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Michael Burry's Alibaba bet pays off big; Here's how much it's worth now
Finbold· 2025-03-24 12:43
Core Viewpoint - Michael Burry's investment strategy has shifted towards Chinese technology companies, particularly Alibaba, which has shown significant gains in 2025 [1][2]. Company Performance - Alibaba's share price reached $135.14 by March 24, reflecting a 61.52% year-to-date increase on the NYSE and a 63.35% rise on the Hong Kong exchange [3]. - The company's Q4 2024 earnings report revealed a double beat, exceeding analyst expectations for both revenue and profits [4]. - Revenue from Alibaba's Cloud Intelligence Group increased by 13%, driven by sustained triple-digit growth in AI-related product sales for six consecutive quarters [4]. - E-commerce platforms Taobao and Tmall reported a 9% rise in customer management revenue, while the international commerce division saw a 32% year-over-year revenue increase [5]. Technological Advancements - Investor interest in Alibaba's technology initiatives surged following a partnership with Apple to integrate AI features into iPhones sold in China [6]. - Alibaba announced the Qwen 2.5 version of its AI model, claiming superior efficiency and performance compared to DeepSeek's model [7]. Investment Impact - Burry's investment in Alibaba has significantly appreciated, with his stake valued at approximately $20.3 million as of March 24, up from $12.7 million at the end of 2024 [8][9]. - A $1,000 investment in BABA stock at the start of 2025 would now be worth about $1,615, indicating a profit of $615 in less than three months [8].
Mirror, mirror on the wall, Is Disney's stock the next to fall?
Finbold· 2025-03-24 10:51
Core Viewpoint - Walt Disney Co's latest live-action remake, Snow White, has underperformed at the box office, grossing approximately $87 million against a budget of $240-$270 million, leading to negative impacts on DIS shares [1][2]. Box Office Performance - Snow White's opening weekend performance is significantly below expectations, with a gross of $87 million compared to its substantial production budget [1]. - The film's performance is contrasted with other Disney remakes, such as the live-action Lion King, which grossed $569.6 million against a $240.2 million budget, and Mulan, which earned $69.9 million against a $200 million budget [4]. Factors Contributing to Underperformance - Interest in Disney remakes has been declining in recent years, contributing to the lackluster performance of Snow White [3]. - The film faced backlash related to 'woke' casting decisions, particularly regarding the casting of Rachel Zegler as Snow White, which some audiences found controversial [5][6]. - The backlash against Zegler's casting is part of a broader narrative about audience reactions to perceived 'woke' initiatives in Hollywood, although the impact of this backlash is difficult to quantify [7][8]. Boycotts and Audience Reactions - The film also faced calls for a boycott due to the casting of Gal Gadot as the Evil Queen, as her support for the Israeli Defense Forces during ongoing conflicts has drawn criticism [9][10]. - The effectiveness of these boycotts is mixed, with some films succeeding despite similar controversies, indicating that audience reactions may depend more on the core demographics than on specific actions taken by the company [11][12]. Stock Performance and Market Outlook - Disney shares are experiencing volatility, with a year-to-date decline of 10.25%, although there was a slight recovery in the most recent trading session [14]. - The impact of a single film's performance on Disney's overall stock is expected to be limited, as the company is large enough to absorb such fluctuations, and live-action remakes serve to maintain intellectual property control rather than solely generate profit [15].
Is Michael Burry's biggest stock set to become ‘the big short' of 2025?
Finbold· 2025-03-21 15:39
Core Insights - The Chinese market has shown signs of recovery following a government stimulus package announced in late September, leading to a significant rally in equities, particularly benefiting Alibaba [1] - Alibaba's stock has experienced a remarkable 82.37% increase over the past 12 months, with a 58.80% rise in 2025 alone, reaching a price of $134.64 [2] - Despite the positive performance, skepticism remains among traders regarding the sustainability of Alibaba's stock rally, as indicated by high short volume ratios [4][5] Company Performance - Alibaba's stock price surged to $147.57 on March 17, 2025, but subsequently fell by 8.76% to $134.64 within four days, indicating potential volatility [7] - The stock's short volume ratio has consistently been above 50, peaking at 63.08 on March 17, suggesting a significant number of traders are betting against the stock [5][7] - The company's advancements in artificial intelligence, particularly with the release of the Qwen 2.5 model, have contributed to its stock performance, alongside the government stimulus [3] Market Context - The overall Chinese market has been under pressure since the COVID-19 pandemic, with notable declines in early 2024 before the recent recovery [1] - Concerns about the U.S. market's recessionary fears may also impact the outlook for Alibaba's American depository shares [8]
Here's why Nio stock price is crashing today
Finbold· 2025-03-21 14:44
Nio stock (NYSE: NIO) has been exhibiting plenty of volatility as of late.On March 11, government support for the company’s battery-swapping technology caused a surge of almost 10%, from $4.40 to $4.91. The tide of optimism continued. Nio stock closed at a price of $5.18 on March 19, two days before the release of the company’s Q4 earnings call.Despite these high hopes, the quarterly report turned out to be a disappointment. The electric vehicle (EV) company posted a $0.43 loss per share, above consensus es ...
Is the Tesla stock bottom finally in?
Finbold· 2025-03-21 14:03
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) is in a precarious position. To be more precise, it is, as of the time of writing, the second-worst performing stock in the entire S&P 500 index.Numerous factors have contributed to this period of underperformance. January’s vehicle delivery figures marked the year-over-year (YoY) decline in the automaker’s history. In addition, company insiders dumped more than $44 million worth of Tesla stock in the first 10 days of the year alone.Shortly after, the company’s latest earnings cal ...
