Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reported that Xiaomi Group-W (01810) achieved a gross merchandise volume (GMV) of 35.5 billion RMB during the 618 shopping festival, representing a year-on-year growth of 35%, and 11% higher than the GMV during the 2024 Double Eleven event [1] - The GMV data aligns with Goldman Sachs' expectations, equating to 71% of the firm's forecast for Xiaomi's Q2 2025 revenue from smartphones and AIoT in China, which is projected to grow by 31% year-on-year [1] - The 618 and Double Eleven promotions are expected to account for 69% and 66% of the quarterly revenue in China for Q2 and Q4 2024, respectively [1] Group 2 - On the JD platform, Xiaomi ranked first in both sales and GMV among domestic smartphone brands, holding four of the top ten best-selling models during the 618 promotion [2] - Xiaomi's flagship series did not make the top ten this year due to increased competition from the discounted iPhone 14, but the Xiaomi 15 Ultra entered the top ten in the ultra-high-end segment [2] - The average discount level for Xiaomi products during the 618 period was approximately 19%, consistent with the previous year, and could reach up to 33% when considering national subsidies [2]

Group 1 - Apple's main manufacturing partner, Foxconn, exported 97% of iPhones from India to the US between March and May 2023, significantly higher than the average of 50% in 2024, indicating Apple's efforts to avoid high tariffs imposed by the US on China [1] - During the same period, Foxconn exported iPhones worth $3.2 billion from India, with nearly $1 billion in May alone, following a record $1.3 billion in March. In total, Foxconn exported $4.4 billion worth of iPhones to the US in the first five months of the year, surpassing the projected $3.7 billion for the entire year of 2024 [1] - Apple is accelerating production in India, including airlifting $2 billion worth of iPhone models to the US and lobbying to reduce customs clearance time at Chennai airport from 30 hours to 6 hours, which is a key hub for iPhone exports [1] Group 2 - Counterpoint Research forecasts that by 2025, iPhones manufactured in India will account for 25% to 30% of global iPhone shipments, up from 18% in 2024 [2] - Former US President Trump expressed dissatisfaction with Apple's manufacturing in India, demanding CEO Tim Cook to halt operations there and threatening tariffs on the company [2] - If Trump’s policies are enforced, the cost of "American-made" iPhones could increase significantly, with estimates suggesting a price rise of at least 25%, potentially reaching $3,500, nearly double the current price [2]

Group 1 - Apple's export strategy has shifted significantly, with 97% of iPhones exported from India going to the US, nearly double the previous year's figures [1] - In the first five months of this year, Foxconn exported iPhones worth $4.4 billion from India to the US, surpassing the total of $3.7 billion for the entire year of 2024 [1] - Counterpoint Research predicts that by 2025, iPhones manufactured in India will account for 25% to 30% of global iPhone shipments, up from 18% in 2024 [1] Group 2 - Trump's public criticism of Apple's overseas production strategy has influenced the company's decision to focus on US market exports from India [2] - Apple is taking measures to accelerate iPhone production in India to avoid potential tariffs, including chartering flights to transport $2 billion worth of iPhones to the US [3] - Tata Electronics, another Apple supplier in India, reported that 86% of its iPhone exports were directed to the US during March-April, a significant increase from 52% for the entire year of 2024 [3]

