Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report In the short - term, the market may enter an oscillation and volatility - reduction cycle. The overall market atmosphere is under certain suppression, but in the medium - to - long - term, the commodity bull market is expected to continue. Different industries have their own supply - demand situations and influencing factors, and corresponding investment strategies are proposed based on these [39][45]. Summary by Directory Macro Finance Stock Index - **Market Information**: The annualized basis ratios of IF, IC, IM, and IH for current month, next month, current quarter, and next quarter are presented. For example, IF's ratios are 4.70%/2.97%/5.48%/4.74% [2]. - **Strategy View**: Affected by factors such as the US - Iran conflict, US tariff policy, RMB exchange rate, and AI business, the stock index is expected to have a relatively strong performance [3]. Treasury Bond - **Market Information**: The closing prices and changes of TL, T, TF, and TS main contracts on Thursday are provided. There are also news about Sino - US economic and trade consultations and the stance of the Bank of Japan. The central bank conducted 320.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 79.5 billion yuan [4]. - **Strategy View**: Although inflation recovery has potential suppression on the bond market, and the endogenous power of economic recovery is not stable, the capital side is expected to remain loose. The bond market is expected to continue to oscillate [6]. Precious Metals - **Market Information**: The prices of Shanghai gold and silver, COMEX gold and silver have declined. The US 10 - year Treasury yield and the US dollar index are reported. The precious metal prices are in horizontal consolidation, with support from Trump's tariff plan and the US - Iran nuclear negotiation, and resistance from the Fed's officials' statements and the expectation of stable US short - term interest rates [7]. - **Strategy View**: The precious metal prices are expected to remain in high - level oscillation. It is recommended to wait and see, with the reference ranges of 11,300 - 12,000 yuan/gram for Shanghai gold and 22,000 - 23,000 yuan/kilogram for Shanghai silver [9]. Non - ferrous Metals Copper - **Market Information**: Affected by the US - Iran negotiation and other factors, copper prices are in oscillatory adjustment. LME inventory has increased, and domestic social and bonded area inventories have also changed. The spot discount in the East China region has expanded [11]. - **Strategy View**: The US tariff policy provides emotional support, but the refined copper supply is relatively excessive. Short - term copper prices are expected to be oscillatory, with reference ranges of 101,000 - 103,000 yuan/ton for Shanghai copper and 13,100 - 13,400 US dollars/ton for LME copper [12]. Aluminum - **Market Information**: Aluminum prices have adjusted. LME inventory has decreased, and domestic inventory has increased. The spot discount in the East China region has narrowed [13]. - **Strategy View**: The short - term price support is strong. The reference ranges are 23,400 - 23,900 yuan/ton for Shanghai aluminum and 3,100 - 3,170 US dollars/ton for LME aluminum [14]. Zinc - **Market Information**: Zinc prices have declined. The social inventory of zinc ingots in China has increased, and the downstream enterprise start - up rate is average [15][16]. - **Strategy View**: The zinc industry in China shows a weak trend. Zinc prices may follow the rise of copper and aluminum prices. The zinc ore TC has stopped falling and stabilized [16]. Lead - **Market Information**: Lead prices have increased. Both domestic and foreign inventories have risen rapidly, and the industrial situation is weak [17]. - **Strategy View**: The strategic stockpiling of battery enterprises may support the lead price in the short - term. It is necessary to observe the start - up of downstream battery enterprises after the Spring Festival [17]. Nickel - **Market Information**: Nickel prices have declined. The prices of nickel ore are stable, and the price of nickel iron has increased [18]. - **Strategy View**: The supply of nickel is shrinking, and nickel prices are expected to rise. It is recommended to go long on dips, with reference ranges of 120,000 - 160,000 yuan/ton for Shanghai nickel and 16,000 - 20,000 US dollars/ton for LME nickel [19]. Tin - **Market Information**: Tin prices are in oscillatory operation. The inventory has decreased, and the supply and demand are marginally loose [20]. - **Strategy View**: Tin prices are expected to oscillate widely in the short - term. It is recommended to wait and see, with reference ranges of 380,000 - 450,000 yuan/ton for domestic tin and 48,000 - 53,000 US dollars/ton for LME tin [21]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Information**: The price of lithium carbonate has increased. The production has increased, and the inventory has decreased [22]. - **Strategy View**: Affected by the export ban, the short - term spot shortage is expected to continue. It is necessary to be cautious about the increase of selling orders. The reference range for the 2605 contract is 164,000 - 180,000 yuan/ton [23]. Alumina - **Market Information**: The alumina index has declined. The spot price in Shandong has increased, and the overseas price is stable. The inventory has increased [24]. - **Strategy View**: The over - capacity situation in the alumina smelting end is difficult to change in the short - term. It is recommended to wait and see, with a reference range of 2,750 - 2,950 yuan/ton for the AO2605 contract [26]. Stainless Steel - **Market Information**: Stainless steel prices have increased. The raw material prices have changed, and the inventory has increased [27]. - **Strategy View**: The supply pressure will be relieved, and the price has a strong bottom support. It is recommended to be bullish, with a reference range of 14,000 - 14,500 yuan/ton [28]. Casting Aluminum Alloy - **Market Information**: The price of casting aluminum alloy has increased. The inventory has changed, and the trading volume has increased [29]. - **Strategy View**: The cost has support, and the demand is expected to improve. The short - term price is expected to oscillate strongly [30]. Black Building Materials Steel - **Market Information**: The prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil have declined. The inventory and trading volume have changed [32]. - **Strategy View**: The black series is in a bottom - game stage. It is expected to oscillate within a range with a weak center of gravity