Workflow
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang
icon
Search documents
俄乌冲突两个谜之预判:战争升级、俄罗斯经济崩溃
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-21 03:38
7月14日,美国总统特朗普宣布,希望俄乌在50天内达成和平协议结束冲突。之后,有一些中文媒体 (自媒体)在分析特朗普为什么给了50天期限时认为,这是特朗普特意给普京预留的时间,因为50天, 正好是俄罗斯发起夏季攻势的时间。 无独有偶,特朗普宣布50天期限的同时,美、欧也正式启动"交接班",援助乌克兰的任务从美国身上转 移到欧盟身上。转换身份、冲上第一线的欧盟国家,尤其是德国踌躇满志,对外展示出大干一场的架 势。从这个角度分析,欧盟大力援助下的乌克兰,也要加大攻势。 以上两个因素叠加,俄乌冲突已经隐隐显现出升级的苗头。 西方经济学家、西方媒体做出这种预判的理论基础,是对制裁的迷之自信。 在GDP方面:2025年一季度,俄罗斯国内生产总值(GDP)同比增长1.4%,较2024年全年4.3%的增速 有所放缓,回落到过去7个季度的最低水平。预计2025年俄罗斯GDP增长2%,略低于此前预测。 在通货膨胀率方面:2025年一季度,俄罗斯通胀率为8.9%,低于上一季度的13.4%,仍高于俄罗斯央行 设立的4%的目标水平。预计2025年俄罗斯居民消费价格指数(CPI)为7.5%。 但是到目前为止,至少笔者的感觉,这场冲突的 ...
中国7月LPR将公布
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-21 00:25
近日,上交所与深交所分别宣布,将于7月21日集中发布多只专精特新主题指数。其中,上交所联合中 证指数有限公司推出上证科创板专精特新指数、上证专精特新指数及中证专精特新100指数;深交所推 出深证专精特新指数和创业板专精特新指数。 4、61.07亿元市值限售股今日解禁 7月21日,共有13家公司限售股解禁,合计解禁量为6.08亿股,按最新收盘价计算,合计解禁市值为 61.07亿元。 从解禁量来看,5家公司解禁股数超千万股。美丽生态(000010)、希荻微、北方铜业(000737)解禁 量居前,解禁股数分别为1.9亿股、1.63亿股、1.32亿股。从解禁市值来看,5家公司解禁股数超亿元。 希荻微、北方铜业、茂硕电源(002660)解禁市值居前,解禁市值分别为22.64亿元、14.3亿元、7.62亿 元。从解禁股数占总股本比例来看,4家公司解禁比例超10%。希荻微、茂硕电源、美丽生态解禁比例 居前,解禁比例分别为39.65%、23.08%、16.53%。 今日看点 7月21日重点关注的财经要闻与资本市场大事: 1、中国7月LPR将公布 7月21日,本月一年期和五年期以上贷款市场报价利率(LPR)将公布。 2、国新办 ...
即时零售战火烧向餐饮之外
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-20 16:08
Core Insights - The article highlights the ongoing competition among major platforms like Meituan, JD.com, and Alibaba in the instant retail market, which has expanded beyond food delivery to include a wide range of consumer goods [4][5][6] - Retailers like Hong Zhen are experiencing a surge in orders due to aggressive promotional strategies from these platforms, particularly during weekends [3][4] - Regulatory scrutiny is increasing, with the State Administration for Market Regulation urging platforms to adhere to laws and promote fair competition, which may impact the current promotional strategies [4][6] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The competition has shifted from primarily focusing on food delivery to encompassing a broader range of products, including daily necessities and electronics [6][8] - Instant retail platforms are seeing significant growth in non-food orders, with Meituan reporting over 200 million non-food orders recently [6][7] - The overall order volume is increasing, indicating a growing consumer appetite for instant retail services beyond traditional categories [4][5] Group 2: Business Strategies - Retailers are adapting to the changing landscape by expanding their product offerings and optimizing their operations to handle increased order volumes [3][11] - Hong Zhen's store has become a key account for multiple platforms, allowing for better visibility and order fulfillment [3][13] - Meituan aims to expand its flash delivery service significantly, with plans to have over 100,000 flash warehouses by 2027, indicating a strategic focus on instant retail [8][9] Group 3: Regulatory Environment - The recent regulatory discussions emphasize the need for platforms to comply with e-commerce laws and promote a healthy competitive environment [4][6] - The impact of regulatory measures is already being felt, with reports of a decrease in order volumes for retailers like Hong Zhen following the announcement of new guidelines [4][6] - The competition among platforms is expected to become more restrained as they adjust to regulatory expectations [4][6]
“权益包”成订单催化剂 北汽越野迈出“生态卖车”第一步
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-20 15:45
Core Viewpoint - The company is shifting its strategy from merely selling vehicles to creating an "ecological" experience around off-road vehicles, exemplified by the launch of the BJ40 fuel model with various exclusive user benefits [2][3][4]. Group 1: Product Launch and Strategy - The BJ40 fuel model was launched with a pricing strategy of "120,000 yuan for 500,000 yuan performance," alongside lifetime free maintenance and cross-regional transport services [2][3]. - The new strategy focuses on the off-road segment, concentrating resources on the BJ series, particularly the BJ40 and BJ60, to compete with models like Tank 300 and Jietu Traveler [2][4]. Group 2: User Engagement and Ecosystem - The company is implementing a user ecosystem that includes services like "East Car West Transport," off-road training, route planning, and