近期，国际金价屡创新高，境内金价亦同步走强，贵金属市场整体呈现上行格局。 10月7日，纽约期金历史首次触及4000美元/盎司，创历史新高。在金价驱动下，境内黄金ETF规模迅速 扩张，多个产品突破百亿元大关。产业链相关上市公司股价亦大幅上涨，获得了机构投资者的高度关 注。多家黄金类上市公司被知名机构调研，代表性黄金股ETF的单月规模也增加逾50亿元。 机构分析指出，美联储降息预期与美元信用裂痕持续扩张，共同推动黄金进入新一轮上行周期。历史经 验显示，衰退或滞涨时期黄金表现往往优于其他资产。当前，市场普遍认为，黄金正处于"第三浪"主升 行情初期，长期储备价值和配置优势有望进一步凸显。 金价持续上涨，带动投资者回流 券商中国记者注意到，随着黄金价格不断上涨，黄金ETF的规模在近一个月内再次获得显著增长。 ETF方面，以永赢中证沪深港黄金产业股票ETF为例，该ETF今年以来涨幅达到86.73%，其重仓股包括 紫金矿业、山东黄金、中金黄金、赤峰黄金、招金矿业等，分别收涨99.07%、74.62%、87.21%、 90.70%和194.20%。受益于此，该ETF规模已增至116.69亿元，近一个月增长了54.17亿元。 ...

Group 1 - International gold prices surged to a historic high, with futures reaching $3945.2 per ounce and spot prices hitting $3920.77 per ounce, marking a significant increase in less than 10 days since surpassing the $3800 mark [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices in China also rose, with brands like Chow Sang Sang, Chow Tai Fook, and Lao Feng Xiang seeing prices exceed 1100 RMB per gram, and Lao Miao Gold reaching 1148 RMB per gram [1] - Hong Kong-listed gold stocks experienced notable gains, with Zhu Feng Gold rising over 12%, Shandong Gold increasing by over 6%, and other companies like Lingbao Gold and Chifeng Gold also seeing upward movement [2][3] Group 2 - The gold market in Shenzhen's Shui Bei area witnessed a surge in consumer activity during the National Day holiday, particularly in wedding-related products, with foot traffic reportedly doubling [4][6] - The popularity of 5D craft gold jewelry is increasing among young consumers, attributed to its lightweight and stylish design, alongside traditional wedding gold items like dragon and phoenix bangles and wedding rings [6] - Deutsche Bank analysts noted that the recent record high in gold prices is driven by heightened risk aversion among investors, with predictions of gold prices potentially reaching $4000 to $4500 per ounce by 2026 under various scenarios [8]

Group 1 - Precious metals sector shows significant gains, with China Silver Group (00815) up 14.29% to 0.8 HKD, Datang Gold (08299) up 4.3% to 0.485 HKD, Zijin Gold International (02259) up 4.19% to 141.7 HKD, and Shandong Gold (01787) up 3.77% to 39.12 HKD [1][1][1] - Spot gold maintains strong performance, surpassing 3900 USD/ounce with a daily increase of 0.35%, reaching a new historical high, and only 10 days after breaking the 3800 USD mark [1][1][1] - Silver prices also rise, with spot silver showing a cumulative increase of over 30% in the past six months [1][1][1] Group 2 - JPMorgan strategists predict that gold prices will reach between 4050 USD and 4150 USD per ounce by mid-2026, indicating potential for new historical highs in the future [1][1][1]

Group 1 - The stock prices of several companies in the precious metals sector have seen significant increases, with China Silver Group (00815.HK) rising by 11.43%, Datang Gold (08299.HK) increasing by 5.38%, Tongguan Gold (00340.HK) up by 5.02%, and Shandong Gold (01787.HK) gaining 3.98% [1]

