Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the performance and characteristics of the Hong Kong Dividend ETF (工银, 159691), which has shown a slight increase in scale and a decrease in shares since the beginning of the year [1] - As of February 6, 2023, the fund's latest share count is 6.275 billion, with a total scale of 8.653 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.90% decrease in shares and a 2.58% increase in scale since December 31, 2022 [1] - The fund's management fee is 0.45% annually, and the custody fee is 0.07% annually, with its performance benchmark being the adjusted return of the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Select Index [1] Group 2 - The current fund managers are Liu Weilin and He Shun, with Liu managing since March 30, 2023, achieving a return of 39.18%, while He is set to manage from May 30, 2024, with a return of 16.38% [2] - The fund's top holdings include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (14.55%), China Shenhua Energy Company (9.65%), and China Pacific Insurance (8.90%), among others, with significant market values [2][3] - The cumulative trading amount for the fund in the last 20 trading days is 7.145 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 357 million yuan [1]

Group 1 - Zhang Yiming, founder of ByteDance, tops the Forbes 2026 China Rich List with a net worth of $69.3 billion, surpassing Zhong Shanshan for the first time [2][5] - The list reflects a significant reshuffling, with many traditional industries being disrupted by the rise of internet and hard technology sectors [2][5] - The top ten includes major figures from technology, new energy, and manufacturing, indicating a shift in wealth towards hard tech [6] Group 2 - Lei Jun of Xiaomi makes a notable comeback, ranking tenth with a net worth of $30.4 billion, surpassing Jack Ma, who is now ranked eleventh with $29.6 billion [2][5] - ByteDance's investments in AI, including a $160 billion budget for AI development, are key to Zhang Yiming's wealth increase [5] - The real estate tycoons have seen a decline, with internet billionaires now making up less than 40% of the list, highlighting a trend towards AI, new energy, and high-end manufacturing [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) experienced a closing price of 26,985.57, reflecting an increase of 425.62 points or 1.60% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,985.57, up by 425.62 points or 1.60% [1]. - The index reached a high of 26,989.63 and a low of 26,628.55 during the trading session [1]. - The trading volume was 47.8275 million shares, with an average price of 26,809.09 [1]. Group 2: Major Blue-Chip Stocks - Major blue-chip stocks mostly declined, with HSBC Holdings closing at 134.800 HKD, down 2.67% from the previous close [2]. - Tencent Holdings closed at 547.500 HKD, reflecting a decrease of 1.97% [2]. - Other notable declines included AIA Group, which fell by 5.54%, and Meituan, which decreased by 2.56% [3]. Group 3: Stock Price Movements - Tencent Holdings (00700) reported a price of 547.500 HKD, down by 11.000 HKD or 1.97% [3]. - HSBC Holdings (00005) closed at 134.800 HKD, down by 3.700 HKD or 2.67% [3]. - AIA Group (01299) saw a significant drop of 4.900 HKD, translating to a 5.54% decrease [3].

