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业绩稳健,分红力度超预期
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-24 16:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 三维化学(002469.SZ) 2024 年 03 月 24 日 证券分析师 -26% -17% -9% 0% 9% 17% 26% 三维化学 沪深300 -34% 1.《三维化学(002469.SZ):中标华锦 13 亿订单,鲁油鲁炼东风已至》, 2023.11.13 2.《三维化学(002469.SZ):Q3 归母 净利同比+70%,化工业务拐点已至》, 2023.10.27 3.《三维化学(002469.SZ):化工景气 度下滑短期拖累业绩,中标大额订单 强化成长确定性》,2023.8.28 4.《三维化学(002469.SZ):拟中标 13.1 亿元化工 EPC 订单,成长确定性 再加强》,2023.8.23 5.《三维化学(002469.SZ):精细化工 稳发展,稀土橡胶、氢能、光热促成 长》,2023.6.20 事件:公司发布 2023 年年报,2023 年公司实现营收 26.6 亿元,同比+1.8%,归 母净利润 2.82 亿元,同比+3.1%。 拟投资 7.2 亿,持续增加产能。公司控股子公司三维隆邦规划投资两大技改项目: (1)拟投资 4 ...
家用电器行业24W12周观点:Mini LED专题,龙头加速推新,品类进入快速渗透期
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-24 16:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 家用电器 2024年03月24日 家用电器 Mini LED 专题:龙头加速推新,品类 进入快速渗透期 ——24W12 周观点 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 [ 投Tab 资le_ 要Su 点mm :ar y] 谢丽媛 Mini LED专题:龙头加速推新,品类进入快速渗透期 资格编号:S0120523010001 邮箱:xiely3@tebon.com.cn Mini LED具有高对比度、高亮度、高色彩表现、寿命长、功耗低等优势,在显示领 贺虹萍 域持续渗透的可行性强。相比传统 LCD 技术,Mini LED 的局部调光技术可实现更 资格编号:S0120523020003 深的黑色和更高的对比度;相比OLED技术,Mini LED的局部调光技术可实现高亮 邮箱:hehp3@tebon.com.cn 度、高动态对比度、高分辨率、广色域等特点,在与 OLED 同等性能水平下,Mini 纪向阳 LED在寿命和性价比方面有较为明显的优势。 资格编号:S0120523120001 降本驱动下,Mini LED价格下探,性价比优势逐步凸显。2023年10月,小米发 ...
电力设备及新能源行业周报:国家发改委印发《全额保障性收购可再生能源电量监管办法》,有望促进可再生能源高质量发展
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-24 16:00
Investment Rating - The report rates the electric power equipment and renewable energy industry as "Outperforming the Market" [1]. Core Viewpoints - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has issued the "Full Guarantee Purchase Regulation for Renewable Energy Power Generation," which is expected to promote high-quality development in renewable energy [1][10]. - The new regulation shifts the responsibility for full purchase of renewable energy from the grid to market entities, increasing market pressure on electricity sales [14][15]. - The report emphasizes investment opportunities in the electric power equipment sector, particularly in high-voltage construction and new power system upgrades [4][49]. Summary by Sections 1. Regulatory Updates - The NDRC's new regulation will take effect on April 1, 2024, clarifying the responsibilities of various market participants in the purchase of renewable energy [10]. - The regulation defines the purchase of renewable energy as consisting of guaranteed purchase and market transaction volumes, with specific roles assigned to grid companies, trading institutions, and dispatch agencies [11][13]. 2. Renewable Energy Generation - Investment recommendations focus on the photovoltaic sector, highlighting key players such as JinkoSolar, LONGi Green Energy, and Trina Solar, with an emphasis on battery cell segments expected to see profit reversals [16]. - The wind power sector is also noted, with recommendations for companies involved in offshore wind and component manufacturing [16]. 3. Electric Power Equipment - Investment suggestions include focusing on high-voltage equipment manufacturers like State Grid NARI Technology, Pinggao Electric, and XJ Electric, as the country transitions into the "14th Five-Year Plan" for high-voltage construction [4][49]. - The report also suggests monitoring companies with strong overseas sales capabilities, particularly in the US and European markets [4]. 4. Market Performance - The electric power equipment and renewable energy sector experienced a decline of 0.76% in the past week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.06 percentage points [51].
