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Why Nvidia stock is now set for ‘massive end of year rally'
Finbold· 2024-12-15 14:06
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's share price is currently under pressure, having fallen below $140, but technical indicators suggest a potential breakout as the year ends, with a year-to-date rally of 178% driven by its AI ventures [1][3][7]. Price Movement and Technical Analysis - Nvidia's stock closed at $134.25, down over 2% for the day and approximately 3% for the week [1]. - A trading expert noted that Nvidia is positioned for a significant end-of-year surge after a period of consolidation, indicating strong underlying support and upward momentum [3]. - The stock has stabilized within a defined price range for over two months, building momentum for a potential breakout, with a critical demand zone attracting over $20 million in call options [3]. - A bullish reversal pattern, specifically an inverse head-and-shoulders, has been identified, suggesting a potential price increase towards $150 if a breakout occurs [5]. Fundamental Analysis and Future Outlook - Nvidia remains a dominant player in the AI sector, with the upcoming Blackwell product line expected to drive further growth [7]. - Despite recent challenges, including an antitrust probe by Chinese authorities, some analysts remain optimistic about Nvidia's future, projecting a stock price of $160-$170 in early 2025 [7]. - Nvidia reported Q3 revenue of $35.1 billion, reflecting a 17% quarter-over-quarter increase and a 94% year-over-year jump, supporting a positive outlook [7]. - Saxo Bank predicts Nvidia could reach a valuation of $7 trillion by 2025, positioning it as a key player in the AI boom [7].
If this Nvidia support level breaks, it could be ‘goodnight' for NVDA stock
Finbold· 2024-12-13 15:19
Stock Performance and Technical Analysis - Nvidia stock is currently trading at $138 68, up 0 98% on the day, but down over 5% for the past month, showing signs of vulnerability [1] - A head-and-shoulders formation has emerged, signaling potential trouble ahead, with a critical support level at $132 [3][4] - The trading range over the past month has been between $131 80 and $152 89, highlighting the volatility Nvidia has faced [4] - Nvidia is currently consolidating near the middle of this range, with a support zone stretching from $135 06 to $137 33 and resistance between $139 32 and $140 95 [4] Analyst Outlook and Price Targets - Analysts remain cautiously optimistic, provided Nvidia holds its current support range between $135 and $140 [5] - A price target of $150 is still in play from these levels, but a drop below $135 could invalidate bullish setups and set off further declines [5] - A break below $132 could open the floodgates for a steeper correction [5] Market Comparison - Despite trading near the upper end of its 52-week range, Nvidia's recent performance has lagged behind the S&P 500, which is hovering near new highs [5]
AI picks two semiconductor stocks to invest in for Q1 2025
Finbold· 2024-12-13 14:52
Industry Overview - The semiconductor industry is experiencing transformative growth, with global sales reaching a record $55.3 billion in September 2024, marking a 10.2% quarterly increase, the fastest growth rate since 2016 [1][2] Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) - Nvidia is positioned as a compelling investment for 2025, with its stock soaring nearly 187% in 2024, driven by its dominant role in the AI market [3][5] - The company commands over 90% of the data-center GPU market and more than 80% of the AI processor market, establishing itself as the leader in AI hardware [6][7] - Nvidia achieved record revenue of $35.1 billion in fiscal Q3 2025, a 94% year-over-year increase, while maintaining gross margins above 70% [5][6] - The CUDA platform has become the industry standard for GPU programming, creating a competitive advantage and fostering developer loyalty [6][7] - Nvidia's GPUs are backward-compatible, ensuring older models remain useful, which extends their lifecycle in the market [8][9] - The company has lower exposure to the Chinese market compared to peers, reducing risks associated with geopolitical tensions [7][20] - Valuation metrics indicate Nvidia's attractiveness, with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 34.83 and a price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of approximately 0.91 [10] Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMD) - AMD reported an 18% year-over-year revenue increase in fiscal Q3 2024, reaching a record $6.8 billion, highlighting its growing influence in key sectors [11][19] - The Data Center segment revenue surged by 122% to $3.5 billion, driven by demand for high-performance computing solutions [14][16] - AMD's MI300 series is positioned to compete with Nvidia's offerings, providing advancements in memory bandwidth and power efficiency for AI workloads [15][16] - The company has secured partnerships with major enterprises, diversifying its revenue base and strengthening its market position [17][20] - AMD has lower exposure to the Chinese market, making it less vulnerable to potential trade disruptions [20] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the AI-driven semiconductor market growth due to its continued innovation and expanding customer base [21][22] Conclusion - Both Nvidia and AMD are well-positioned to benefit from the rising global demand for AI-driven technologies, making them compelling investment opportunities for early 2025 [22]
Monster insider trading alert for Disney stock
Finbold· 2024-12-13 13:24
Core Insights - Disney's stock has experienced significant volatility in 2024, trading between $85.60 and $122.82, with a notable 10-year low reached in September 2023 [1] - The company's Q4 and full-year 2024 earnings call indicated a positive turnaround, with earnings per share (EPS) and revenue exceeding analyst expectations, particularly in the previously struggling segments of streaming and movies [1] - As of the latest report, Disney's stock price surged to $114.76, reflecting an 11.66% increase from $102.72 a month prior, contributing to a year-to-date return of 26.51% [2] Stock Transactions - Brent Woodford, Disney's Executive Vice President, sold 8,000 shares in two transactions on December 11, totaling approximately $917,920, with average sale prices of $114.49 and $114.99 [3] - Prior to these sales, Woodford exercised stock options to acquire 8,000 shares at $92.235 each, resulting in a cost of $737,880 and a profit of approximately $180,040 from the subsequent sales [3][5] - The recent sales were not part of a prescheduled 10b5-1 plan, suggesting that the insider viewed the current stock price as a favorable point to realize profits [5] Market Outlook - Despite insider selling, Disney's stock is perceived to have strong momentum heading into 2025, with potential for significant value increase if the trend of outperforming analyst expectations continues [5]
Monster insider sale for BlackRock stock
Finbold· 2024-12-13 12:22
BlackRock (NYSE: BLK), the world’s largest asset manager with more than $11.5 trillion in assets under management (AUM), has seen the single biggest insider sale on December 4, 2024.Specifically, regulatory filings show that Larry Fink, the CEO of BlackRock, sold 48,700 BLK shares at an average transaction price of $1,035.76. The sale, Fink’s largest to date, raised just over $50 million.Larry Fink’s December 4 BLK stock sale. Source: @barchartDespite the size of the sale, Larry Fink still retains a total o ...
