Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has downgraded the EBITDA forecast for China Civil Aviation Information Network (00696) for the years 2023 to 2027 by 6% to 7% due to slower-than-expected revenue recognition in the SI business, lower processing volumes from foreign airlines, and reduced depreciation and amortization expenses [1] Summary by Categories Financial Performance - The net profit forecast for the company this year remains largely unchanged, supported by significant credit impairment reversals and lower depreciation and amortization [1] - The net profit forecasts for the next two years have been reduced by 1% and 2% respectively [1] Target Price and Ratings - Morgan Stanley has raised the target price for China Civil Aviation Information Network from HKD 9.9 to HKD 10.2, adjusting the assumption for the RMB exchange rate from considering RMB appreciation to a 1.5% appreciation against the HKD [1] - The stock continues to be rated as "Underweight" by Morgan Stanley [1]

Core Insights - *ST Rock (600696.SH) reported a significant decline in revenue and profitability for the first half of 2025, with total revenue of 28.25 million yuan, down 85.22% year-on-year [1][3] - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -67.77 million yuan, ranking 10th among its peers [1] - The company's financial health is concerning, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 74.38%, an increase of 11.53 percentage points compared to the same period last year [3] Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 28.25 million yuan, a decrease of 163 million yuan from the same period last year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -67.77 million yuan, ranking 10th among disclosed peers [1] - Operating cash flow was 6.32 million yuan, ranking 8th among peers [1] Key Financial Ratios - The debt-to-asset ratio stood at 74.38%, up 2.40 percentage points from the previous quarter and 11.53 percentage points from the same period last year [3] - Gross margin was 51.16%, down 14.42 percentage points year-on-year, ranking 10th among peers [3] - Return on equity (ROE) was -20.44%, a decrease of 5.79 percentage points compared to the same period last year [3] Earnings and Turnover Metrics - Diluted earnings per share were -0.20 yuan, ranking 10th among peers [3] - Total asset turnover ratio was 0.01 times, down 83.68% year-on-year [3] - Inventory turnover ratio was 0.03 times, a decline of 75.41% compared to the same period last year [3] Shareholder Structure - The number of shareholders is 29,000, with the top ten shareholders holding 235 million shares, accounting for 70.33% of total equity [3] - The largest shareholder is Shanghai Guijiu Enterprise Development Co., Ltd., holding 42.8% of shares [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company's 1H25 performance aligns with market expectations, showing a slight decline in revenue but an increase in net profit [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for 1H25 was 3.895 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.6% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.448 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, meeting market expectations [1] - AIT business revenue grew by 2.1%, while system integration business revenue fell by 38.5%, impacting overall revenue growth [1] - The company reported a 4.2% decrease in operating costs, primarily due to reduced depreciation costs and lower sales costs in the integration business [2] Business Segments - The AIT business processed a total booking volume that increased by 5.3% year-on-year, while the processing volume for foreign and regional airlines decreased by 7.8% [1] - Revenue from settlement services, data networks, and technical support saw varied performance, with settlement services growing by 12.4% and technical support increasing by 30.4% [1][2] Development Trends - The company holds a 20.66% stake in China Aviation Information Technology Co., Ltd., which operates the "Huanglv Zongheng" app, recently launching a direct sales platform for airlines [2] - Monitoring user activity and commercialization potential of the app is recommended [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 remain unchanged at 2.327 billion yuan and 2.581 billion yuan, respectively [2] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 13.6 for 2025 and 12.1 for 2026, with a target price of 13 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 10.2% [2]