Core Viewpoint - CMB International maintains a positive outlook on China Hongqiao, expecting a continued supply shortage in the global aluminum market from 2026 to 2027, leading to upward revisions in aluminum price forecasts by 12% and 7% respectively for those years [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - The company has raised its earnings forecasts for China Hongqiao by 27% and 12% for the current and next year respectively [1] - The target price for China Hongqiao has been increased from HKD 39 to HKD 45, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 2: Profit Projections - The company anticipates that China Hongqiao's core net profit will reach CNY 26.2 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7% [1] - Net profit growth is expected to accelerate to 34% in 2026, driven by higher aluminum prices [1] Group 3: Profit Sensitivity - The company estimates that a 1% increase in aluminum prices will boost earnings by approximately 2.3% in 2026 [1] - A 1% decrease in coal prices is projected to enhance earnings by about 0.3% [1]

Group 1 - Everbright Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Baidu Group-SW, citing short-term pressure on advertising but stabilization trends, with AI cloud growth logic remaining intact [1] - China Hongqiao's target price raised to HKD 45 by CMB International, driven by a persistent global aluminum supply-demand gap until 2026-27, leading to a 27% and 12% upward revision in profit forecasts [1] - CMB International initiates a "Buy" rating for Innovation Industry with a target price of HKD 32, highlighting significant cost advantages from renewable energy and a clear growth path through overseas aluminum projects [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities lowers the target price for Ausnutria to HKD 2.11 while maintaining an "Add" rating, noting ongoing pressure from declining newborn population impacting domestic infant formula sales, but strong overseas performance [2] - Dongfang Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Geely Automobile with a target price of HKD 23.37, reporting a 121% year-on-year increase in January export sales and a 99.7% growth in the Zeekr brand [3] - Dongfang Securities also maintains a "Buy" rating for Kuaishou-W with a target price of HKD 104.36, highlighting a 112% month-on-month increase in AI overseas revenue and ongoing technological advancements [3] Group 3 - CITIC Construction maintains a "Buy" rating for Laopu Gold, noting a pre-Spring Festival buying spree and strong brand expansion, with Q1 gross margin expected to approach 40% [4] - Kaiyuan Securities initiates a "Buy" rating for Leshu Comfort, emphasizing its leading market share in Africa for baby diapers and sanitary napkins, supported by localized production and distribution channels [5] - GF Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Meituan-W, indicating a stabilization in food delivery competition and a solid market position, with profitability expected to improve by 2026 [6] - Guoyuan International Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Q Technology with a target price of HKD 12.89, noting a 27.2% year-on-year increase in camera module prices and a growing revenue share from non-mobile sectors [7]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,513.11, down by 334.21 points or 1.24% [1] - The index reached a high of 26,812.73 and a low of 26,414.23 during the trading session [1] - The trading volume was 70.4034 million shares, with an average price of 26,613.48 [1] Major Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - HSBC Holdings closed at HKD 139.704, up by 0.51% compared to the previous close [2][3] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 552.190, down by 1.04% compared to the previous close [2][3] - Alibaba Group (W) closed at HKD 159.500, down by 0.93% [3] - AIA Group closed at HKD 90.700, up by 1.40% [3] - Xiaomi Group (W) closed at HKD 33.960, down by 1.85% [3] - Meituan (W) closed at HKD 92.150, down by 1.13% [3] - China Ping An closed at HKD 72.050, up by 1.05% [3] ADR Performance - Tencent's ADR (TCEHY) was priced at USD 552.190, reflecting a decrease of 1.04% compared to its Hong Kong counterpart [3] - Alibaba's ADR (BABA) was priced at USD 155.411, down by 2.56% compared to its Hong Kong counterpart [3] - HSBC's ADR (HSBC) was priced at USD 139.704, up by 0.51% compared to its Hong Kong counterpart [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF (工银, 159691) experienced significant net redemptions, indicating a trend of outflow from this fund, which may reflect investor sentiment and market