Group 1: Gold Market Overview - Spot gold prices have shown strong performance, reaching $3920 per ounce on October 6, with a daily increase of 0.35%, marking a new historical high [1] - Goldman Sachs indicates that due to strong interest from private investors, gold prices have further upside potential, possibly exceeding their expectations [1][3] - The influx of funds into gold ETFs has been unexpectedly strong, surpassing previous model predictions, indicating a renewed investor interest in gold assets [1][3] Group 2: Economic Factors Influencing Gold Prices - The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve reflect the economic pressures facing the U.S., which is expected to support gold price increases [2] - Historical data shows that during 10 past rate-cutting cycles since 1980, gold prices rose in 7 instances, highlighting gold's stability as a safe-haven asset [2] - The complex global geopolitical landscape has increased the investment value of gold, with rising demand for gold as a safe haven during turbulent times [2] Group 3: Central Bank and Gold Reserves - Central banks are diversifying their foreign reserves, with gold's status rising; since the Russia-Ukraine conflict, gold's share in central bank reserves has increased, surpassing the euro [2] - As of August 2025, the People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for 10 consecutive months, with gold reserves accounting for 7.64% of total foreign reserves, a historical high [2] Group 4: Company Performance in the Gold Sector - Zijin Mining reported a revenue of 167.71 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.50%, with net profit exceeding 23.29 billion yuan, up over 50% [4] - Shandong Gold achieved a revenue of 56.77 billion yuan, a 24.01% increase year-on-year, with net profit soaring by 102.98% to 2.81 billion yuan [5] - Lingbao Gold's revenue reached 7.79 billion yuan, an 82.02% increase, with net profit up 335.28% to 664 million yuan [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong gold sector has seen a significant rally, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets due to the U.S. government shutdown and escalating geopolitical tensions [1][7][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - Chinese Silver Group led the gains with a rise of over 30%, followed by Zijin Gold International with an increase of over 13%, and Tongguan Gold up by over 11% [1][2]. - Other companies such as Lingbao Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Zijin Mining also experienced notable increases in their stock prices [1][2]. Group 2: Gold Price Trends - COMEX gold futures showed a slight pullback but remained above the critical level of $3,890 [2]. - Spot gold maintained a high level around $3,868, providing strong support for related stocks [4]. Group 3: Drivers of Demand - The core reason for the sector's rise is the increased demand for safe-haven assets, triggered by the U.S. government shutdown, which is the first political deadlock in nearly seven years [7][8]. - The shutdown has led to significant economic uncertainty, with the U.S. Labor Department halting data collection and publication, affecting key economic indicators [8]. Group 4: Geopolitical Factors - Escalating geopolitical conflicts, particularly the recent military actions by Russia against Ukraine, have further heightened market risk aversion [9]. - The potential for further conflict in Europe has contributed to the attractiveness of gold as a hedge against political risk [9]. Group 5: Future Gold Price Predictions - Central bank gold purchases are a significant factor supporting rising gold prices, with global official gold reserves increasing by 166 tons in Q2 [10]. - Predictions indicate that gold prices could reach $4,200 per ounce by mid-2026, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and increased demand for safe-haven assets [10][11].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw a collective rise in gold stocks, with Zijin Mining International up over 8%, China Silver Group up over 7%, and Tongguan Gold up over 4% [1] - International gold prices continued to strengthen, reaching a peak of $3,895, setting a new historical high [1] Group 2 - Zijin Mining International reported a price increase of 8.54%, with a latest price of 130.900 and a total market capitalization of 343.48 billion, reflecting an 82.85% year-to-date increase [2] - China Silver Group experienced a 7.55% rise, with a latest price of 0.570 and a total market capitalization of 14.13 billion, marking a 141.53% year-to-date increase [2] - Tongguan Gold saw a 4.80% increase, with a latest price of 2.840 and a total market capitalization of 124.89 billion, showing a remarkable 494.14% year-to-date increase [2] - China Gold International had a 3.53% rise, with a latest price of 143.700 and a total market capitalization of 569.65 billion, reflecting a 255.88% year-to-date increase [2] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining increased by 3.35%, with a latest price of 31.440 and a total market capitalization of 597.49 billion, showing a 132.11% year-to-date increase [2] - Lingbao Gold Company saw a 3.09% increase, with a latest price of 19.020 and a total market capitalization of 244.78 billion, reflecting a 619.60% year-to-date increase [2] - Shandong Gold experienced a 2.60% rise, with a latest price of 37.900 and a total market capitalization of 174.716 billion, marking a 210.48% year-to-date increase [2] - Zhaojin Mining Industry had a 1.41% increase, with a latest price of 31.700 and a total market capitalization of 112.294 billion, reflecting a 190.68% year-to-date increase [2] - Jinhai Resources saw a slight increase of 0.53%, with a latest price of 1.890 and a total market capitalization of 3.78 billion, marking a 127.71% year-to-date increase [2]

Core Points - Shandong Gold (600547) closed at 39.33 yuan on September 30, 2025, up 0.85% from the previous trading day, with a total market capitalization of 181.31 billion yuan [1] - The stock opened at 39.51 yuan, reached a high of 39.75 yuan, and a low of 38.75 yuan, with a trading volume of 2.246 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.58% [1] Securities Changes - As of the end of September 2025, Shandong Gold's H-shares had a total of 858,986,178 shares, with an increase of 136,500,000 shares during the month, bringing the total to 995,486,178 shares [1] - The A-shares remained unchanged at 3,614,443,347 shares for both the end of last month and this month [1] - The total registered capital at the end of the month was 4,609,929,525 yuan, with the new H-shares issued on September 9, 2025, due to a placement subscription approved by the board and compliant with listing rules [1]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 山東黃金礦業股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年9月30日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01787 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 858,986,178 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 858,986,178 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 136,500,000 | | | RMB | | 136,500,000 | | 本月底結存 | | | 995,486,178 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 995,486,178 | | 2. 股份分類 | ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 山東黃金礦業股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年9月30日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01787 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 858,986,178 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 858,986,178 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 136,500,000 | | | RMB | | 136,500,000 | | 本月底結存 | | | 995,486,178 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 995,486,178 | | 2. 股份分類 | ...