行 业 研 究 / 美 容 护 理 / 证 券 研 究 报 告 美容护理行业专题研究 新成分带来行业增长新引擎 2025 年 12 月 29 日 【投资要点】 【配置建议】 关注具备新材料布局的相关标的。1）医美领域：关注具备 PDRN 医 美注射剂等多项医美管线布局，且预计 PDRN 注射剂获批进度较为领 先的乐普医疗；此外建议关注通过投资布局 ECM 医美注射剂的丸美 生物、康哲医药。2）化妆品领域：建议关注在 25 年快速把握 PDRN 挖掘价值 投资成长 强于大市（维持） 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：刘嘉仁 证书编号：S1160524090001 证券分析师：李汶静 证书编号：S1160525020001 相对指数表现 -20% -12% -4% 4% 12% 20% 2024/12 2025/6 2025/12 美容护理 沪深300 相关研究 《洗护赛道：新概念、强功效帮助国货品 牌构筑核心竞争力》 2025.04.18 写在前面：无论在美妆还是医美行业中，成分/材料创新是促使供给优 化、进而推动行业实现更快增长的重要驱动力之一，在当前细分赛道 竞争加剧的背景下，能够成功开辟新成分布局的公司或能 ...

Group 1 - The potential for national income doubling is expected to open a "golden decade" for new consumption development, with a theoretical target of nearly doubling per capita GDP by 2035, from $13,300 in 2024 to approximately $20,000 [16][17][33] - The growth of the middle-income group is crucial for driving consumption, with a target of over 800 million middle-income individuals in the next 15 years, which will significantly influence the scale and quality of domestic consumption [42][49] - The report emphasizes the importance of promoting common prosperity to activate domestic consumption potential, highlighting that increasing the income of low-income groups can effectively convert new income into consumption [20][23][49] Group 2 - The beauty and personal care sector is expected to see growth driven by new materials in the medical beauty segment, with companies like Lepu Medical focusing on innovative materials that fill market gaps [4][5][15] - The beauty industry is entering a low-growth phase, where brand group operations and market share enhancement will be critical for sustainable growth, with companies like Mao Ge Ping and Shangmei Holdings being highlighted for their potential [4][5][15] - The pet care market is experiencing both consumption upgrades and intensified competition, with a focus on high-end, health-oriented products [4][5][15] Group 3 - The service consumption sector, particularly tourism and sports, is expected to benefit from policy encouragement, with companies like Sanxia Tourism and Lansi Co. being recommended for investment [4][5][15] - The report notes that the tourism sector is poised for growth due to increased interest in flexible vacations and the aging population, which is expected to drive demand for river cruises [4][5][15] - The sports service sector is highlighted as a core growth area, with event-driven economic activities expected to boost related industries [4][5][15] Group 4 - The IP and trendy toy market is entering a new phase with a surge in supply, and companies like Pop Mart are expected to maintain their leading positions through effective IP management [4][5][15] - The report indicates that the emergence of new designers and retail platforms is likely to sustain high demand for IP products, with a focus on companies that can effectively monetize potential IP [4][5][15] Group 5 - The gold and jewelry sector is facing short-term demand pressure due to tax reforms and seasonal fluctuations, with a focus on brands that can maintain pricing power amid these changes [5][15]

Core Insights - The Chinese medical beauty market is projected to reach a scale of 265 billion yuan by 2024, with a CAGR of 15% from 2017 to 2024 [1] - The number of medical beauty consumers in China is expected to reach 31 million by 2024, with a CAGR of 9% from 2022 to 2024 [1] - The average number of medical beauty treatments per person in China is significantly lower than in developed markets such as South Korea, the United States, and Japan, indicating substantial growth potential [1] Industry Growth Potential - The medical beauty industry is anticipated to maintain steady growth in the high single digits over the next three years, with notable structural opportunities [1] - Certain medical beauty materials still present track dividends, particularly in areas such as natural and recombinant collagen, regenerative microspheres, and emerging materials like PDRN, ECM, silk protein, and PHA [1] - Companies with platform capabilities in upstream product development and downstream medical beauty institutions that possess high reputation and integrated resources are expected to thrive [1]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - The records cover various industries including macroeconomic trends, coal, healthcare, technology, and financial services. Specific companies mentioned include 乐普医疗 (Lepu Medical), 银河医疗 (Yinhe Medical), and 九方智投控股 (Jiufang Zhitu Holdings). Key Points and Arguments Macroeconomic Trends - The economic outlook remains stable, with potential price increases indicated by July's PMR data, suggesting a positive trend for August [1] - Attention is drawn to the easing of tariffs in the US-China trade negotiations, although uncertainties remain regarding the final outcomes [2][3] - The US economy shows resilience, with expectations of continued monetary policy adjustments [2][3] Market Sentiment - The market is expected to remain cautious in August, with potential corrections following previous optimistic expectations [4][5] - The index is projected to stabilize between 3,400 and 3,500 points, influenced by demand stimulation in sectors like robotics and consumption [4] Sector-Specific Insights - **Healthcare**: - 乐普医疗 is highlighted for its strong growth potential, particularly with its new product launches and market strategies aimed at capturing low-price segments [12][13][14] - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth, with projections of 40 to 50 billion in actual sales potential [13] - **Coal Industry**: - The coal sector is experiencing policy-driven price support, with expectations of price stabilization due to supply constraints [16][17] - Focus on焦煤 (coking coal) prices shows a significant rebound, with current prices rising from 1,200 to over 1,650 [18] - **Technology**: - The domestic AI sector is anticipated to grow, driven by increased demand for computing power and advancements in local technology [36][37] - Companies like 天湖通信 (Tianhu Communication) are positioned to benefit from the transition to 1.6T technology, with confirmed orders indicating strong future growth [39] - **Financial Services**: - 九方智投控股 is noted for its unique position in the financial information service sector, with a limited number of licenses available, enhancing its market potential [28][29] - The company is expected to benefit from increasing demand for investment education and advisory services as traditional investment channels shrink [28] Other Important Insights - The healthcare sector is seeing a shift towards new consumption patterns, with a focus on innovative products that meet emerging market needs [11][12] - The coal market is under scrutiny for its response to environmental policies, with expectations of price support mechanisms to stabilize the market [16][17] - The technology sector is experiencing a significant transformation, with AI and computing power becoming critical drivers of growth [36][37] Conclusion - The overall sentiment across various sectors indicates cautious optimism, with specific companies positioned to leverage market trends and policy changes for growth. The focus remains on innovation, market adaptability, and strategic positioning in response to evolving consumer demands and regulatory landscapes.