国信证券指出，综合长期逻辑与短期因素，当前黄金市场的支撑体系依然稳固。长期而言，全球货币信 用体系重构、去美元化趋势、各国央行持续购金，以及供需结构性失衡等因素构成了黄金上涨的核心支 撑，这一支撑体系在未来2—3年内难以发生根本性改变，因此黄金的长期牛市趋势仍将延续。 民生证券指出，中长期看，央行购买黄金+美元信用弱化为主线，持续看好金价中枢上移，黄金板块迎 来右侧布局机会。重点推荐：西部黄金、山东黄金、招金矿业、中金黄金、赤峰黄金、潼关黄金、万国 黄金集团、山金国际、湖南黄金，建议关注中国黄金国际、灵宝黄金等，白银标的推荐兴业银锡、盛达 资源。 近期，黄金、白银等持续大涨，其中，现货黄金盘中一度突破4050美元/盎司。 ...

165 r 8 200 F 29 11 1 - 314 3 资料图/IC "刚刚又涨了1毛钱。" 10月9日，北京菜市口百货投资金条售价911.5元/克，一名女顾客在3块不同款式的100克投资金条中选中一块。售货员背过身去准备打包计算价格，几分钟时 间又转头告诉顾客，金条价格需要重新计算。 "淘金热"仍在继续，菜市口百货大楼里顾客络绎不绝。 10月9日，贝壳财经记者走访时，不少顾客在一楼柜台前选购金饰。一名菜百工作人员称，"今天人相对少了一点，国庆假期人更多。"菜百首饰今日（10月9 日）足金报1118元/克，足金999‰报1120元/克。 商场四层更为热闹，在投资金条的售卖柜台，金条克重从5克到500克不等，即使购买最小克重的5克金条，也需要花费4500多元。根据投资金条款式不同， 收取12-18元/克的手续费。 目前，针对金条，菜百以投资基础金价减3.8元/克回收。金价创下历史新高，黄金回购处只有零星顾客，回购处工作人员透露，"今日来回收黄金的人比前几 天少了。" 陈雪也讲起了自己的投资经，购买金条更适合长期持有，自己更青睐购入黄金类ETF快进快出。 黄金ETF正在强势镀金。Wind数据显示，10月9日， ...

10月9日，三大指数集体高开，沪指涨0.4%，深证成指涨0.53%，创业板指涨0.4%。开盘后震荡拉升，截至记者发稿，沪指涨0.65%，突破3900点续创10年 新高；深证成指、创业板指均涨逾1%。 | 名称 | 序号 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 1 | 3908.18 | 25.41 | 0.65% | | 深证成指 | 2 | 13675.70 | 149.19 | 1.10% | | 北证50 | 3 | 1526.40 | -2.23 | -0.15% | | 万得全A | 4 | 6405.80 | 56.86 | 0.90% | | 科创50 | 5 | 1553.13 | 57.84 | 3.87% | | 创业板指 | 6 | 3276.00 | 37.84 | 1.17% | | 沪深300 | 7 | 4683.51 | 42.81 | 0.92% | | 中证500 | 8 | 7501.50 | 89.13 | 1.20% | | 中证800 | 9 | 5159.28 | 51.02 | 1.0 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the dynamics of precious metals (gold, silver) and industrial metals (copper, cobalt) in the context of recent market changes and geopolitical factors [1][3][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Monetary Policy Impact**: The new Japanese Prime Minister's loose monetary policy contrasts with market expectations, alleviating the strength of the dollar and stimulating precious metal trading. This has led to increased expectations of currency devaluation globally, positively impacting commodity prices [1][4]. - **Copper Price Drivers**: Changes in the Central African copper mining assets and the Lobiito Corridor plan enhance companies like Glencore's pricing power. The reduction in output from Grasberg exacerbates supply tightness, driving copper prices upward [1][5]. - **Future Demand for Copper**: By 2030, investments in the power grid in China and the U.S. are expected to significantly boost industrial metal demand. Even without considering monetary easing, the trends of supply tightening and demand expansion indicate a bullish outlook for copper prices [1][6]. - **Valuation of Domestic Mining Companies**: Domestic mining companies are maturing in their valuation systems and are currently undervalued compared to international peers. They exhibit leading advantages in capital expenditure, resource capture, and cost reduction, positioning them favorably for future growth [1][7][8]. - **Precious Metals Performance**: From October 1 to 8, 2023, London spot gold and silver prices rose by 4.62% and 4.84%, respectively, driven by factors such as the U.S. government shutdown and Japan's monetary policy [1][9]. Additional Important Insights - **Cobalt Market Dynamics**: The cobalt price in China has surged to over 340,000 yuan per ton due to quota policies from the Democratic Republic of Congo, which are insufficient to meet global supply and demand, leading to a bullish sentiment in the market [2][14]. - **Impact of U.S. Tech Stocks on Gold**: Poor performance of U.S. tech stocks may increase the allocation of gold in personal asset portfolios. Notably, Oracle's cloud business gross margin fell short of expectations, raising concerns about the sustainability of AI profitability [10]. - **Central Bank Gold Purchases**: Continuous gold purchases by central banks, particularly by China, support gold prices. As of September, China's reserves reached 2,303.5 tons, although monthly purchases have shown a slight decline [15]. - **Stock Recommendations**: The call recommends several stocks in the precious metals and cobalt sectors, including Shandong Gold, Zijin Mining, and Luoyang Molybdenum, which are expected to benefit from current market conditions [16]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the interplay between monetary policy, market dynamics, and investment opportunities in the precious and industrial metals sectors.

