Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs provided key insights on AstraZeneca at its 46th Global Healthcare Conference, highlighting the company's management's reaffirmation of limited impact from potential drug tariffs and a clearer path to achieving $80 billion in revenue by 2030, alongside a target operating profit margin of around 35% [1] Group 1: Financial Outlook - AstraZeneca aims for an operating profit margin of approximately 35% while acknowledging uncertainties such as the inclusion of Farxiga in China's volume-based procurement in late 2025 and potential price reductions in the U.S. due to the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) [2] - The company expects revenue growth and cost control to jointly drive profit margin improvements, with a projected impact of a few percentage points on total revenue from the redesign of the Medicare Part D program in 2025 [2] - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating on AstraZeneca with a 12-month price target of $97, indicating nearly a 33% upside from the stock's closing price on June 9 [1] Group 2: Drug Development and Pipeline - AstraZeneca is optimistic about the Phase 3 trial of baxdrostat, learning from previous Phase 2 trials, and expects peak sales of $5 billion, with half from monotherapy and half from combination therapy with dapagliflozin [3] - The company emphasizes the importance of initiating cardiovascular, renal, and metabolic disease (CVRM) drug trials early to gather sufficient data for reimbursement purposes, despite these trials not being required for regulatory approval [3] - AstraZeneca is confident in the prospects of Enhertu for first-line treatment in HER2-positive breast cancer, reporting about a 50% complete response rate in metastatic patients [4] Group 3: Regulatory and Market Considerations - AstraZeneca's management noted uncertainties regarding the implementation of Most Favored Nation clauses and the IRA's role in lowering drug prices, while supporting increased healthcare budgets in European countries to foster innovation [2] - The company is increasing its investment in biologics while continuing to invest in small molecule drugs, such as oral GLP-1 and PCSK9 inhibitors [2] - AstraZeneca does not foresee ESR1 mutation testing as a barrier to the promotion of camizestrant, citing several operational advantages and prior experience with BRCA testing [3]

AstraZeneca (AZN) stock has declined 6.4% in the past three months.Although AstraZeneca faces its share of challenges, a significant portion of this price decline is attributed to broader market uncertainties and a volatile macroeconomic environment.The sky-high tariffs imposed by the United States and retaliatory tariffs by China and some other countries hurt global stock markets. Though the massive tariffs imposed by the United States and China are now on a pause, it is only a temporary suspension, and no ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年05月21日 海外制药企业2025Q1业绩回顾 ——美国药品价格改革叠加不确定的宏观环境 行业研究 · 行业专题 医药生物 投资评级：优于大市（维持评级） 证券分析师：马千里 010-88005445 maqianli@guosen.com.cn S0980521070001 证券分析师：陈曦炳 0755-81982939 chenxibing@guosen.com.cn S0980521120001 证券分析师：彭思宇 0755-81982723 pengsiyu@guosen.com.cn S0980521060003 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 摘要 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 2 ◼ Pharma收入端增长整体有所放缓：2025Q1，礼来及诺和诺德在GLP-1类药物驱动下，收入端分别+45%/+18%，其中诺和诺德由于美 国compounded GLP-1药物影响，销售低于预期并下调全年收入指引；诺华、艾伯维、阿斯利康、赛诺菲分别依靠诺欣妥/可善挺、 Skyrizi/Rinvoq、Farxiga/Enhertu、Dupixent等核心品种 ...

Astrazeneca (AZN) reported $13.59 billion in revenue for the quarter ended March 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 7.2%. EPS of $1.24 for the same period compares to $1.03 a year ago.The reported revenue represents a surprise of -0.66% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13.68 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being $1.10, the EPS surprise was +12.73%.While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street ...

