8月21日，公司以每股23.28-23.7港元回购331.8万股,回购金额7840万港元。 8月22日，中国宏桥(01378)盘中上涨2.07%，截至14:14，报24.6元/股，成交8.41亿元。 中国宏桥集团有限公司是一家涵盖热电、采矿、氧化铝、液态铝合金、铝合金锭、铝合金铸轧产品、铝 母线、高精铝板带箔、新材料的全产业链产铝特大型企业。截至2023年，其总资产达到2003.2亿元，是 全球领先的铝产品制造商之一。 截至2025年中报，中国宏桥营业总收入810.39亿元、净利润123.61亿元。 本文源自：金融界 作者：行情君 ...

Core Viewpoint - The number of indices a listed company is included in, along with the market recognition of these indices, serves as an important reference for evaluating the investment value of the company [1] Group 1: Market Context - Since August, the bullish atmosphere in the Chinese capital market has intensified, with major A and H-share indices reaching new highs, indicating a potential acceleration in index performance [1] - High-quality stocks that are included in multiple indices and index-linked funds are particularly noteworthy, as they are likely to attract more buying interest from external investors during a bull market [1] Group 2: Company Profile - China Hongqiao - China Hongqiao (01378) is highlighted as a representative company with significant potential, having been included in a total of 216 indices, with 16 of these indices linked to fund products, amounting to a total fund size of approximately 42.6 billion yuan [1] - The average market value of China Hongqiao shares held by each index fund is about 946 million yuan [1] Group 3: Investment Value Recognition - China Hongqiao has a substantial weight in several actively managed index funds, reflecting its recognized investment value among professional investors [2] - In the CSI Hong Kong 100 Equal Weight Index, China Hongqiao accounts for approximately 1.41% of the fund, making it the second-largest holding by market value [2] - The company has been newly included in 24 indices this year, with the latest inclusion being in the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Resource Series Index on August 11 [2] Group 4: Dividend and Share Buyback Strategy - China Hongqiao has been enhancing its shareholder return mechanism by increasing its dividend payout ratio and implementing share buybacks, with dividends projected to rise from 0.51 HKD per share in 2022 to 1.61 HKD in 2024 [3] - The company has spent 2.61 billion HKD to repurchase approximately 18.7 million shares in the first half of the year, with plans to initiate a new buyback program of at least 3 billion HKD [3] Group 5: Financial Performance - The latest financial report shows that China Hongqiao's revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders reached 81.039 billion yuan and 12.361 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 10.1% and 35% [3][4] - The company is also expanding its production capacity through strategic acquisitions and international projects, which are expected to enhance its competitive advantage and profitability [4] Group 6: Future Outlook - With the increasing number of indices including China Hongqiao, the number of index funds holding the company is expected to grow, enhancing its attractiveness to external investors [4] - Given its strong growth potential and high dividend characteristics, the company's stock price is anticipated to maintain robust support, with expectations for continued upward momentum in a bullish market environment [4]

对于上市公司而言，获纳入指数的数量多寡，以及这类指数的市场认可度高低，是评判上市公司投资价值的重要参考坐标。一般而言，某上市公司获纳入指 数越多、且将其纳入的指数市场认可度越高，则该上市公司的投资价值也就越大。 进入8月以来，中国资本市场牛市氛围渐浓，A、H股主要指数争先恐后创出阶段新高，指数行情似已一触即发。笔者认为，这种情况下，被尽可能多的指数 及挂钩指数基金"相中"的优质个股，便尤其值得重点关注。毕竟，一旦指数行情进入加速发酵期，相对应的权重股势必会吸引到更多买盘尤其是场外投资者 的注意力，因此这类标的在牛市中的爆发力也会更胜一筹。 智通财经认为，这类指数不约而同"相中"宏桥，底层逻辑自然在于近年来中国宏桥加快建立、完善股东回报机制，逐年提升派息比例，同时还不忘以长效回 购等举措多维度提升股东回报。数据显示，2022-2024年，中国宏桥每股派息金额分别为51港仙、63港仙、161港仙，分红力度一年大过一年。而在回购方 面，今年上半年宏桥已斥资26.1亿港元累计回购约1.87亿股。另据公司最新公告披露的新一轮回购指引，接下来宏桥将启用不低于30亿港元加码回购股份。 | | 中国宏桥获纳入指数及对应指数基 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that China Hongqiao's performance in the first half of 2025 exceeded expectations, with a positive outlook on aluminum prices, leading to a maintained "buy" rating and an increased target price from HKD 22 to HKD 29 [1] - In the first half of 2025, China Hongqiao's revenue rose to RMB 81 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, driven by higher average selling prices (ASP) of alumina and aluminum products, as well as increased sales volume [1] - The company's gross margin improved by 1.5 percentage points to 25.7%, and net attributable profit grew by 35% to RMB 12.36 billion, with a net profit margin increase of 3 percentage points to 17% [1] Group 2 - The financial health of China Hongqiao is improving, with a significant increase in interest coverage ratio to 17.6 times due to optimized debt structure and improved interest rates, alongside plans to continuously reduce debt levels [1] - Although no interim dividend was declared for the first half of 2025, management expects the annual dividend payout ratio to remain stable at 63% for the fiscal year 2024 [1] - Based on the expected earnings per share of HKD 2.60 for the fiscal year 2025 and a 63% potential dividend payout ratio, the implied dividend yield is projected to be 7%, which is attractive for investors [1] Group 3 - Looking ahead, DBS Bank anticipates that strong aluminum prices will continue, highlighting China Hongqiao's competitive advantages [2] - The management of China Hongqiao expects the average selling price of electrolytic aluminum to be between RMB 20,600 and RMB 21,300 per ton, and the average selling price of alumina to be between RMB 3,200 and RMB 3,300 per ton, indicating a sustained strong outlook for aluminum prices [2] - Global aluminum demand is projected to grow by 3.1% in 2025, outpacing a supply growth of 1.8% [2]

