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AI费控,在降本名义下算经济账
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-14 23:22
Core Insights - The consensus across industries is that generative AI serves as a cost-reducing and efficiency-enhancing decision-making tool that requires computational power and technological iteration [2] - Companies are hesitant to invest in AI for back-end departments like finance and procurement due to the difficulty in quantifying results, despite the potential for cost reduction [2][4] - The implementation of AI in financial processes is lagging, primarily due to uncertainty about which data can be accessed by AI and internal resistance to change [4] Group 1: AI Implementation in Finance - Many enterprises are still using traditional manual processes for financial approvals, even within tech giants that have invested heavily in AI [3] - The CFO of Yunhai Yao expressed a strong need for AI in expense approval processes, highlighting the inefficiency of current manual methods [5] - After implementing AI approval products, Yunhai Yao reported significant time savings and a reduction in approval error rates, achieving a 100% automation rate in financial approvals [5][6] Group 2: Challenges and Opportunities - The willingness of CFOs to adopt new technologies is high, but quantifying the financial impact of AI investments remains challenging due to the lack of standardized pricing and the shift to results-based payment models [6][7] - A report from MIT indicated that 95% of global AI investments have not generated economic benefits, trapping companies in a cycle of high investment with zero returns [7] - The founder of Heisi Information Technology noted that high short-term expectations for AI may overshadow its long-term potential, emphasizing the importance of platform capabilities in future competition [7]
居民财富配置转型:解锁消费增长与产业创新路径
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-14 16:27
李振华、谢专/文 "十五五"规划建议指出:"居民消费率要明显提高,内需拉动经济增长主动力作用持续增强""科技创新和产业创新深度融合,创新驱动作用明显增强。培育 壮大新兴产业和未来产业,着力打造新兴支柱产业"。 提高居民消费和推动科技与产业创新发展,离不开资本市场的支持,资金供给侧则离不开家庭财富配置结构的转变。居民要想增加财产性收入,实现财富保 值增值,也需要增加风险金融资产的配置比例。 消费疲软:财产性收入增速走低的映射 居民消费增速下行与财产性收入增速走低有一定关系。2025年社会消费品零售总额6月至9月增速已经连续4个月下行,9月份仅增长3%,这说明消费仍承 压。 居民消费增速下行有多方面原因,其中一个重要原因是财产性收入受到冲击。2021年到2024年,城镇居民的财产性收入同比增速从10.2%下降至2.2%,今年 前三季度同比增速进一步降至1.7%。需要注意的是,统计涵义的财产性收入指房租、利息、股息和分红等收入,不包括股票、基金和房产价格涨跌带来的 财富变化。 居民财富净值的变化会对消费产生更显著的冲击。2022年至2024年8月底,股票市场总体低迷,沪深300指数下跌了33%;期间房价也呈下行趋势 ...
“新情感经济时代”已经降临?
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-14 14:58
李佩珊 "50后"许纪霖,在长达四十年的学术生涯中,始终穿行于两条路径之间:作为思想史学者,他自20世纪 80年代起在启蒙与儒家之间的思想对话中占据重要位置,深植于中国现代思想的谱系之中;作为他长期 研究对象——公共知识分子中的一员,他始终对社会现场保持某种热忱,从未放弃对时代的观察与回 应。近年来,他的目光越发投向一个没有进入主流学术现场,但实则至关重要的议题:年轻人到底在想 什么?他们真正需要的是什么? 在上一篇专访中,许纪霖以"懂我"与"陪伴"两个关键词,勾勒出这一代人的精神底色。他们主动告别宏 大叙事,更倾向在轻盈、流动、短效的情绪机制中安顿自身,"情绪"逐渐取代"情感"成为主导经 验,"轻资产关系""搭子文化""树洞式共情"构成了一种去深度、低承诺却高频运转的精神自保方式。 而在本篇访谈中,我们将进一步深入这些情绪如何被具象化:它们以何种方式凝聚为社群,又如何构成 某种意义上的"精神性"结构。 许纪霖观察到,这一代人正试图在情感层面建构出一个新的精神世界:他们告别了上一代人奉信的崇高 观念,却在数字化与社群化的语境中,重新搭建了属于自己的"抽象世界"。同好社群则成为一种新的精 神聚落,许纪霖称之为" ...