Core Earnings and Revenue Performance - AstraZeneca's first-quarter 2025 core earnings were $1.24 per American depositary share (ADS), exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.10, with core earnings of $2.49 per share reflecting a 21% year-over-year increase at constant exchange rates (CER) [1][2] - Total revenues reached $13.59 billion, a 7% increase on a reported basis and 10% at CER, although this figure fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13.68 billion [2] Product Sales and Therapeutic Areas - Product sales increased by 9% to $12.88 billion, driven by strong demand for marketed products [3] - Oncology product sales rose 13%, while Cardiovascular, Renal and Metabolism (CVRM) product sales increased by 12%, and Respiratory & Immunology (R&I) segment sales grew by 11%. However, sales in the Rare Disease segment remained flat, and Vaccines & Immune (V&I) Therapies saw a decline of 30% [4] Collaboration Revenues - Collaboration revenues totaled $74 million, a 64% increase attributed to a sales milestone for Farxiga in Japan, while alliance revenues rose 42% to $639 million, driven by growth from partnered medicines [5][6] Key Drug Performance - Tagrisso sales reached $1.68 billion, up 8%, surpassing estimates [7] - Lynparza sales increased by 5% to $726 million but missed estimates due to soft performance in emerging markets and U.S. headwinds [8][9] - Imfinzi generated $1.26 billion in sales, up 16%, but also missed estimates [9] - Calquence sales rose 8% to $762 million, beating estimates [10] - New drug Truqap recorded $132 million in revenues, down from the previous quarter due to Medicare Part D redesign impacts [11] Segment Performance - In the CVRM segment, Farxiga sales were $2.06 billion, up 16%, benefiting from label expansions [12] - Brilinta/Brilique sales decreased by 4% to $305 million, while new drug Wainua added $39 million in sales [13] - In the R&I segment, Symbicort sales declined by 3% to $723 million, and Pulmicort sales fell by 26% [14] - Fasenra recorded a 19% increase in sales to $418 million, exceeding estimates [15] - In the Rare Disease portfolio, Soliris sales fell 38% to $444 million, while Ultomiris revenues rose 25% to $1.05 billion [17] Cost and Guidance - Core selling, general and administrative expenses increased by 4% to $3.46 billion, while core research and development expenses rose 16% to $3.09 billion [19] - AstraZeneca maintained its 2025 guidance, expecting total revenues to grow by a high single-digit percentage at CER and core EPS to increase by a low double-digit percentage [20] Strategic Updates - AstraZeneca announced the discontinuation of the CAPItello-280 study for Truqap in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer [22] - The company received a positive recommendation for a label expansion involving Calquence for CLL treatment [23] - AstraZeneca plans to launch 20 new medicines by 2030, targeting $80 billion in total annual revenues by the end of the decade [29]

Core Insights - AstraZeneca reported Q1 2025 revenue of $13.588 billion, a 10% year-over-year increase, with product sales reaching $12.875 billion, up 9% [1] - The company’s R&D investment was $3.159 billion, reflecting a 15% increase [1] - The U.S. market contributed $5.646 billion, a 10% increase, while China contributed $1.805 billion, a 5% increase, making China the third-largest market for AstraZeneca [1] Financial Performance - Revenue by disease area: Oncology contributed $5.643 billion (up 13%), CVRM (Cardiovascular, Renal, and Metabolic diseases) contributed $3.322 billion (up 13%), R&I (Respiratory and Immunology) contributed $2.084 billion (up 13%), V&I (Vaccines and Immune Therapies) contributed $0.225 billion, and Rare Diseases contributed $2.042 billion [3] - Top-selling products: Farxiga (Dapagliflozin) generated $2.057 billion, Tagrisso (Osimertinib) generated $1.679 billion (up 8%), and ADC drug, Trastuzumab deruxtecan, generated $1.086 billion [3] Market Dynamics - The ADC market in China is highly competitive, with significant growth expected; the HER2 ADC market is projected to grow from $0.6 billion in 2022 to $8.4 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 39% [5] - Trastuzumab deruxtecan has rapidly expanded its indications since its approval in China in February 2023, benefiting from policy support for innovative drugs [4][5] Strategic Initiatives - AstraZeneca is focusing on innovation and local partnerships to navigate the challenges in the Chinese pharmaceutical market, including collaborations with local companies for clinical research [7][8] - The company is diversifying its pipeline to mitigate risks associated with single products, particularly in the ADC space [6][9] Future Outlook - AstraZeneca's ability to convert its clinical pipeline into sustainable revenue will be crucial for its growth in the coming years, especially in light of increasing competition and market pressures [9]

该意见中提到的进口税与其乳腺癌药物Enhertu有关。阿斯利康早先估计，由于涉嫌未缴纳另外两种抗 癌药物 Imfinzi 和 Imjudo 的进口税，该公司可能仅被罚款 450 万美元，这让分析师们感到安心。 尽管拥有强大的产品线，但阿斯利康在其最大的两个市场——美国和中国——正面临逆风：在中国的丑 闻、美国可能对医药产品征收关税，以及双方之间的关税。 业绩指引 阿斯利康重申了2025财年的总收入和核心每股收益指导。总收入预计将以较高的个位数百分比增长；核 心每股收益预计将以两位数的百分比增长。 这家英国制药商确认了其今年的业绩预期，并表示在制药业准备应对关税之际，公司致力于在美国投资 和发展。药品未被纳入特朗普政府最近对各种进口产品征收的关税范围。 智通财经APP获悉，阿斯利康(AZN.US)公布的2025年第一季度利润超出预期，并重申其全年业绩指 引。财报显示，阿斯利康一季度总营收135.9亿美元，不及市场预期；核心每股收益为 2.49 美元，同比 增长21%，超过分析师预期。 受肿瘤和生物制药业务两位数增长的推动，阿斯利康一季度总营收同比增长10%（以固定汇率计算）， 达到135.9亿美元。该公司第一季 ...

Over the last 30 days, there has been no revision in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter. This signifies the covering analysts' collective reconsideration of their initial forecasts over the course of this timeframe. Before a company reveals its earnings, it is vital to take into account any changes in earnings projections. These revisions play a pivotal role in predicting the possible reactions of investors toward the stock. Multiple empirical studies have consistently shown a strong association bet ...