UnitedHealth Group stock slumps to 5-month low; What's next?
Finbold· 2024-12-13 11:33
One of the most publicized stories of the year has been the murder of UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH) medical insurance division CEO Brian Thompson.The executive was shot before an investor conference in midtown Manhattan on the morning of December 4. At present, Luigi Mangione, a 26-year-old data engineer is the prime suspect — having been arrested on December 9 after a tip from an Altoona McDonalds (NYSE: MCD) employee.  Following the arrest, the price of a UNH share was approximately $560, after a 2.39% m ...
Monster insider trading alert for Meta stock
Finbold· 2024-12-12 14:12
Core Insights - Meta Platforms has experienced a significant stock price increase of 82.87% year-to-date, reaching an all-time high of $636.26 per share [1][2] - The company's strong financial performance is attributed to strategic investments in artificial intelligence and a cost management initiative known as the 'year of efficiency' [2] - Despite the positive outlook, there are concerns regarding insider selling by CEO Mark Zuckerberg, who sold approximately $67 million worth of Meta stock in a short period [3][8] Financial Performance - Meta has achieved five consecutive quarters of outperforming analyst estimates, indicating robust financial health [2] - The company's operating margins have reached 43% as reported in the latest earnings call for Q3 2024 [2] Insider Trading Activity - Mark Zuckerberg executed four transactions from December 9 to December 11, totaling approximately $67,064,685 [3] - The sales included 107,763 shares, with average prices ranging from $614.36 to $619.41 per share [4][7] - These transactions were conducted under a pre-established 10b5-1 trading plan, which may mitigate concerns about the implications of insider selling [8] Market Outlook - Despite the insider selling, equity researchers from four major Wall Street firms have revised their price targets for Meta stocks to a bullish outlook [8]
Nvidia (NVDA) is 35% better investment than Bitcoin in 2024 despite BTC price rally
Finbold· 2024-12-12 11:46
In 2024, Bitcoin (BTC) recorded triple-digit gains and even breached the long-awaited milestone price of $100,000 in early December.Despite BTC’s significant rise throughout the year, Finbold research found that the semiconductor giant Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) delivered even higher returns than Bitcoin.An investment in Bitcoin made at the start of 2024 would have yielded a return of 139.72% by Thursday, December 12. In comparison, Nvidia stock would have appreciated 188.47% over the same period, making NVDA’s ...
Analyst revises Netflix price target amid ‘growing ad revenue'
Finbold· 2024-12-12 11:23
Core Viewpoint - Netflix has reached an all-time high stock price of $940 following a price target increase by J.P. Morgan from $850 to $1,010, driven by strong subscriber growth, advertising revenue, and compelling content [1][4]. Subscriber Growth and Financial Performance - As of December 10, Netflix shares were trading at $936.56, reflecting a 99% year-to-date gain, with 44% of this growth occurring in the last six months [2]. - J.P. Morgan revised its Q4 net subscriber additions estimate to 10 million, up from 9 million, supported by improved global download volumes and daily active user trends [4]. - Netflix reported Q3 earnings per share (EPS) of $5.40, exceeding expectations of $5.09, and revenue of $9.82 billion, slightly above forecasts [12]. Advertising Revenue and Strategic Shifts - The introduction of the ad-supported plan at $6.99 per month has significantly contributed to revenue growth, targeting budget-conscious viewers [7]. - Analysts view the shift to an ad-supported model as a catalyst for financial growth, with Citi raising its price target for Netflix to $920 due to growing investor confidence in this tier [8]. Content and Engagement - Netflix's ability to deliver compelling content, such as "Squid Game," which attracted over 142 million households and generated an estimated $900 million in impact value, is crucial for subscriber engagement [9]. - The company's first live sports broadcast attracted 65 million viewers, boosting its market cap by $25 billion, with plans for future live sports events [10]. Market Outlook and Future Potential - Analysts expect Netflix's focus on advertising revenue, monetizing password sharing, and unique content experiences to drive sustained growth, with predictions of the company potentially becoming a trillion-dollar entity [13].
Why clinching this level is ‘game on' for Nvidia
Finbold· 2024-12-11 14:08
Nvidia’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock is trading under bearish pressure after slipping below $140, and a technical strategist has suggested that the equity could rally if it clears key resistance levels.The semiconductor giant closed at $135.16 on December 10, down over 2.6% for the session and nearly 7% over the past week. In pre-market trading on December 11, Nvidia rose about 1%.NVDA one-week stock price chart. Source: FinboldNVDA’s key level to watch Despite a strong performance in 2024, the stock’s momentum no ...