conditions [1][2]. Fund Performance - As of February 3, the latest scale of the Hong Kong Dividend ETF is 85.4 billion yuan, with a net outflow of 28.23 million yuan on that day, representing 0.33% of the previous day's scale [1]. - Over the past five days, the fund faced net redemptions totaling 68.26 million yuan, ranking 15th out of 212 in cross-border ETF net outflows [1]. - In the last ten days, the total net redemptions reached 202 million yuan, ranking 7th out of 212 [1]. - Over the past 20 days, the fund saw net redemptions of 332 million yuan, ranking 8th out of 212 [1]. Fund Size and Liquidity - The current share count of the Hong Kong Dividend ETF is 6.282 billion shares, with a scale of 85.4 billion yuan, showing a 3.80% decrease in shares and a 1.24% increase in scale since December 31, 2025 [2]. - The cumulative trading amount over the last 20 trading days is 6.501 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 325 million yuan [2]. - Year-to-date, the cumulative trading amount is 7.151 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 325 million yuan [2]. Fund Management - The current fund managers are Liu Weilin and He Shun, with Liu managing since March 30, 2023, achieving a return of 36.96%, while He is set to manage from May 30, 2024, with a return of 14.67% [2]. Top Holdings - The fund's top holdings include: - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (14.55% holding) - China Shenhua Energy (9.65% holding) - China Pacific Insurance (8.90% holding) - China Hongqiao Group (7.68% holding) - CLP Holdings (7.53% holding) - WH Group (7.36% holding) - Power Assets Holdings (6.21% holding) - Haier Smart Home (3.50% holding) - People's Insurance Company of China (3.42% holding) - CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (3.41% holding) [2].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market's non-ferrous metal sector experienced a rebound on February 4, with notable increases in various companies' stock prices [2] - Minmetals Resources saw a rise of over 5%, while Jiangxi Copper Co. increased by more than 3% [2] - Other companies such as Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining and Zijin Mining International also reported gains, with increases close to 3% and nearly 2% respectively [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for China Hongqiao, with a revised target price of HK$45, up from HK$39, reflecting a 27.5% upside potential from the current price of HK$35.30 [1][3]. Core Insights - The global aluminium deficit is expected to persist through 2026-27, driven by high utilization rates in China and limited new capacity overseas. This is anticipated to lead to a 15% year-on-year increase in aluminium prices in 2026 [1][7]. - Earnings forecasts have been revised upwards, with a projected core net profit of RMB26.2 billion for 2025, representing a 7% year-on-year growth, and an acceleration to 34% growth in 2026, primarily due to higher aluminium prices [1][7]. - The report indicates that a 1% increase in aluminium prices could boost 2026 earnings by 2.3%, while a 1% decrease in coal prices would increase earnings by 0.3% [1][7]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for China Hongqiao are as follows: RMB156,596 million for 2025, RMB167,859 million for 2026, and RMB162,737 million for 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 0.3%, 7.2%, and -3.1% [2][26]. - Adjusted net profit is forecasted to be RMB26,262.3 million for 2025, RMB36,049.2 million for 2026, and RMB32,879.0 million for 2027, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of RMB2.71, RMB3.63, and RMB3.31 [2][26]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 12.7x for 2025, 8.7x for 2026, and 9.5x for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical averages [2][26]. Market and Share Performance - The market capitalization of China Hongqiao is approximately HK$350.3 billion, with an average turnover of HK$1,565.4 million over the past three months [4]. - The share price has shown significant performance, with a 73.5% increase over the past six months [6].

上周，贵金属经历了一轮惊心动魄的"高台跳水"。1月30日，白银日内暴跌，创下1980年以来最大单日跌幅；黄金日内则跌超10%，同样刷新了过去几十年 的单日跌幅纪录。表面上看，金、银巨幅波动与美国总统特朗普在社交平台上的表态有关，他打算提名鹰派色彩浓厚的前美联储理事会成员凯文.沃什担任 下一任美联储主席。 消息一出，美元应声反弹，美债利率抬升，全球流动性收紧预期升温。而在超买环境下本就刚刚经历了加速上涨的贵金属，则是在短时间内巨幅回撤。笔者 认为，以上是市场典型的"膝跳反应"：交易员们正迅速定价一个更偏紧缩的货币政策未来。 然而，尽管在一夜之间资产价格的运行趋势似乎就发生了巨大偏移，但对于敏锐的投资者而言，市场情绪宣泄过后，此时可能恰恰是甄别优质资产、重新布 局有着长期趋势的品种的绝佳窗口。就拿同为金属，但又具备独特韧性与强大成长逻辑的铝来说，刚性供给约束与持续增长的需求形成的剪刀差有望进一步 扩大，而这也意味着二级市场以中国宏桥(01378)为代表的相关标的将持续受到资金青睐。更不消说，以交易视角看，本轮贵金属尤其是白银品种的调整， 抑或会促使里面的投机性资金转向电解铝等长期看成长性与确定性均更强的方向。 市 ...