展望未来，星展银行预计铝价强势有望延续，这将凸显中国宏桥的竞争优势。该行指出，中国宏桥管理 层预计2025年电解铝平均售价为20600-21300元/吨，氧化铝平均售价为3200-3300元/吨，显示铝价前景 持续强劲。2025年上半年，全球铝需求预计增长3.1%，超过1.8%的供应增长。 星展银行认为，在中国"反内卷"指导方针下，供应管控将加强，龙头企业有望从平均售价上涨和市场整 合中受益。中国宏桥凭借其一体化供应链和绿色电力占比提升，生产成本优势可能进一步增强。据悉， 公司目标在2025财年前完成约220万吨产能向云南的转移，占总产能的34%。 报告指出，2025年上半年中国宏桥业绩表现抢眼。营收增至810亿元人民币，同比增长10.1%，这主要 得益于氧化铝和铝产品的平均售价(ASP)上涨以及销量增长。公司毛利率同比提升1.5个百分点至25.7%; 净归属利润同比增长35%至123.6亿元人民币，净利润率同比提高3个百分点至17%。 在财务状况方面，中国宏桥的财务状况趋于健康。得益于债务结构优化和利率改善，公司利息覆盖倍数 大幅提升至17.6倍，并计划长期持续降低债务水平。虽然2025年上半年未派发中期股 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jefferies maintains a "Buy" rating on China Hongqiao (01378) and raises the target price to HKD 26.9, citing strong performance and confidence in future earnings growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - China Hongqiao reported a net profit of RMB 12.4 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 35% [2]. - The average selling price (ASP) of aluminum increased by 2.7% to RMB 17,853 per ton, while the ASP of alumina rose by 10.3% to RMB 3,243 per ton, significantly outpacing overall market trends [2]. - Unit gross profit for aluminum and alumina increased by RMB 225 and RMB 185 per ton, respectively, due to higher average selling prices [1]. Cost Management - The company effectively controlled its cost of goods sold (COGS), with aluminum costs rising slightly by 2% to RMB 13,300 per ton, influenced by higher carbon anode prices [2]. - Alumina costs increased by 5% to RMB 2,300 per ton, primarily due to rising caustic soda prices, while bauxite benefited from vertical integration [2]. Shareholder Returns - China Hongqiao announced a stock buyback plan of at least HKD 3 billion, in addition to the HKD 2.6 billion already repurchased, reflecting management's confidence in the company's performance [3]. - The company shifted its dividend payment from semi-annual to annual, maintaining a commitment to pay at least 60% of last year's dividends, which is expected to stabilize dividend expectations [3]. - If the HKD 3 billion buyback is completed in the second half of 2025, the total buyback for the year will reach at least HKD 5.6 billion, allowing for an additional 20% dividend payment on top of the 60% base [3].

汇丰指出，该公司管理层预计，2025年下半年铝价将保持坚挺，处于每吨20,600–21,300元人民币之间; 氧化铝价格预计在每吨3,200–3,300元人民币之间。2025年资本开支预计为120亿–130亿元人民币，与 2024年持平。此外，更多产能将在2025年下半年搬迁至云南，预计云南产能年底将达到220万吨(总产能 约650万吨)。西芒杜铁矿项目预计今年11月交付首批矿石。 智通财经APP获悉，汇丰控股发布研报称，受益于需求上升、氧化铝和铝的价格和销量均实现增长，中 国宏桥(01378)2025年上半年业绩强劲。该行预计，尽管2025年下半年氧化铝价格同比下跌可能导致盈 利增速暂时回落，但在强劲需求的支撑下铝价存在上行风险。该行还指出，尽管该股股价近期上涨，但 股息率仍具有吸引力。该行维持对中国宏桥的"买入"评级，目标价由20.60港元上调至25.70港元。 展望未来，汇丰预计，该公司2025年下半年盈利同比涨幅将有所回落，主要是由于2024年第四季度创纪 录的氧化铝价格带来了较高的盈利同比基数。尽管如此，该公司仍具备多重利好因素，包括：4500万吨 产能上限仍是维持供给纪律的关键措施;电网投资、电动 ...

