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从业 43 年的程序员直言:AI 不会取代程序员,软件开发的核心从未改变
程序员的那些事· 2026-01-12 00:48
Core Viewpoint - The article argues that AI will not replace software developers, emphasizing that the future of software development remains in the hands of developers who can translate ambiguous human thoughts into precise computational logic [1][2]. Group 1: Historical Context - The prediction that "programmers will be replaced" has never come true throughout the history of computing, which spans over 43 years [3]. - The author has witnessed multiple technological revolutions, each heralded as the end of programmers, such as the rise of Visual Basic and low-code platforms [4][6]. - Historical cycles show that each wave of technology has led to an increase in the number of programs and programmers, exemplifying the "Jevons Paradox" with a market size of $1.5 trillion [9]. Group 2: Differences with Current Technology - The current wave of Large Language Models (LLMs) differs significantly from past technologies in scale and impact, with LLMs not reliably improving development speed or software reliability [10][11]. - Unlike previous technologies that provided stable and reliable solutions, LLMs often slow down development and create a dual loss situation unless real bottlenecks are addressed [11]. Group 3: Essence of Programming - The core challenge of programming has always been converting vague human ideas into logical and precise computational expressions, a difficulty that persists regardless of the programming tools used [12][17]. - The complexity of programming lies not in the syntax but in understanding what needs to be achieved, a challenge that remains unchanged over decades [17][18]. Group 4: Future Outlook - AI will not eliminate the need for programmers; instead, the demand for skilled developers will continue to grow, especially as companies realize the true costs and limitations of AI technologies [19][20]. - The future of software development will likely see AI playing a supportive role, assisting in tasks like prototype code generation, while the critical decision-making and understanding will still rely on human developers [19][20].
笑死!“死了么”团队回应 + “活了么”跟风上架
程序员的那些事· 2026-01-11 14:05
不过在留言区高赞留言都在喊: 不要改名 ! 据说 开发者只用 6 小时就完成开发了,AI 辅助 4 小时 + 手搓 2 小时。 下一个跟风的 APP 是叫什么名字? | 确实,它之所以能出圈,好就好在这个名字。你们说呢? | | --- | 晚上发现还有一个更搞的热搜,有个叫"活了么"APP 也趁着风口上线了。 今天中午小程程 发帖总结了"死了么"APP的一些信息 ,后来他们也发帖公开回应了,其中提到会研究考虑新 名称。 ...
马斯克突然宣布:7 天内开源 X 推荐算法
程序员的那些事· 2026-01-11 14:05
Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk announced plans to open-source the recommendation algorithm of X, which has sparked discussions among users regarding the implications for competition and transparency [1][3]. Group 1 - The announcement was made on January 11 at 3 AM Beijing time, indicating a significant move towards transparency in algorithmic processes [1]. - User reactions included both support for Musk's initiative and concerns about potential competitive disadvantages, as opening the algorithm could allow rivals to replicate it [1][3]. - Some users commented on the algorithm's simplicity, suggesting that it becomes apparent how it operates when discussing sensitive topics, such as Gaza and Israel [4].
热搜都爆了!“死了么”开发成本 1000 多元,拟 100 万出售 10% 股份
程序员的那些事· 2026-01-11 05:40
Core Viewpoint - The application "Is it dead?" has gained significant popularity, with 9 entries in the top 50 of Weibo's technology hot search list, indicating a strong user interest and engagement [1]. Summary by Relevant Sections - Basic Information: - The name "Is it dead?" was derived from internet users who found it unregistered and decided to use it [3]. - Development began in mid-2025 with a team of three developers, all born in the 1990s, collaborating remotely [3]. - The iOS version was launched within a month, with development costs around 1,000 yuan [3]. - Initially offered for free, the price was later adjusted to 1 yuan and then increased to 8 yuan on January 8 [3]. - The price hike was attributed to a surge in user numbers, necessitating server expansion and increased costs for third-party email/SMS services [3]. - The developers plan to sell 10% of their shares for 1 million yuan, which would imply a valuation of 10 million yuan for the company [3].
趣图:Manus 是对中国工程师红利理解最深刻的企业
程序员的那些事· 2026-01-11 02:17
往期趣图 (点击下方图片可跳转阅读) Manus 被收购后,我在留言区多次看到类似这样的评论:"招 1000 个,最后带走 50 个最顶尖的,裁掉剩 余的 950" 原来这是出自一个知乎网友: ...
