Group 1 - Home appliance stocks experienced a significant increase, with Skyworth Group rising by 10.45% to HKD 5.18, Midea Group increasing by 5% to HKD 89.2, Haier Smart Home up by 4.2% to HKD 25.3, and Hisense Home Appliances gaining 2.33% to HKD 23.72 [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance jointly issued a notice on December 30 regarding the implementation of large-scale equipment updates and the replacement of consumer goods by 2026, which is expected to positively impact the home appliance sector [1] - Dongfang Securities anticipates that the domestic sales pressure will improve in the first quarter of 2026 as national subsidy funds become available, and the industry will gradually enter a post-subsidy era [1] - Guotou Securities forecasts that the home appliance replacement policy will continue into 2026, with optimized support scope, subsidy standards, and implementation mechanisms, benefiting companies with R&D, channel, and brand advantages [1] - The easing of the US-China trade conflict is expected to reduce tariff pressures, allowing home appliance companies to gradually release global production capacity, with emerging markets contributing to incremental growth [1]

Group 1 - Home appliance stocks experienced a significant rise, with Skyworth Group increasing by 10.45% to HKD 5.18, Midea Group rising by 5% to HKD 89.2, Haier Smart Home up by 4.2% to HKD 25.3, and Hisense Home Appliances gaining 2.33% to HKD 23.72 [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance jointly issued a notice on December 30 regarding the implementation of large-scale equipment updates and the old-for-new policy for consumer goods in 2026 [1] - Dongfang Securities anticipates that the domestic sales pressure will improve in the first quarter of 2026 with the arrival of national subsidy funds, and the industry will gradually enter a post-subsidy era [1] - Guotou Securities forecasts that the old-for-new policy for home appliances will continue in 2026, with optimized support scope, subsidy standards, and implementation mechanisms, leading to steady domestic home appliance consumption [1] - Companies with advantages in research and development, distribution, and branding in both white goods and black goods sectors are expected to benefit more from the new policy [1] - The easing of the China-U.S. trade conflict is expected to reduce tariff pressures, and home appliance companies are gradually releasing global production capacity, with emerging markets contributing incremental growth [1]

Group 1 - The 2026 appliance replacement policy will provide subsidies for consumers purchasing energy-efficient home appliances, with a subsidy of 15% of the product price, capped at 1,500 yuan per item [1] - The first batch of subsidies for the 2026 policy amounts to 62.5 billion yuan, which is lower than the 2025 plan, and the eligible appliance categories are fewer [1] - Citigroup believes the new policy will boost consumer sentiment despite the limited overall impact on e-commerce platforms due to high baseline effects and smaller subsidy scale [1] Group 2 - The 2026 policy is expected to stimulate domestic appliance sales and improve product structure, benefiting companies with R&D, channel, and brand advantages in the white and black goods sectors [2] - The easing of US-China trade tensions may reduce tariff pressures, allowing home appliance companies to gradually release global production capacity and gain incremental contributions from emerging markets [2] - The new policy is anticipated to drive the home appliance industry towards high-end, intelligent, and green upgrades, favoring large appliance companies with competitive advantages [2] Group 3 - Related Hong Kong-listed companies in the home appliance industry include Midea Group, Haier Smart Home, Hisense Home Appliances, TCL Electronics, Skyworth Group, and Xiaomi Group [3]

