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Where Will Alibaba Stock Be in 1 Year?
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-11 08:20
Core Viewpoint - Alibaba's stock has shown a nearly 50% increase over the past year, but it remains 65% below its all-time high from October 2020, indicating potential for future growth despite challenges [1][2]. Financial Performance - In fiscal 2022, Alibaba's revenue grew by 19%, but growth slowed to 2% in fiscal 2023, 8% in fiscal 2024, and is projected at 6% for fiscal 2025, primarily due to regulatory and macroeconomic challenges [2][4][5]. - Analysts expect Alibaba's revenue to rise by 7% in fiscal 2026 and by 8% in fiscal 2027, with adjusted EPS growth projected at 8% and 14% respectively [10]. Challenges Faced - Alibaba faced significant regulatory challenges, including fines and restrictions from China's antitrust regulators, which limited its competitive strategies [4]. - The Chinese economy's slowdown, exacerbated by "zero-COVID" policies and a weak real estate market, negatively impacted consumer spending and cloud customer expenditures [5]. - Leadership changes, including the departure of CEO Daniel Zhang in 2023, raised concerns about the company's growth trajectory [6]. Business Stabilization - Despite challenges, Alibaba's retail business saw growth in overseas markets, which helped offset weaker performance in its domestic marketplaces [7]. - The company implemented cost-cutting measures, share buybacks, and increased revenue from higher-margin cloud and AI businesses, leading to improved earnings per share [8]. Future Outlook - Alibaba's stock trades at 11 times its forward adjusted earnings, with potential for a higher valuation if trade tensions ease, possibly rising to about $167 by fiscal 2027 [12]. - The company may integrate its various business units more closely, enhancing its competitive position against less diversified rivals [11].
阿里巴巴又一大动作,要融资120亿
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-09 10:52
为何要融资120亿港元 7月3日,阿里巴巴公告称,在市场及其他条件允许的情况下,公司拟发行本金总额为约120亿港元、2032年到期的零息可交换债券。 阿里巴巴可自行选择根据债券中规定的条款,通过交付阿里健康股份、现金或现金与阿里健康股份的组合的方式履行其交换义务,阿里健康是公司并表子公 司,持股比例约64%。 公司预计,在债券发行后及未来交换为阿里健康股份后,阿里健康仍然是公司并表子公司,并将继续与阿里巴巴生态系统成员密切合作。 阿里巴巴于近日披露120亿港元的融资计划,用于支持云基础设施、国际商业业务的发展,公司近三年资产负债率呈现上升态势,而经营现金流净流入则有 所下滑,去年融资频繁。 早前,阿里巴巴披露的2025财年年报显示,录得营收、净利双增的成绩,其中收入增速有所放缓,核心业务淘天集团仅录得3%的增长,而国际数字商业表 现最为亮眼,增长29%,但仍处于亏损中。 值得一提的是,阿里巴巴合伙人发生重大变更,张勇、戴珊、彭蕾等9人退出合伙人职务,而蒋凡则晋升为阿里电商事业群首席执行官,重回权力中心。 据短平快解读了解,阿里巴巴集团拟将债券发行募集资金净额用于一般公司用途,包括进行投资以支持公司的云基础设施 ...
中美确认伦敦框架细节;阿里海外电商有望单季盈利丨出海周报
21世纪经济报道记者 董静怡 上海报道 行业一览 商务部就中美伦敦框架有关情况答记者问 有记者问:近日,美方有关官员和媒体称,中美已就落实日内瓦共识的框架达成了补充谅解,中国将加 快向美国出口稀土,美方相应取消对华有关限制措施。请问商务部对此有何评论? 答:在中美两国元首共识指引下,双方经贸团队于6月9日至10日在伦敦举行经贸会谈,就落实两国元首 6月5日通话重要共识和巩固日内瓦经贸会谈成果的框架达成原则一致。伦敦会谈后,中美双方团队保持 着密切沟通。近日,经批准,双方进一步确认了框架细节。中方将依法审批符合条件的管制物项出口申 请。美方将相应取消对华采取的一系列限制性措施。期望美方与中方相向而行,按照两国元首6月5日通 话重要共识和要求,进一步发挥好中美经贸磋商机制作用,不断增进共识、减少误解、加强合作,共同 推动中美经贸关系健康、稳定、可持续发展。 商务部就美与有关国家关税谈判情况答记者问 有记者问道:近日,美方官员称,正在加紧推进与有关经济体谈判,有望在7月9日"对等关税"90天暂停 期结束前与部分国家达成贸易协议。对于未达成协议的国家,可能单方面设定关税税率。请问商务部对 此有何评论? 商务部新闻发言 ...
