东北证券指出，2026年开年楼市政策持续加码，央行下调结构性工具利率，保障性住房再贷款利率降至 1.25%，商办首付比例从50%降至30%，换房退税政策延期，政策力度明显增强。一线城市供需结构同 步改善，市场预期稳步修复。北京新政后新房成交放量，二手房带看与成交回升，价格跌幅显著收窄。 上海二手房定金与成交量明显回暖，挂牌量持续下降，价格趋稳。深圳二手房带看与签约量创2025年小 阳春以来新高，挂牌价降幅进一步收窄。整体来看，政策支持力度加大叠加一线城市数据改善，楼市量 价指标有望加速筑底。 智通财经APP获悉，内房股多数上涨，截至发稿，中国金茂(00817)涨6.62%，报1.62港元；绿城中国 (03900)涨5.49%，报10.38港元；中国海外宏洋集团(00081)涨4.2%，报2.48港元；新城发展(01030)涨 3.13%，报2.31港元；万科企业(02202)涨1.94%，报3.68港元。 消息面上，万科债务化解取得重大进展，"22万科MTN004""22万科MTN005"两笔合计57亿元中期票 据，展期议案均获通过。与此同时，万科第一大股东深铁集团向其提供不超过23.6亿元借款，专项用于 偿 ...

Core Insights - The report indicates a sustained optimistic sentiment in the real estate sector, suggesting that the market performance is likely to continue positively throughout the year [1]. Group 1: Policy Environment - Central policies have seen few new measures, maintaining a loose stance towards the real estate sector. Recent actions include the extension of tax incentives for public rental housing and a reduction in the minimum down payment for commercial properties from 50% to 30% [5][16]. - Local policies focus on long-term strategies in major cities, with initiatives aimed at urban renewal and optimizing land use policies [5][16]. Group 2: Transaction Performance - New home transactions remain low, with a year-on-year decline of 31.3% in the first 22 days of January, while second-hand home transactions have shown a year-on-year increase of 14.1% [5][9]. - The number of second-hand home subscriptions has increased significantly, with a year-on-year growth of 59.8% in the same period [5][9]. Group 3: Market Conditions - The new housing supply is in a seasonal downturn, with a 12% decrease in new home launches week-on-week. However, the transaction volume slightly exceeds the supply, indicating a market adjustment [5][9]. - The land supply and transaction scale have contracted sharply, with a 67% year-on-year decrease in land transaction value [5][9]. Group 4: Sector Performance - The real estate sector has shown strong performance, with a 5.2% increase in the SW real estate index, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.8 percentage points [5][9]. - Major real estate companies have experienced notable stock price increases, with leading firms like Greentown and China Merchants Shekou seeing significant gains [5][9]. Group 5: C-REITs Overview - The C-REITs sector has seen a 2.29% increase in the comprehensive return index, with 68 out of 78 REITs reporting gains this week [5][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Buy" rating for the real estate industry, consistent with the previous rating [2]. Core Insights - The real estate market is showing signs of recovery, with a notable increase in second-hand home subscriptions and a strengthening of transaction confidence [7][15]. - The average daily subscription for second-hand homes in 79 cities reached 3,404 units from January 1 to January 22, 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.1% compared to the same period in 2025 [16][27]. - The report highlights that the market is experiencing a self-driven recovery without significant large-scale stimulus policies being implemented [16]. Summary by Sections 1. Second-Hand Homes: Significant Growth in Subscriptions and Record High Conversion Rates - Overall transactions show a recovery in lower-tier cities, although this has not yet fully translated into net signing [15]. - In key cities, second-hand home subscriptions in first-tier cities like Guangzhou are relatively stable, while many lower-tier cities are experiencing growth [31]. - The conversion rate of visits to transactions has reached a new high, with a 5.6% conversion rate in 70 cities, up from the previous quarter [35]. 2. New Homes: Low Net Signing Levels Across All Tiers - The average daily net signing for new homes in 45 cities was 250,000 square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 42.1% [29]. - All tiers of cities are experiencing varying degrees of decline in new home net signing, with first-tier cities seeing the most significant drops [29]. 3. Price Trends and Market Dynamics - As of January 22, 2026, the average price of second-hand homes in 33 cities has decreased by 17.9% year-on-year compared to 2025 [41]. - The report indicates that the price adjustments in lower-tier cities are more pronounced, aligning closer to residents' psychological expectations, which has led to increased subscriptions [42]. - The report notes a decline in the number of second-hand listings, particularly in key cities, due to factors such as the removal of ineffective listings by agents and homeowners withdrawing listings amid falling prices [41].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a positive trend in the Hong Kong real estate sector, with most property stocks experiencing gains, indicating a recovery in the market [1] - The Minister of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, Ni Hong, emphasized three key areas for urban renewal this year: the renovation of old urban communities, the promotion of complete community construction, and the transformation of small public spaces in cities [1] - The government aims to stabilize the real estate market by implementing targeted policies and supporting reasonable financing needs of property companies, as well as addressing the housing demands of residents [1] Group 2 - In the secondary housing market, major cities are showing signs of recovery, with first-tier and strong second-tier cities experiencing increased activity [1] - Data from monitoring agencies indicate that the transaction volume in Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen is improving, with Shanghai's second-hand housing listings decreasing for nine consecutive months, leading to a more balanced supply-demand relationship [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a positive trend in the Hong Kong real estate stocks, with several companies experiencing significant gains, indicating a recovery in the market [1] - The Minister of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, Ni Hong, emphasized three key areas for urban renewal this year: the renovation of old urban communities, the promotion of complete community construction, and the transformation of small public spaces [1] - The government aims to stabilize the real estate market by implementing targeted policies and supporting reasonable financing needs of real estate companies, as well as addressing the housing demands of residents [1] Group 2 - In the secondary housing market, major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen are showing signs of recovery, with a notable decrease in the number of listings in Shanghai for nine consecutive months, leading to a more balanced supply-demand relationship [1] - Specific stock performance includes China Jinmao rising by 4.4%, Greentown China by 4%, Zhongliang Holdings by over 3%, and New City Development by 1.8%, among others, indicating a general upward trend in the sector [2]

