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影视传媒行业周报:OpenAI在日本东京设立亚洲办事处,第十四届北京国际电影节开幕
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-22 08:00
[2T0a2b4l年e_I0n4d月ust2ry0In日fo ] 跟随大市(维持) 证券研究报告•行业研究•传媒 影视传媒行业周报(0414-0420) OpenAI 在日本东京设立亚洲办事处, 第十四届北京国际电影节开幕 投资要点 西南证券研究发展中心 行[Ta情bl回e_顾Su:m本m周ar,y]传 媒板块表现欠佳,下跌 4.48%,跑输创业板约 4.09个百 [分Ta析bl师e_:Au刘th言or ] 分点(创业板指下跌 0.39%);跑输市场约 6.38 个百分点(沪深 300 上涨 执业证号:S1250515070002 1.89%)。 电话:023-67791663 邮箱:liuyan@swsc.com.cn 细分行业:(1)游戏指数跑输市场:中信游戏指数(CI005577)下跌 6.22%, 沪深 300上涨1.89%。中信游戏指数相对于沪深300指数下跌8.11%;(2) 分析师:苟宇睿 广告指数跑输市场:中信广告指数(CI005847)下跌 4.88%,沪深 300上涨 执业证号:S1250524030001 电话:15882659190 1.89%。中信广告指数相对于沪深 300指 ...
业绩符合预期,超声内镜双轮驱动逻辑未变
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-22 08:00
Investment Rating - The report suggests actively monitoring the company due to its stable growth prospects [2][34]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.12 billion yuan in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 450 million yuan, up 22.9% [2][13]. - The dual-driven logic of ultrasound and endoscopy remains unchanged, with steady growth in both business lines [2][10]. - The company has made significant advancements in R&D, enhancing its product offerings and competitive edge in the high-end ultrasound market [17][22]. Summary by Sections 1. Business Overview - The company focuses on high-end medical equipment manufacturing, with a product line that includes ultrasound diagnostic devices, digestive and respiratory endoscopes, minimally invasive surgical products, and cardiovascular intervention products [10][12]. - The company has established a diversified development pattern, expanding from internal medicine to include surgical applications and consumables [10][12]. 2. Financial Performance - In 2023, the company reported quarterly revenues of 470 million, 570 million, 420 million, and 650 million yuan, with respective growth rates of 27.6%, 22.7%, 2.1%, and 27.6% [2]. - The overall gross margin improved to 69.4%, primarily due to an increase in the proportion of high-end models and installations in tertiary hospitals [17][19]. - The company’s net profit margin remained stable at around 21.5% [17]. 3. Business Segments - Ultrasound revenue reached approximately 1.22 billion yuan, growing by 13.3%, while medical endoscopy revenue was about 850 million yuan, increasing by 39% [2][32]. - The company launched new products in the ultrasound field, including the S80/P80 series, enhancing its competitive position [17][22]. - The endoscopy segment has seen significant growth, with the introduction of the HD-580 series, which has received positive recognition in clinical settings [27][28]. 4. R&D and Innovation - The company emphasizes R&D, with over 722 personnel dedicated to innovation, and has established multiple research centers globally [17][22]. - The center laboratory received CNAS accreditation, marking a significant milestone in its research capabilities [17]. - New product launches, such as the SV-M4K100 series in minimally invasive surgery, reflect the company’s commitment to advancing its product lineup [29][30]. 5. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 590 million, 770 million, and 970 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, indicating a robust growth trajectory [2][31]. - The ultrasound and endoscopy segments are expected to continue their growth, with projected sales increases of 16% and 39% for the respective segments in 2024 [31][32].
2024年一季报点评:经营压力持续,继续推进全国化
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-22 06:32
[Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 04 月 19 日 证券研究报告•2024 年一季报点评 持有 (维持) 当前价:6.08 元 桃李面包(603866)食品饮料 目标价:——元(6 个月) [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024年一季报,一季度实现营业收入 14亿元,同比下滑 5.2%, 实现归母净利润 1.2 亿元,同比下滑 16.9%。 毛利率承压,费用率企稳。1、一季度毛利率 23.1%,同比下滑 0.8pp。2、费 用率方面,销售费用率、管理费用率、研发费用率分别为 8.2%、2.5%、0.6%, 基本持平;财务费用率 0.6%,同比增加 0.3pp,主要由于利息支出增加。3、整 体净利率 8.2%,同比下滑 1.2pp。 盈利预测与投资建议。预计 2024-2026年归母净利润分别为 6.0亿元、6.7亿元、 7.5亿元,EPS 分别为 0.37元、0.42元、0.47元,对应动态 PE 分别为 16倍、 14 倍、13 倍,维持"持有"评级。 经营压力持续,继续推进全国化 Q1 各区域收入普遍下滑,西南保持增长。1、分品类看,一季度面包及糕点实 现收入 13.9 ...
