Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing
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吴晓求:A股牛市真的已经来了,不用担忧昙花一现
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 07:36
Core Viewpoint - The A-share bull market has already begun, with expectations of reaching 4000 points in the future, despite recent short-term fluctuations [3] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The current market growth is supported by profound internal motivations, including multi-dimensional reforms in the asset side, demand side, and institutional level [3] - Historical trends of short bull and long bear markets have changed due to a fundamental shift in market structure and the reduction of speculative attributes [3] Group 2: Asset Side Reform - Reforms on the asset side and adjustments in the structure of listed companies have injected long-term growth vitality into the market, with the number of technology companies among the top 50 listed firms increasing from 18 to 24, now accounting for nearly half of the market capitalization [4] Group 3: Demand Side Reform - Improvements in liquidity, driven by the central bank's focus on the capital market and the introduction of structural monetary policy tools, have built a solid foundation of confidence in the market [4] - Long-term funds such as social security funds, pension funds, and commercial insurance funds have been entering the market in an orderly manner, significantly enhancing market liquidity [4] Group 4: Institutional Reform - Reforms in regulations aim to transition the market from a traditional financing-led model to a wealth management-oriented investment market, which has played a crucial role in boosting market confidence and setting reasonable expectations [4]
股民亏钱抵扣个税,赚钱交20%的所得税?吴晓求:保持政策的稳定性很重要
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 07:36
凤凰网财经讯9月23-24日,由凤凰卫视、凤凰网主办的"凤凰湾区财经论坛2025"在广州举行,本届论坛以"新格局·新路径"为主题,汇聚全球政商学界精英, 共同洞察变局脉络、探寻发展新机。 中国人民大学国家金融研究院院长、国家一级教授吴晓求 中国人民大学国家金融研究院院长、国家一级教授吴晓求出席本次论坛。就近期市场讨论"股民投资亏损可抵扣个人所得税,盈利则缴纳20%资本利得税"的 相关话题,他表示:"千万不要瞎提这些主意,这会严重损害资本市场发展的基石。提政策一定要慎重、要理性、要有逻辑,千万不能这么提"。 吴晓求表示,"目前市场采取的政策比较合适,财政政策的空间有限。我不希望这个市场的涨跌过度受所得税和印花税的影响,印花税保持现在这样的水平 非常好。至于其他的制度,我也不认为现在是合适的推出时机,希望这个市场的外部环境相对稳定"。 他强调,资本市场的良性发展需要可预期、稳定的外部环境,频繁的政策变动反而会扰乱市场信心和运行节奏。 中国政法大学商学院院长刘纪鹏也持相近观点。他认为,当前首要任务是提振股市活力。他指出,中国长期以来未开征资本利得税,根本原因在于市场长期 处于牛短熊长的状态,投资者盈利面较窄。 刘纪 ...
吴晓求:适当延长交易时间可以讨论
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 07:36
凤凰网财经讯9月23-24日,由凤凰卫视、凤凰网主办的"凤凰湾区财经论坛2025"在广州举行,本届论坛以"新格局·新路径"为主题,汇聚全球政商学界精英, 共同洞察变局脉络、探寻发展新机。 中国政法大学商学院院长刘纪鹏(左),中国人民大学国家金融研究院院长、国家一级教授吴晓求(右) 吴晓求表示:"我们原来是4个小时的交易时间,如果延长到下午4点也不是不可以。下午3点收市有一点早,延长交易时间可以满足投资者的交易需求,与香 港交易时间一致"。 吴晓求提到,对于白天工作繁忙的公务员等群体开设夜市有其合理性。"他们不能在工作时间用电脑买卖股票,虽然不违法,但也不符合工作纪律。从实际 出发,延长交易时间可以方便这部分人群,且不会改变市场核心规则"。 中国人民大学国家金融研究院院长、国家一级教授吴晓求就A股交易时间延长相关话题作出回应。吴晓求认为:"延长交易时间当然不是当前中国资本市场 改革的重点,但是适当延长交易时间可以讨论,可能会受到大家欢迎"。 ...