in the short - term. It is necessary to focus on the demand recovery and policy trends [33]. Iron Ore - **Market Information**: Iron ore prices have declined. Some steel enterprises in North China will implement emission reduction measures during important meetings [34]. - **Strategy View**: The overseas supply has recovered, and the demand is okay. The price is expected to oscillate weakly and stably. It is necessary to pay attention to domestic terminal demand and policy guidance [35]. Coking Coal and Coke - **Market Information**: The prices of coking coal and coke have declined. The spot prices have different changes, and the basis is positive [36]. - **Strategy View**: In the short - term, the upward catalysis of coking coal is weak. It may face a callback risk in March - May, but it may rise in the second half of 2026 [39]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Market Information**: Glass prices have declined, and the inventory has increased. Soda ash prices are stable, and the inventory has increased [40][42]. - **Strategy View**: Glass is expected to oscillate, with a reference range of 1,025 - 1,100 yuan/ton. Soda ash is expected to oscillate weakly and stably, with a reference range of 1,140 - 1,200 yuan/ton [41][43]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - **Market Information**: Manganese silicon prices have increased, and ferrosilicon prices have also risen slightly [44]. - **Strategy View**: The future market is mainly affected by the black market and cost factors. It is recommended to pay attention to manganese ore supply and "dual - carbon" policies [45][46]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **Market Information**: Industrial silicon prices have declined, and polysilicon prices have also decreased [48][50]. - **Strategy View**: Industrial silicon prices are expected to be weak. Polysilicon prices are expected to oscillate weakly. It is recommended to wait and see [49][51]. Energy and Chemicals Rubber - **Market Information**: Rubber prices are in oscillatory operation. The start - up rates of tire enterprises are low, and the inventory has increased [53][54]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to trade according to the short - term trend of the disk and set stop - losses. It is also recommended to go long on NR and short on RU2609 [56]. Crude Oil - **Market Information**: Crude oil prices have declined, and the inventory data of related products have changed [57]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to take profits on rallies and focus on medium - term layout [58]. Methanol - **Market Information**: Methanol prices have changed, and the MTO profit has increased [59]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to go long on dips in the medium - term [60]. Urea - **Market Information**: Urea prices have changed, and the basis is negative [61]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to short urea due to the expected negative fundamentals [62]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - **Market Information**: The prices and basis of pure benzene and styrene have changed. The supply and demand sides have different performances [63]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to take profits gradually as the non - integrated profit of styrene has been significantly repaired [64]. PVC - **Market Information**: PVC prices have declined. The supply is strong, and the demand is weak [66]. - **Strategy View**: The domestic supply - demand situation is poor, and the fundamentals are weak [67]. Ethylene Glycol - **Market Information**: Ethylene glycol prices have declined. The supply and demand sides have changed, and the inventory has increased [68]. - **Strategy View**: The supply - demand pattern needs to be improved by increasing production cuts. There is a risk of rebound [69]. PTA - **Market Information**: PTA prices have declined. The supply and demand sides have changed, and the inventory has increased [70]. - **Strategy View**: The inventory cycle is about to end. It is recommended to go long on dips in the medium - term [71]. p - Xylene - **Market Information**: p - Xylene prices have declined. The load and inventory have changed [72]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to go long on dips following crude oil in the medium - term [73]. Polyethylene (PE) - **Market Information**: PE prices have declined. The supply and demand sides are weak, and the inventory has changed [74]. - **Strategy View**: The PE valuation has room to decline, and the demand is in a seasonal off - season [75]. Polypropylene (PP) - **Market Information**: PP prices have declined. The supply and demand sides are weak, and the inventory pressure is high [76]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to go long on the PP5 - 9 spread on dips [78]. Agricultural Products Live Pigs - **Market Information**: Pig prices have different changes. The actual supply pressure has been reduced [80]. - **Strategy View**: The spot price is expected to be weak, but there may be support for the far - month contracts [81]. Eggs - **Market Information**: Egg prices are mainly stable. The supply is normal, and the market digestion speed is okay [82]. - **Strategy View**: The short - term spot price decline is limited. It is recommended to wait and see or trade short - term [83]. Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - **Market Information**: The export and production data of soybeans in the US and Brazil are provided. The domestic soybean inventory has changed [84]. - **Strategy View**: The protein meal price may be bottoming out due to the increase in import costs [86]. Oils and Fats - **Market Information**: The production, export, and inventory data of palm oil in Malaysia and Indonesia are provided. The domestic oil inventory has increased [87]. - **Strategy View**: The short - term soybean oil price is stronger. It is recommended to buy when the oil prices stop falling at low levels [88]. Sugar - **Market Information**: The production data of sugar in India, Brazil, and Thailand are provided. The domestic import data are also given [89][90]. - **Strategy View**: It is not advisable to be overly bearish on the international sugar market. The domestic sugar price is suppressed by high inventory. It is recommended to wait and see in the short - term [91]. Cotton - **Market Information**: The US cotton export data and the domestic cotton inventory data are provided [92]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to buy on dips if the downstream start - up rate after the Spring Festival is good [93].

