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9月LPR报价继续保持不变 有何信号?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-22 14:07
Group 1 - The one-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) remains at 3.0% and the five-year LPR at 3.5%, effective until the next announcement [1] - The stability of the LPR aligns with market expectations, as the central bank's seven-day reverse repurchase rate has not changed [2] - Factors such as extreme weather, growth stabilization policies, external fluctuations, and real estate market adjustments have caused macroeconomic data to fluctuate [2] Group 2 - The central bank's seven-day reverse repurchase rate has become a key monetary policy rate, guiding other interest rates [3] - The adjustment of the 14-day reverse repurchase operation to a fixed quantity and interest rate bidding reflects a move towards marketization of interest rates [3] - Future monetary policy will focus on optimizing the structure of financial growth rather than just increasing total volume [3] Group 3 - There is potential for interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions before the end of the year to stimulate domestic demand and stabilize the real estate market [4] - The recent U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut may reduce external constraints on China's monetary policy, allowing for more flexibility [4] - The expectation is that the central bank may implement a new round of interest rate cuts in the fourth quarter, which could lead to lower loan rates for businesses and residents [4] Group 4 - The necessity for interest rate cuts is high due to weak credit and declining real estate sales, which could lower financing costs [5] - The sentiment in the stock market has been positive, indicating a need for careful guidance of market emotions through monetary tools like interest rate cuts [5] - Attention should be paid to potential government bond supply pressures at year-end, which may prompt further monetary policy actions [5]
LPR5年期维持3.5%不变 业内:报价仍有下调空间
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-22 04:37
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has maintained the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) at 3.0% for 1-year and 3.5% for 5-year and above, indicating stability in monetary policy and potential for future adjustments to stimulate domestic demand and stabilize the real estate market [1][6]. Group 1: LPR and Monetary Policy - The LPR for both 1-year and 5-year terms remained unchanged in September, aligning with market expectations due to stable policy rates [4]. - The PBOC's 7-day reverse repurchase rate has not changed, suggesting that the pricing basis for the LPR has not shifted significantly [1][4]. - Analysts believe there is still room for downward adjustments in policy rates and LPR before the end of the year to support economic growth and stabilize the real estate market [6][7]. Group 2: Economic Conditions and Future Outlook - Recent macroeconomic data has shown volatility due to various factors, including extreme weather and external market fluctuations, but fiscal policies have been supportive since the beginning of the year [4]. - The PBOC is expected to implement a new round of interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions in the fourth quarter, which could lead to lower loan rates for businesses and consumers [7]. - The current low inflation levels provide sufficient space for a moderately loose monetary policy, reducing concerns about high inflation [7]. Group 3: Market Reactions and Implications - The shift to a fixed quantity and interest rate bidding for the 14-day reverse repurchase operations indicates a move towards market-driven interest rates [5]. - Analysts suggest that the recent Federal Reserve rate cut may improve the environment for China's monetary easing, allowing for more aggressive domestic policy adjustments [6][8]. - The need for further support in the real estate market is emphasized, with expectations for targeted reductions in the LPR for longer-term loans to stimulate housing demand [7].
8月最新LPR!3.0%、3.5% 不变,买房人该等吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 03:53
刚刚!8月LPR 出炉:1年期3.0%、5年期以上3.5%,连续3个月没动! | | 中国人民银行 THE PEOPLE'S BANK OF CHINA | | | | 货币政策司 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | Monetary Policy De | | 信息公开 | 新闻发布 | 法律法规 | 货币政策 | 宏观审慎 | 信贷政策 | | | 金融科技 | 人民币 | 经理国库 | 国际交往 | 人员招录 | | 服务互动 | 政务公开 | 政策解读 | 公告信息 | 图文直播 | 央行研究 | | | 网送文告 | 办事大厅 | 在线申报 | 下载中心 | 网上调查 | | 首页 | 2025年8月20日 星期三 我的位置:首页 > 货币政策司 > 货币政策工具 > 利率政策 > 贷款市 | | | | | 图片来源:中国人民银行官网 附广州、深圳、东莞最新贷款政策 | 以下均为5年以上利率 | | | 广州 | | 深圳 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 商业贷款 ...
新一期LPR公布,为何“维持不变”?
凤凰网财经· 2025-04-21 14:12
来源|中国证券报 4月21日,中国人民银行授权全国银行间同业拆借中心公布, 2025年4月21日贷款市场报价利率(LPR)为:1年期LPR为3.1%,5年期以上LPR为 3.6%,均较上期维持不变。 这是LPR连续六个月"按兵不动"。 图片来源:中国货币网 业内普遍认为,本月LPR保持不变,符合市场预期。一方面,7天期逆回购利率保持稳定,作为LPR报价的定价基础,其稳定很大程度上预示LPR会 保持不变;另一方面,银行净息差仍处在低位,缺乏下调LPR报价加点的动力。 从经济基本面看,经济保持向好态势,LPR下行迫切性不强。 "年初以来LPR持续保持不变,根本上是因为一季度经济走势偏强,LPR下行的迫切性 不强。"东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青说。 从利率角度看,当前无论是企业贷款利率还是个人贷款利率都处于低位。 央行数据显示,3月份,企业新发放贷款(本外币)加权平均利率约为 3.3%,比上年同期低约45个基点;个人住房新发放贷款(本外币)加权平均利率约为3.1%,比上年同期低约60个基点。 往后看,LPR仍有下行空间。 民生银行首席经济学家温彬表示,在外部不确定性上升、内部政策效果处于观察期等情况下,央行货币调控" ...
还有更惨的
猫笔刀· 2024-12-15 14:16
今晚写夜报前看major决赛的直播,这是cs全年最重要的比赛,冠军奖金50万美元。我从2000年就开始玩这游戏,24年了,一直到现在都经常和哥们组 排,但水平已经不行了,就纯娱乐。 决赛是俄罗斯的spirit对阵欧洲的faze,前面两张图打成1:1,最后决胜图是全世界玩家最熟悉的dust2。spirt依靠队内天才步枪手的发挥一度握有7个赛点, 顽强的faze硬生生从5:12追到了11:12,但最终还是输掉了最后一局。 真的刺激,我已经很久没看过这么让人窒息的决赛了,电子竞技的观赏性绝对超过了绝大多数的体育项目。 这次比赛最闪耀的mvp是一个17岁的俄罗斯少年donk,今年是他征战职业赛场的第一年,但就打出了全球top1的水平,赛场表现炸裂,他的六边形数据全 部"爆表"。 来,把周末值得说的事情捋一捋。 1、10年期国债活跃券收益率跌破1.8%关口,报1.78%,继续创历史新低。30年国债的收益率也随后跌破2%关口,报1.9999%。已经有几家券商研报判断 明年的逆回购利率会下跌40-50bp,至于房贷的利率降幅则要比这个更大。做出这些判断是有前提的,即中国经济确实需要进一步的宽松刺激,以及房价 依然还没有达到 ...