成本费用拆分：1）人工成本yoy+3.2%，员工数量小幅提升2.5%；2）折旧及摊销yoy-17.6%，主要系部 分固定资产和无形资产折旧摊销完成所致；3）集成业务销售成本yoy-52.1%，受项目进度影响；4）技 术支持及维护费yoy-0.2%；5）离港分销支持费yoy+1.3%，主要系离港服务保障费、代理人外航订座奖 励业务增长以及对账确认进度等因素所致。 经营数据：2025 年1-6 月，中国航司系统处理总量3.6 亿人次，yoy+5.5%，其中国内航段系统处理量3.2 亿人次，yoy+3.6%，国际航段系统处理量4581 万人次，yoy+21.5%。 同期，外国航司系统处理总量581 万人次，yoy-7.8%，上半年外国航司恢复相对停滞，主要原因包括： 1）受到对空域飞行安全性影响，外国航司飞往中国的成本增加，在飞机运力有限情况下，以经济效益 出发，部分外国航司宣布停飞或缩减中国航线；2）国际旅客运输市场竞争加剧，受到国内航国际段运 力增长，叠加价格优势、时刻丰富等影响，抢占了外航市场份额。值得注意的是，6 月单月外航系统处 理量同比增加3%，打破了连续3 个月同比下降局面，展望未来，单方面免签国家范 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance for 1H25, with revenue declining by 3.6% to 3.895 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 5.9% to 1.448 billion yuan, aligning with the company's profit forecast [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's AIT processing volume grew steadily by 5.3%, while system integration revenue experienced fluctuations [1][2] - AIT revenue increased by 2.1% to 2.313 billion yuan, although this growth was lower than the processing volume increase [2] - The company benefited from a reversal of credit impairment losses amounting to 177 million yuan, contributing positively to net profit [2] Group 2: Business Segments - Technical support and product revenue surged by 30.4% to 385 million yuan, driven by increased IT service demands from civil aviation-related companies [2] - The system integration business saw a significant decline of 38.5% to 418 million yuan, attributed to project completion timing and a high base from 1H24 [2] - Data network business revenue fell by 12.4% to 190 million yuan, influenced by high usage baselines from certain customers [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company maintains a positive long-term outlook on civil aviation demand growth, expecting continued profitability driven by its leading market position and technological expertise [1][3] - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been slightly adjusted to 2.194 billion, 2.476 billion, and 2.776 billion yuan respectively, with an EPS of 0.75, 0.85, and 0.95 yuan [3] - The target price is set at 15.60 HKD, reflecting a PE ratio of 19 times for 2025 earnings [3]

Financial Performance - Total revenues decreased by 3.6%, from RMB 4041.8 million in 2024 1H to RMB 3894.5 million in 2025 1H[28] - Aviation information technology services revenue increased by 2.1%, from RMB 2265.0 million in 2024 1H to RMB 2313.4 million in 2025 1H[33] - Settlement and clearing services revenue increased by 12.4%, from RMB 278.0 million in 2024 1H to RMB 312.5 million in 2025 1H[33] - System integration services revenue decreased significantly by 38.5%, from RMB 679.8 million in 2024 1H to RMB 418.4 million in 2025 1H[33] - Income from technical support and products increased by 30.4%, from RMB 295.3 million in 2024 1H to RMB 385.0 million in 2025 1H[33] - Other income decreased by 10.2%, from RMB 307.2 million in 2024 1H to RMB 275.7 million in 2025 1H[33] - Total operating expenses decreased by 4.2%, from RMB 2535.3 million in 2024 1H to RMB 2427.9 million in 2025 1H[41] Operational Data - Total volume processed by the systems increased by 5.31% compared to 2024 1H and increased by 9.91% compared to 2019 1H[12] - The processing volume of China Airlines' system handled by China Aviation Information Corporation is about 360 million people, a year-on-year increase of 5.5% and a year-on-year increase of 12.5% compared to the same period in 2019[17] Future Investments - The company's capital expenditure commitment amounted to approximately RMB 1518.7 million as of June 30, 2025[47] - The relevant budget for Beijing Shunyi Park Phase II is approximately RMB 938.0 million, and the total expenditures for Shunyi Phase II Project not exceeding RMB 1032.0 million[51]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of China Civil Aviation Information Network in the first half of 2025 shows growth in several core business indicators against the backdrop of a record high in the civil aviation passenger market. However, challenges such as a decline in foreign airline business processing volume, cost control pressures, and adjustments in business structure warrant attention [1]. Group 1: Core Business Growth - The electronic travel distribution system processed approximately 370.7 million passengers, a year-on-year increase of 5.3%, primarily driven by strong performance from domestic airlines, with processing volume for Chinese airlines up by 5.5% [3]. - The company has solidified its monopoly position in the domestic aviation tourism information technology solutions market, but the processing volume for foreign and regional airlines decreased by 7.8%, indicating challenges in international business expansion [3]. - The self-developed universal self-service check-in system is used in 240 major domestic and international airports, with online check-in services applied in 360 airports, processing approximately 239.6 million outbound passengers [3]. Group 2: Settlement and Clearing Business Growth - The settlement and clearing business became a highlight in the first half of the year, with approximately 628.4 million transactions processed, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%, and agency settlement amounts exceeding 35.61 billion RMB, a significant increase of 20.0% [4]. - The growth in settlement amounts outpaced transaction volume growth, indicating a notable increase in the average transaction value [4]. - The company has optimized its third-generation passenger revenue management platform in line with IATA's new distribution capability standards, successfully integrating with 11 airlines [4]. Group 3: Technology Innovation and Commercialization Challenges - The company has made significant investments in technology innovation, with a cumulative total of 19 signed clients for digital retail middle platform solutions and 29 airlines served by the enterprise-level data middle platform [6]. - The company is actively exploring emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence, blockchain, and digital currency, with the low-altitude economy business collaboration platform signing its first user [6]. - However, the commercialization level and profitability contribution of these technology innovation projects remain unclear, posing a challenge for the company to convert its technological advantages into market competitiveness and economic benefits [6].