绿电直连算力中心
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-14 14:45
前往秦能科技大同超级能源综合体灵丘算电协同绿电园区(下称"大同园区")的光伏场站的路并不好找。从荣乌高速平型关高速公路口驶出后,需穿过长城 一号旅游公路,再拐过几条村道,才能抵达光伏场站与升压站。升压站是一个"电力加压站",主要作用是将风力发电、光伏等新能源发出的低电压电能,提 升至高压等级,以便通过输电线路高效、远距离输送。 秦能科技园区事业部总经理许俊向记者介绍,之所以选择这里,一方面是因为临近高速公路,运输方便;另一方面,从升压站到算力园区直线距离仅20公 里,电力传输通道短。同时,该区域具备充足的可用土地资源。 该园区绿电于2024年实现并网,周边配套300兆瓦风电、200兆瓦光伏以及50兆瓦/100兆瓦时储能电站,规划IT容量1000兆瓦——IT容量即园区满载时的最大 设计耗电功率。 许俊对经济观察报表示,十年前算力行业的逻辑是"算随地走、算随城走",地产属性较强;而如今算力产业发展需要能源迭代支撑,"算电协同"已成为必然 趋势。 双向奔赴 大规模建设的算力中心催生出海量用电需求。国际能源署数据显示,2024年全球数据中心耗电约415太瓦时,占全球用电量的1.5%,预计到2030年将增至 945太瓦 ...
彭博新能源财经:光伏行业需求增长放缓,2026年或成关键转折点
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-14 14:41
他表示,最上游的硅料环节自6月至今,价格已经上涨50%,但这一轮涨价基本只在"硅料—电池片"的 上游环节传导。 "上游企业希望通过原材料涨价带动整体价格提升,但下游开发商面临光伏组件需求平淡的现状,导致 价格传导不畅。"谭佑儒表示。 曾保持快速增长的光伏组件市场,如今正在面临放缓甚至下行压力。彭博新能源财经预计,未来十年中 国光伏新增装机量将呈现波动下行趋势,2025—2035年的年均复合增长率为-5%。 "对于靠大电网消纳的光伏项目,未来将面临更大的弃电压力;且随着电力市场化改革推进,光伏项目 的收益率也在下降。"谭佑儒称。 "在整体需求增速下降与产能出清的背景下,光伏产业链盈利修复有望在2026年后逐步兑现"。彭博新能 源财经光伏行业分析师谭佑儒在彭博新能源财经上海峰会前期的交流中表示。 他表示,当前光伏全产业链价格维持在较低水平,导致全行业产能出清速度相对缓慢,厂商间仍面临激 烈的价格竞争压力。价格修复不仅需要更长时间等待,还需后续进一步政策推动才能实现。 从今年年中开始,光伏行业全产业链价格从硅料到电池片的价格已出现止跌回稳迹象,但组件价格未能 实现持续上涨。 当前,光伏全产业链价格维持在较低位置。根 ...
东风日产入局插混市场 欲从自主品牌手中“夺肉”
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-14 14:24
Core Viewpoint - Dongfeng Nissan is officially entering the plug-in hybrid market with the launch of its first plug-in hybrid sedan, the N6, which is positioned to compete in a market dominated by domestic brands [2][3]. Group 1: Product Launch and Strategy - The N6 is set to be priced between 109,900 and 121,900 yuan, with aggressive pricing strategies aimed at capturing market share in the plug-in hybrid segment [2][3]. - Dongfeng Nissan plans to launch six new energy models by 2027, covering pure electric, plug-in hybrid, and range-extended powertrains as part of its "All in China" strategy [2][3]. - The N6 aims to boost Dongfeng Nissan's sales, which have been declining since 2018, particularly after a significant drop in 2022 [2]. Group 2: Market Positioning - The N6 fills a gap in Dongfeng Nissan's product lineup, creating a product hierarchy with the N6 targeting the mid-range plug-in hybrid market and the N7 focusing on high-end pure electric vehicles [3][4]. - The N6's specifications, including a 2815mm wheelbase and 4831mm length, position it as a standard mid-size sedan while its pricing aligns it with compact cars, creating a competitive edge [4]. Group 3: Technical Features - The N6 features a 21.1 kWh battery with a pure electric range of 180 kilometers, outperforming competitors in the same category [4]. - The vehicle boasts a low fuel consumption of 2.79L per 100km in electric mode and a combined range exceeding 1300 kilometers [4]. - The N6 incorporates an industry-first "anti-stall three-level intelligent control algorithm," ensuring stable power output across a wide temperature range [4]. Group 4: Market Challenges - The plug-in hybrid market in China is experiencing a slowdown, with a cumulative sales growth of only 17.8% in 2025, significantly lower than the 42.9% growth for pure electric vehicles [5]. - Dongfeng Nissan faces a challenging environment as it attempts to capture market share from established domestic brands in a slowing plug-in hybrid market [5].
