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从“减肥神药”覆盖到抗癌药!“美国版集采”来势汹汹 将削减36%支出
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 08:37
美国联邦医保计划(Medicare)当地时间周二表示,针对其15种最昂贵药物最新医保谈判达成的价格,相比于近期公布 的联邦医保年度支出,将在这些药物上节省大约36%,即在净报销处方成本方面约节省85亿美元。但是,美国制药行 业普遍反对医疗保险谈判。 这些调整后的价格预计将于2027年生效,其中包括丹麦制药巨头诺和诺德公司广受欢迎的GLP-1减肥药物——有 着"减肥神药"称号的司美格鲁肽(semaglutide)的每月价格大降至约274美元,较此前售价大幅下降超70%。该药以 Wegovy名义用于减重,以Ozempic名义用于糖尿病治疗。 根据发表在顶级期刊《管理式医疗与专科药房杂志》(Journal of Managed Care and Specialty Pharmacy)上的一项分析, 联邦医保计划(Medicare)近期为Ozempic支付的月度净价格为428美元。联邦医保计划(Medicare)称,在未计入隐秘回 扣以及折扣之前,该药的挂牌售价高达每月959美元。 以此类未折扣挂牌售价为对比计价基础,联邦医保计划表示,对这15种药物的最新降价带来的节省幅度将在38%至 85%之间。 "他们本来就打算 ...
A Closer Look at Amgen's Options Market Dynamics - Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN)
Benzinga· 2025-11-13 15:02
Core Insights - High-rolling investors are bullish on Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), indicating potential privileged information influencing their trading decisions [1] - The sentiment among major traders is predominantly bullish, with 75% of options trades being calls and only 0% bearish [2] - Significant price targets for Amgen have been identified, ranging from $290.0 to $400.0 over the last three months [3] Options Trading Activity - A total of 8 options trades were detected for Amgen, with a notable imbalance favoring calls over puts [1][2] - The total trade price for the identified options includes $422,130 for calls and $30,600 for a put [2] - Recent options trades include various strike prices, with significant trades such as a bullish call for $400.00 expiring on January 16, 2026, totaling $180.6K [8] Company Overview - Amgen is a leader in biotechnology, known for its therapeutics including Epogen, Neupogen, and Enbrel, among others [9] - The company has expanded its portfolio through acquisitions and recent drug launches, including treatments for cancer and rare diseases [9] - Amgen's current market position is supported by expert ratings, with an average target price of $314.67 from three analysts [11][12] Current Market Status - Amgen's stock is currently trading at $337.81, reflecting a 0.45% increase [14] - The stock's trading volume is reported at 163,220, with RSI readings suggesting it may be overbought [14] - Anticipated earnings release is scheduled in 82 days, which may impact future trading activity [14]
Jim Cramer on Amgen: “They Have A Lot of Good Medicines”
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-08 04:06
Core Viewpoint - Amgen Inc. needs to broaden its portfolio and improve its narrative around its products despite having a strong quarter [1] Company Overview - Amgen Inc. manufactures human therapeutics targeting cancer, cardiovascular, inflammatory, and bone disorders [1] - Key products include Enbrel, Prolia, Repatha, Otezla, and Kyprolis [1] Product Comparison - Amgen's MariTide requires only one injection per month, contrasting with competitors like Mounjaro and Ozempic, which require weekly injections [1] Market Reaction - Following Amgen's presentation, the market reacted negatively, resulting in a significant sell-off of the stock [1] - New information was presented regarding a Phase 1 trial, indicating lower starting doses of MariTide with different escalation schedules resulted in far less vomiting [1]
Amgen's Q3 Earnings & Sales Beat, 2025 Outlook Raised, Stock Up
ZACKS· 2025-11-05 17:41
Core Insights - Amgen reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $5.64 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.00 per share, with a year-over-year earnings increase of 1% driven by higher revenues despite increased operating costs and taxes [1] - Total revenues reached $9.6 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.9 billion, marking a 12% year-over-year increase [1] Revenue Breakdown - Total product revenues increased by 12% year-over-year to $9.17 billion, with volume growth of 14% offset by a 4% negative impact from pricing [2] - Other revenues amounted to $420 million, reflecting a 19.3% year-over-year increase [2] Key Drug Performance - Evenity sales reached $541 million, up 36% year-over-year, exceeding both the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $519 million and the model estimate of $463.9 million [3] - Repatha generated revenues of $794 million, a 40% year-over-year increase, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $720 million and the model estimate of $672.2 million [3] - Prolia revenues were $1.14 billion, up 9% year-over-year, significantly surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $911 million and the model estimate of $812.8 million [4] - Xgeva delivered revenues of $539 million, flat year-over-year, but exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $428 million and the model estimate of $408.6 million [5] - Blincyto sales were $392 million, a 20% increase year-over-year, but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $413 million [7] - Otezla sales were $585 million, up 4% year-over-year, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $582 