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the profit forecast for China Civil Aviation Information Network (00696) at 2.327 billion yuan for 2025 and 2.581 billion yuan for 2026, with a target price of 13 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 10.2% from the current stock price [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company's revenue was 3.895 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 3.6%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.448 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, aligning with market expectations [1]. - The company's AIT business revenue grew by 2.1% year-on-year, with total bookings increasing by 5.3%. However, the processing volume for foreign and regional airlines decreased by 7.8% [2]. - Operating costs decreased by 4.2% year-on-year, primarily due to a 17.6% decline in depreciation costs and a 52.1% drop in sales costs for integration business [3]. Group 2: Business Segments - The system integration business saw a significant revenue decline of 38.5%, negatively impacting overall revenue growth due to project construction progress [2]. - The settlement business, data network, and technical support revenues grew by 12.4%, declined by 12.4%, and increased by 30.4% respectively in 1H25 [2]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The company holds a 20.66% stake in China Aviation Information Technology Co., Ltd., which operates the "Travel Companion" app. The app recently launched a "Civil Aviation Official Direct Sales Platform" feature, allowing users to compare and purchase tickets from multiple airlines without agent fees [4]. - It is recommended to monitor the user activity changes of the "Travel Companion" app and its potential impact on commercialization [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 15.60 [1][5]. Core Views - The company reported a slight increase in profit, with a 5.9% year-on-year growth in net profit to RMB 1.448 billion, despite a 3.6% decline in revenue to RMB 3.895 billion in the first half of 2025 [1][4]. - The growth in the aviation information technology (AIT) processing volume by 5.3% indicates a steady increase in demand for civil aviation travel in China, which is expected to continue driving the company's profitability [1][2]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the long-term growth in civil aviation demand and its established leadership in the aviation information sector [1][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company's revenue was RMB 3.895 billion, down 3.6% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 1.448 billion, up 5.9% [1][4]. - The AIT business revenue increased by 2.1% to RMB 2.313 billion, while technical support and product revenue surged by 30.4% to RMB 385 million, indicating potential new growth drivers [2]. Business Segments - The system integration business saw a significant decline in revenue, down 38.5% to RMB 418 million, primarily due to project completion timing and a high base from the previous year [3]. - Data network business revenue decreased by 12.4% to RMB 190 million, affected by high usage base from some customers [3]. Cost and Profitability - Total operating costs decreased by 4.2% to RMB 2.428 billion, with a notable reduction in sales costs related to integration business, which fell by 52.1% to RMB 201 million [4]. - The company managed to achieve a slight decline in operating profit of 2.6% to RMB 1.467 billion, but the recovery of credit impairment losses contributed positively to net profit growth [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted to RMB 2.194 billion, RMB 2.476 billion, and RMB 2.776 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS estimates of RMB 0.75, RMB 0.85, and RMB 0.95 [5][10]. - The target price of HKD 15.60 is based on a PE ratio of 19 times the 2025 estimated EPS [5].

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the profit forecast for China Civil Aviation Information Network (00696) at 2.327 billion yuan for 2025 and 2.581 billion yuan for 2026, with a target price of 13 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 10.2% from the current stock price [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company's revenue was 3.895 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 3.6%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.448 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, aligning with market expectations [1]. - The company's operating costs decreased by 4.2% year-on-year, primarily due to a 17.6% decline in depreciation costs and a 52.1% drop in sales costs related to integration business [3]. - The company recognized a net reversal of credit impairment losses of 177 million yuan in 1H25, compared to 66 million yuan in 1H24, attributed to improved customer payments and a reduction in accounts receivable bad debt [3]. Group 2: Business Segments - The AIT business showed stable performance with a revenue growth of 2.1% in 1H25, while the total booking volume increased by 5.3% [2]. - The processing volume for Chinese airlines grew by 5.5% in 1H25, but the processing volume for foreign and regional airlines declined by 7.8%, indicating a slower recovery [2]. - The system integration business experienced a significant revenue decline of 38.5%, negatively impacting overall revenue growth due to project construction progress [2]. Group 3: Strategic Focus - The company holds a 20.66% stake in China Aviation Information Technology Co., Ltd., which operates the "Travel Companion" app, recently launching a "Civil Aviation Official Direct Sales Platform" feature [4]. - The app allows users to compare and purchase tickets from multiple airlines on a single interface without charging ticket agency fees, suggesting potential for increased user engagement and commercialization [4].