Michael Burry is crushing S&P 500 in 2025
Finbold· 2025-03-19 16:10
Core Insights - Michael Burry has significantly invested in three Chinese technology companies, allocating 43% of his portfolio to this strategy, which may yield substantial returns compared to U.S. stocks [1][2] Group 1: Performance of Investments - Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) experienced a remarkable 68.78% surge in 2025, with Burry's position growing from $12.7 million to $21.4 million, resulting in a profit of nearly $9 million [4] - JD.com (NASDAQ: JD) rose 29.12%, increasing Burry's investment from $10.4 million to $13.4 million, yielding a profit of $3 million [5] - Baidu (NASDAQ: BIDU) saw a 16.37% increase, with Burry's shares rising from $10.5 million to $12.2 million, resulting in a profit of $1.7 million [6] Group 2: Comparison with U.S. Investments - Burry's three major holdings increased in value from $33.6 million to $47 million, while an equivalent investment in the S&P 500 would have only grown to $32.4 million [7] - If Burry had invested in Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), the value would have decreased to $20.9 million, and an investment in Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) would have resulted in a loss, dropping to $28.5 million [8]
Is Tesla's stock price about to rebound? This is what we know
Finbold· 2025-03-19 15:30
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock is experiencing short-term bullish sentiment despite facing significant challenges, including backlash against CEO Elon Musk and increased competition from Chinese EV makers [1][2]. Group 1: Company Challenges - Tesla has encountered backlash against CEO Elon Musk due to his political views, which has negatively impacted sales in key markets [2]. - The company is under pressure from Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers, intensifying competition in the industry [2]. - Top investors are expressing dissatisfaction with Musk's leadership, calling for his exit [2]. Group 2: Stock Performance - Tesla's stock has corrected nearly 40% year-to-date, trading at $231, which is up over 2% in the past 24 hours [3]. - Investment advisor Gray Black noted that TSLA appears to have bottomed at $222, suggesting that recent controversies are short-lived [12]. Group 3: Positive Developments - Tesla's progress towards its robotaxi vision is a significant driver of renewed investor optimism, with the company securing its first permit to operate robotaxis in California [5]. - Elon Musk's recent appearance on Fox News has boosted investor confidence, as he reaffirmed Tesla's commitment to electric vehicles [7]. - Wall Street analysts are turning bullish on Tesla, with Cantor Fitzgerald upgrading the stock from 'Hold' to 'Buy' and maintaining a price target of $425 [9]. Group 4: Future Prospects - Analysts cite "material catalysts" ahead, including the June launch of the robotaxi segment, expansion of Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology in China and Europe, and the anticipated release of lower-cost EVs in 2025 [10]. - Investment strategist Shay Boloor emphasizes Tesla's transformation into an AI-driven technology powerhouse, with autonomy, robotics, and software becoming core pillars by 2026 [11]. - Despite a drop in Q1 delivery estimates due to inventory shortages, key data indicates that Tesla orders have remained steady over the past six months [15].
Cathie Wood sells this tech stock for the first time in almost a year
Finbold· 2025-03-19 15:03
Cathie Wood’s ARK line of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has made headlines once again, this time by trimming its stake in Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META), for the first time in nearly a year. Wood’s flagship Ark Innovation ETF (ARKK) offloaded 12,595 shares of Meta stock worth approximately $7.62 million on March 17, followed by an additional 2,160 shares the next trading day. The move comes as Meta’s stock performance weakened amid a broader pullback in tech stocks.ARKK META sales. Source: ArkkDaily/XArk ...
Wall Street analysts update Nvidia stock price
Finbold· 2025-03-19 12:48
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia is positioned as a leading player in the AI sector, with significant growth potential in data center revenue projected to reach $1 trillion by 2028, as highlighted during the GPU Technology Conference (GTC) [1][4]. Product Developments - Nvidia introduced next-generation Blackwell Ultra and Vera Rubin AI chips, expected to launch between 2025 and 2027, showcasing advancements in AI capabilities from perception to generative and agentic AI [2]. - The company also unveiled new products including Isaac GR00T N1 for humanoid robots, Cosmos AI for video-based AI training, and Halos for autonomous driving safety [2]. Stock Performance - Despite positive developments, Nvidia's stock price faced challenges, closing at $115.43, down 3.4%, with a key resistance level at $120 [3]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Following the GTC, Wall Street analysts expressed bullish sentiments towards Nvidia, reaffirming their positive ratings [4]. - Bank of America maintained a 'Buy' rating with a $200 price target, citing strong demand and a significant performance boost from upcoming products [5]. - Bernstein reiterated an 'Outperform' rating with a $185 price target, noting Nvidia's sustained AI dominance and competitive edge [6]. - JPMorgan reaffirmed an 'Overweight' rating with a $170 price target, emphasizing the upcoming Blackwell Ultra chipset's performance improvements [9]. - Stifel maintained a 'Buy' rating with a $180 price target, highlighting Nvidia's advancements in AI architectures and networking [10].
Is Nvidia stock a house of cards?
Finbold· 2025-03-19 10:10
Akin to many other superstar stocks of 2024, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) has been a major driver of investor fear in 2025. Though at $115.81, NVDA remains an impressive 29.54% above where it stood exactly 52 weeks ago, Nvidia stock price has dropped 13.76% in 2025 and is 22.49% below its $149.43 all-time high (ATH) reached on January 6.NVDA stock 12-month price chart. Source: FinboldDespite NVDA’s share price not falling exactly like a rock this year, they have showcased that fear truly dominates the market in Ma ...