Core Viewpoint - New City Development (01030) announced the conditional sale of its subsidiaries, New City Jin Feng Asset Management Co., Ltd. and New City Jin Feng Securities Co., Ltd., to Jin Feng Capital Holdings Limited for a total consideration of HKD 88.05 million, aimed at optimizing resources and streamlining the group's structure [1] Group 1: Transaction Details - SRCIM, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the company, has entered into two share transfer agreements with Jin Feng Capital Holdings Limited, agreeing to sell the entire issued share capital of target company A for HKD 25.23 million and target company B for HKD 62.82 million [1] - The sale is conditional, with both parties agreeing to the terms outlined in the share transfer agreements [1] Group 2: Strategic Rationale - The board believes that the sale will enable the group to optimize resources and streamline its structure, particularly as the target companies do not have significant business operations [1] - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, the target companies are expected to incur overall losses, with only minimal profits projected for the year ending December 31, 2025 [1] - The proceeds from the sale will allow the group to allocate financial resources to its primary business operations as a property developer or other future business developments [1]

Core Viewpoint - New City Development (01030) announced the conditional sale of its subsidiaries, New City Jin Feng Asset Management Co., Ltd. and New City Jin Feng Securities Co., Ltd., to Jin Feng Capital Holdings Limited for a total consideration of HKD 88.05 million, aimed at optimizing resources and streamlining the group's structure [1] Group 1: Transaction Details - The sale involves two agreements: Agreement A for the sale of New City Jin Feng Asset Management Co., Ltd. for HKD 25.23 million and Agreement B for the sale of New City Jin Feng Securities Co., Ltd. for HKD 62.82 million [1] - The transactions are conditional, with SRCIM (the company's wholly-owned subsidiary) agreeing to sell and the buyer agreeing to purchase the entire issued share capital of both target companies [1] Group 2: Strategic Rationale - The board believes that the sale will allow the group to optimize resources and streamline its structure, particularly as the target companies do not have significant business operations [1] - The target companies reported an overall loss for the year ending December 31, 2024, and are expected to generate only minimal profit for the year ending December 31, 2025 [1] - The proceeds from the sale will enable the group to allocate financial resources to its primary business operations as a property developer or other future business developments [1]