equipment supply, enhancing user engagement and loyalty [3][4]. - The approach aims to transform off-road vehicle ownership into a lifestyle experience, moving beyond traditional vehicle sales to a comprehensive service and community model [4]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The strategy reflects a trend in the industry where brands like NIO and Tank are also focusing on lifestyle and community aspects to attract users, indicating a shift in consumer expectations [3][4]. - The BJ40 fuel model aims to establish a technical barrier with features like full-time four-wheel drive and military-grade safety configurations, emphasizing the importance of competitive pricing and technology [3][4].
前大众集团CEO掘金中国 一个小县城揽到了德国电动车生意
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-20 14:03
Core Viewpoint - A newly established small and micro enterprise in a county in China has formed a partnership with Sun Venture, a company founded by former Volkswagen CEO Herbert Diess, to develop lightweight electric vehicles, highlighting the integration of Chinese supply chain advantages with European market resources [2][3][4] Company Overview - Sun Venture focuses on electrification transformation and is dedicated to high-performance power systems and lightweight vehicle development [4][8] - Huari Dynamic Technology, the Chinese partner, specializes in core technologies for electric vehicles, particularly in battery management systems and electric control platforms [8][9] Partnership Details - The collaboration aims to develop the Fast Track mountain electric scooter, targeting the European market, where such products are currently in high demand [3][9] - The partnership was facilitated by the Chinese government, emphasizing the importance of local industrial strengths and the supportive business environment in Jinyun County [2][5] Market Context - The electric scooter market in Europe is experiencing explosive growth, driven by increasing demand for green transportation solutions [6][10] - The partnership is seen as a strategic move to leverage China's mature electric vehicle supply chain to accelerate the electrification of transportation in Europe [5][6] Future Plans - The joint venture plans to establish a research and development center in China to innovate more vehicle models and enhance local talent development in the electric vehicle sector [9] - The goal is to become a leading solution provider in the global lightweight electric vehicle market, reflecting a shift from traditional manufacturing to collaborative innovation [9][10]
【ESG真心话】中石油任文军:如何重新定义技术型央企的ESG价值公式
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-20 11:37
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the growing importance of ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) factors in corporate competitiveness, indicating that non-financial aspects are becoming decisive in business success [2][3] - The development of ESG frameworks in China is still in its early stages, with government departments planning to introduce sustainable disclosure guidelines by 2027 and a unified disclosure system by 2030 [2][3] - The article is part of a series focused on the genuine issues surrounding ESG, highlighting the need for ongoing discussions and insights from relevant stakeholders [2] Group 2 - Ren Wenjun, the Executive Director of China National Petroleum Corporation's (CNPC) Eastern Geophysical Exploration Company, is exploring how to transform ESG into a financial driver through technological innovation [4][5] - The company has developed "green exploration" equipment and a new industrial chain layout, which has not only reduced operational costs but also secured contracts with international energy firms like Shell and BP [4][5] - ESG is viewed as both a cost item and a revenue-generating opportunity for technology-driven state-owned enterprises, particularly in the context of global competition [5] Group 3 - In the short term, ESG serves as a risk management tool, with innovations like the EV56 controllable seismic source improving project efficiency and reducing energy consumption [6] - Long-term, ESG is seen as a "pass" for financing and market access, with a commitment to maintaining over 4% of R&D investment to tackle deep exploration technologies [6][18] - The company has achieved significant safety records, such as 38 million safe man-hours