宏观周报:财政、金融政策蓄力,美联储降息预期推迟
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-22 06:30
宏观周报(4.15-4.19) 请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分 1 (4)三部门发布优化商业领域支付服务通知,有助于促进消费扩大 (5)央行、外管局介绍一季度金融运行和外汇收支情况,货币政策仍有进一步发力空 间 请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分 3 点评:美国 3 月零售数据全面超预期,说明消费者支出仍然具有韧性。具体来看,在发 布的 13 个重点品类中,有 9 个品类的销售额与一个月前相比有所上涨。其中汽油、电商增 幅最大,电商环比增长 2.7%,较 2 月涨幅扩大 2.5 个百分点,加油站的支出因本月汽油价 格上涨而增加,环比涨幅扩大 0.5 个百分点至 2.1%;机动车辆及零部件继上个月飙升之后 跌幅最大,环比由 2 月上涨 2.5%转为下降 0.7%,电子和家用电器环比也由上月上涨 1.3% 转为下降 1.2%。零售销售数据公布后,美元指数短线拉升约 20 点,美元兑日元升破 154; 美股期货短线小幅走低,多期限美债收益率再创年内新高;现货黄金短线波动不大。由于美 国 3 月份零售增长再度超预期,美联储的降息预期被再度削弱。美联储基金期货市场对今年 降息幅度的预期已下调至 45BP,9 月首次降息的概 ...
通信行业:5G-A,通感融合赋能低空经济
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-22 06:30
5G-A——通感融合赋能低空经济 西南证券研究发展中心 通信研究团队 2024年4月 www.swsc.com.cn 核心要点 1 政策多次提及低空经济,万亿市场待发掘。从产业来看,低空经济主要包括低空制造、低空飞行、低空保障和综合服务等产业,具有 辐射面广、产业链条长、成长性和带动性强等特点,在拉动有效投资、创造消费需求、提升创新能级方面具有广阔空间。eVTOL 在 个人和公共交通、物流和军事领域都有着广泛的应用前景。据Morgan Stanley预测,2026 年全球eVTOL市场规模将达 619 亿美元, 2030年有望达到305.19亿美元,到 2040 年将高达1.5万亿美元。 中国移动全球首发5G-A商用部署,5G-A再掀热潮。2024年3月28日,中国移动5G-A商用发布会在浙江杭州举行,中国移动网端业 协同加速推进5G-A商用,2024年底5G-A网络部署城市超300个,5G-A终端种类超20款,5G-A终端销量超2000万,5G-A行业标杆 100个。在ITU定义的5G三大标准场景eMBB、mMTC、uRLLC基础上,5G-Advanced进行了深入的增强和扩展,新增了三大新场 景——UCB ...
估值周报:微盘股大跌,全球风险资产普跌
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-22 06:00
[Table_ReportInfo] 2024 年 04 月 20 日 证券研究报告•市场投资策略 估值周报(0415-0419) 地址:北京市西城区金融大街 35 号国际企业大厦 A 座 8 楼 邮编:100033 微盘股大跌,全球风险资产普跌 | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
立华股份年报一季报解读
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-22 03:55
立华股份年报一季报解读 240422 西南_原文 2024 年 04 月 22 日 11:51 发言人 1 00:00 由西南研究所白名单客户不构成投资电影。本公司不对投资者使用本次会议内容所导致的投资 损失承担任何责任。专家发言内容仅代表专家个人观点,不代表本公司观点。 发言人 1 00:13 未经本公司一事先书面许可,任何机构和个人不得以任何形式复制、刊载、转载、转发、引用 本次会议内容,否则,由此造成的一切后果及法律责任由该机构或个人承担,本公司保留追究 其法律责任的权利。大家好,欢迎参加西南农业益华股份年报一季报解读。目前所有参会者均 处于静音状态,在演讲结束后将给大家留有提问时间。下面有请主持人开始发言,谢谢。 发言人 2 00:48 发言人 2 01:40 的一些计划应该是完成还是比较好的。 发言人202:30 二三年上市上市这个肉筋 4.571 只,应该说超过我们 8 到 10 的一个目标指引,同比增长 12.16。 肉鹅是 172 万只,同比也有一个 20%左右的一个增长。饿完了去年行情应该还是应该说一枝独 秀。上市肉猪是 85 万多多头,应该也有 50%的一个同比一个增长。所以应该说我们年初 ...
