标普发表报告称，预计中国今年新屋销售同比下跌8%至8.8万亿元至9万亿元人民币，跌幅远大于5月时 的3%预测。标普认为，若需求能先在一线城市趋向稳定，将有助需求更持续地复苏，现时预计明年销 售额将再跌6%至7%，一手楼价下跌1.5%至2.5%。 申万宏源则预计，三季度房企业绩仍将继续承压，主要源于2021年后销售连续下降导致结算下降；前期 降价促销推动当期结算影响利润率低位。但考虑到随着政府要求房地产行业"止跌回稳"以及企业利润率 见底、减值出清，综合预计25-26年板块业绩有望底部震荡中弱复苏，并且企业之间业绩分化也将进一 步加剧。 智通财经APP获悉，内房股继续走低，截至发稿，融信中国(03301)跌6.25%，报0.18港元；融创中国 (01918)跌3.13%，报1.55港元；富力地产(02777)跌3.03%，报0.64港元，新城发展(01030)跌2.94%，报 2.31港元。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，内房股继续走低，截至发稿，新城发展(01030)跌5.04%，报2.45港元；中国海外宏 洋集团(00081)跌4.15%，报2.31港元；融创中国(01918)跌1.82%，报1.62港元。 消息面上，中指研究院发布数据显示，1-9月百强房企销售总额为26065.9亿元，同比下降12.2%，降幅 较1-8月收窄1.1个百分点。9月单月，百强房企销售总额环比增长11.9%。中指研究院表示，9月，核心 城市继续优化需求端政策，但市场表现来看，除核心城市市场有所修复外，多数城市楼市表现相对平 淡，市场仍面临一定调整压力。 国泰海通证券认为，考虑4Q进入高基数期，维稳要求及四中背景下，政策逻辑依旧明显。光大证券 指，2025年，随着前期一揽子房地产政策的持续落地，地方政府楼市调控自主性提升，区域分化和城市 分化进一步加深，部分高能级核心城市将有望获益于城市更新，实现城市结构优化转型和内涵式发展， 逐步实现"止跌企稳"。 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 新城發展控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月2日 FF301 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01030 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 7,065,741,521 | | 0 | | 7,065,741,521 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | 0 | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 7,065,741,521 | | 0 | | 7,065,741,521 | 第 2 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 I. 法定/註冊股本變 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong real estate stocks experienced a general decline, with notable drops in several major companies [1] - Specifically, China Oceanwide Holdings fell nearly 4%, while Longfor Group, Sunac China, Jianfa International, Ronshine China, Longguang Group, and Yuexiu Property all dropped over 2% [1] Group 2 - The stock performance of various companies is as follows: - China Oceanwide Holdings (03377) decreased by 3.75% to a price of 0.154, with a market capitalization of 1.795 billion [2] - Longfor Group (00960) fell by 2.95% to 11.530, with a market cap of 81.19 billion [2] - Sunac China (01918) declined by 2.94% to 1.650, with a market cap of 1.8925 billion [2] - Jianfa International Group (01908) dropped by 2.91% to 17.370, with a market cap of 38.911 billion [2] - Ronshine China (03301) decreased by 2.37% to 0.206, with a market cap of 347 million [2] - Longguang Group (03380) fell by 2.31% to 1.270, with a market cap of 7.22 billion [2] - Yuexiu Property (00123) declined by 2.11% to 5.100, with a market cap of 2.053 billion [2] - Other companies such as China Resources Land, Greentown China, Vanke Enterprises, and others also experienced declines ranging from 1.29% to 1.91% [2]

Group 1 - The new Federal Reserve Governor, Milan, advocates for aggressive interest rate cuts, suggesting a reduction of at least 150 to 200 basis points from the current range of 4.00%-4.25% [2] - Milan's stance is based on the concept of "neutral interest rate," which he believes is currently around 2%, significantly lower than the existing federal funds rate [2] - He attributes the previous higher neutral rate to government borrowing and increased immigration, which have now slowed due to tightened border policies and rising tariff revenues [2] Group 2 - No new issuances were reported in the primary market today [4] - Three companies had their ratings updated, including New World Development, which terminated a subscription agreement due to current market conditions [5] - Shimao Group is actively negotiating loan extensions and restructuring with domestic creditors, with approximately RMB 22.8 billion of loans successfully extended [5] - Poly Property Group announced a reduction in the coupon rate of a bond by 180 basis points, effective from November 1, 2025 [5] Group 3 - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority is expanding its RMB trade financing liquidity arrangement to support offshore RMB business growth [10] - The People's Bank of China conducted a reverse repurchase operation of CNY 165.8 billion at a rate of 1.40%, with a net injection of CNY 4.115 billion for the day [10]