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，2月27日，上期所原油期货夜盘收涨0.74%，报489.80元人民币/桶。沪金夜盘收跌0.25%， 沪银收跌2.93%。 ...

上期所原油 期货主力合约夜盘收涨0.74%，报489.80元人民币/桶。沪金夜盘收跌0.25%，沪银收跌 2.93%。 ...

贵金属跌幅居前，沪银跌3.50%；能源品全部下跌，原油跌2.47%；化工品多数下跌，甲醇跌1.84%；基 本金属多数下跌，氧化铝跌1.51%；黑色系全部下跌，焦煤跌1.41%；非金属建材全部下跌，PVC跌 1.19%；农副产品多数下跌，棉花跌1.10%；油脂油料多数下跌，菜粕跌0.69%。 ...

今日周四(2月26日)亚盘时段，白银期货目前交投于22467一线上方，今日开盘于22975元/千克，截至发 稿，白银期货暂报22563元/千克，上涨0.43%，最高触及23394元/千克，最低下探22324元/千克，目前来 看，白银期货盘内短线偏向震荡走势。 打开APP，查看更多高清行情>> 【要闻速递】 当地时间25日，俄总统新闻秘书佩斯科夫在当日公布的一份采访片段中，就俄乌领导人会晤前景作出回 应。 佩斯科夫没有否认，存在俄乌领导人实现会晤的可能性。但佩斯科夫同时指出，在举行任何严肃的高层 会晤前，必须在专家层面进行极其细致的准备工作。 在回应记者关于美国总统特使威特科夫所提出的，应在俄美乌三方领导人会晤前举行俄乌领导人会晤的 提问时，佩斯科夫评论称，只有为最终确定相关协议时举行俄美乌总统三方会晤才有意义。 沪银经过开盘上涨后，短期内有调整，但力度不是很大，所以暂时也没有上面布局的机会，周二强调在 21000之上可以参考变化跟上顺势上涨空间，但实际没有那么大的力度，所以周三就保持观望。沪银区 间关注22260-23280一线，大区间在21560-24490之间。 当被问及俄总统普京此前邀请泽连斯基访问莫斯 ...