over 20 years in Oman, which has helped in renewing contracts with major international oil companies [6] Group 4 - Eastern Geophysical Exploration faces unique ESG pressures, including the challenge of deep resource exploration and the need for advanced seismic technology to ensure energy security and low-carbon development [8][9] - The company also deals with ecological challenges in diverse fieldwork environments and the high carbon emissions associated with traditional exploration equipment [8][9] - Talent shortages in emerging industries and the need for cross-disciplinary teams for new business areas like geothermal exploration and carbon capture are significant hurdles [9][10] Group 5 - The company must overcome high R&D costs and supply chain management difficulties, as suppliers need to upgrade their equipment to meet ESG standards, which increases procurement costs [12][13] - Variability in ESG standards across different countries complicates management for overseas projects, while rising expectations from investors and communities necessitate continuous improvement in ESG performance [14][15] - The company plans to enhance its ESG reporting by localizing narratives around safety and carbon reduction, aiming to attract more financing [15] Group 6 - Key practices for enabling ESG through technological innovation include the use of high-precision green exploration equipment and the establishment of a cloud platform for data processing and interpretation [16][17] - The company is diversifying its business into clean resource exploration and carbon storage, with expectations of over 50% growth in new energy market contracts by 2024 [17][20] - The long-term strategy includes building a new industrial cluster and enhancing the weight of ESG indicators in corporate assessments, with a focus on digital transformation in exploration [18][19] Group 7 - The company aims to collaborate with Huawei to develop a smart ecosystem for exploration, leveraging regional policy advantages to reduce costs [20] - The approach taken by Eastern Geophysical Exploration seeks to turn ESG pressures into a driving force for technological advancement, aiming to break market barriers through R&D investments [20][21]
熙菱信息筹划实控人变更 近两年陷入“增收不增利”怪圈
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-20 11:12
Core Viewpoint - Xinjiang Xiling Information Technology Co., Ltd. is undergoing a potential change in control, which may lead to a shift in its major shareholders and actual controllers [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Xinjiang Xiling Information is a significant private big data intelligent application service enterprise in Xinjiang, recognized as one of the "Top 50 Big Data Companies in China" and a national-level specialized and innovative "little giant" enterprise [1] - The company has a strong technical capability and regional brand recognition, focusing on digital transformation services for local government and enterprise clients [1] Group 2: Business Partnerships - The company has established stable collaborations with partners like Huawei across various domestic and international fields, contributing to the development of competitive digital industry solutions [2] - It has achieved certifications and partnerships with Huawei, including becoming a "certified distributor" and a partner in the Kunpeng ecological innovation center [2] Group 3: Business Performance - The company has over 30 business scenarios and more than 6,900 solutions, serving clients across over 30 provinces and regions in China, as well as Southeast Asia [3] - In the first half of 2024, government clients accounted for 73.72% of the company's revenue, indicating a high dependency on government projects [3] - For the first quarter of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 43.48 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50.99%, but a net loss of 15.02 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.48% year-on-year [3] - The company has been facing a "revenue growth without profit" situation since 2024, with a revenue of 163 million yuan in 2024, a 2.34% increase, but a net loss of 60.55 million yuan, worsening from a loss of 40.15 million yuan in the previous year [3] Group 4: Management and Governance - The actual controller, He Kaiwen, has been the chairman since 2011, overseeing strategic management and capital operations, and led the company's first share buyback in 2024 [4] - The other actual controller, Yue Yamei, has served as a director and general manager since 2011 but received a warning from the Xinjiang Securities Regulatory Bureau in April 2025 for information disclosure violations [4]