海外业务增长强劲,公司盈利能力提升
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-22 02:30
盈利预测 关键假设: 公司业务主要以空分设备为主,占比超 95%,可以应用于天然气、煤化工、石油化工、 冶金、工业气体等行业。目前下游行业需求旺盛,叠加"一带一路"政策利好,近年来公司 新签订单增多,2022-2023 年公司新签订单分别为 33.75 亿元、41 亿元;目前公司新厂区一 号厂房已经投入生产,产能有望得到提升,进一步保障公司业绩增长稳定性。预计 2024-2026 年公司空分设备业务整体增速 25%、20%、20%,毛利率随海外业务占比提升稳中有增。 基于以上假设,我们预测公司 2024-2026 年分业务收入成本如下表: | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------|--------|-------------------|-------------------|-------------------|-----------------| | 单位:百万元 | \n收入 | 2023A \n2064.61 | 2024E \n2580.76 | 2025E \n3096.92 | 2026E \n3716.30 | | 空分设备销 ...
2024年一季报点评:24Q1业绩超预期,期待美瞳业务发展
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-22 01:30
23年业绩符合预期,24Q1业绩亮眼。公司 2023年收入增速 64.1%,净利润增 速 25.9%,业绩符合预期。24Q1收入增速 63.6%,净利润增速 28.8%。手术类 产品方面,人工晶状体收入同比增长 41.7%,其中,境外人工晶状体收入同比 增长 127.9%。视光类产品中,角膜塑形镜收入同比增长 26.1%。离焦镜收入同 比增长 247.3%。收入端业绩超预期。盈利能力方面,公司 23年毛利率 76.0%, 较去年同期下降 8.8pp,归母净利率 32%,较去年同期下降 8.2pp。24Q1毛利 率 36.4%,较去年同期下降 7.9pp,归母净利率 33.2%,较去年同期下降 8.2pp。 由于产品结构调整所致,预计随着美瞳产品产能爬坡利润率提升,公司利润率 将持续修复。 盈利预测与投资建议:预计 2024-2026 年 EPS 分别为 3.93元、5.02元、6.65 元,对应动态 PE 分别为 35 倍、28 倍、21 倍。公司后续储备产品管线丰富, 预计 2024 年美瞳产品释放产能,维持"买入"评级。 投资要点 西南证券研究发展中心 数据来源:Wind 请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分 ...
2023年年报点评:2023年利润高增,战略产品矩阵初显成效
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-22 01:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative performance increase of over 20% in the next six months [10][26]. Core Insights - The company experienced significant profit growth in 2023, with a 41.46% year-on-year increase in net profit, reaching 215.17 million yuan [8][10]. - The strategic product matrix is taking shape, leading to a decrease in R&D expense ratio and a reduction in the impact of share-based payment amortization on net profit [2][9]. - The company’s gross margin improved by 1.11 percentage points to 41.66% in 2023, while the net profit margin increased by 3.49 percentage points to 13.06% [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved total revenue of 1.648 billion yuan in 2023, a 3.70% increase year-on-year, with Q4 revenue at 769 million yuan, down 2.17% year-on-year [8][10]. - The revenue breakdown by business segments includes: - Visual inspection equipment: 608 million yuan, up 14.64% [2]. - Visual measurement equipment: 538 million yuan, down 29.02% [2]. - Visual process equipment: 410 million yuan, up 68.01% [2]. - Intelligent driving solutions: 92 million yuan, up 61.94% [2]. Business Development - The company is expanding its product matrix, with new business areas such as domain controllers, PCB, photovoltaic, and semiconductor gradually ramping up [3]. - In intelligent driving, the company has secured two main factory clients for development and one for proof of concept, with mass production orders expected in 2024 [3][16]. - The PCB segment has developed four product series and is anticipated to grow rapidly [3]. - Progress in photovoltaic equipment is on track, with the first generation of copper plating graphic equipment delivered for customer trials by Q3 2023 [3]. Profitability Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 274 million yuan, 332 million yuan, and 405 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, maintaining a compound annual growth rate of 23% [10][15]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the next three years are projected to be 1.43 yuan, 1.73 yuan, and 2.10 yuan [10][15].