Core Viewpoint - The real estate industry is experiencing a positive shift in financing, with several companies successfully issuing bonds and notes, which is expected to enhance cash flow and restore market confidence during a period of deep adjustment [1][2][4]. Financing Developments - New City Development's subsidiary issued $160 million in secured notes, Poly Developments plans to issue up to 15 billion yuan in corporate bonds, and Wanda Group disclosed the issuance of 1 billion yuan in medium-term notes [1]. - The total bond financing for real estate companies reached 380.89 billion yuan in the first eight months of 2025, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.8% [1]. Credit Bond Market - Credit bonds are the mainstay of financing, accounting for 60.1% of the total financing structure, with 229.09 billion yuan raised in the first eight months [1]. - Companies are using credit bonds to replace high-interest debt, thereby reducing financing costs and alleviating debt pressure [2]. Project Financing and Support - The establishment of a "white list" mechanism for project financing has expanded the scale of financing, with over 7 trillion yuan supporting nearly 20 million housing units [2]. - The new financing model focuses on real estate projects rather than companies, ensuring reasonable financing needs are met while managing financial risks [2]. Innovative Financing Tools - The use of various innovative financing tools, such as operating property loans and public REITs, is shifting real estate financing from relying on new capital to activating existing assets [3]. - Major companies like China Merchants Shekou and Longfor Group have secured hundreds of billions in operating property loans to enhance liquidity and accelerate project delivery [3]. Overseas Financing - The successful issuance of $300 million in senior unsecured bonds by New City Holdings marked a significant step for private real estate companies in re-entering overseas capital markets [4]. - The issuance of $160 million in secured notes by New City Development's subsidiary is seen as a signal of improved market expectations for private real estate companies [4]. Future Outlook - The ongoing improvement in financing conditions is expected to support the stabilization of the real estate market and assist companies in transitioning to a dual development model of both development and operation [4]. - Companies are urged to utilize the newly available funds effectively to maintain the "guarantee delivery" principle and restore buyer confidence [4].

Core Viewpoint - The real estate industry is experiencing a positive shift in financing, with several companies successfully issuing bonds and notes, which is expected to enhance cash flow and restore market confidence during a period of deep adjustment [1][2][4]. Financing Developments - New City Development's subsidiary issued $160 million in secured notes, Poly Developments plans to issue up to 15 billion yuan in corporate bonds, and Wanda Group disclosed the issuance of 1 billion yuan in medium-term notes [1]. - In the first eight months of 2025, the total bond financing for real estate companies reached 380.89 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.8% year-on-year [1]. Credit Bond Market - Credit bonds are the mainstay of financing, accounting for 60.1% of the total financing structure, with 229.09 billion yuan raised in the first eight months [1][2]. - Companies are using credit bonds to replace high-interest debt, thereby reducing financing costs and alleviating debt pressure [2]. Project Financing and Support - The establishment of a "white list" mechanism has expanded project financing, with over 7 trillion yuan allocated to support nearly 20 million housing units [2][3]. - The new financing model focuses on real estate projects rather than companies, ensuring reasonable financing needs are met while safeguarding financial institutions' risk management [2]. Innovative Financing Tools - The use of various innovative financing tools, such as operational property loans and public REITs, is shifting real estate financing from relying on new capital to activating existing assets [3]. - Major companies like China Merchants Shekou and Longfor Group have secured hundreds of billions in operational property loans to enhance liquidity and accelerate project delivery [3]. Overseas Financing - The successful issuance of $300 million in senior unsecured bonds by New City Holdings marked a significant step for private real estate companies in re-entering overseas capital markets [4]. - The recent issuance of $160 million in secured notes by New City Development's subsidiary is seen as a signal of improved market expectations for private real estate firms [4]. Future Outlook - The ongoing improvement in the financing environment, combined with proactive corporate transformations, is expected to lead the real estate industry towards a healthier development ecosystem [5].

Group 1 - The real estate industry has seen positive financing news since September, with several companies successfully issuing bonds and notes, indicating a potential recovery in market confidence [1][2] - Credit bonds are the mainstay of financing, accounting for 60.1% of the total financing in the first eight months of 2023, which supports the reduction of the industry's asset-liability ratio [1][2] - The issuance of credit bonds allows companies to replace high-interest debt, thereby reducing financing costs and easing debt repayment pressures [2][3] Group 2 - A new financing model focusing on project-based funding rather than company-based funding has been established, with a "white list" mechanism facilitating the financing of over 7 trillion yuan for housing projects [2][3] - Innovative financing tools such as operating property loans and public REITs are being widely utilized, shifting the focus from increasing new financing to activating existing assets [3][4] - The reopening of overseas financing channels for private real estate companies, although limited in scale, signals an improvement in market expectations and creditworthiness [3][4] Group 3 - The successful issuance of bonds by New City Development marks a significant step for private real estate companies in accessing international capital markets, enhancing their credit profile [4] - The ongoing improvement in financing conditions and proactive transformation efforts by companies are expected to lead the real estate industry towards a healthier development ecosystem [5]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong real estate stocks have shown a significant upward trend, driven by recent policy optimizations aimed at supporting reasonable housing demand across various cities in China [1] Company Performance - Country Garden saw an increase of over 5% in its stock price, while China Overseas Macro Group rose by 4% and Ronshine China by 3.5% [2] - Other notable performers include Vanke Enterprises, Longfor Group, and Oceanwide Holdings, each rising nearly 3%, and China Jinmao increasing by 2% [2] Policy Developments - Multiple cities in China have recently optimized real estate policies, including Dongguan offering a subsidy of 2% of the total purchase price for eligible homebuyers, capped at 30,000 yuan [1] - Sichuan is implementing a "one city, one policy" approach to stabilize the real estate market, while Guangzhou has introduced new policies allowing property companies to sell self-held housing [1] - Major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen have adjusted their purchase restrictions, indicating a broader trend of policy support for the housing market [1] - New first-tier cities are reportedly studying the latest real estate policies to further stimulate housing demand and enhance purchase support [1]

Core Viewpoint - New City Development (01030) announced the termination of a subscription agreement with the subscriber after further discussions, considering the current market conditions [1] Group 1: Subscription Agreement Termination - The company and the subscriber agreed to terminate the subscription agreement, effective from September 25, 2025 [1] - All rights, interests, obligations, and responsibilities of the parties involved in the subscription agreement will be concluded and terminated [1] - The board believes that the termination of the subscription agreement will not have any significant adverse impact on the group's business operations and financial condition [1]