蔡崇信吴泳铭致股东信:AI时代,阿里将像创业公司一样思考和行动
硬AI· 2025-06-26 14:32
阿里巴巴集团2025收入9963.47亿元,净利润同比增长76.81%至1259.76亿元。在AI需求的强劲推动下,阿里云财年收入 突破双位数增长,AI相关产品收入连续七个季度实现三位数同比增长。 硬·AI 作者 | 张雅琦 编辑 | 硬 AI 阿里巴巴集团2025财年收入9963.47亿元,净利润同比增长76.81%至1259.76亿元。报告显示,在AI需求的 强劲推动下,阿里云财年收入突破双位数增长,AI相关产品收入连续七个季度实现三位数同比增长。 蔡崇信、吴泳铭在信中表示,"未来十年,AI将重塑每一个行业,带来前所未有的颠覆性变革。" 6月26日,阿里巴巴集团发布2025财年年报: 同比增长76.81%至1259.76亿元。 收入: 同比增长5.86%至9963.47亿元; 经营利润: 同比增长24.34%至1409.05亿元; 归属于普通股东的净利润: 同比增长62.46%至1294.7亿元; 净利润: | | | | 截至3月31日止年度 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 ...
阿里巴巴,最新披露!
证券时报· 2025-06-26 14:15
阿里巴巴集团6月26日发布2025财年年报。 在年报致股东信中,阿里巴巴集团董事会主席蔡崇信、阿里巴巴集团CEO吴泳铭表示,未来十年,最大的增量和变量都是以AI为核心的驱动力带来的变革。股东信 还提到,"阿里巴巴将AI视为业务增长的核心驱动力,也是面向未来发展的最大机遇之一,因此全力投入AI基础设施和技术先进性建设,提升在全球科技领域的竞争 力,并将其转化为业务增长的持续动能。" 阿里巴巴集团2025财年年报显示,该财年集团收入9963.47亿元,净利润同比增长77%至1259.76亿元。阿里云财年收入突破双位数增长,AI相关产品收入连续七 个季度实现三位数同比增长。2025财年,阿里云服务了约63%的A股上市公司。 蔡崇信、吴泳铭:把"AI+云"塑造成面向未来的新增长引擎 股东信分享了过去一个财年阿里巴巴的战略执行与业务进展。据介绍,过去一个财年,阿里巴巴聚焦电商、"AI+云"两大核心业务,业务实现加速增长。集团还加 大对云和AI基础设施的投入,加速推动AI技术创新和落地千行百业。同时,阿里巴巴有序退出高鑫零售、银泰百货等资产,并提高多个互联网平台业务的经营效 率,虎鲸文娱、高德等业务陆续实现单季度盈利。 ...
3 Signs That Alibaba's Turnaround Effort Is Bearing Fruit
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-24 13:15
Core Insights - Alibaba is undergoing a transformation to regain its market position and enhance shareholder value, with significant leadership changes and a focus on core businesses [1][2][4] E-commerce Business - Alibaba's e-commerce segment is showing signs of recovery, with a reported 12% growth in customer management revenue for the quarter ending March 31, up from 9% in the previous quarter and 4% in the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024 [6] - The international e-commerce business has also seen a 22% growth, indicating diversification and potential for future expansion across various regions and platforms [7] Cloud Computing Business - Alibaba Cloud faced challenges in fiscal 2024 with only 3% revenue growth, but has recently rebounded with an 18% increase in revenue to 30 billion yuan, driven by public cloud growth and AI-related revenue [8][9] - AI-related revenue has experienced triple-digit growth for seven consecutive quarters, reflecting a strong adoption of cloud computing and AI solutions across multiple industries [10] Shareholder Returns - In the latest fiscal year, Alibaba repurchased $11.9 billion of its stock and distributed $4.6 billion in dividends, totaling $16.5 billion returned to shareholders [13] - These actions are aimed at rebuilding investor trust and attracting long-term investment, particularly from Western markets, while signaling the company's strong financial health [14] Future Outlook - Alibaba's recent performance indicates that its turnaround efforts are gaining traction, positioning the company favorably for sustained growth in the upcoming quarters [15]
These Analysts Cut Their Forecasts On Alibaba After Q4 Results
Benzinga· 2025-05-16 18:16
Alibaba Group Holding BABA reported downbeat sales for its fiscal fourth quarter on Thursday.The Jack Ma co-founded e-commerce giant reported quarterly revenue growth of 7% year-on-year to $32.58 billion, missing the analyst consensus estimate of $33.08 billion. It clocked an adjusted earnings per ADS of $1.73, which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $1.48. Adjusted net income rose 22% Y/Y to $4.11 billion.International commerce retail business revenue grew by 24% to $3.80 billion, primarily driven by ...