StackOverflow 已死?CEO 带队狂赚 1.15 亿刀,6个月原地反杀
程序员的那些事· 2026-01-11 02:17
转自: 新智元 罪魁祸首,便是AI。 即便如此,Stack Overflow没有死,还在好好地活着。 年收入超一亿翻番,AI立大功 最近,CEO Prashanth Chandrasekar在一期播客采访中坦诚: Stack Overflow平台上,超80%的人都在用AI,但仅有29%的用户信任其输出的结果。 【导读】 「Stack Overflow之死」炒的太凶了!CEO亲自打脸回应,年收入破亿美元,公司成 功转型。AI拿走了「简单题」,却把「难题」变成了更稀缺的硬通货。 几天前,「Stack Overflow已死」的话题,一夜之间冲爆热搜 。 全网都在感慨,那个曾经红极一时,全球最大的编程社区问答网站,为何几乎无人问津? 一张统计图显示,平台年度提问量从20多万骤降。 就拿上个月来说吧,Stack Overflow仅收录了6,866个问题。 这意味着什么? 问答网站,并不会消亡。Chandrasekar确信地表示,「Stack Overflow会持续吸引新用户」。 AI的确擅长处理简单问题,一旦问题变得复杂、棘手,人们还是更愿意和真实的人交流。 而这正是Stack Overflow,依然可以把人们聚在一起 ...
趣图:“死了么”撞名“饿了么”或涉嫌违法
程序员的那些事· 2026-01-10 15:23
Group 1 - The article discusses the recent name change of the delivery service "Ele.me" to "Taobao Flash Purchase," which has sparked mixed reactions online, with some users praising the clarity of the new name while others criticize it as unlucky [3] - The app developer, a post-95s individual, stated that they have not received any requests from authorities to change the name [3]
李彦宏第 2 家上市公司来了!
程序员的那些事· 2026-01-10 11:29
Core Viewpoint - Baidu's subsidiary Kunlun Chip has submitted an application for a mainboard listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which has significantly boosted market confidence and led to a notable increase in Baidu's stock prices [1][2]. Group 1: Company Developments - Kunlun Chip completed its shareholding reform in December 2025 and is expected to officially list in the first half of 2026 [2]. - Baidu holds a 59.45% stake in Kunlun Chip, with other major shareholders including China Internet Investment Fund, Beijing Artificial Intelligence Industry Investment Fund, BYD, and a fund under China Mobile [2]. Group 2: Financial Projections - Goldman Sachs predicts that Kunlun Chip's revenue will reach between 3.5 billion to 5 billion yuan in 2025, with the potential to exceed 6.5 billion yuan in 2026 [2]. - The spin-off listing is crucial for Baidu, which is currently facing a decline in revenue, with a 7% year-on-year drop reported in Q3 2025 and a net loss, marking six consecutive quarters of decline in its core online marketing business [2]. Group 3: Strategic Importance - The independent listing of Kunlun Chip is a key step for Baidu in presenting its "full-stack AI" narrative, which encompasses chips, frameworks, large models, cloud services, and applications, thereby showcasing the strategic value of its AI initiatives [2].
突发!DeepSeek 拟在春节发布 V4,拉满编程技能,Claude/GPT 危矣
程序员的那些事· 2026-01-10 02:25
Core Insights - DeepSeek plans to launch a new AI model, V4, in mid-February, focusing on enhanced programming capabilities [2] - Internal tests suggest that V4 may outperform competitors like Anthropic's Claude and OpenAI's GPT series in code-related tasks [2] - V4 has made significant advancements in handling and understanding long code prompts, which will be beneficial for developers working on complex software projects [2] Additional Notes - The launch date coincides with the Chinese New Year, leading to humorous remarks about DeepSeek's tradition of major updates during holidays [2] - A prediction poll indicated that February 2026 is a popular choice for future updates, with over 1600 votes [2]
H200 已订购 200 万颗,英伟达紧急扩产
程序员的那些事· 2026-01-10 02:25
以下文章来源于算法爱好者 ,作者小蒜 算法爱好者 . 算法是程序员的内功!「算法爱好者」专注分享算法相关文章、工具资源和算法题,帮程序员修炼内 功。 据外媒报道, H200 芯片已被 订购超 200 万颗 ,而英伟达目前库存大约是 70 万颗。所以台积电预计 在 2026 年第二季度启动扩产咯。 单颗 H200 芯片定价约 2.7 万美元,约 19 万元。 8 颗 H200 芯片组成的模组售价约 150 万元。 这只是参考价,采购量大肯定能有优惠,大客户的最终成交价应该都不一样。 ...