Yang Shi Wang

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外资金融机构连续上调中国经济增速预期:制造业展现强劲发展势头,“韧性”成核心关键词
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-07-26 03:48
Economic Growth Predictions - Several foreign financial institutions have raised their forecasts for China's economic growth following the release of Q2 economic data, with many making consecutive adjustments within six months [1] - Morgan Stanley increased its 2025 growth forecast by 0.3 percentage points, while other institutions like DBS, Nomura, and Goldman Sachs raised their forecasts by 0.3, 0.5, and 0.6 percentage points respectively [1] Industrial Performance - The strong performance of the industrial sector, including electricity, construction, and manufacturing, has been a key driver of economic activity, maintaining growth for 15 consecutive months [3] - Policies such as the appliance replacement program and consumer subsidies have effectively boosted retail sectors, particularly in home appliances, smartphones, and automobiles [3] International Trade - Demand for Chinese exports from economies outside the U.S. remains robust, contributing to a trade surplus in the first half of the year [5] - High net inflows of trade funds and strong export data have been noted by foreign financial institutions [3] Manufacturing Sector - China's manufacturing sector is highlighted as a key strength, supported by a complete industrial system that provides solid backing for the domestic market and serves global markets [10] - The acceleration of high-end, intelligent, and green development in manufacturing is a focal point for foreign research reports [10] Technological Advancements - China is significantly enhancing the added value of its manufacturing, focusing on high-tech and green products such as semiconductors, artificial intelligence, electric vehicles, lithium batteries, and robotics [10] - The country is making substantial progress in global technological advancement and introducing high-quality new products to the global market [10] Economic Resilience - Foreign financial institutions describe China's economy with the term "resilience," attributing this to continuous policy support, improving macroeconomic conditions, and various micro-level highlights [12] - The economy is characterized as "flexible," capable of adapting to various domestic and international economic situations while maintaining stable growth [15][16]
2025北京国际胸外科学术大会召开
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-07-26 03:48
7月26日,"2025北京国际胸外科学术大会暨第九届中意胸外科微创学术研讨会"在北京召开。大会以"赋能、致远"为主题,聚焦胸外科领域的最新技术与挑 战,搭建高水平的学术交流平台,共同擘画学科未来发展蓝图。 会议围绕肺癌、食管癌、纵隔肿瘤、胸壁疾病、肺移植等核心疾病,深入探讨微创手术技术革新、围术期综合治疗(特别是靶向治疗、免疫治疗的应用)、 肺移植关键技术与供体评估、快速康复理念、肺癌全程管理以及人工智能在预测术后并发症、辅助诊疗决策等领域的突破性应用。中外专家通过主题演讲、 名家对话等形式,分享了各自领域的最新研究成果和临床实践经验。 通常来讲,IA期首选微创手术根治切除,术后是不需要辅助治疗的,但为什么IA期仍旧有10-15%的患者会出现复发转移?大会上,首都医科大学宣武医院 胸外科主任张毅教授报告了针对术后病理确诊为IA期但合并高风险因素(如病理亚型实体性、微乳头型,气腔播散,脉管瘤栓等的非小细胞肺癌患者), 其团队进行的回顾性研究发现,对于这部分传统认为"术后无需治疗"的早期患者,若存在特定高风险因素,术后接受药物辅助治疗,能显著降低复发率并延 长患者生存期。这一发现为早期肺癌患者的个体化精准治疗提供 ...
今年基孔肯雅热疫情规模为何超以往?如何防范?专家解读
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-07-26 03:07
为什么今年佛山疫情规模比以往都大?如何防范基孔肯雅热疫情呢?本台记者独家专访了中国疾控中心病媒生物首席专家。 央视网消息:根据广东省佛山市各区最新的通报,截至7月24日,佛山市5个区已累计报告基孔肯雅热确诊病例超过4000例。很多人都对这 个念上去非常拗口的蚊媒传染病比较陌生,其实我国早在2008年就首次发现输入性病例,此后在2010年和2019年等都曾发生过输入病例引起的 本地传播疫情,但规模都非常小。 佛山今年疫情规模为何会超以往?正常吗? 很多网友表示,广东地区之前都是零散的个例,今年为何会突然出现大范围地快速传播? 专家介绍,有多重原因导致,首先是外部环境基孔肯雅热流行强度高,世界卫生组织专家本月22日就已发出警报,目前已有119个国家和 地区发现基孔肯雅病毒传播情况,提醒各国做好应对准备,避免疫情大规模暴发。 中国疾控中心病媒生物首席专家 气候变化与健康全球联盟主席 刘起勇:世界卫生组织警报是根据全球基孔肯雅热的暴发流行的总体形势 做出的,他们做了一个比较。10年前在印度洋的基孔肯雅热大暴发,它形成的规模和造成的损失总体来讲目前是跟它相似的,尽管现在还没有 达到当年的水平,当年(全球)是50万人感染 ...
