宝城期货分析指出，继上周五美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔会议发言后，昨日金价震荡调整。市场降 息预期或已反映在盘面，目前市场依旧是计价年内降息2次的概率较高。而市场风险偏好回升导致权益 市场持续强势，黄金避险需求下降，可持续关注纽约金3400美元多空博弈。 8月25日，美元指数上涨0.72%，创下近一个月最大单日涨幅，压制金价走势，comex黄金期货价格尾盘 持续回落，截至收盘，COMEX黄金期货跌0.23%报3410.7美元/盎司，截至亚市收盘，黄金ETF华夏 (518850)涨0.69%，近10个交易日有7个交易日获资金净申购，累计获资金布局1.9亿，黄金股 ETF(159562)涨4.43%。 数据显示，全球最大的黄金ETF SPDR Gold Trust持仓量为958.49吨，较前一个交易日增加1.72吨。 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the investment opportunities in Japan, particularly through the iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ), following a trade deal between the U.S. and Japan that reduces tariffs on Japanese auto imports from 27.5% to 15% and includes a $550 billion investment package from Japan [12]. Group 1: Investment Opportunities - The trade deal is expected to boost investor sentiment towards Japan, with EWJ showing a breakout above previous resistance levels [12]. - Japan's corporate governance improvements, strategic trade agreements, and undervalued equities present a favorable investment landscape [12]. - The weak yen and the Bank of Japan's reluctance to raise interest rates further enhance the attractiveness of Japanese equities [12]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Money flows in major tech stocks like Apple, Amazon, and NVIDIA are positive, while flows in Google and Tesla are negative, indicating mixed investor sentiment in the tech sector [5][7]. - The article highlights the importance of monitoring money flows in ETFs like SPY and QQQ for investment strategies [8]. Group 3: Political Landscape - Increased political instability in Japan is noted, with the Liberal Democratic Party losing its majority in the upper house and lower house elections, which could impact future economic policies [12]. Group 4: Earnings Reports - Upcoming earnings reports from major companies such as Alphabet, Tesla, and IBM are highlighted, which could influence market movements [12].

Report on Pre - market Tips 1. Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report focuses on the precious metals market, including gold and silver. It points out that the US economy remains robust, with better - than - expected consumer confidence and retail sales data. However, inflation data is mixed, which makes the Fed likely to remain cautious. Gold and silver prices are in a state of oscillation, and long - position holders of silver are advised to continue holding [1]. 3. Summary by Sections Market Review - COMEX gold futures rose 0.30% to $3355.5 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rose 0.32% to $38.425 per ounce. At night, the main contract of Shanghai gold rose 0.36% to 778.10 yuan per gram, and the main contract of Shanghai silver rose 0.33% to 9216 yuan per kilogram [1]. Important Information - As of July 18, the holdings of the world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, decreased by 4.87 tons to 943.63 tons, and the holdings of the world's largest silver ETF, iShares Silver Trust, decreased by 36.74 tons to 14658.21 tons. - The preliminary value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in the US in July was 61.8 (expected 61.5, previous value 60.7), and the preliminary value of the one - year inflation rate expectation in July was 4.4% (expected 5.0%, previous value 5.0%) [1]. Market Logic - The US retail sales month - on - month rate in June was 0.6%, the highest since March this year, higher than the market expectation of 0.1%. The preliminary value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in July was 61.8, slightly better than expected. The US economy remains robust. - The US core CPI in June increased by 0.2% month - on - month, slightly lower than the market estimate of 0.3%. The CPI in June only rose moderately, and both the core CPI and PPI were lower than expected. The market doubts the impact of tariffs on inflation, and the Fed may remain cautious [1]. Trading Strategy - The gold price is oscillating, with COMEX gold trading between $3250 - $3480 per ounce and the domestic Shanghai gold main contract trading between 750 - 800 yuan per gram. After reaching a high on July 14, COMEX silver has been in a correction for several days, and long - position holders are advised to continue holding [1].

Morning session notice | 研究员： | | --- | | 刘洋 | | 从业资格： | | F3063825 | | 交易咨询资格：Z0016580 | 联系方式：liuyang18036@greendh.com | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 【行情复盘】 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | COMEX 黄金期货涨 0.11%报 3346.5 美元/盎司，COMEX 白银期货涨 0.14%报 37.14 美 | | | | | 元/盎司。夜盘沪金主连涨 0.19%，报 777.00 元/克，沪银主连涨 0.16%，报 8931 | | | | | 元/千克。 | | | | | 【重要资讯】 | | | | | 1、截至北京时间 5 日 8:32，全球最大的黄金 ETF SPDR Gold Trust 持仓量为 947.66 | | | | | 吨，较前一个交易日维持不变。 | | | | | 2、美国总统称已签署 12 封贸易信函，计划周一发出。贝森特称与欧盟的贸易磋商 | | | | | 正在推进，未来两天或宣布重大消息。 | ...

Group 1 - The largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, has a holding of 947.66 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day [1] - Recent changes in holdings include an increase of 1.44 tons on June 16, 2025, and a total increase of 2.58 tons on June 13, 2025 [3] - The ETF holding data is updated around 5:30 AM Beijing time from Tuesday to Saturday, reflecting the previous day's holdings [4]

注:ETF持仓数据于北京时间周二至周六凌晨5点30分左右更新,数据为上 一日的持仓情况。 @ JIN10.COM 金十数据 | 一个交易工具 全球最大黄金ETF--SPDR Gold Trust持仓较上日增加4.01吨，当前持仓量为923.89吨。 2025-05-07 -0.29吨 -1.43吨 2025-05-06 2025-05-05 -4.87吨 -1.15吨 2025-05-02 +1.15吨 2025-05-01 -6 -3 0 3 6 -d 减仓 增仓 ...

注:ETF持仓数据于北京时间周二至周六凌晨5点30分左右更新,数据为上 一日的持仓情况。 @ JIN10.COM 金十数据 | 一个交易工具 全球最大的黄金ETF SPDR Gold Trust持仓量为936.51吨，较前一个交易日维持不变。 2025-04-29 +0.86吨 -2.29吨 2025-04-25 2025-04-24 -0.58吨 +1.44吨 2025-04-23 2025-04-22 -11.47吨 0 -9 3 -6 -3 增仓 减仓 -12 ...