产业经济周报:高端可选消费复苏有望带动高端制造回暖
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-24 16:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 产业经济周报 近期观点 4、基本面因子对市场的影响在提升,预计市场会从交易因子逐步回归基本面 因子。如果复苏交易成立,市场需要较长时间的风格切换,3 月或成为时间 窗口。 2、美国科技、制造、地产或均衡发展,中低收入人群薪资增速或难大幅回落, 美国通胀具有粘性。 6、低回报时代重点关注供给格局带来的长期超额收益。 8、高端制造供需缺口最大阶段或已过,产能过剩导致的利润下行或将改善。 2、全球科技产业将持续数据化、智能化演进,先进封装或接棒摩尔定律。 风险提示:美国就业超预期改善;中美关系改善不及预期;半导体周期再度下行 内容目录 3 / 12 | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------|-------| | | | | 图 1: 美联储声明情绪得分回归中性(单位: 点). | | | 图 2: 中国限额以上零售增速与社零总额增速背离(%) | | | 图 3: 宽基指数周涨跌幅(%) . | | | 图 4: 周度市场因子表现(%) . | | | 图 5: 产业 ...
化工行业周报:中国海油勘探发现亿吨级油田,泰州石化产业升级项目签约
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-24 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the chemical industry [1] Core Insights - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has discovered a major oil field with geological reserves of 104 million tons in the Bohai Sea, which is expected to boost offshore oil field development and energy security [3] - The signing of a high-end lubricating oil and specialty oil project by CNOOC in Taizhou, with a total investment of 5 billion yuan, aims to enhance product value and competitiveness [3] - The tire sector shows strong domestic competitiveness, with potential growth opportunities as the global tire market is valued in trillions, and domestic companies are expanding their market share [3] - The consumer electronics sector is expected to gradually recover, benefiting upstream material companies, particularly in the panel supply chain [3] - The chemical industry is witnessing a recovery in demand and prices, with leading companies benefiting from economies of scale and cost advantages [5] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.22%, while the CSI 300 Index decreased by 0.7%. The CITIC Basic Chemical Index dropped by 1.14% [10] - The top five performing sub-industries in the chemical sector this week were viscose (9.28%), other plastic products (4.79%), nylon (4.28%), dyeing chemicals (1.87%), and modified plastics (1.05%) [10][12] - The worst-performing sub-industries included potassium fertilizer (-6.05%), titanium dioxide (-2.73%), organic silicon (-2.43%), compound fertilizer (-2.28%), and soda ash (-1.97%) [10][12] Key Industry Dynamics - The discovery of the Qinhuangdao 27-3 oil field by CNOOC is a significant development for China's energy landscape, marking a major oil and gas find after a decade [3] - The Taizhou petrochemical project aims to transition from oil to specialty products, enhancing the region's industrial capabilities [3] - The tire industry is expected to see a recovery in demand as shipping cycles normalize and inventory levels decrease [3] - The chemical sector is experiencing a tightening supply-demand balance, particularly in phosphate and fluorine chemicals, due to environmental regulations and increasing downstream demand [5] Sub-Industry Reviews - In the polyurethane sector, pure MDI prices decreased by 3.88% to 19,800 yuan/ton, with stable supply and demand conditions [20] - The polyester sector saw a decline in prices for various products, with POY at 7,525 yuan/ton, down 2.59% [26] - The tire market is characterized by weak demand in the short-haul segment, while the semi-steel tire market shows better performance due to export orders [28]
业绩大幅提升,高分红持续

Tebon Securities· 2024-03-24 16:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 中国宏桥(01378.HK) 2024年03月25日 中国宏桥:业绩大幅提升,高分 买入(维持) 所属行业:原材料业/一般金属及矿石 红持续 当前价格(港币):7.39元 证券分析师 投资要点 翟堃 资格编号:s0120523050002 事件。公司发布2023年年报,报告期内,公司实现营业总收入1336亿元,同比 邮箱:zhaikun@tebon.com.cn 提升约1.5%;实现归母净利润115亿元,同比提升约31.7%。 张崇欣 资格编号:S0120522100003 电解铝利润提升为主要利润贡献。从公司的产品产销情况来看,2023年公司分别 邮箱:zhangcx@tebon.com.cn 销售铝合金产品574.8万吨,较去年同期547.3万吨同比提升约5.0%;销售氧化 高嘉麒 铝产品1037.4万吨,同比提升约25.0%;销售铝合金加工产品58万吨,同比减 资格编号:S0120523070003 少约5%。产品价格方面,铝合金产品销售价格较去年同比下降约 6.4%至16464 邮箱:gaojq@tebon.com.cn 元/吨(不含增值税 ...