锂矿概念股爆发，个股掀起涨停潮，此前津巴布韦矿业及矿产发展部发布紧急声明，宣布即刻起暂停所有原矿和锂精矿的出口。 2月26日，A股震荡下跌，三大股指早盘集体走低，创业板跌近1%，盐湖提锂、锂矿概念股爆发，半导体、光伏等板块调整。港股震荡回落，恒 科指跌近1%，科网股多数下跌。 债市方面，国债期货集体下跌。商品方面，国内商品期货多数上涨，碳酸锂继续大涨，现涨超5%。汇市方面，离岸人民币升破6.84关口，最高触 及6.8384。核心市场走势： | 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | | 4137.80 | -9.43 | -0.23% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | | 14424.91 | -50.96 | -0.35% | | 399006 | 创业板指 | | 3316.56 | -38.26 | -1.14% | | 000300 | 沪深300 | | 4718.69 | -17.20 | -0.36% | | 000016 | FJE20 | | 3036 ...

2026年02月26日 申万期货品种策略日报-铂、钯 研究局限性和风险提示 报告中依据和结论存在范围局限性，对未来预测存在不及预期，以及宏观环境和产业链影响因素存在不确 定性变化等风险。 分析师声明 | | | 申银万国期货研究所 | | | 陈梦赟（从业资格号：F03147376；交易咨询号：Z0022753） | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | sunxm@sywgqh.com.cn | | 021-50585921 | | | | | | pt2606 | pt2608 | pt2610 | pd2606 | pd2608 | pd2610 | | | 现价 | 586.00 | 579.70 | 576.50 | 457.95 | 454.75 | 455.00 | | 期 | 前收盘价 | 551.85 | 544.00 | 540.30 | 438.45 | 435.00 | 435.25 | | 货 | 涨跌 | 38.50 | 40.40 | 37.70 | 19.70 | 19.35 | 21.30 ...

责任编辑：赵思远 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 2026年2月26日，早盘开盘，国内期货主力合约涨跌不一。碳酸锂涨超11%，沪锡涨超5%，沪银涨超 2%，铝合金、液化石油气（LPG）、燃料油、沪铝涨超1%。跌幅方面，合成橡胶跌超2%，PX、PTA跌 超1%，聚氯乙烯（PVC）、乙二醇（EG）、烧碱跌近1%。 | 序号 | 合约名称 | 最新 | 现手 | 类机 | 卖价 | 法相关于 | 英语 | 英国 | 成交量 | 法联 | 持合量 | 日増仓 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 联赛季2605 M | 187000 | 4510 | 186000 | 187000 | 11.42% | 180 | 6 | | 4510 19160 | 377197 | 160 | | 2 | 护锅2603 M | 423950 | 63 | 423950 | 423980 | 5.76% | ਸ | 5 | 87109 23090 | | 177 ...

每经AI快讯，上期所原油期货2604合约夜盘收跌0.63%，报486.50元人民币/桶。沪金夜盘收涨0.65%， 沪银收涨4%。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 02 月 25 日 [Table_Title] 资产配置日报：再战前高 2 月 25 日，权益市场放量上涨。万得全 A上涨 1.05%，全天成交额 2.48 万亿元，较昨日（2 月 24 日）放量 2627 亿元。港股方面，恒生指数上涨 0.66%，恒生科技下跌 0.19%。南向资金净流出 40.57 亿港元，其中腾讯控 股和美团分别净流入 8.18 亿港元和 6.78 亿港元，而中远海能则净流出 3.58 亿港元。 指数面临前高的考验。万得全 A 放量上涨，触及 1 月 14 日和 1 月 26 日前高，且这两天的成交额分别为 4 万 亿元和 3.28 万亿元，意味着有较多的筹码在此时进场，随着行情回落遭遇亏损。今日早盘大涨后，这些筹码成功 扭亏，部分资金或选择兑现，形成午后指数回落的局面。往后看，若强势突破前高，则确认反弹趋势；若行情回 落，意味着市场短期内或仍将震荡。 资源品&PCB 及其上游，仍是主要线索。资源品方面，工业有色继续受益于涨价逻辑， Wind 稀土和铜产业指 数分别上涨 8.45%和 3.67%。同时，磷化工指数上涨 6 ...