Core Viewpoint - New City Development (01030.HK) announced the conditional sale of its subsidiaries, New City Jin Feng Asset Management and New City Jin Feng Securities, for a total consideration of HKD 88.05 million, aimed at optimizing resources and streamlining the group's structure [1]. Group 1: Transaction Details - The sale involves two agreements: Agreement A for the sale of New City Jin Feng Asset Management at HKD 25.23 million and Agreement B for New City Jin Feng Securities at HKD 62.82 million [1]. - Upon completion of the sale, the target companies will no longer be subsidiaries of New City Development, and their financial performance, assets, and liabilities will not be consolidated into the group's financial statements [1]. Group 2: Strategic Rationale - The board believes that the sale will enable the group to optimize resources and streamline its structure, particularly as the target companies do not have significant business operations [1]. - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, the target companies recorded an overall loss, and for the year ending December 31, 2025, they are expected to generate only minimal profits [1]. - The proceeds from the sale will allow the group to allocate financial resources to its primary business operations as a property developer or other future business developments [1].

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不 對 因 本 公 告 全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責 任。 SEAZEN GROUP LIMITED 新城發展控股有限公司 （於 開 曼 群 島 註 冊 成 立 的 有 限 責 任 公 司） （股 份 代 號：1030） 有關出售子公司的 關連交易 出售事項 於2026年1月20日（交 易 時 段 後），SRCIM（本 公 司 的 全 資 子 公 司）與買方訂立股 份轉讓協議A及股份轉讓協議B，據 此，SRCIM有條件同意出售而買方有條 件同意購買目標公司A的全部已發行股本及目標公司B的 全 部 已 發 行 股 本， 代價分別為25,230,000港元及62,820,000港 元。 於 出 售 事 項 完 成 後，目 標 公 司 將 不 再 為 本 公 司 的 子 公 司，而 各 目 標 公 司 的 財 務 業 績、資 產 及 負 債 將 不 再 綜 合 計 入 本 集 團 的 財 務 報 表。 上市規則涵 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate sector, focusing on high-quality real estate companies and commercial real estate [3][4][21]. Core Insights - The investment side of the real estate sector remains weak, with a year-on-year decline of 17.2% in total real estate development investment for 2025, and a significant drop of 35.8% in December alone [4][21]. - The sales side shows a narrowing decline in sales area, with a year-on-year decrease of 8.7% for 2025, and a 15.6% drop in December [22][32]. - The funding side indicates a continued decline in funding sources, with a 13.4% year-on-year decrease in total funding for real estate development in 2025, and a sharp 26.7% drop in December [37]. Summary by Sections Investment Side - Total real estate development investment for 2025 reached 828.8 billion yuan, down 17.2% year-on-year, with December's investment declining by 35.8% [4][21]. - New construction area decreased by 20.4% year-on-year, with December showing a 19.4% decline [20][21]. - The report adjusts 2026 forecasts, predicting a 7.7% decline in new construction and a 9.1% drop in investment [21]. Sales Side - The total sales area for 2025 was 880 million square meters, down 8.7% year-on-year, with December's sales area declining by 15.6% [22][32]. - The total sales revenue for 2025 was 8.4 trillion yuan, reflecting a 12.6% year-on-year decrease, with December's sales revenue down 23.6% [24][32]. - The average selling price of commercial housing for 2025 was 9,527 yuan per square meter, down 4.3% year-on-year [31][32]. Funding Side - Total funding sources for real estate development in 2025 amounted to 9.3 trillion yuan, a decrease of 13.4% year-on-year, with December's funding sources down 26.7% [37]. - Domestic loans saw a year-on-year decline of 7.3%, with a significant drop of 45% in December [37]. - The report anticipates that funding sources will gradually improve due to ongoing policy relaxations [37].