轻工制造行业周观点:美国成屋销售超预期,关注家居出口,芬兰罢工持续推升浆价
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-24 16:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 轻工制造 2024年03月24日 轻工制造 周观点:美国成屋销售超预期,关注家居 出口,芬兰罢工持续推升浆价 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 [ 投Tab 资le_ 要Su 点mm :ar y] 毕先磊 资格编号:S0120524030001 家居:地产销售仍偏弱,压制板块情绪,基本面提供良好支撑,底部布局 Q1 绩 邮箱:bixl3@tebon.com.cn 优标的。从地产数据看,24 年 1-2 月房屋住宅新开工面积同比增速、商品房住宅 销售面积同比增速、房屋住宅竣工面积同比增速分别为-30.6%、-24.8%、- 研究助理 11.4%,新房销售仍偏弱,从销售到竣工传导链条看,整体竣工将仍有压力,短 期看仍会压制板块估值;从社零数据看,家具类零售额同比+4.6%,反映出家居 消费仍有韧性;展望后市,我们认为板块估值前期受地产情绪影响,已处于历史 底部,虽然地产销售仍待改善,但板块继续调整空间有限,同时从基本面看,家 市场表现 具行业整体零售额仍稳定增长,龙头品牌依靠自身品牌、渠道、品类优势,仍能 轻工制造 沪深300 有一定的超额增速,整体业绩增速预 ...
电子周观点:AI全面开花,芯片、大模型和终端共升级
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-24 16:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业点评 电子 2024年03月24日 电子 电子周观点:AI 全面开花,芯片、大模型和终 端共升级 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 [ 投Tab 资le_ 要Su 点mm :ar y] 陈海进 资格编号:S0120521120001 半导体:英伟达新芯片发布,大模型快速迭代。本周市场回顾:本周电子(中信) 邮箱:chenhj3@tebon.com.cn 指数上涨1.5%,费城半导体指数上涨3.2%。细分板块涨幅:半导体设备在各细分 板块里面表现最好。本周复盘:1、算力:英伟达GTC大会上,黄仁勋发布第一款 研究助理 Blackwell芯片GB200,其包括2个B200 GPU+1个ARM GraceCPU,推理大语 言模型性能比 H100 提升 30 倍,成本和能耗降至 25 分之一。英伟达同时推出 徐巡 GB200 NVL72服务器,提供36个CPU+72个Blackwell GPU。我们认为算力芯 邮箱:xuxun@tebon.com.cn 片性价比持续提升,将推动AI应用向各领域普及。2、AI:3/22日,Suno推出V3 陈妙杨 音乐生成模型。在文本大模 ...
电子行业存储价格周度跟踪-0324:DRAM需求清淡,NAND wafer询单增多
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-24 16:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告|行业点评 电子 2024年3月24日 电子 存储价格周度跟踪-0324: DRAM 需求清 淡,NAND wafer 询单增多 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 [ 投Tab 资le_ 要Su 点mm :ar y] 陈海进 资格编号:S0120521120001 DRAM : 受 传 统 淡季影 响 需求 清淡 ,现 货市 场 仍略 有卖 压 。 根据 邮箱:chenhj3@tebon.com.cn DRAMexchange,上周(0317-0324)DRAM18 个品类现货价格环比涨跌幅为- 3.5%~+0.3%,平均涨跌幅为-0.7%,前值为-0.1%。上周 2 个料号呈上涨趋势, 研究助理 16 个料号呈下降趋势,无料号价格持平。受到传统淡季影响,需求表现清淡,因 此整体价格仍略有下跌,Reball 颗粒部分跌幅持续。DRAM 模组厂部分,出于对 徐巡 需求展望的保守,购货动作仍在缩减中,同时,先前备货的贸易商陆续将货抛 邮箱:xuxun@tebon.com.cn 出,使得现货市场感受到卖压。 谢文嘉 邮箱:xiewj3@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 N ...
潞安环能:产销稳步增长,价格回落业绩承压
Tebon Securities· 2024-03-24 16:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 潞安环能(601699.SH) 2024年03月24日 潞安环能:产销稳步增长,价格 买入(维持) 所属行业:煤炭 回落业绩承压 当前价格(元):22.69 证券分析师 投资要点 翟堃 资格编号:s0120523050002 事件:公司发布2023年度业绩快报。公司全年预计实现营业收入431.39亿元, 邮箱:zhaikun@tebon.com.cn 同比-20.55%;归母净利润79.22亿元,同比-44.11%;扣非归母净利润78.89亿 薛磊 元,同比-45.08%;单季度来看,Q4公司预计实现营业收入 101.26亿元,同比- 资格编号:S0120524020001 29.31%,环比-9.02%;归母净利润6.52亿,同比-186.69%,环比-66.96%;扣非 邮箱:xuelei@tebon.com.cn 归母净利润6.47亿元,同比-187.36%,环比-67.19%。 研究助理 煤炭业务量增价减,焦炭业绩承压。煤炭业务方面,2023年公司预计实现原煤产 谢佶圆 量/商品煤销量为 6046/5498 万吨,同比+6.26%/+3.8 ...