Core Insights - In Q1 2025, smartphone shipments in Europe (excluding Russia) declined by 2% year-on-year to 32.4 million units, primarily due to weak demand for entry-level devices [1][3][8] Group 1: Market Performance - Samsung maintained its position as the market leader with shipments of 12.2 million units, a slight increase from the previous year, driven by record sales of its Galaxy S series [1][5] - Apple ranked second with a 10% year-on-year increase in shipments to 8 million units, supported by strong terminal demand and initial channel stocking for the iPhone 16e [1][5] - Xiaomi's shipments decreased by 2% to 5.3 million units, yet it remained in the top three for the 20th consecutive quarter [1][3] - Motorola and Google ranked fourth and fifth with shipments of 1.7 million and 0.9 million units, respectively, with Google entering the top five for the first time [1][5] Group 2: Entry-Level Device Challenges - The demand for entry-level devices remained weak, with shipments of devices priced below €200 reaching their lowest level in over a decade, indicating a challenging demand environment [3][8] - Many manufacturers, particularly those relying on devices priced under €400, faced difficulties due to overestimated terminal demand and significant channel inventory buildup [3][8] Group 3: High-End Market Growth - The high-end smartphone segment saw a record 32% market share for devices priced above €800, largely driven by Apple and Samsung [5][8] - Apple's strong performance continued despite existing inventory of older models, while Samsung achieved its highest-ever quarterly high-end shipments, aided by aggressive promotional strategies [5][8] Group 4: Market Outlook - Canalys predicts a 3% decline in the European smartphone market for 2025, followed by a 1% growth in 2026, suggesting potential relief for manufacturers [8] - The focus on improving operational efficiency and profitability is emphasized as crucial for manufacturers to ensure long-term stability in a competitive market [8]

Core Viewpoint - JD.com has launched the "Heart-Pounding Shopping Season" on May 13, with the 618 shopping festival set to begin on May 31, offering significant discounts and subsidies on various 3C digital products [1] Group 1: Promotions and Discounts - During the shopping season, consumers can receive over 1000 yuan in daily subsidies, along with interest-free installments for six months on certain purchases [1] - The event features multiple promotional activities, including "Black Wind and High Summit" and "Super Flash Sale Day," aimed at providing substantial benefits to consumers [1] - Consumers can enjoy national subsidies combined with trade-in offers for 3C digital products, with discounts starting at 40% for new devices [1] Group 2: Subsidy Details - Consumers who qualify for national subsidies can receive 15% off on mobile phones, tablets, and smartwatches, with a maximum subsidy of 500 yuan per item, totaling up to 1500 yuan for three categories [3] - For computers, first-level energy-efficient products receive a 20% subsidy, while second-level products receive 15%, with a maximum subsidy of 2000 yuan [3] - Trade-in offers allow consumers to use up to six old electronic products across categories for additional subsidies [3] Group 3: Featured Products and Prices - iPhone 13 (128GB) is available for 2762 yuan after a subsidy of 487 yuan, while iPhone 14 (128GB) is priced at 2999 yuan after a 500 yuan subsidy [3] - The Huawei Pura 70 (12+512GB) is offered at 4699 yuan after a 500 yuan subsidy, and the Samsung S24 Ultra (12+256GB) is available for 5499 yuan after a 500 yuan subsidy [3] - Various other products, including laptops and tablets, also feature significant discounts, such as the Mechanical Revolution Jiao Long 16Pro at 8699 yuan after a 2000 yuan subsidy [5][7] Group 4: Additional Offers - Beyond the main categories, consumers can also receive subsidies on monitors, mice, printers, headphones, and gaming consoles, with notable discounts on products like the Sony PS5 and Bose SoundLink speakers [11][15] - The shopping season includes various stationery and book discounts, enhancing the overall shopping experience [17]

Core Viewpoint - The "Make in India" initiative is driving a 6% year-on-year growth in smartphone shipments in 2024, primarily fueled by the export growth of Apple and Samsung, which together account for approximately 94% of India's smartphone exports [1][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Samsung maintains its leading position in India's smartphone manufacturing with a 7% year-on-year growth in shipments, supported by a 13% increase in exports [4][7]. - Foxconn Hon Hai's shipments in India grew by 19% year-on-year, driven by the strong performance of iPhone 14, iPhone 15, and iPhone 13 models [4][7]. - Tata Electronics emerged as the fastest-growing smartphone manufacturer in India in 2024, with a remarkable 107% year-on-year growth, largely attributed to the iPhone 15 and iPhone 16 [4][7]. Group 2: Future Projections - The Indian smartphone manufacturing sector is expected to achieve double-digit growth in 2025, bolstered by government initiatives and the diversification of global supply chains [5][6]. - The local value addition in smartphone manufacturing is anticipated to increase continuously, making India an attractive manufacturing hub due to its large domestic market and low labor costs [5][6]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Vivo ranks second in the market with a 14% year-on-year growth, benefiting from the expansion of offline retail channels and a strengthened distribution network [7]. - OPPO faced challenges in 2024, with a 34% decline in shipments due to intense market competition and increased reliance on contract manufacturing [7]. - Dixon became the largest manufacturer in the overall mobile device market, driven by partnerships with Transsion and Motorola, achieving a 39% year-on-year growth in smartphone shipments [8].