million but missing the model estimate of $648.2 million [8] - Enbrel revenues declined by 30% year-over-year to $580 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $645 million but beating the model estimate of $530.4 million [9] - Tezspire recorded sales of $377 million, a 40% year-over-year increase, exceeding both the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $364 million and the model estimate of $270.6 million [10] Cost and Margin Analysis - Adjusted operating margin decreased by 2.5 percentage points to 47.1%, with adjusted operating expenses rising by 18% to $5.25 billion [14] - R&D expenses increased by 31% year-over-year to $1.89 billion, reflecting ongoing investment in the late-stage pipeline [14] Future Outlook - Amgen raised its 2025 revenue and earnings guidance, expecting total revenues between $35.8 billion and $36.6 billion, and adjusted earnings per share in the range of $20.60 to $21.40 [15] - The company anticipates continued growth from key drugs like Repatha, Evenity, Tezspire, and its biosimilar portfolio, although erosion from biosimilars of Prolia and Xgeva may offset some growth [21] Pipeline Developments - Amgen is advancing its obesity drug MariTide, which has shown strong efficacy in clinical studies, with six global phase III studies currently underway [16][17] - Enrollment has been completed in two phase III studies for MariTide, with ongoing studies for cardiovascular disease and heart failure [18]
Amgen (AMGN) Q3 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-11-05 02:01
Core Insights - Amgen reported revenue of $9.56 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a 12.4% increase year-over-year and a 6.87% surprise over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.94 billion [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $5.64, which is an increase from $5.58 in the same quarter last year, resulting in a 12.8% surprise over the consensus EPS estimate of $5.00 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Product sales for Neulasta in the ROW were $20 million, slightly above the estimated $19.55 million, but down 23.1% year-over-year [4] - Neulasta sales in the U.S. reached $72 million, exceeding the estimate of $60.9 million, but down 14.3% from the previous year [4] - XGEVA sales in the ROW were $182 million, surpassing the average estimate of $144.77 million, marking an 8.3% year-over-year increase [4] - Enbrel sales in the ROW were $6 million, below the estimated $7.36 million, reflecting a 25% decline year-over-year [4] - Other revenues amounted to $420 million, exceeding the average estimate of $373.34 million, with a year-over-year increase of 19.3% [4] - Total product sales were $9.14 billion, surpassing the estimated $8.55 billion, representing a 12.1% increase year-over-year [4] - BLINCYTO total sales were $392 million, slightly below the estimate of $412.7 million, but showing a 19.9% increase year-over-year [4] - Otezla total sales reached $585 million, slightly above the estimate of $582.08 million, with a year-over-year increase of 3.7% [4] - Total sales for Neulasta were $92 million, exceeding the estimate of $79.77 million, but down 16.4% year-over-year [4] - Enbrel total sales were $580 million, below the estimate of $645.48 million, reflecting a 29.7% decline year-over-year [4] - LUMAKRAS/LUMYKRAS total sales were $96 million, slightly below the estimate of $100.05 million, down 2% year-over-year [4] - TEZSPIRE total sales were $377 million, exceeding the estimate of $364.18 million, with a significant year-over-year increase of 40.2% [4] Stock Performance - Amgen's shares returned +0.7% over the past month, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.1% change, indicating a performance in line with the broader market [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the market in the near term [3]
Amgen's Q3 Earnings in the Cards: Here's What to Expect
ZACKS· 2025-10-29 16:31
Core Insights - Amgen (AMGN) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 4, with earnings expected to be $5.00 per share and sales at $8.94 billion, reflecting a 14.5% earnings surprise in the last quarter [1][9] Sales Performance - Strong volume growth from products like Evenity, Repatha, and Blincyto is anticipated to drive sales, with consensus estimates for these products at $519 million, $720 million, and $413 million respectively [2] - The company's own estimates for Evenity, Repatha, and Blincyto are slightly lower at $463.9 million, $672.2 million, and $395.5 million respectively [3] - Sales of RANKL antibodies, Prolia, and Xgeva are expected to decline significantly due to patent expirations and the launch of three biosimilars in the U.S. market [4] New Product Contributions - Newer drugs such as Imdelltra, Tavneos, and Tezspire are projected to contribute positively to top-line growth, with consensus estimates for Tezspire and Tavneos at $364 million and $119 million respectively [5] - The company's estimates for Tezspire and Tavneos are $270.6 million and $120.7 million