Core Viewpoint - ASML's Q3 2025 financial results indicate a stabilization in performance, with revenue and gross margin meeting company guidance, while the focus shifts to order trends and future operational guidance [7][8][40]. Revenue & Gross Margin - Q3 2025 revenue reached €7.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.7%, slightly below market expectations of €7.7 billion, primarily driven by contributions from TSMC and customers in mainland China [1][28]. - The gross margin for the quarter was 51.6%, near the upper end of the company's guidance range (50%-52%), supported by an increase in service revenue [1][32]. Expenses & Profit - R&D and sales management expenses remained stable, with net profit for the quarter at €2.13 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.3%, driven by improved gross margin [2][38]. - The net profit margin for the quarter was 28.3% [2][38]. Business Performance - Lithography system revenue was €5.55 billion, down 6.3% year-on-year, while service revenue grew by 27.3% to €1.96 billion, indicating a shift in revenue composition [3][55]. - The revenue split between lithography systems and services was approximately 70:30, with lithography systems remaining the core of ASML's performance [3][42]. Regional Revenue - Mainland China was the largest revenue source, contributing 42% or approximately €3.16 billion, significantly exceeding the company's previous expectation of 25% [4][56]. - Taiwan contributed around €2.26 billion, accounting for 30% of revenue, reflecting strong demand from TSMC [4][56]. Order Metrics - The net order intake for the quarter was €5.4 billion, a decrease of €1.4 billion from the previous quarter but better than market expectations of €4.9 billion [5][9]. - The sustained net orders above €5 billion indicate a recovery in customer confidence [5][9]. Future Guidance - For Q4 2025, ASML expects revenue between €9.2 billion and €9.8 billion, with a gross margin of 51%-53%, both above market expectations [6][12]. Market Context - The current operational phase for ASML is transitioning from a low point to recovery, driven by increased capital expenditures in the semiconductor industry, particularly in storage and AI-related investments [14][40]. - The positive outlook for major clients like TSMC, Samsung, and Intel is expected to boost ASML's performance as they increase capital spending [22][25]. Competitive Position - ASML remains the sole provider of EUV lithography systems, holding over 80% market share, which solidifies its investment rationale [23][60]. - The introduction of High-NA EUV systems is anticipated to further enhance ASML's market position and pricing power [24][60].

Core Insights - ASML reported Q3 2025 revenue of €7.5 billion, a 0.7% year-over-year increase, below market expectations of €7.7 billion, primarily driven by contributions from TSMC and customers in mainland China [1][17] - The gross margin for the quarter was 51.6%, slightly above the company's guidance range of 50-52%, supported by an increase in service revenue [1][17] - Net profit for the quarter was €2.13 billion, a 2.3% year-over-year increase, with a net profit margin of 28.3% [1][20] Revenue and Profitability - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was €7.5 billion, with a gross profit of €3.88 billion, reflecting a gross margin of 51.6% [1][17] - Net income reached €2.13 billion, with a net profit margin of 28.3%, indicating stable operating expenses [1][20][21] - Research and development expenses were €1.11 billion, representing 14.8% of revenue, while selling and administrative expenses were €300 million, or 4% of revenue [18][21] Business Segments - Lithography system revenue was €5.55 billion, down 6.3% year-over-year, while service revenue increased by 27.3% to €1.96 billion [1][30] - EUV and ArFi systems accounted for nearly 66% of lithography system revenue, with EUV revenue at approximately €2.11 billion and ArFi at €2.89 billion [2][27] - The average selling price for EUV systems was around €23.5 million, while ArFi systems averaged €7.6 million [2][28] Regional Performance - Mainland China was the largest revenue contributor, accounting for 42% of total revenue, approximately €3.16 billion, significantly above the expected 25% [3][32] - Taiwan contributed around €2.26 billion, representing 30% of revenue, primarily driven by TSMC's demand [3][32] - Revenue from South Korea and the USA remained low due to reduced capital expenditures from major clients like Samsung and Intel [32] Order Trends and Future Guidance - The net order intake for the quarter was €5.4 billion, exceeding market expectations of €4.9 billion, indicating improved customer confidence [5][7] - For Q4 2025, ASML expects revenue between €9.2 billion and €9.8 billion, above market expectations of €9.2 billion [7][14] - The company is positioned to benefit from increased capital expenditures in the semiconductor industry, particularly driven by AI demand and recovery in the storage sector [14][20]