Group 1 - The Chinese government has announced a new policy for 2026 to support the replacement of old appliances and consumer goods, providing a subsidy of 15% of the product price for eligible energy-efficient appliances, with a maximum subsidy of 1,500 yuan per item [1][2] - The first batch of funding for this policy amounts to 62.5 billion yuan, aimed at stimulating consumer sentiment despite a smaller subsidy scale compared to 2025 [1][2] - The policy is expected to benefit e-commerce platforms, although the overall impact may be limited due to high baseline effects and reduced subsidy amounts [1][2] Group 2 - The 2026 policy focuses on high-efficiency products, with a narrower scope and lower subsidy rates compared to 2025, which aligns with market expectations and is anticipated to improve domestic appliance sales [2] - Companies with advantages in research, distribution, and branding in the white and black goods sectors are expected to benefit more from the new policy [2] - The policy is likely to drive the home appliance industry towards higher-end, smart, and green upgrades, optimizing product structures [2] Group 3 - Relevant Hong Kong-listed companies in the home appliance supply chain include Midea Group, Haier Smart Home, Hisense Home Appliances, TCL Electronics, Skyworth Group, and Xiaomi Group [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese home appliance industry is at a critical juncture, with the theme for 2026 being "going overseas" as domestic market saturation and overcapacity issues become more pronounced. This shift represents a "second entrepreneurship" for companies like Haier, Midea, Hisense, and TCL, marking a decisive battle for the next decade [2]. Group 1: Market Overview - The global home appliance market is nearly 4.5 trillion yuan, indicating significant overseas market potential [4]. - Midea and Haier are projected to generate around 270 billion yuan in revenue each in 2024, translating to a global market share of only about 6% [5]. - Domestic brands struggle to exceed 10% market share in most overseas regions, while leading competitors like Samsung and LG dominate [8]. Group 2: Historical Context and Challenges - Chinese home appliance companies have historically relied on capacity export and brand acquisitions for overseas expansion, but this growth model is becoming less effective [9]. - The gap between global manufacturing share (over 45%) and retail share (less than 20%) highlights a significant challenge in value creation and brand premium [9]. - Haier and Midea's overseas revenue share has stagnated around 50% and 42% respectively over the past five years, indicating a lack of growth [9]. Group 3: Brand and Channel Development - The need for a "second entrepreneurship" in brand and channel development is emphasized, as domestic brands face challenges in replicating their successful domestic strategies in international markets [15]. - Building brand recognition and effective distribution channels in overseas markets is crucial, as traditional strategies may not apply [16][20]. - The complexity of overseas channels, dominated by large retailers, poses significant barriers for Chinese companies [20]. Group 4: Opportunities and Strategies - Technological innovation is seen as a key to overcoming brand premium challenges, with Chinese companies making strides in areas like AI and smart home technology [22]. - Emerging markets such as Southeast Asia and Latin America present significant growth opportunities due to low penetration rates and less established competition [29]. - E-commerce is becoming a vital channel for market entry, allowing brands to reach consumers without heavy investment in physical stores [34]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The transition to a full value chain operation by 2026 signifies a shift from manufacturing management to comprehensive brand and channel strategies [36]. - Success in this transformation is critical for elevating Chinese manufacturing from a "global factory" to a "global brand," enhancing competitiveness in the global market [36].

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the home appliance sector, particularly focusing on the cost reduction potential of aluminum replacing copper in air conditioning systems [2][5] - The adoption of aluminum-copper technology is seen as a significant step towards reducing production costs amid rising copper prices and resource scarcity [10][15] Group 1: Aluminum-Copper Technology Impact - The use of aluminum instead of copper in air conditioning units can lead to substantial cost savings, with estimates suggesting a reduction of 208 to 277 RMB per unit when replacing 50% of copper, and up to 416 to 554 RMB when replacing 100% [11][12] - Copper currently constitutes about 26% to 33% of the cost in standard air conditioning units, with high-end models reaching over 40% [11][12] - The global market has seen significant adoption of aluminum-copper products, particularly in Japan where approximately 40% to 50% of air conditioners use aluminum heat exchangers [15][16] Group 2: Domestic Market Challenges - Despite the cost advantages, the domestic promotion of aluminum-copper air conditioners faces challenges, including inferior thermal conductivity and corrosion resistance compared to copper [19][20] - Consumer perception is a major barrier, as negative opinions about aluminum's reliability persist, complicating market acceptance [19][20] - The first domestic aluminum-copper air conditioner was launched by Wanbao in collaboration with JD.com, targeting the mid-to-low-end market, which may help accelerate industry-wide material transitions [16][17] Group 3: Industry Performance and Trends - The home appliance sector has shown mixed performance, with the overall index increasing by 0.44%, while specific segments like white goods and black goods experienced varied changes [21][22] - Recent data indicates a decline in domestic sales growth for air conditioners, refrigerators, and washing machines, reflecting broader market challenges [33][47] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring raw material prices, with copper and aluminum prices showing significant fluctuations that could impact production costs [29][31]