根据 Counterpoint 的 《印度制造服务报告》， 2024 年"印度制造"智能手机出货量同比增长 6% ，主 要受到 Apple 和 Samsung 出口增长的推动。 Apple 和 Samsung 两大品牌合计占印度智能手机出口 量的约 94% 。 2024 年，Samsung 继续保持印度智能手机制造商的头部地位，其智能手机出货量取得 7 % 的 同比增长，这得益于其出口量同比增长 13 %。 Foxconn Hon Hai在印度的出货量同比增长 19% ，主要受 iPhone 14 、iPhone 15 和 iPhone 13 机 型出货量增长的带动。 Tata Electronics（原纬创）是 2024 年印度增长最快的智能手机制造商，同比增长 107% ，其中 iPhone 15 和 iPhone 16 机型贡献了主要出货量。 在整个手机市场（包括智能手机和功能机）中，Dixon 成为 2024 年印度最大的制造商。 受政府推动以及品牌加速供应链多元化的影响，预计 2025 年"印度制造"智能手机的出货量将 实现两位数增长。 数据来源：Counterpoint "印度制造"服务 分析师观 ...

根据 Counterpoint Research 发布的 《二手智能手机市场报告》 ，2024 年全球翻新智能手机的销量同 比增长了 5%。相比之下，新智能手机市场在经历了艰难的 2023 年后有所反弹，同比增长了 3%。 然而，在各地区连续两到三年实现增长之后，2024 年翻新智能手机市场已趋于成熟，甚至在某些地 区出现了停滞的情况。 2024 年 vs 2023 年全球翻新 智能手机品牌厂商销量占比 分析师观点 Counterpoint Research 高级研究分析师 Glen Cardoza 表示："苹果这次的增长主要由 iPhone 11 和 iPhone 12 系列贡献。尽管 iPhone 13 和 iPhone 14 系列已经上市一段时间，许多消费者仍选择更长 时间地持有这些设备，导致供应紧张。新款 iPhone 的供应短缺严重影响了全球二手手机市场的 ASP，使其在 2024 年同比下降 11%，从 2023 年的 $445 降至 $394。相比之下，虽然三星在全球市 场的整体份额下降，但由于 Galaxy S 旗舰系列需求增加，其 ASP 反而有所上升。"原样销售"智能 手机（即仅经过清洁和 ...

谁在领涨这轮中概股行情？ 10 月 8 日 A 股交易额再创新高，达到 3.48 万亿元。港股成交额 5037 亿港元，也创了新高。但两 个市场都是高开低走，其中 A 股主要指数、热门行业 ETF 以近涨停开盘，收盘时上证指数涨幅回 落至 4.59%。 富士康给英伟达建超级工厂。 富士康母公司鸿海高管在年度科技日称，公司正在墨西哥建造全球最大的 GB200 制造工厂， GB200 是英伟达最新的旗舰 AI 芯片，预计四季度量产交付。鸿海董事长刘扬伟称，市场对这些英 伟达芯片的需求达到疯狂程度。 香港恒生指数开盘涨 3%，收盘时跌 9.41%，一天跌掉国庆期间的涨幅（港股只在 10 月 1 日休 市），美团、港交所、中国平安是港股通里净卖出金额最高的三家公司。美股中概股 10 月 8 日开 盘大跌，KWEB 指数基金跌 10%，阿里、拼多多、京东均跌超 5%。 涨跌互现间，根据我们的统计，港股和美股 26 家市值百亿美元以上的中资民营公司，10 月 8 日收 盘市值均高于 9 月 24 日一揽子金融支持政策公布日的市值，富途证券以 91% 的市值涨幅在这批公 司里排第一，之后是涨 67% 的中芯国际和涨 49% ...