港股黄金股涨幅扩大，赤峰黄金涨逾16%，山东黄金涨近10%，招金矿业涨逾4%。 ...

近期，国际金价屡创新高，境内金价亦同步走强，贵金属市场整体呈现上行格局。 10月7日，纽约期金历史首次触及4000美元/盎司，创历史新高。在金价驱动下，境内黄金ETF规模迅速 扩张，多个产品突破百亿元大关。产业链相关上市公司股价亦大幅上涨，获得了机构投资者的高度关 注。多家黄金类上市公司被知名机构调研，代表性黄金股ETF的单月规模也增加逾50亿元。 机构分析指出，美联储降息预期与美元信用裂痕持续扩张，共同推动黄金进入新一轮上行周期。历史经 验显示，衰退或滞涨时期黄金表现往往优于其他资产。当前，市场普遍认为，黄金正处于"第三浪"主升 行情初期，长期储备价值和配置优势有望进一步凸显。 金价持续上涨，带动投资者回流 券商中国记者注意到，随着黄金价格不断上涨，黄金ETF的规模在近一个月内再次获得显著增长。 ETF方面，以永赢中证沪深港黄金产业股票ETF为例，该ETF今年以来涨幅达到86.73%，其重仓股包括 紫金矿业、山东黄金、中金黄金、赤峰黄金、招金矿业等，分别收涨99.07%、74.62%、87.21%、 90.70%和194.20%。受益于此，该ETF规模已增至116.69亿元，近一个月增长了54.17亿元。 ...

花旗研究报告指，该行将招金矿业(1818.HK)目标价由21.6港元升至37.5港元，维持"买入"评级。该行将 0至3个月的金价预测上调至每盎司4,000美元，并预期今年第四季平均金价维持相若水平。该行同时调 整招金矿业2025至27年盈利预测，分别上调23%、上调14%与下调13%，至39.63亿、42.48亿与42.03亿 元人民币，以反映期间金价与生产成本上升，以及2026至27年自产黄金产量预测降低。 ...

长期看好黄金的高盛集团表示，由于私人投资者的兴趣浓厚，黄金价格仍有进一步上涨的空间，甚至可 能超过该行的预期。包括Daan Struyven在内的高盛分析师表示，流入黄金ETF的资金意外强劲，超过了 此前模型预测的水平。私人投资者大力投资黄金的可能性给分析师的预测带来了"巨大的上行风险"。他 们原本预计黄金价格到2026年中期将达到每盎司4000美元，到明年年底则将达到每盎司 4300美元。 中国银河证券发布研报称，上半年A股有色金属行业业绩维持高增长，进一步确立行业向好趋势。美联 储降息预期上行，驱动全球资金加速购买黄金；叠加美联储独立性不明下，或将触发更多避险资金配置 黄金，推动金价的上涨，建议关注黄金龙头标的。 相关概念股： 智通财经APP获悉，现货黄金本周开局维持强势，10月6日，现货黄金快速走高，向上触及3920美元/盎 司，日内涨幅0.35%，再创历史新高。距离首次突破3800美元关口仅不到10天。高盛集团此前表示，由 于私人投资者的兴趣浓厚，黄金价格仍有进一步上涨的空间，甚至可能超过该行的预期。包括Daan Struyven在内的高盛分析师表示，流入黄金ETF的资金意外强劲，超过了此前模型预测的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong gold sector has seen a significant rally, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets due to the U.S. government shutdown and escalating geopolitical tensions [1][7][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - Chinese Silver Group led the gains with a rise of over 30%, followed by Zijin Gold International with an increase of over 13%, and Tongguan Gold up by over 11% [1][2]. - Other companies such as Lingbao Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Zijin Mining also experienced notable increases in their stock prices [1][2]. Group 2: Gold Price Trends - COMEX gold futures showed a slight pullback but remained above the critical level of $3,890 [2]. - Spot gold maintained a high level around $3,868, providing strong support for related stocks [4]. Group 3: Drivers of Demand - The core reason for the sector's rise is the increased demand for safe-haven assets, triggered by the U.S. government shutdown, which is the first political deadlock in nearly seven years [7][8]. - The shutdown has led to significant economic uncertainty, with the U.S. Labor Department halting data collection and publication, affecting key economic indicators [8]. Group 4: Geopolitical Factors - Escalating geopolitical conflicts, particularly the recent military actions by Russia against Ukraine, have further heightened market risk aversion [9]. - The potential for further conflict in Europe has contributed to the attractiveness of gold as a hedge against political risk [9]. Group 5: Future Gold Price Predictions - Central bank gold purchases are a significant factor supporting rising gold prices, with global official gold reserves increasing by 166 tons in Q2 [10]. - Predictions indicate that gold prices could reach $4,200 per ounce by mid-2026, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and increased demand for safe-haven assets [10][11].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 招金礦業股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 其他類別 (請註明) | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | N/A | | 說明 | 内資股 | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | | 660,837,607 | | 0 | | 660,837,607 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | | | | 本月底結存 | | | | 660,837,607 | | 0 | | 660,837,607 | | 2. 股份分類 ...