Group 1: Domestic Demand and Market Outlook - The home appliance sector is expected to show a "high first half and stable second half" trend in 2025, driven by policy continuation and consumption peaks [1] - In the first three quarters of 2025, air conditioner shipments increased by 8.4%, refrigerators by 2.4%, and washing machines by 4.1% year-on-year [1][13] - For 2026, the continuation of subsidies is anticipated to mitigate the impact of high base effects and demand pull-forward, with projected declines in overall appliance sales of -4% to -7.3% under various subsidy scenarios [1][16][19] Group 2: Export Performance and Global Market Trends - Home appliance exports have slowed down due to tariff policies and global supply chain adjustments, but still show resilience and structural highlights [2] - In 2025, the export growth rate for air conditioners is expected to be weaker than that of washing machines and refrigerators, primarily due to adverse weather conditions affecting overseas demand [2][39] - The U.S. market is projected to benefit from a rate cut, which may enhance demand for home appliances, while the European market is expected to maintain a slow recovery [42][44][50] Group 3: Investment Themes - The narrative in the black appliance sector is shifting from "market share chasing" to "profit and pricing power," with Chinese brands like Hisense and TCL expected to convert market share into higher profits [3][55] - White appliances are seen as having strong growth potential due to their historical resilience through cycles, with leading brands like Midea and Haier expected to maintain stable growth and generous dividends [3][83] - The global competition in new consumer products, particularly in smart imaging and robotic vacuum cleaners, is expected to favor Chinese brands, highlighting their competitive advantages [3] Group 4: Financial Metrics and Valuation - As of December 22, 2025, the home appliance sector's PE TTM is 16.27 times, remaining below the 10-year average of 32.8% [7] - The white appliance segment's current PE is 11.22, while black appliances stand at 25.94, indicating varying levels of market valuation [9] - The home appliance sector has seen a decline in public fund holdings, with a heavy allocation of only 2.46% in Q3 2025, reflecting concerns over demand in 2026 [9]

Summary of Hisense Home Appliances Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Hisense Home Appliances - **Industry**: Home Appliances Key Points Industry and Market Conditions - The fourth quarter of 2025 continues to face operational pressures due to the decline of national subsidies and high base effects from the previous year. However, some product categories are seeing a rebound in price indices, leading to slight improvements in profit margins. The overseas market is undergoing inventory destocking, with expectations for order recovery in December and early next year [2][3][4]. Product and Business Development - The newly launched water-based paint factory in Changsha is expected to enhance the central air conditioning business and improve processing depth, aiding in order growth in the mature markets of Europe and America. Currently, water machine products account for about 5% of total revenue, with positive outlooks for the water-cooled and liquid-cooled market trends [2][5]. - Hisense is exploring aluminum alternatives to copper to mitigate the impact of rising copper prices, with some experience in overseas markets. The domestic market will require consideration of technology maturity and consumer acceptance [2][6]. Strategic Focus and Brand Development - The company anticipates that the effects of subsidy exhaustion will be less severe than historical policies. Hisense is focusing on building core competencies and brand recognition in the post-subsidy era, targeting consumer segments with products like fresh air conditioners and embedded refrigerators to gain competitive advantages [2][7]. - The competitive landscape in the air conditioning market is expected to shift in 2026, with leading companies focusing more on core capabilities and brand image enhancement. Hisense aims to strengthen its competitive edge to perform better in the post-subsidy environment [2][8]. Operational Efficiency and Market Strategy - Hisense plans to maintain profitability in the processing sector while expanding market share in emerging markets. The company is integrating resources from Nantong, Hisense Hitachi, and Jiakang to improve overall efficiency and reduce ineffective SKUs [2][9]. - The air conditioning division has faced operational pressures in 2025, prompting management to implement integration and efficiency measures, including procurement and channel collaboration [2][10]. Revenue and Profit Guidance - For 2026, the central control products are expected to achieve positive growth, with varying quarterly performances. The public construction segment is projected to grow from 15% to 35% of revenue, while the renovation segment is expected to decrease from 35% to 15% [2][11]. - The company is optimistic about overall performance in 2026, despite challenges in the renovation segment, which has seen a decline of over 20% each quarter [2][11]. International Market Outlook - Hisense's international sales have shown good growth, with regions like Latin America exceeding 30% growth. However, some areas like ASEAN have experienced declines due to adverse weather conditions. The company plans to enhance market share and average selling price (ASP) in mature markets while expanding product offerings in flexible markets like Latin America and ASEAN [2][12]. - The 2026 FIFA World Cup in North America is expected to significantly boost Hisense's growth in these regions, leveraging sponsorship to enhance brand visibility and market penetration [2][13]. Risk Management and Supply Chain - Hisense is managing risks related to increased tariffs on exports to Mexico by optimizing local procurement and maintaining a competitive edge through its Mexican manufacturing base [2][14]. - The company is also addressing the impact of the domestic new energy vehicle tax reduction and softening European demand by optimizing product structures to enhance market competitiveness [2][14]. Financial Planning and Capital Expenditure - Hisense plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of around 50% and is exploring new incentive schemes for employees. Capital expenditures will include the construction of the Changsha mobile phone factory and the second and third phases of the Thailand industrial park, aimed at meeting future demand in Europe and the U.S. [2][17]. Future Guidance - Specific revenue and profit guidance for 2026 will be assessed based on domestic and international market conditions, with plans to communicate updates to the market as necessary [2][18].