公众号记得加星标⭐️，第一时间看推送不会错过。 过去五年，全球半导体制造几乎等同于一场光刻机的地缘政治。ASML的EUV光刻系统成为先进制程 的唯一通行证，任何想进入 5nm 以下节点的公司，都必须经由这台价值超过 3 亿美元、由 45 万个 零件组成的巨兽。 从苹果到台积电，从三星到英特尔，整个行业的创新速度被EUV产能和供应节奏间接锁定。 而另一边， 非EUV 领域——电子束直写（E-Beam Lithography）、 纳米压印（NIL ）、掩模直写 （ML2）——曾多次被寄予"平替"希望，却始终未能进入量产体系。它们像漂浮在摩尔定律边缘 的"幽灵技术"，时而被提起，又悄然沉寂。 然而，AI的爆发正悄然改变这一切。一台EUV光刻机，不可能为每一家AI公司开启一条产线。在先 进封装、异构集成、Chiplet、SiP等多工艺、多材料混合的环境中，光学光刻难以覆盖全部需求层 级。在这种需求转折点上，制造业开始寻找新的可能。那些曾被遗忘的"非EUV技术"正在以新的形式 回归。 6.5 万束电子光束光刻，瞄准AI芯片 SecureFoundry成立于2016年，总部位于沃斯堡，是一家兼顾国家安全与商业需求的半导体 ...

国芯网[原:中国半导体论坛] 振兴国产半导体产业！ 不拘中国、 放眼世界 ！ 关注 世界半导体论坛 ↓ ↓ ↓ 9月24日消息，据韩媒报道，SK 海力士计划在未来两年内新购置约 20 台 ASML 的 EUV 光 刻系统。 考虑到 SK 海力士目前持有约 20 台用于研发和生产的 EUV 机台，这意味着 这家存储巨头 对此类设备的保有规模将在两年内翻倍 。 EUV设备价格极其高昂，每台价值在3000亿至5000亿韩元之间，且全球仅荷兰ASML一家能够生产。按 单价计算，SK海力士此次投资规模预计至少在6万亿韩元以上。 这些设备将被陆续引进并分布安装在清州M15X工厂和利川M16工厂。M15X计划在今年底投产，将率 先配置EUV设备；M16则会根据工艺转换（Tech Migration）的路线图逐步引入。 一位熟悉情况的业内人士透露："SK海力士正在考虑提前启动新的EUV生产线，并与ASML保持紧密协 商，以加快设备交付速度。" 在 SK 海力士的两大业务领域中，内存端的 EUV 光刻工艺早已随着 2021 年的 1a nm DRAM 实现商业化，EUV 的应用规模也在随着内存世代演进稳步提升。 而由于 AI ...

Core Viewpoint - ASML reported strong Q2 2025 results with net sales of €7.7 billion, a gross margin of 53.7%, and a net profit of €2.29 billion, driven by robust demand for EUV lithography systems and a significant increase in new orders [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - Q2 2025 net sales reached €7.692 billion, slightly down from Q1 2025's €7.742 billion, but still within the guidance range [4]. - Gross profit for Q2 2025 was €4.13 billion, with a gross margin of 53.7%, slightly lower than Q1's 54.0% [4]. - Net income for Q2 2025 was €2.29 billion, translating to earnings per share (EPS) of €5.90, down from €6.00 in Q1 [4][3]. Order and Sales Dynamics - New orders surged to €5.541 billion in Q2 2025, a 40.8% increase from €3.936 billion in Q1 2025, indicating strong market demand [3][4]. - EUV lithography systems accounted for €2.3 billion of the new orders, representing 41.5% of total bookings, highlighting the resilience in advanced process technology demand [3][2]. Future Outlook - The company expects Q3 2025 net sales to be between €7.4 billion and €7.9 billion, with a gross margin forecasted between 50% and 52% [5]. - For the full year 2025, ASML anticipates a 15% growth in total net sales, with a gross margin around 52% [5]. - The CEO noted ongoing uncertainties due to macroeconomic and geopolitical factors, which may impact growth projections for 2026 [5].

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor market is experiencing a pullback due to tariffs, trade wars, and recession fears, but this creates attractive buying opportunities for long-term investors as the market is expected to grow significantly over the coming decades [1][2]. Group 1: TSMC - TSMC is the largest and most advanced contract chipmaker, relied upon by major companies like Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm, and Apple for producing high-performance chips [4][5]. - In the latest quarter, TSMC generated 59% of its revenue from the high-performance computing (HPC) market and 28% from the smartphone market, with HPC growth offsetting smartphone market softness [5]. - TSMC's revenue is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21% from 2024 to 2027, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to grow at a CAGR of 22% [8]. Group 2: ASML - ASML is the largest producer of lithography systems and the only producer of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems, essential for manufacturing advanced chips [9][10]. - ASML's low-NA EUV systems cost approximately $180 million each, while high-NA systems cost around $380 million, giving the company significant pricing power [10]. - Analysts expect ASML's revenue and EPS to grow at a CAGR of 12% and 19%, respectively, from 2024 to 2027 [11]. Group 3: Arm Holdings - Arm designs power-efficient CPUs, which are widely used in smartphones, tablets, IoT devices, and connected vehicles, capturing about 99% of the smartphone market [13][14]. - Arm plans to develop its own first-party chips, which could enhance its competitiveness and reduce costs by eliminating licensing fees [15]. - From fiscal 2024 to fiscal 2027, Arm's revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of 23%, while EPS is projected to grow at 81% [16].