国产超节点扎堆发布背后
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-14 14:10
Core Insights - The AI computing power market is increasingly focused on "SuperNode" technology, with multiple companies showcasing their solutions at various conferences throughout 2023 [2][3] - The emergence of SuperNodes is driven by the need to overcome bottlenecks in training large AI models, particularly the "communication wall" that arises during parallel computing [4][9] - Domestic companies are adopting SuperNode technology as a practical solution to enhance overall computing power, compensating for limitations in single-chip performance [10][12] Group 1: SuperNode Technology - SuperNode refers to a high-density computing solution that integrates multiple AI chips within a single cabinet, allowing them to function as a unified system [6][7] - The design of SuperNodes involves two main approaches: Scale-Up, which increases resources within a single cabinet, and Scale-Out, which connects multiple cabinets [5][8] - The numbers associated with SuperNodes (e.g., "384", "640") indicate the number of AI training chips integrated within a single system, serving as a key metric for performance and density [7][8] Group 2: Industry Competition - Companies like Huawei and Inspur are positioning their SuperNode products as superior to NVIDIA's offerings, with Huawei claiming its Atlas 950 will outperform NVIDIA's NVL144 in multiple performance metrics [10][11] - The competitive landscape is marked by aggressive parameter comparisons, with domestic firms striving to achieve higher integration density within their SuperNode solutions [12][14] - The engineering challenges of integrating numerous high-power chips into a single cabinet necessitate advanced cooling and power supply technologies [12][14] Group 3: Market Demand and Challenges - The primary demand for AI computing power is expected to come from large internet companies and state-led cloud services, which have the infrastructure to support high-end computing needs [19][20] - Despite the strong demand, there are concerns about the sustainability of investments in AI computing infrastructure, particularly regarding the potential for overbuilding [20][22] - The software ecosystem remains a significant challenge for domestic manufacturers, as effective software solutions are crucial for the successful deployment of high-density computing systems [18][22]
小米之“惑”
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-14 14:03
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi is facing a significant trust crisis due to misleading marketing practices and legal disputes, which could harm its brand reputation and consumer trust in the long run [1][4][7]. Group 1: Marketing and Brand Image - Recent allegations suggest that Xiaomi's "giant energy-saving" air conditioner label misleads consumers, as it does not reflect actual performance metrics [1]. - Xiaomi's dual brand identity as both a cost-effective internet retail brand and a high-end product service brand creates confusion in its market positioning [5][10]. - The company's marketing strategies, including the use of "hunger marketing," have drawn criticism for potentially misleading consumers and creating a negative perception [23][24]. Group 2: Legal and Regulatory Challenges - Xiaomi has faced legal challenges, including a lawsuit from a car owner regarding misleading advertising, which has been interpreted as an attempt to complicate consumer rights [1]. - Reports indicate that Xiaomi has been targeted by regulatory scrutiny for its marketing practices, with potential new regulations on false advertising being discussed [14]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Market Sentiment - According to a report from Goldman Sachs, Xiaomi has become a consensus short target among hedge funds, with its stock price dropping nearly 30% since June due to rising chip costs and declining profit margins [3]. - The company has seen a significant increase in consumer complaints, particularly in its home appliance sector, indicating growing dissatisfaction with product quality [26]. Group 4: Product Development and Innovation - Xiaomi's strategy of maintaining low profit margins on hardware has been a double-edged sword, as it struggles to compete in high-end markets where quality and innovation are paramount [9][12]. - The company has made strides in chip development, with its self-developed 3nm chip "Xuanjie O1" entering mass production, but it still relies heavily on external suppliers for critical components [25]. Group 5: Industry Position and Competitive Landscape - Xiaomi's approach of aggressive pricing and market entry has raised concerns about its impact on industry standards and the long-term viability of competitors [31][32]. - The company is caught in a struggle between being perceived as a low-cost provider and a premium brand, which complicates its competitive strategy in various sectors, including smartphones and electric vehicles [12][30].
