大反攻！ 隔夜美股市场，三大指数全线走强，道指大涨超1%，标普500指数逼近历史新高。其中，存储芯片概念股全线 爆发，闪迪盘中一度暴涨近17%，西部数据一度大涨超10%。消息面上，高盛暴力上调2026年第一季度DRAM （动态随机存取存储器）价格涨幅预测，预计环比涨幅将高达90%—95%，远超此前市场及该行自身的预期。 今日早间，日韩股市开盘大涨，日经225指数大涨超2%，韩国KOSPI指数大涨超3%。与此同时，贵金属市场 亦全线反攻，截至北京时间08:00，现货黄金大涨2.7%，报4784.89美元/盎司；现货白银大涨5.04%，报83.12 美元/盎司。 有分析人士指出，从贵金属、加密货币中撤出的"热钱"正在寻找新的叙事点，而存储芯片在强劲的基本面支撑 下，可能会吸引这些资金流入。 高盛在最新发布的报告中指出，尽管现货市场出现波动，但DRAM的合约价格不仅未跌，反而迎来了更猛烈的 上涨预期。 高盛分析师Giuni Lee团队指出，2026年第一季度主要应用领域的DRAM定价预测均已大幅上调。特别是传统 DRAM的整体定价，预计将在2025年四季度环比上涨45%—50%的基础上，于2026年第一季度进一步实 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 大反攻！ 隔夜美股市场，三大指数全线走强，道指大涨超1%，标普500指数逼近历史新高。其中，存储芯片概念 股全线爆发，闪迪盘中一度暴涨近17%，西部数据一度大涨超10%。消息面上，高盛暴力上调2026年第 一季度DRAM（动态随机存取存储器）价格涨幅预测，预计环比涨幅将高达90%—95%，远超此前市场 及该行自身的预期。 今日早间，日韩股市开盘大涨，日经225指数大涨超2%，韩国KOSPI指数大涨超3%。与此同时，贵金 属市场亦全线反攻，截至北京时间08：00，现货黄金大涨2.7%，报4784.89美元/盎司；现货白银大涨 5.04%，报83.12美元/盎司。 芯片股大爆发 美东时间2月2日，美股市场全线反攻，三大指数低开高走，截至收盘，道指大涨1.05%，标普500指数 涨0.54%，纳指涨0.56%，其中标普500指数再度逼近历史收盘新高。 美股大型科技股涨跌不一，苹果大涨超4%，谷歌、亚马逊涨超1%；英伟达、特斯拉跌超2%，微软、 Meta跌超1%。 美股芯片股集体爆发，费城半导体指数涨1.7%，存储芯片板块领涨，闪迪暴涨超15% ...

TrendForce集邦咨询指出，由于2025年第四季PC整机出货优于预期，目前PC DRAM仍普遍缺货，即便 是确定取得原厂供给的tier-1 PC OEM业者，DRAM库存水平仍有下滑。在卖方市场格局抬升合约价商 谈行情的背景下，预计2026年第一季PC DRAM价格将季增100%以上，涨幅达历史新高。 智通财经APP获悉，周一，存储板块走强，闪迪(SNDK.US)涨超7%，希捷科技(STX.US)涨超5%，西部 数据(WDC.US)涨超4%，美光科技(MU.US)涨超2%。消息面上，根据TrendForce集邦咨询最新存储器产 业调查，2026年第一季AI与数据中心需求持续加剧全球存储器供需失衡，原厂议价能力有增无减， TrendForce集邦咨询据此全面上修第一季DRAM、NAND Flash各产品价格季成长幅度。预估整体 Conventional DRAM合约价将从一月初公布的季增55-60%，改为上涨90-95%，NAND Flash合约价则从 季增33-38%上调至55-60%，并且不排除仍有进一步上修空间。 ...