上海生物医药战略入主康华生物,康华生物开启高质量发展新篇章
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-20 10:34
Core Viewpoint - The control change of Kanghua Biotech has been revealed, with Shanghai Wankexin Biotechnology Partnership taking over from founder Wang Zhentao, marking a new strategic phase for the leading domestic innovative vaccine company [1][2] Group 1: Share Transfer Details - Kanghua Biotech announced the transfer of approximately 28.46 million shares, accounting for 21.9% of the total share capital after excluding repurchased shares, to Shanghai Wankexin for a consideration of 1.851 billion yuan [1] - After the transfer, Wang Zhentao will delegate voting rights for 10.5 million shares (8.08% of total shares) to Wankexin, resulting in Wankexin holding approximately 29.99% of voting rights [1] Group 2: Strategic Intent of the Acquisition - The acquisition by Wankexin reflects the strategic intent of Shanghai state-owned assets in the biopharmaceutical sector, emphasizing the importance of innovative vaccine assets [2] - The Shanghai Biopharmaceutical M&A Fund, which has significant backing from various state and private investors, aims to enhance Shanghai's position in the global biopharmaceutical industry [2] Group 3: Company Performance and Market Position - Kanghua Biotech has shown steady growth, achieving a revenue of 1.432 billion yuan and a net profit of 457 million yuan in 2024, supported by its innovative rabies vaccine [3][4] - The company has successfully transitioned from a technology breakthrough to capitalized operations since its listing on the Growth Enterprise Market in 2020, marking a significant milestone in its development [4][5] Group 4: Industry Context and Future Prospects - The Chinese vaccine industry is undergoing a transformation, shifting from scale expansion to innovation-driven growth, which presents both challenges and opportunities [4] - The integration and acquisition trends in the pharmaceutical industry are intensifying, with a focus on pipeline layout, technology platform integration, and global operational capabilities [4][5] - The collaboration between Kanghua Biotech and Wankexin is expected to unlock the company's research potential and market value, facilitating its transition from a vaccine powerhouse to a vaccine leader on the global stage [5]
外资企业“链”上中国供应商
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-20 09:08
Group 1 - The importance of supply chain responsiveness in the beauty industry is highlighted, with L'Oréal emphasizing that even small products like lipsticks can have significant impacts [1] - L'Oréal has localized its supply chain in China, connecting with over 1,600 local suppliers, which has allowed Chinese innovations to reach a global audience [1] - The collaboration with Chinese company Chuangyuan Cosmetics since 2014 has led to the successful application of innovative formulas in various international brands, expanding their market reach [1] Group 2 - L'Oréal aims to drive innovation among small and medium enterprises in the supply chain through its "Big Bang Beauty Tech Co-Creation Program," which has attracted over 2,000 local innovative companies [2] - Walmart is promoting its global e-commerce platform to encourage more Chinese sellers to join, offering tailored support for larger sellers [2] - Walmart's global e-commerce has been actively recruiting third-party sellers, including Chinese suppliers, since 2021, establishing offices in 11 cities in China to facilitate this process [3]
供应链动荡之下 日本“玻璃大王”希望与国内企业携手“走出去”
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-20 08:48
7月16日至20日,第三届中国国际供应链促进博览会在北京召开。本届链博会也吸引了众多国内外厂商和机构参展,其中确认参展的651家中外企业和机构来 自75个国家、地区和国际组织,境外参展商占比达35%。 日本"玻璃大王"AGC(中文名"艾杰旭",原名"旭硝子")已是第三次参加链博会。AGC会长岛村琢哉向经济观察报表示:"我们以前被称为'玻璃大王', 但 实际上我们有很多新技术。我们希望通过链博会这一平台,让更多中国企业了解我们,找到新的合作伙伴,共同开拓市场。" 岛村琢哉也表示,此前日本企业在中国的发展模式是通过中国工厂生产产品,再将产品出口到第三国,但现在中国也拥有了强大的开发、生产和技术能力。 因此,他希望双方能够加强合作,发挥各自比较优势,共同向全球供货。 氟是负电性最强的元素,自1990年代初以来,因其在高电位下具有良好的电化学稳定性,被广泛应用于锂电池生产之中。比如,目前最广泛应用在锂电池电 解液中的成分是六氟磷酸锂,电解水制氢设备中的质子交换膜最常用的材料是全氟磺酸。 "氟元素很有意思,加入氟后,药品会变得非常稳定。我们现在(化学品)以氟为中心,今后也会继续在氟上努力。"岛村琢哉表示。 盼加强供应链 ...