论道AI与低空经济,如何引领下一轮产业革命?
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 06:12
Group 1: Artificial Intelligence Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is deeply integrated into daily life and is becoming a crucial force in the intelligent transformation of traditional industries, with half of new subways in China already implementing unmanned driving [3][5] - AI's value lies in its continuous learning and evolution capabilities, which enhance operational precision over time, as illustrated by the use of AI-driven drone systems for tunnel inspections [5][11] - The development of large language models faces challenges due to insufficient Chinese language data, but leveraging high-quality data sources can improve model performance [7][10] Group 2: Low-altitude Economy Perspectives - The low-altitude economy is likened to the early stages of the automotive industry, with expectations of transitioning from empowering traditional industries to widespread logistics and eventual universal adoption [12] - The emergence of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft aims to reduce costs associated with pilots and fuel, making air travel more accessible and efficient compared to traditional ground infrastructure [12] - China possesses a "latecomer advantage" in the low-altitude economy due to its relatively clean airspace, which facilitates the establishment of a management system primarily for unmanned aerial vehicles, supporting safe and scalable development [12]
吴晓求:建议别老说把股市“拉起来”,刘纪鹏:那我用“推起来”
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 06:11
中国政法大学商学院原院长刘纪鹏、中国人民大学国家金融研究院院长吴晓求 在"凤凰湾区财经论坛2025"上,中国政法大学商学院原院长刘纪鹏与中国人民大学国家金融研究院院长吴晓求就股市与消费拉动作用展开讨论。刘纪鹏指 出,把股市"拉起来"能够显著提升居民财产性收入,进而带动消费增长,并认为资本市场有望接替楼市成为推动国民财富增长的新引擎。 而在刘纪鹏多次使用"把股市拉起来"这一表述时,吴晓求幽默插话,笑称与刘纪鹏"很熟",但对"拉起来"这一提法"始终不理解"。他调侃道:"这个'拉'字带 有些主观色彩,我一般不太赞成用'拉起来'这个概念,还是让它'涨起来'就可以了。" 吴晓求进一步笑称,"你那个词不太科学",建议改用更中性的表述。 凤凰网财经讯 9月23-24日,由凤凰卫视、凤凰网主办的"凤凰湾区财经论坛2025"在广州举行,本届论坛以"新格局·新路径"为主题,汇聚全球政商学界精 英,共同洞察变局脉络、探寻发展新机。 刘纪鹏随即笑着回应:"我下次可以换一个词,推起来",现场气氛轻松。 吴晓求则补充强调,"涨起来"更能体现市场的自然运行规律,避免过多主观意图的暗示。 ...
吴晓求建议股市开“夜市”,刘纪鹏调侃:只会延长“割韭菜”时间
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 06:05
中国政法大学商学院原院长刘纪鹏调侃道,如果当前的股市制度不改变,只能延长被割韭菜的时间,割得更惨。"现在A股4个小时交易时间,香港5个小 时,是不是可以增加一个小时,这个可以,也便于管理,但是你说要开24小时我不赞成,真的不赞成。" 凤凰网财经讯 9月23-24日,由凤凰卫视、凤凰网主办的"凤凰湾区财经论坛2025"在广州举行,本届论坛以"新格局·新路径"为主题,汇聚全球政商学界精 英,共同洞察变局脉络、探寻发展新机。 中国政法大学商学院原院长刘纪鹏、中国人民大学国家金融研究院院长吴晓求 在"凤凰湾区财经论坛2025"上,中国人民大学国家金融研究院院长、国家一级教授吴晓求提到,对于白天工作繁忙的公务员等群体开设夜市有其合理 性。"他们不能在工作时间用电脑买卖股票,虽然不违法,但也不符合工作纪律。从实际出发,延长交易时间可以方便这部分人群,且不会改变市场核心规 则"。 ...