“举一反三”的理想汽车正重建品牌信任
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-14 13:56
理想汽车同时对此事件相关四人进行问责,方式与 MEGA 一致。两个不同体系、不同部件、不同车型的质量事件被同步披露,反映出此次排查覆盖范围之 广、处置节奏之快,在造车新势力中并不多见。 理想汽车选择主动公开内部问责结果,其意义不止在于"处理了谁",而在于向用户与行业释放一个信号:质量问题不会靠时间淡化,也不会被内部流程消化 掉,而是必须进入系统性的整顿与复盘。 此举也与行业里个别企业在重大安全事故后选择沉默、等待舆论散去的做法形成鲜明对比。 经观感知 11 月 14 日下午,理想汽车内部连续发布两则处理公告,针对 2024 款 MEGA 冷却液渗漏批量事故与 2025 款 L 系列下摆臂衬套异响问题,给出调查结果与 责任认定。 这是近阶段理想汽车最系统的一次质量回溯,从研发验证、材料技术到动力电池、智能底盘,多个核心链条被纳入排查范围,处理尺度也明显提升。 在 MEGA 冷却液渗漏问题中,理想汽车明确将责任指向三个层面:材料验证不足、电池试验验证不充分、质量与服务环节应对不当。 据媒体报道,共有 18 名相关人员被问责,直接责任人解除合同,管理层取消年终奖与晋升资格。这一轮问责力度罕见,并非停留于单点整改,而 ...
银行加速出清信用卡不良资产 转让折扣不足一成
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-14 13:22
Core Viewpoint - The recent announcements by Bank of Communications regarding the transfer of non-performing loans indicate a significant acceleration in risk clearance within the banking sector, particularly focusing on credit card debts [1][2]. Summary by Sections Non-Performing Loan Transfers - Bank of Communications has announced the transfer of multiple non-performing loans, including credit card overdrafts totaling approximately 17.9 billion yuan and 607 million yuan, alongside personal consumption and business loans from its Sichuan and Hebei branches, amounting to around 38 million yuan and 15.07 million yuan respectively [1][2]. - The bank's strategy reflects a broader trend among various banks, including China Construction Bank and Minsheng Bank, to actively offload non-performing assets, although market valuations for such assets remain under pressure [1][2]. Market Dynamics and Valuation - The market for non-performing credit card assets is currently characterized by low valuation and limited buyer interest, as evidenced by Ping An Bank's recent transfer of a 1.033 billion yuan asset package that sold for only 93 million yuan, representing a discount of less than 10% [1][7]. - The overall trend indicates that while banks are eager to clear these assets, the secondary market's willingness to absorb them at reasonable valuations is lacking [1][7]. Characteristics of Non-Performing Assets - The non-performing loans being transferred by Bank of Communications include a significant number of overdue accounts, with average overdue days exceeding 2000 days and borrowers averaging around 41 years old [2][3]. - Other banks, such as Minsheng Bank, are also focusing on large-scale transfers of non-performing credit card debts, with their sixth project involving 148,351 loans totaling 5.142 billion yuan, all classified as loss category with no collateral [3][4]. Regulatory Environment and Market Efficiency - Recent regulatory changes have facilitated the inclusion of non-performing asset disposal into regular banking operations, enhancing efficiency and asset quality stability [8][9]. - The role of the Credit Asset Registration and Transfer Center has been pivotal in accelerating the turnover of non-performing assets, with banks increasingly opting for rapid clearance at significant discounts to optimize their balance sheets [9]. Risk Trends in Retail Loans - The overall non-performing loan ratio for various retail loan types, including credit cards, is on the rise, indicating an emerging risk landscape within the retail banking sector [9].