respectively [5] Competitive Pressures - Kyprolis is expected to face continued competitive pressure, with consensus sales estimates at $374 million and the company's estimate at $372.6 million [6] - Enbrel sales are likely to decline due to price reductions, while Otezla is expected to benefit from volume growth, with consensus estimates for Otezla at $582 million and Enbrel at $645 million [6] Recent Acquisitions - Sales of rare disease drugs Tepezza, Krystexxa, and Uplizna, acquired from Horizon in October 2023, showed improvement in the second quarter and are expected to continue this trend [7] Biosimilar Market Impact - Lower revenues from oncology biosimilars and legacy products are anticipated, although newer biosimilars like Wezlana and Pavblu may contribute to sales growth [8][10] Financial Outlook - Higher R&D costs are likely to impact operating margins negatively in the third quarter [11] - Amgen's earnings surprise history shows a strong performance, with an average surprise of 11.75% over the last four quarters [12] Earnings Prediction - The current Earnings ESP for Amgen is -1.25%, indicating uncertainty regarding an earnings beat this quarter [14]
Pfizer's Q3 Non-Oncology Performance: Here's What to Expect
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 15:15
Core Insights - Pfizer is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 4, with a focus on oncology drug sales, which represent over 25% of total revenues [1] - The company has a strong presence in other therapeutic areas, including internal medicine, vaccines, inflammation & immunology, and rare diseases [2] Oncology Segment - Key oncology drugs include Ibrance, Xtandi, Lorbrena, Braftovi/Mektovi, and ADCs from the Seagen acquisition, such as Padcev [1] Primary Care Segment - Alliance revenues and direct sales from Eliquis are expected to rise due to increased global demand, though partially offset by lower pricing from the Inflation Reduction Act [3] - Sales of the Prevnar vaccine family are anticipated to increase, driven by strong adult uptake, despite lower pediatric sales [3] COVID-19 Related Products - Revenues from the COVID-19 vaccine Comirnaty and antiviral pill Paxlovid are likely to have increased, with most Paxlovid sales coming from commercial channels [4] Newer Products - Sales of the RSV vaccine Abrysvo are expected to be limited due to restricted recommendations for RSV vaccinations [5] - Strong demand for Nurtec ODT/Vydura is anticipated, although impacted by the IRA Medical Part D redesign and the 340B program [5] Specialty Care Segment - Sales of Vyndaqel are expected to remain strong due to continued demand growth, while sales of Xeljanz and Enbrel are likely to decline [6][7]
药明生物-亚洲医疗行业考察要点
2025-10-13 01:00
Summary of WuXi Biologics Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: WuXi Biologics - **Industry**: Pharmaceutical Services - **Market Position**: One of the top 5 largest biologics outsourcing service providers globally and the largest in China [43][62] Key Takeaways 1. Business Model and Efficiency - WuXi Biologics operates a strong royalty-based model, with approximately 90% of clients opting for cell-line royalties, ensuring recurring revenue linked to molecule success [3] - The company has achieved significant productivity improvements, with bispecific antibodies yielding 5-7 g/L and newer serine cell lines reaching 8-10 g/L, a five-fold increase compared to first-generation monoclonal antibodies [3][24][25] - These efficiency gains reduce scale requirements and enhance cost competitiveness, reinforcing WuXi's leadership in complex biologics manufacturing [3] 2. Global Expansion Strategy - WuXi is expanding its global footprint with two new U.S. sites near Princeton and Boston, targeting peak revenue of approximately $500 million within two years [4][21] - The cost of establishing U.S. facilities is about four times higher than in China, compounded by labor shortages and unpredictable tariff policies [4][22][23] - Singapore is identified as a strategic hub due to low tariffs and tax advantages, with over 100 Singaporeans currently being trained in China [4][27] 3. Geopolitical and Regulatory Landscape - Despite U.S.-China tensions, WuXi expects no direct impact from the Biosecure Act, as the company was not named in recent legislative drafts [5][35] - The company maintains a strong compliance and quality track record, having achieved FDA and EMA approvals without inspection [5] - WuXi is diversifying its capacity outside China to mitigate geopolitical risks while maintaining stable pricing with inflation-adjusted increases [5] 4. Financial Projections - Adjusted net profit projections for FY 2024A to FY 2027E are as follows: - 2024A: 4,784 million - 2025E: 5,078 million - 2026E: 6,101 million - 2027E: 7,148 million - Revenue projections for the same period are: - 2024A: 18,675.4 million - 2025E: 21,658.1 million - 2026E: 26,228.9 million - 2027E: 31,491.7 million [7] 5. Investment Recommendation - WuXi Biologics is rated as a "Buy" with a price target of