刘纪鹏:股市不仅是“晴雨表”,更是“发动机”
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 06:05
Group 1 - The core theme of the "Phoenix Bay Area Finance Forum 2025" held in Guangzhou is "New Pattern, New Path," focusing on insights into changing dynamics and exploring new development opportunities [1] - Liu Jipeng, former dean of the Business School at China University of Political Science and Law, emphasizes that the stock market should not only be viewed as a passive reflection of the economy but also as an active "engine" for growth [3] - The current market uptrend is primarily driven by "confidence economy," with strong market confidence being a key factor in promoting market improvement amid government efforts to boost the capital market [3] Group 2 - Liu Jipeng discusses the positive correlation between the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and China's monetary policy, suggesting that such cuts will have a beneficial impact on the global economy [3] - He notes that the Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cuts could lead to a significant opportunity for A-shares, as global capital may seek new "value gaps" in the market [3] - Liu recommends that China should take advantage of this situation by further opening up, such as increasing QFII quotas, to attract foreign investment as a crucial force for breaking through the 4000-point mark in the market [3]
刘纪鹏:这次应该是慢牛行情,是在全国上下齐心协力的背景下实现的
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 06:05
Group 1 - The current market is characterized as a "slow bull" market, with strong upward momentum driven by top-level design and policy support [3] - The People's Bank of China has introduced a "convenience swap" mechanism to provide liquidity support to non-bank institutions, allowing them to use ETFs or component stocks as collateral to exchange for government bonds, with an initial scale of 500 billion yuan [3] - The A-share market has experienced a significant increase of 800 points over the past four months, indicating a resilient "slow bull" pattern supported by both policy and market forces [3] Group 2 - The current market rally is not solely driven by a single entity but represents a deep collaboration between the banking system and the capital market [3] - There is a consensus among stakeholders and continuous policy tools in place, suggesting that the Chinese capital market is likely to enter a long-term healthy "slow bull" phase [3]
土耳其共和国驻广州总领事:我有一辆比亚迪汽车,我非常喜欢
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 05:59
Group 1 - The "Phoenix Bay Area Finance Forum 2025" was held in Guangzhou on September 23-24, focusing on the theme "New Pattern, New Path" and gathering global political, business, and academic elites to explore development opportunities [1] Group 2 - The Consul General of the Republic of Turkey in Guangzhou, Kaan Başkurt, emphasized Turkey's strategic position at the crossroads of Europe and Asia, highlighting its historical role as a natural hub since the Silk Road [3] - Turkey aims to expand its hub role beyond air transport to include maritime and rail transport, supported by initiatives like the "2053 Transport and Logistics Master Plan" and the Belt and Road Initiative [3] - The establishment of a BYD factory in Turkey is seen as a significant opportunity for attracting foreign investment, with the Consul General expressing personal appreciation for BYD vehicles [3]
AI会不会取代人类?正安康健梁冬:人类需要思考的问题不是如何保住工作
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 05:46
著名经济学家付鹏与正安康健创始人、正安中医教育基金会创始人梁冬围绕"传统文化重估与资产逻辑变革"进行跨界对话。 当被问到"现在的孩子必须学习调用AI,跟当年人类一定要学会使用工具是否为同一个概念时",梁冬表示,略有不同,他从两方面具体阐述了这种不同。 凤凰网财经讯 9月23-24日,由凤凰卫视、凤凰网主办的"凤凰湾区财经论坛2025"在广州举行,本届论坛以"新格局·新路径"为主题,汇聚全球政商学界精 英,共同洞察变局脉络、探寻发展新机。 正安康健创始人、正安中医教育基金会创始人梁冬 第一,相比于人类最开始学习使用工具只需要在使用前学习,现在的人类在调用AI时如果没有足够的基础知识,那他初步向人工智能学习后,很难再进行 深入的学习。这意味着当前学习的方法改变了,人类即便有了人工智能也不能一劳永逸,而是需要在使用AI的过程中持续学习系统的知识。 第二,随着技术的进步、生产力的提升,当基本的衣食住行不再是问题时,人类面临的最重要的问题就是如何让自己的生活过得有意义,人类一些特殊的情 感需求和体验反而变得越来越有价值,比如聊天、陪护、学习独处等。 对于AI会不会取代人类的问题,梁冬认为,当人工智能提升社会生产力后,人 ...