杰富瑞还指出，进一步强调对股东回报的重视。与中期业绩一同公布的还有另一项至少30亿港元的股票 回购计划，这表明管理层对公司业绩充满信心。在2025年上半年，公司已回购并随后注销了超过1.87亿 股(约占已发行股份的2%)，总价值约为26亿港元。另一方面，中国宏桥将其股息支付方式从半年一次调 整为每年一次，即今年不再发放中期股息。然而，对股东回报的重视程度并未改变，最终股息支付将至 少与去年的60%以上持平。据管理层称，每年支付一次股息而非两次的原因是为了稳定预期的股息水 平，并避免上半年和下半年之间股息的差异(例如，2024全年为63%，1H24为56%，2H24为67%)。这对 长期投资者来说不应产生太大影响，因为股息保持稳定。更重要的是，如果在2025年下半年完成30亿港 元的回购，2025年的总回购额将至少达到56亿港元，这意味着在60%以上的基础上至少还能再支付20% 的股息。 杰富瑞认为，中国宏桥稳健的运营业绩。中国宏桥公布2025年上半年净利润为124亿元，同比增长 35%。铝的ASP同比增长2.7%至17853元/吨，与市场走势一致，而氧化铝的ASP增长了10.3%至3243元/ 吨，这一增长幅 ...

汇丰指出，中国宏桥2025年上半年实现净利润124亿元人民币，同比增长35%，符合此前的业绩预告。 强劲的盈利表现主要得益于：(1)氧化铝价格上涨(同比上涨10%)以及铝价上涨(同比上涨3%);(2)受益于 下游需求强劲以及铝加工产品市场份额提升，铝合金、加工产品和氧化铝销量分别提升约2%、3%和 16%。 展望未来，汇丰预计，该公司2025年下半年盈利同比涨幅将有所回落，主要是由于2024年第四季度创纪 录的氧化铝价格带来了较高的盈利同比基数。尽管如此，该公司仍具备多重利好因素，包括：4500万吨 产能上限仍是维持供给纪律的关键措施;电网投资、电动车销量以及出口复苏将继续支撑需求;汽车以旧 换新补贴仍在提供需求支撑。该行表示，在低库存和严格产能上限的背景下，下半年铝价存在上行风 险。此外，更广泛的"反内卷"政策可能强化铝行业产能上限，从而帮助维持市场纪律。 汇丰控股发布研报称，受益于需求上升、氧化铝和铝的价格和销量均实现增长，中国宏桥(01378)2025 年上半年业绩强劲。该行预计，尽管2025年下半年氧化铝价格同比下跌可能导致盈利增速暂时回落，但 在强劲需求的支撑下铝价存在上行风险。该行还指出，尽管该股 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Hongqiao (01378) reported significant earnings for the first half of 2025, with revenue of 81.039 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.12%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.361 billion yuan, up 35.02%, exceeding market expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's operating cash flow reached 22.306 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 56.38% [3] - The sales volume of aluminum alloy products was 2.906 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, with a sales price of 17,853 yuan/ton (excluding tax), up 2.7%, generating revenue of 51.878 billion yuan, a 5.2% increase [2] - The sales volume of alumina products was 6.368 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 15.6%, with a sales price of 3,243 yuan/ton (excluding tax), up 10.3%, generating revenue of 20.655 billion yuan, a 27.5% increase [2] - The sales volume of aluminum alloy processing products was 392,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.5%, with a sales price of 20,615 yuan/ton (excluding tax), up 2.9%, generating revenue of 8.074 billion yuan, a 6.5% increase [2] Group 2: Cost Management - Selling expenses decreased by 3.4% to 354 million yuan; administrative expenses decreased by 5.4% to 2.322 billion yuan; financial expenses decreased by 17.7% to 1.284 billion yuan, indicating improved cost management [3] Group 3: Shareholder Returns - The company has repurchased and canceled shares worth approximately 2.61 billion Hong Kong dollars (about 1.87 million shares) and announced a new buyback plan of no less than 3 billion Hong Kong dollars [3] - The company commits to maintaining the same dividend payout ratio in 2025 as in 2024, which has been 48%, 49%, 47%, and 63% from 2021 to 2024, emphasizing shareholder returns [3]