12月22日，格隆汇在线上举办"科技赋能·资本破局"分享会。本次分享会，备受瞩目的卓越公司评选榜 单将隆重揭晓，其中格隆汇"金格奖"年度卓越公司评选中，爱尔眼科(300015.SZ)吴士君、福寿园 (01448.HK)祝启铭、海信家电(000921.SZ/00921.HK)张裕欣、隆基绿能(601012.SH)刘晓东、罗博特科 (300757.SZ)李良玉、天齐锂业(002466.SZ/09696.HK)张文宇、许继电气(000400.SZ)万桂龙、药明康德 (603259.SH/02359.HK)韩敏8位荣获"年度卓越董秘"奖项。（排名不分先后，按公司首部字母顺序排 列） "年度卓越董秘"奖项旨在表彰在负责公司治理、股权事务管理、信息披露、投资者关系等层面表现突出 的上市公司董秘。该奖项体现出市场与投资者对董秘长期坚持公司规范化运作、及时合规信披、保障股 东公平知情权，以及保持稳健发展并持续维股东创造价值的高度认可。本次评选通过定量数据分析和专 家评审团等方式得出最终结果。 格隆汇以"全球视野，下注中国"为初衷，本次评选旨在打造出投资圈中最具参考价值的上市公司及独角 兽公司排行榜。此次"金格奖"上市公司评选 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations on December 22, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.43% to close at 25,801.77 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 0.87% to 5,526.83 points, and the National Enterprises Index up by 0.43% to 8,939.68 points [1] - Major technology stocks showed mixed performance, with Alibaba up by 0.76%, Tencent Holdings up by 0.08%, and JD Group up by 0.9%, while Xiaomi fell by 1.83% and NetEase by 0.09% [1] - The optical communication sector was strong, with Huiju Technology rising by 13% and Changfei Optical Fiber Cable up by 11% [1] - Duty-free concept leader China Duty Free Group surged over 15%, while the new consumption sector saw significant gains, with Mixue Group up over 10% and Pop Mart up over 4% [1] - Chip stocks also rose, with SMIC increasing by nearly 6% and Hua Hong Semiconductor up over 5% [1] - Gold stocks generally rose, with China National Gold up over 7% and Shandong Gold up over 5% [1] - Four new stocks were listed, including Impression Dahongpao and Huacheng Biotechnology, all of which experienced a decline in their initial trading [1] Company News - SF Holding reported a total revenue of 27.173 billion yuan for November, a year-on-year increase of 7.85%, with express logistics revenue growing by 9.88% and business volume increasing by 20.13% [2] - Capital Venture expects to achieve an unaudited net profit of approximately 115 million to 140 million HKD for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2025, marking a turnaround from losses, primarily due to improved performance in listed equity investments [2] - Tianqi Lithium announced the completion of the third phase of its chemical-grade lithium concentrate expansion project, which has officially commenced trial production [3] - Qingdao Port plans to purchase two assets from the cruise port development for the Qingdao Shipping Financial Center [4] - CanSino Biologics has initiated Phase I clinical trials for its DTCP–HIb–MCV4 combined vaccine, completing the enrollment of the first subject [5] - Junshi Biosciences received FDA approval for the Phase I clinical trial application of its biosimilar HLX18 for the treatment of various solid tumors [5] - China National Nuclear Corporation's subsidiary, CNNC Haidewei, received clinical approval for its BNCT boron drug [6] - Hisense Home Appliances subscribed to a financial product from Jingu Trust worth 1.892 billion yuan [7] - Evergrande Property's liquidator has received several updated non-binding offers from selected bidders, which are currently under consideration [7] - Ruian Construction completed the sale of Ruian Property Management Services [8] - Tianjin Port Development's subsidiary plans to purchase ten gantry cranes for 185 million yuan [9] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities noted that after a strong rally in September, the Hong Kong market has experienced fluctuations since October due to varying overseas macro expectations, with quality assets becoming more attractive [10] - Huatai Securities indicated that the market is still in a left-side layout phase, with uncertainties surrounding the "Santa rally" and potential supply-demand pressures at year-end [10] - China Galaxy suggested focusing on the technology sector as a long-term investment theme, which has seen valuation corrections and may rebound due to multiple favorable factors [10] - The consumption sector is expected to receive significant policy support, with current valuations at relatively low levels, indicating potential for long-term growth [10]