with large CSPs currently accounting for 50% of data center revenue, highlighting the rise of other customer segments [3] - Revenue from sovereign AI projects is projected to exceed $20 billion in 2025, more than doubling from 2024, reflecting a growing demand for autonomous AI infrastructure globally [3] Group 3: Growth Drivers - Nvidia's potential for significant growth in 2026 is driven by increased spending from large-scale cloud service providers and demand from non-traditional customers, creating a "dual-driver" scenario for future revenue and profit growth [4] - Despite short-term challenges, Nvidia's long-term growth logic remains strong, with 2026 anticipated as a key year for explosive growth [6]

Group 1 - Nvidia's Q2 financial report shows that data center revenue has declined for two consecutive quarters, with Blackwell product revenue increasing by 17% quarter-over-quarter, while data center computing revenue decreased by 1% due to a $4 billion drop in H20 sales [1] - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang indicated that China could present a $50 billion business opportunity this year, with an expected annual growth rate of approximately 50% in the Chinese market, although no H20 chips were sold to Chinese customers in Q2 [1] - Concerns have been raised regarding potential security vulnerabilities in Nvidia's H20 chip, as noted by the People's Daily [1] Group 2 - Huaxia Securities suggests that domestic AI computing chip companies, such as Huawei's Ascend and Cambricon, may accelerate their development due to factors like the US chip security legislation and H20 discussions, indicating a clearer long-term growth trajectory for domestic chips [1] - According to招商证券, local GPU companies are expected to see continuous year-over-year sales growth by 2025, with a positive long-term outlook for the semiconductor sector, particularly in AI computing and self-controllable attributes [1] - Semiconductor industry segments, including GPU/ASIC/Switch and supporting chips, advanced manufacturing/storage, upstream equipment/materials/EDA, and PCB/CCL, are anticipated to experience significant growth [1] Group 3 - Semiconductor company SMIC is expected to see increased reliance on its advanced process production lines for domestic computing chips, with potential for value reassessment as advanced process capacity and yield improve [1]