TrendForce集邦咨询指出，由于2025年第四季PC整机出货优于预期，目前PC DRAM仍普遍缺货，即便 是确定取得原厂供给的tier-1PC OEM业者，DRAM库存水平仍有下滑。在卖方市场格局抬升合约价商谈 行情的背景下，预计2026年第一季PC DRAM价格将季增100%以上，涨幅达历史新高。 周一，存储板块走强，闪迪(SNDK.US)涨超7%，希捷科技(STX.US)涨超5%，西部数据(WDC.US)涨超 4%，美光科技(MU.US)涨超2%。消息面上，根据TrendForce集邦咨询最新存储器产业调查，2026年第 一季AI与数据中心需求持续加剧全球存储器供需失衡，原厂议价能力有增无减，TrendForce集邦咨询据 此全面上修第一季DRAM、NAND Flash各产品价格季成长幅度。预估整体Conventional DRAM合约价将 从一月初公布的季增55-60%，改为上涨90-95%，NAND Flash合约价则从季增33-38%上调至55-60%，并 且不排除仍有进一步上修空间。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The demand for AI and data centers is intensifying, leading to a significant imbalance in the global memory supply and demand, resulting in increased pricing power for manufacturers [3][4]. Price Adjustments - The price forecast for Conventional DRAM contracts has been revised from a quarterly increase of 55-60% to 90-95%, while NAND Flash contract prices have been adjusted from 33-38% to 55-60% for Q1 2026 [3][4]. - Specific price increases for various DRAM types are as follows: - PC DRAM: Expected to increase by 105-110% [6]. - Server DRAM: Anticipated to rise by 88-93% [6]. - Mobile DRAM (LPDDR4X): Projected to increase by 88-93% [6]. - Total DRAM: Conventional DRAM expected to rise by 90-95% [6]. - Total NAND Flash: Expected to increase by 55-60% [6]. Market Insights - The PC DRAM market is experiencing a supply shortage, with prices expected to rise over 100% in Q1 2026, marking a historical high [8]. - The Server DRAM market is seeing significant price increases, with expectations of a 90% rise due to strong demand from North American and Chinese cloud service providers [8]. - The Mobile DRAM market is also facing a supply-demand gap, leading to anticipated price increases of around 90% for both LPDDR4X and LPDDR5X [9]. NAND Flash Market Dynamics - Despite high demand for NAND Flash, manufacturers are prioritizing DRAM production due to better profit prospects, which is constraining new NAND Flash capacity [9]. - Short-term capacity bottlenecks are expected to persist, limiting the ability to meet demand [9]. Enterprise SSD Demand - The demand for high-performance storage devices is surging, particularly from North American cloud service providers, leading to a forecasted price increase of 53-58% for Enterprise SSDs in Q1 2026, the highest quarterly increase on record [10].

Group 1: DRAM Market Insights - The first quarter of 2026 is expected to see a significant increase in PC DRAM prices due to tightened supply from manufacturers, despite a slowdown in overall demand for PC units [2] - Server DRAM demand is projected to grow substantially as cloud service providers (CSPs) increase their purchases, with a forecasted price increase of over 60% in the first quarter [3] - Mobile DRAM supply remains tight, leading to strong purchasing power from brands, with expectations of rising contract prices for LPDDR4X and LPDDR5X [3] - Graphics DRAM prices are expected to rise due to supply constraints, despite a conservative demand outlook influenced by NVIDIA's sales target adjustments [3] - Consumer DRAM customers are willing to pay higher prices for prioritized supply in the first quarter, as supply continues to lag behind demand [3] Group 2: NAND Flash Market Insights - The NAND Flash market is anticipated to grow significantly, driven by AI applications, with Enterprise SSD demand expected to surpass mobile applications for the first time by 2026 [4] - Client SSD demand is projected to decline in the first quarter due to reduced laptop shipments and capacity downgrades in lower-end models, yet contract prices are expected to increase by at least 40% [4] - The supply of NAND Flash products is tightening as manufacturers prioritize high-margin products, leading to increased prices for Enterprise SSDs [4] - eMMC/UFS demand is showing signs of weakness due to inventory adjustments, although Chromebook shipments are benefiting from government projects [5] - NAND Flash wafer supply is constrained as manufacturers focus on high-margin product lines, resulting in continued price increases despite weak demand in consumer markets [5]

受全球AI算力需求激增及存储芯片价格强劲反弹推动，亚洲主要股市周一集体上涨，日韩股市双双刷新历史高点，芯片巨头的强劲表现成为核心 驱动力。 今日，日韩股市高开高走。韩国市场表现尤为亮眼，韩国首尔综合指数高开1.8%，随后涨幅扩大至2.6%并创下纪录新高。权重股三星电子股价大 涨近5%创历史新高，SK海力士同步走强涨近3%，两大存储巨头的强势表现直接提振了市场情绪。 同时，受芯片和重工业股带动，日经225指数一度上涨2.2%报51442.83点，日本东证指数升至纪录新高。铠侠上涨8.4%，东京电子上涨4.6%，软银 集团上涨3.9%。三菱重工业上涨5.7%，川崎重工业上涨4.8%。 支撑这一轮行情的关键逻辑在于存储芯片价格的剧烈波动。据富国银行最新数据显示，DDR4现货价格周环比上涨约23%，而DDR5上涨1%。更引 人注目的是，第四季度DDR4平均价格环比上涨139%，12月PC DRAM合约价格上涨约8%，服务器DRAM上涨约11%。按美元/Gb计算，富国银行 预计第四季度合同价格环比上涨约65%，同比涨幅高达175%。 此外，台积电宣布2nm制程按计划量产，进一步提振了市场情绪。分析师普遍认为AI热潮将延 ...