0.2、0.3、0.5、0.6,连续调升!“出口亮眼+政策发力”外资对中国经济增速预期信心不减
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-07-26 02:36
安联投资亚太区高级经济学家汤继成表示,除美国以外的其他经济体对中国出口需求保持强劲,既支撑了中国的出口规模,也助力 上半年实现了贸易顺差。 政策的持续发力,也是吸引外资上调预期的关键因素。 大华银行集团环球经济与市场研究部研究主管全德健介绍,首先主要源于工业生产部门表现强劲,包含电力、建筑和制造业等该领 域已连续15个月保持增长,为整体经济活动提供支撑。在零售端,推动家电以旧换新计划和消费补贴政策,有效提振了家电、手机 等高科技设备和汽车等零售领域。 在国际贸易方面,外资金融机构认为,国内货物贸易资金净流入维持高位,出口数据表现亮眼。 央视网消息:中国二季度经济数据公布后,陆续有十多家外资金融机构或者国际投行上调了对中国经济增长的预测,其中不少 在半年内进行了连续调升。 摩根士丹利在其年中展望报告中,将2025年中国经济增速预期上调0.3个百分点,对2026—2027两年的经济增速预期也分别上调0.2 个百分点。大华银行上调0.3个百分点,野村上调0.5个百分点,高盛上调0.6个百分点。 摩根士丹利中国首席经济学家邢自强介绍,从2024年9月份以来,政策一以贯之,以支持消费内需、提振金融市场信心为重心。 20 ...
667.4亿元、5522亿元、1566.8亿元……力度加大!“数”看经济半年报感知民生温度
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-07-26 02:35
Group 1 - The overall fiscal operation in China for the first half of 2025 shows a stable trend, with total public budget revenue at 115,566 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%, but the decline rate has narrowed by 0.8 percentage points compared to the first quarter [1][19] - Major tax categories have shown steady growth, with domestic value-added tax, domestic consumption tax, and individual income tax increasing by 2.8%, 1.7%, and 8% respectively [3] - Total public budget expenditure reached 141,271 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.4%, with significant increases in spending on social security, education, science and technology, and environmental protection, all exceeding 5% [22] Group 2 - Central government has allocated 667.4 billion yuan for employment support, continuing to implement policies to reduce unemployment and enhance social insurance subsidies [6] - Basic pension benefits for retirees have been increased by 2%, and the minimum standard for urban and rural residents' basic pension has been raised by 20 yuan [8] - A total of 5,522 billion yuan has been allocated for medical security services, with per capita financial subsidies for basic public health services increasing to 99 yuan per year [11] Group 3 - The issuance of national bonds in the first half of 2025 reached 78,800 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 35.28%, the highest issuance scale for the same period in history [23][25] - The government has initiated a program to support the replacement of consumer goods, with 3,000 billion yuan allocated for this purpose, aimed at stimulating consumption and promoting industry transformation [28]
高温天气警惕热射病:如何早期发现并正确急救?这些认知误区要知晓!
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-07-26 02:35
央视网消息:眼下,全国大部分地区迎来持续的高温天气,时值三伏天的初伏,这段时间,各地的热射病病例也逐渐增多。 说到热射病,其实它是属于中暑中最严重的,致死率非常高。炎炎夏日,我们应该如何去识别热射病? 北京大学第三医院急诊科主任医师 葛洪霞:热射病分为两种类型,一种是叫经典型的热射病,它通常发于老年人、儿童或者是有一些基 础疾病,肥胖这种病人。因为有基础疾病的合并,所以他的病死率最高可以到70%,一般都在30%—70%以上。还有一种我们称之为劳力型热 射病,这种都是多发于在高温高湿的环境里边做体能训练,或者是一些室外作业。更多好发于年轻人,这种热射病死亡率大概在30%左右。 如果发现患者体温快速升高,达40℃以上,皮肤触摸发烫,可能出现干热无汗或大量出汗,同时身体表现出极度疲倦乏力,行动不稳。一 些患者会出现意识混乱、注意力不集中、烦躁不安等神经系统症状,甚至伴有恶心呕吐、腹痛,这时就要引起重视,可能是热射病。 立即降温!抓住热射病急救黄金30分钟 专家介绍,热射病的发病机制就是体温调节失衡,引发多器官损伤甚至死亡。一旦发现疑似热射病患者,必须立即降温,这样做可以大幅 降低死亡的风险。 专家介绍,一旦发现疑似 ...