HK$50.00, representing a potential upside of 19% from the current price of HK$42.18 [8] - The price target is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation methodology [44] 6. Risks and Opportunities - Risks include potential tariff increases and geopolitical tensions affecting operations [4][22] - Opportunities lie in the expected growth of core biologics segments, including monoclonal antibodies (mAbs), bispecifics, and emerging modalities like T-cell engagers (TCEs) and antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) [5][40][41] 7. Sustainability and Corporate Governance - Key sustainability issues include corporate governance, business ethics, information security, and climate change [18][19] - The company aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions intensity by 50% by 2030 and water consumption intensity by 18% by 2025 [19] 8. Market Dynamics - The U.S. market is facing challenges, but the FDA has relaxed certain requirements, which may benefit biosimilars in the long term [26] - Europe is expected to become increasingly important over the next decade due to population growth and rising demand [34] Conclusion WuXi Biologics is positioned for growth through its innovative business model, strategic global expansion, and strong compliance track record. However, it must navigate geopolitical risks and market dynamics to achieve its financial targets and maintain its leadership in the biologics outsourcing sector.
2 High-Yield Dividend Growth Stocks to Buy in October and Hold for a Decade or Longer
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-02 07:26
Core Insights - Investing in dividend growth stocks is highlighted as one of the easiest and most effective strategies on Wall Street [1] Company Analysis: Watsco - Watsco, the largest HVACR parts distributor in America, has increased its dividend payout by 69% over the past five years, currently offering a yield of 2.8% [4][5] - The company has grown by acquiring over 70 businesses and has no debt on its balance sheet as of June [5] - Watsco is leveraging online applications for contractors, with 70,000 mobile app users facilitating the quote process and ordering parts [6] - Despite a 3% revenue decline in the first half of 2025 due to temperate weather and lower homebuilding activity, Watsco's sales are primarily from repairs and replacements, which may mitigate investor concerns during economic slowdowns [7][8] Company Analysis: Amgen - Amgen, a long-established biotechnology company, has raised its dividend payout by 48% over the past five years, currently offering a yield of 3.4% [10] - The company reported a 34% year-over-year decline in sales of its arthritis treatment Enbrel, amounting to an annualized $2.4 billion, but has invested profits into new drug developments [10] - Amgen's overall sales grew by 9% year over year to $8.8 billion, with double-digit growth in 15 products [11] - The new treatment Imdelltra for small-cell lung cancer has shown promising results, potentially becoming standard care, which could drive future sales growth [12][13]
3 Dow Jones Dividend Stocks With Above-Average Yields You Can Buy Now and Hold for at Least a Decade
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-20 09:21
Group 1: Overview of High-Yielding Stocks - The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a prime source for reliable dividend-paying stocks, which have shown the ability to generate profits in various economic conditions [2] - The average dividend yield in the Dow is currently 1.6%, with UnitedHealth Group, Coca-Cola, and Amgen offering above-average yields [3] Group 2: UnitedHealth Group - UnitedHealth Group's stock price fell significantly after the company suspended its 2025 outlook and announced a CEO exit, yet it raised its dividend payout by 76.8% over the past five years, currently offering a 2.7% yield [5][6] - The company mispriced premiums for 2025 due to higher-than-expected healthcare costs and increased care usage by new members [6] - Despite recent challenges, the management team is expected to avoid similar mispricing errors in the future [7] Group 3: Coca-Cola - Coca-Cola's stock is near its all-time high, with a dividend increase of 24.4% over the past five years, currently yielding 2.9% [8][9] - The company has a strong competitive advantage with its popular beverage brands, allowing for consistent profits, and it announced a dividend raise for the 63rd consecutive year [9] - Although sugary soda sales are declining, Coca-Cola's BodyArmor brand is gaining market share, contributing to revenue growth [10] Group 4: Amgen - Amgen's shares are trading about 12% below their all-time high, with a dividend increase of 48.8% over the past five years, currently offering a 3.2% yield [11] - The company faces competition for its top revenue products, Enbrel and Prolia, but has launched new products that are driving double-digit sales increases [12] - Amgen's sales growth is expected to remain strong in the coming decade, despite the challenges posed by biosimilars [12]