Core Insights - Samsung Electronics announced a surprising performance for Q3, confirming a prosperous period for memory semiconductors, with SK Hynix expected to achieve a record 12 trillion KRW in Q3 [1] - SK Hynix maintains high profitability centered around high bandwidth memory (HBM) due to investments in AI infrastructure, with general memory prices rising further boosting its performance [1] - Securities firms have raised their earnings forecasts for SK Hynix ahead of its Q3 earnings announcement, with expectations of record quarterly operating profit [1] Group 1 - SK Hynix's operating profit for Q3 is estimated to reach between 10 to 11 trillion KRW, marking the highest quarterly profit in the company's history [1] - Kiwoom Securities predicts that the price increase for general DRAM and NAND will exceed initial estimates, particularly for PC DRAM, which is expected to rise by 20% to 30% compared to the previous quarter [2] - Samsung Electronics reported Q3 revenue of 86 trillion KRW and operating profit of 12.1 trillion KRW, representing year-on-year growth of 8.7% and 31.8%, respectively, exceeding market expectations by nearly 2 trillion KRW [2] Group 2 - Despite a decline in prices for the fifth-generation HBM (HBM3E) products starting in Q3, SK Hynix is expected to remain profitable due to the transition to the next generation HBM4 and the favorable market conditions from rising general DRAM prices [2] - SK Hynix holds approximately 60% of the global HBM market share as of Q2, with continued growth in HBM shipments for AI servers into Q3 [2] - Analysts predict that SK Hynix's HBM sales will exceed planned figures for Q3, indicating strong demand in the market [2]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes that a stable capital market allows investors to earn consistently, which in turn supports the real economy [1] - The capital market plays a crucial role in funding and nurturing emerging industries, exemplified by the active performance of humanoid robots and the semiconductor industry [1][2] - The long-term bull market in the US stock market is driven by technology, with companies like Intel, Apple, and Nvidia converting technological premiums into shareholder returns [1][2] Group 2 - A strong capital market must reflect the direction of economic transformation, with hard technology companies taking on significant roles [2] - The ongoing AI technology revolution is highlighted, with major tech companies investing heavily to stay competitive [2] Group 3 - A-shares showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly down by 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component, ChiNext, and Sci-Tech 50 indices rose by 0.67%, 1.58%, and 1.24% respectively [3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 23,711 billion, an increase of 443 billion from the previous day [3] Group 4 - The market is expected to consolidate or trend upwards, with a slightly higher probability of an upward trend [4] Group 5 - Small-cap indices like the CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 have been lagging, indicating a shift of funds towards mid and large-cap stocks [6] - The strong performance of the ChiNext index is attributed to key themes such as AI hardware, humanoid robots, and innovative drugs [6] Group 6 - CATL's A-share market value briefly surpassed Kweichow Moutai, marking a significant shift towards advanced manufacturing driven by technological innovation [7][8] - This shift signifies the replacement of traditional consumption models by advanced manufacturing as a new engine for value creation in China's economy [8] Group 7 - AI-related sectors such as IT equipment, internet, and communication devices are leading the market [9] - The AI hardware sector is experiencing a rotation, with some segments showing strong performance while others are in consolidation [9][10] Group 8 - The NAND Flash market is expected to see a price increase of 5%-10% in Q4, indicating a positive outlook for the semiconductor industry [11] - The copper sector is experiencing gains due to external factors, including supply disruptions from major mining companies [11] Group 9 - The domestic photolithography machine industry is entering a critical growth phase, with significant advancements in production capabilities [12] - The market is currently in a normal consolidation phase, with a focus on the performance of the ChiNext and Sci-Tech 50 indices [12]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes that a stable capital market allows investors to earn consistently, which in turn supports the real economy [1] - The capital market plays a crucial role in funding and nurturing emerging industries, with a focus on sectors like humanoid robots and semiconductors [1] - The long-term bull market in the U.S. stock market is driven by technology, showcasing a cycle of technological breakthroughs leading to market recognition and capital influx [1][2] Group 2 - A strong capital market must reflect the direction of economic transformation, with hard technology companies taking a central role [2] - The ongoing AI technology revolution is highlighted, with major tech companies investing heavily to stay competitive [2] - The A-share market shows a mixed performance among major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly down while others like the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index saw gains [3] Group 3 - There is a noticeable shift of funds from small-cap indices to mid and large-cap stocks, particularly in sectors like AI hardware and innovative pharmaceuticals [6] - The market capitalization of CATL briefly surpassed that of Kweichow Moutai, indicating a shift towards advanced manufacturing driven by technological innovation [7][8] - The IT equipment, internet, and communication device sectors are leading the AI-related industry gains, while AI hardware shows signs of rotation [9] Group 4 - The AI application sector, including areas like network gaming and humanoid robots, has shown strong performance, with ongoing speculation in various AI-related sub-sectors [10] - Longhua Storage Technology has completed its restructuring with a valuation exceeding 160 billion yuan, and NAND Flash prices are expected to rise [11] - The copper and tungsten sectors are experiencing gains, driven by external factors such as supply disruptions and favorable monetary policy [11] Group 5 - The photolithography equipment sector is experiencing normal fluctuations, with expectations of increased activity as domestic production accelerates [12] - The market is currently in a phase of consolidation, with a focus on the performance of the ChiNext and Sci-Tech 50 indices [12]