博鳌亚洲论坛全球健康论坛关注“AI+医疗”应用与治理
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-07-26 02:21
Core Insights - The "AI + Healthcare" forum at the Boao Forum for Asia highlighted significant opportunities and challenges in integrating AI into the healthcare sector [1][3] - Experts emphasized the need for a flexible regulatory framework that adapts to rapid technological advancements while balancing risk and innovation [3][4] Group 1: Opportunities in AI Healthcare - AI has immense potential in personalized medicine and improving service accessibility, with capabilities to rapidly integrate vast amounts of information, such as in medical imaging analysis [3] - Clinical applications of large medical models are already aiding in treatment and decision-making, with future developments aiming to create digital twin life forms to optimize surgical planning [3] Group 2: Challenges in AI Healthcare - The need for a regulatory framework that evolves with technology was stressed, with discussions on responsibility allocation in cases of AI diagnostic errors [3] - Experts called for enhanced communication between traditional medical professionals and AI specialists to improve AI accuracy and mitigate risks [3] Group 3: Collaborative Efforts - There is a consensus on the necessity for technological innovation, flexible regulation, and international cooperation to ensure the positive development of "AI + Healthcare" for broader societal benefit [4]
共话妇幼健康未来——博鳌亚洲论坛全球健康论坛探讨妇幼健康发展路径
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-07-26 02:16
Core Viewpoint - The forum emphasizes the importance of maternal and child health as a cornerstone of universal health and a prerequisite for sustainable human development, highlighting international cooperation and innovative practices in this field [4][6]. Group 1: China's Initiatives - China has integrated maternal and child health into national strategy through various plans and laws, such as the "China Women's Development Outline" and the "Maternal and Infant Health Law," and has launched initiatives like the "Healthy China Mother Action" [4]. - Current statistics show that the average life expectancy for women in China is 80.88 years, with a maternal mortality rate of 14.3 per 100,000 and an infant mortality rate of 4‰, earning recognition from the WHO as one of the "top ten countries for maternal and child health performance" [4]. Group 2: International Experiences - New Zealand's former Prime Minister Jenny Shipley highlighted the provision of free services for pregnant women, allowing midwives to accompany them throughout the process and focusing on eliminating cultural barriers [4]. - Cambodia prioritizes maternal and child health in public health, providing free medical services and cash support to women in remote areas, along with a digital platform to track health information [4]. Group 3: Innovative Practices - China has established a service system centered on maternal and child health institutions, with over 3,000 centers for critical maternal and newborn care, and has promoted free HPV vaccinations and cervical cancer screenings [5]. - Beijing has developed a network of over 12,000 medical institutions to ensure resource balance, with more than 130 tertiary hospitals supporting healthcare standardization in suburban areas and offering free screenings for two cancers [5]. Group 4: Future Directions - Participants at the forum stressed the need for ongoing collaboration and the application of innovative technologies to address challenges such as demographic changes and climate change, aiming to advance global maternal and child health towards the 2030 sustainable development goals [6].
家族恩怨、民族情绪、军政权斗 多重逻辑缠绕泰柬冲突
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-07-26 02:16
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the escalation of military confrontation between Thailand and Cambodia, marking the most severe conflict in over a decade, with both sides accusing each other of initiating hostilities [1][2][3] - The conflict has resulted in significant casualties, with reports indicating over 20 Thai civilians killed, and both nations emphasizing their actions as self-defense [1][2] - The Thai government is currently focused on bilateral dialogue with Cambodia, rejecting third-party mediation despite expressions of willingness from other nations to assist [1][2][3] Group 2 - The historical context of the conflict is rooted in territorial disputes over an 800-kilometer border, dating back to colonial-era maps that have led to ongoing disagreements [4][5] - Recent political turmoil in Thailand, including the suspension of Prime Minister Pita Limjaroenrat and the fallout from the "recording scandal," has exacerbated tensions and complicated diplomatic relations [6][8][9] - The military capabilities of both nations are highlighted, with Thailand possessing a larger active military force, yet Cambodia's military has shown resilience and adaptability in the challenging terrain [11][12][13] Group 3 - The involvement of regional leaders, such as Malaysia's Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, indicates a potential for diplomatic intervention, although the effectiveness of ASEAN in mediating the conflict remains uncertain [14][15] - The articles suggest that personal relationships between political leaders, particularly between Thaksin Shinawatra and Hun Sen, play a significant role in the dynamics of the conflict [7][10][16] - The potential for a peaceful resolution is acknowledged, with both nations recognizing the detrimental effects of prolonged conflict on their development and regional stability [12][14][15]
现代化人民城市怎么建更宜居、更智慧?怎么促进协同发展?
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-07-25 23:31
Group 1: Smart City Development - The Central Urban Work Conference emphasizes the construction of efficient smart cities, focusing on innovative governance concepts and mechanisms to address public concerns effectively [1][2] - The Jianwai Street in Beijing has launched a digital twin platform that aids businesses in finding suitable office locations by providing information on surrounding industries and potential partners [2][4] - The street has implemented six smart governance applications to monitor various issues, enhancing response times and safety measures, including fire risk prevention and electrical overload alerts [4][5] Group 2: Livable City Initiatives - The Central Urban Work Conference highlights the importance of creating comfortable and convenient livable cities, with a focus on improving public services and developing service industries [5][6] - In Shunde, Guangdong, community improvements have attracted young entrepreneurs, leading to the establishment of trendy cafes and businesses that enhance local culture and economy [5][8] - The integration of modern amenities and the preservation of historical architecture in Shunde has created a vibrant environment that appeals to both residents and tourists [10] Group 3: Collaborative Urban Development - The construction of the Chengyu High-Speed Railway, particularly the Shuan'an Tunnel, is a key project aimed at enhancing connectivity within the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration [11][14] - Once completed, the high-speed railway will allow for a travel time of just 50 minutes between Chengdu and Chongqing, significantly improving daily commutes and regional economic integration [11][14] - The increased transportation efficiency is expected to foster collaboration among surrounding cities, promoting the development of industrial parks and local economies [14][16]