2025年全球EV电池工厂的产能合计将达到3930吉瓦时，而需求为1161吉瓦时，产能达到需求的3.4倍。 中国持续增产，另一方面，日韩的大型电池厂商已开始缩小投资计划…… 日本经济新闻（中文版：日经中文网）日前获悉，纯电动汽车（EV）电池的全球产能已达到需求的3.4 倍。这是因为EV市场的减速导致供应过剩。国内具有一定EV需求的中国持续增产，另一方面，日韩的 大型电池厂商已开始缩小投资计划。超预期的供过于求对日本和美国推进的电池国产化构成了逆风。 日本经济新闻（中文版：日经中文网）统计了美国调查公司标普全球汽车（S&P Global Mobility）的数 据。2025年全球EV电池工厂的产能合计将达到3930吉瓦时（GWh），而需求为1161吉瓦时，产能达到 需求的3.4倍。供给达到需求的3倍以上的状态将持续到2026年，预计2030年也将达到2.4倍。 在EV电池方面，中国企业掌握全球市场份额的7成。韩国调查公司SNE Research的数据显示，从2025年 1～6月的市场份额来看，第一名是中国宁德时代新能源科技（CATL），第二名是中国比亚迪 （BYD）。 从曾经占据大部分市场份额的日韩企业来看，虽 ...

Core Viewpoint - LG Energy Solution (LGES) reported a decline in revenue for Q2 2025, primarily due to fluctuations in raw material prices and policy impacts on North American energy storage batteries, despite stable EV battery sales [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for Q2 2025 was 288.4 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 9.7% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 11.2%, with stable EV battery sales but a decline in North American energy storage revenue [1] - Gross margin improved to 18.8%, up 1.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter; operating profit margin reached 8.8%, up 2.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, with Q3 benefiting from a US IRA subsidy of 25.4 billion (approximately 7.9 to 10.1 GWh of domestic production) [1] - Capital expenditure for Q2 was 140.8 billion, primarily for North American capacity expansion [1] 2025 Outlook - The company projects a revenue growth of 5% to 10% year-on-year for 2025, although the first half of 2025 saw a nearly 4% decline, indicating challenges ahead [2] - Demand for electric vehicles may slow in the short term, but advancements in autonomous driving technology and renewable energy projects are expected to drive long-term growth [3] - The PFE policy is increasing barriers to entry in the US market, enhancing the competitive advantage of companies with established local production and supply chains [3] Operational Developments - LGES is expanding energy storage battery capacity, with a new facility in Michigan officially starting production in Q2 2025, aiming to increase annual ESS battery capacity to 17 GWh by the end of the year and over 30 GWh by the end of 2026 in North America [4] - The company plans to begin mass production of mid-range battery products at its Poland factory in the second half of the year, including high-nickel and lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries [5] - LGES is enhancing its technological competitiveness by launching LFP batteries suitable for electric vehicles and energy storage, with plans to introduce batteries that can be charged in under 10 minutes by 2028 [6]

Core Viewpoint - GS Yuasa Group has postponed its plan to build an EV battery factory by three years [1] Company Summary - The decision to delay the construction of the EV battery factory indicates potential shifts in the company's strategic planning and market conditions [1]

Group 1 - GS Yuasa Group has postponed its plan to build an EV battery factory by three years [1]

Core Viewpoint - Toyota and Daimler Trucks have reached a final agreement on the operational integration of their subsidiaries, Hino Motors and Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus, driven by the urgency to address decarbonization challenges in the face of stricter environmental regulations and rising competition from companies like BYD and Tesla [1][2]. Group 1 - The integration aims to respond to the crisis of decarbonization, with a strong sense of urgency due to increasing environmental regulations globally [1][2]. - Hino Motors has faced financial difficulties due to compliance issues, leading to the transfer of its Hamura plant to Toyota for approximately 150 billion yen [2]. - Daimler has set a target to reduce CO2 emissions from new large trucks and trailers by 45% by 2030 compared to 2019 levels, with a more stringent goal of 90% reduction by 2040 [2]. Group 2 - Despite a 17% growth in electric trucks and buses, Daimler's overall truck sales are projected to decrease by 12% in 2024 compared to 2023, indicating a challenging market environment [3]. - Toyota's support for Hino is limited, as the expected synergies between passenger and commercial vehicles have not materialized, leading to certification issues [4]. - Hino has recognized the need for partnerships to navigate the rapidly evolving market, especially in the context of geopolitical risks and competition from Chinese manufacturers [4][5]. Group 3 - The competitive landscape for commercial vehicles has intensified, with Chinese companies and Tesla emerging as significant players in the market [5]. - The replacement cycle for commercial vehicles is typically longer than for passenger vehicles, with large trucks often having a replacement cycle exceeding 15 years, adding pressure to meet environmental goals [6]. - The establishment of the new company has been delayed by about two years, raising concerns about the ability to concentrate investments and realize new technologies in a timely manner [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the challenges faced by Japanese automakers, particularly Nissan and Toyota, in establishing domestic EV battery production facilities, while Chinese companies continue to dominate the global EV battery market [1][2][3]. Group 1: Nissan and Toyota's Battery Plans - Nissan has announced the abandonment of its plan to build its first EV battery factory in Japan due to poor performance and the inability to make significant investments, despite having signed a site agreement just three months prior [1][2]. - Toyota has also decided to postpone the construction of its battery factory originally planned for spring 2025 in Fukuoka Prefecture, which was intended to produce batteries for next-generation EV models [2][3]. Group 2: Investment Challenges - The investment burden for EV batteries is substantial, with Nissan's planned investment amounting to approximately 153.3 billion yen, seeking a subsidy of up to 55.7 billion yen from the Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry [2]. - The failure of Nissan and Toyota to proceed with their battery factory plans poses significant implications for the growth strategies of Japanese automakers and the Japanese government's goal of establishing a domestic battery supply chain [2]. Group 3: Market Position and Competition - In 2024, CATL, a Chinese company, is projected to hold a 37.9% share of the global automotive battery market, with six out of the top ten companies being Chinese, while Panasonic ranks sixth among Japanese firms [3]. - Japanese companies are currently lagging behind Chinese firms in the battery materials sector, with Chinese companies holding dominant market shares in key components such as cathodes (89.4%) and anodes (93.5%) [4]. Group 4: Broader Industry Implications - The Japanese government has set a target to increase domestic battery production capacity to 150 GWh by 2030, but the recent setbacks from Nissan and Toyota make achieving this goal more challenging [2]. - The article draws parallels between the current situation in the Japanese automotive industry and past struggles in the Japanese electronics sector, suggesting that prioritizing short-term gains over long-term investments could lead to similar declines [6].