AI续命前先放血,“不甘”的阿里再拼一把?
海豚投研· 2025-05-15 15:37
临近520,海豚君为大家准备了一波现金红包福利,详细获取方式见文内。 在经历了中国AI故事带来的大涨、中美贸易争端带来的暴跌,以及 近期双方争端缓解带来的反弹后,阿里的股价又回到了约$130,上季度炸裂业绩暴涨前的起 点,那此次阿里的业绩表现如何?从预期差的角度,整体营收和利润都比较平淡,股价也应声下跌。具体如何,请见下文核心信息: 一、收入利润表现双优,淘天是本季业绩最大亮点 考虑到整体线上实物零售额的增速是从4Q的3.5%改善到了1Q的5.7%,且先前京东的商城业务也表现不俗, 彭博上卖方对淘天本季CMR增速反而环比减速的预期 显然是过于保守或过时了 ,不具参考价值。 更真实的CMR增速预期大约在10%左右。 本季CMR实际增长11.8%,即便是相比上述更高、更"准确"的预期,也依旧beat 。一方面是国补带动下,电商行业整体在1Q增长不错,另一方面淘天自身层面, 加收的0.6%服务费和全站推广告工具的利好显然也在进一步释放,促进take rate提升。 类似的,彭博预期显示adj.EBITA利润同比增长2.1%显然也过于偏低,实际 本季淘天adj.EBITA为418亿,同比增长约8% ,相比JPM反映的 ...
阿里Q4营收同比增7%不及预期,阿里云增长加速18%,AI收入连续七个季度三位数增长
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-15 11:04
周四,阿里巴巴控股集团公布2025财年第四季度( 2025年3月31日止季度)及全年业绩。 1)主要财务数据: 四季度调整后每ADS收益12.52元人民币,上年同期10.14元人民币,预估12.71元人民币; 淘天集团营收同比大幅增长9%,创六个季度新高 ,其中,客户管理收入同比增长12%,经调整EBITA同比增长8%,均超市场预期。 2)四季度核心业务进展: | | | 截至3月31 日止三個月 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2024 | 2025 | | | | | 人民幣 | 人民幣 | 美元 | %同比雙動 | | | | (以百萬計,百分比除外) | | | | 淘天集團: | | | | | | 中國零售商業 | | | | | | 客戶管理 | 63.574 | 71.077 | 9.794 | 12% | | 一直登及其他(1) | 24.690 | 24,504 | 3,377 | (1)% | | | 88.264 | 95.581 | 13.171 | 8% | | 中國批發商業 | 4,952 | 5,788 | 798 | 17% ...
阿里巴巴-W(09988)2025财年收入净利双增长 归母净利同比增长62%至1294.7亿元 股东回报丰厚
智通财经网· 2025-05-15 10:34
Core Insights - Alibaba Group reported a revenue of RMB 236.45 billion (USD 32.58 billion) for the quarter ending March 31, 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7% [1] - The operating profit for the same quarter was RMB 28.47 billion (USD 3.92 billion), showing a significant increase of 93% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders reached RMB 12.38 billion (USD 1.71 billion), marking a substantial growth of 279% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, total revenue was RMB 996.35 billion (USD 137.30 billion), reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6% [2] - Operating profit for the fiscal year was RMB 140.91 billion (USD 19.42 billion), which is a 24% increase compared to the previous year [2] - The net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders for the fiscal year was RMB 129.47 billion (USD 17.84 billion), up 62% year-on-year [2] Segment Performance - Taobao Group's customer management revenue grew by 6% to RMB 322.35 billion for the fiscal year, with a 12% increase in the fourth quarter to RMB 71.08 billion, driven by improved take rates and online GMV growth [3] - Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group (AIDC) saw a total revenue increase of 29% to RMB 132.30 billion for the fiscal year, with a 22% growth in the fourth quarter to RMB 33.58 billion, supported by strong cross-border business performance [3] - The Cloud Intelligence Group reported a total revenue growth of 11% for the fiscal year, with an 18% increase in the fourth quarter, primarily driven by faster growth in public cloud business revenue [4] Strategic Focus - The CEO of Alibaba Group emphasized the effectiveness of the "user-first, AI-driven" strategy, noting that core business growth continues to accelerate, particularly in AI-related product adoption [4] - The CFO highlighted strong quarterly performance with a 7% year-on-year revenue growth and a 36% increase in overall EBITA, expressing confidence in the business outlook and commitment to enhancing shareholder returns [4]