Core Viewpoint - Budweiser APAC is undergoing a deep adjustment period in the Chinese market, facing short-term performance pressure due to reform pains and external shocks, but positive signals are emerging from channel transformation, with preliminary improvements in Q4 market share [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the full year 2025, revenue and EBITDA were $5.76 billion and $1.59 billion, down 6.1% and 9.8% year-on-year; Q4 revenue and EBITDA were $1.07 billion and $170 million, down 4.2% and 24.7% year-on-year [2] - The Chinese market significantly dragged down performance, with Q4 revenue and EBITDA declining 11.4% and 42.3% year-on-year, and full-year revenue and EBITDA down 11.3% and 15.7% year-on-year [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the full year was $489 million, a decrease of 32.1% year-on-year, while cash flow remained robust with a dividend payout ratio increasing to 153% [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The industry saw stable volume but declining prices in Q4 2025, with leading companies maintaining stable operations; however, the average selling price (ASP) has been under pressure, hindering premiumization [3] - Budweiser APAC, as a leader in high-end beer, is increasing investments in emerging channels like instant retail and O2O, with early signs of improvement as the decline in sales volume narrowed from 11% in Q3 to 3.9% in Q4 [3] - The company is expected to benefit from multiple factors supporting ASP improvement in 2026, including effective policies to boost consumer confidence and demand, alongside the release of benefits from high-end positioning and channel transformation [3] Group 3: Strategic Outlook - The management has outlined three core outlooks for 2026: organic growth, inorganic expansion, and shareholder returns, with a focus on high-end home channels and O2O expansion in China [4] - The company plans to explore M&A and collaboration opportunities in the Asia-Pacific region, supported by strong cash flow for external growth [4] - A high dividend policy continues, with a dividend yield of 5.6% providing a solid safety net for the stock price; the depreciation of the US dollar is also expected to positively impact financial statements [4]

Core Insights - The article discusses the current state of the beer industry in China, highlighting the dominance of major players in the market and the structure of the industry chain [1][5]. Industry Overview - The beer industry in China has a mature supply chain, with upstream suppliers providing raw materials, brewing equipment, and packaging [1]. - Major players in the midstream beer production segment include China Resources Beer, Tsingtao Brewery, Budweiser APAC, Chongqing Beer, and Yanjing Beer, which collectively hold approximately 80% of the market share [1][5]. Supply Chain Structure - Upstream suppliers consist of companies like Angel Yeast and Yongshuntai for raw materials, and CIMC Anrui and Lehui International for brewing equipment [5]. - The downstream market includes physical supermarkets such as Yonghui Supermarket and online retail platforms like Alibaba, JD.com, and Suning [5]. Regional Distribution - The beer industry chain is primarily concentrated in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area, followed by Zhejiang, Beijing, and Fujian [7]. - Midstream beer manufacturers are mainly located in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area, Shandong, and Chongqing [8]. Investment Trends - A summary of investment activities from 2020 to 2026 in the beer industry indicates various funding rounds and investments in emerging companies [12]. - Notable investment events include multiple funding rounds for companies like Xuanbo Beer and Aigulu, with amounts ranging from millions to tens of millions of RMB [14].

Core Viewpoint - Budweiser APAC (01876.HK) announced the grant of up to 11.604 million shares and up to 10.56 million restricted stock units to eligible employees under its share-based remuneration plan, originally adopted on September 9, 2019, and revised on May 8, 2023 [1] Group 1 - The company will issue the shares in the form of selected shares to several qualified employees [1] - The total number of shares granted amounts to 11.604 million, while the restricted stock units granted total 10.56 million [1]

Group 1 - The company Budweiser APAC (01876) announced the grant of up to approximately 11.6043 million shares of company restricted stock to several eligible employees under its share-based remuneration plan adopted on September 9, 2019, and revised on May 8, 2023 [1] - Additionally, the company will grant up to approximately 10.5613 million restricted stock units to several grantees [1]

Core Viewpoint - Budweiser APAC (01876) announced the grant of up to approximately 11.6043 million company restricted shares and up to approximately 10.5613 million company restricted stock units to eligible employees based on its share-based compensation plan revised on May 8, 2023 [1] Group 1 - The company will issue the shares on February 16, 2026, as part of its compensation strategy [1] - The share-based compensation plan was originally adopted on September 9, 2019, and has undergone revisions [1]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Limited 百威亞太控股有限公司 （於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：1876） 授出自選股份及受限制股份單位 百威亞太控股有限公司（「本公司」）董事會（「董事會」）宣佈，於2026年2月16日， 本公司根據其於2019年9月9日採納並於2023年5月8日修訂的基於股份的報酬計 劃（「基於股份的報酬計劃」）的條款，以自選股份（定義見下文）形式向本集團若干 合資格僱員（「承授人」）授出最多11,604,324股本公司禁售股份，並向若干承授人 授出最多10,561,282個本公司受限制股份單位（「受限制股份單位」）。 本公司謹此提述(i)日期為2023年4月13日的公告、(ii)日期為2023年4月13日的通 函（「通函」）及(iii)日期為2023年5月8日的本公司股東週年大會的表決結果公告， 當中載有本公司股東批准（其中包括）就 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has revised its earnings forecasts for Budweiser APAC (01876), lowering its profit estimates for the next two years by 12% and 14% respectively, while maintaining an "Overweight" rating and a target price of HKD 9 [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - The earnings forecast for Budweiser APAC for 2025 and guidance for 2026 have been incorporated into Morgan Stanley's predictions [1] - The bank has introduced a 2028 earnings per share estimate of 6 cents [1] Group 2: Price and Margin Adjustments - Average selling price forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been reduced by 2% to 3% due to an increased share of household drinking channels in China [1] - This adjustment in average selling price has led to a decrease in gross margin forecasts for 2026 and 2027 by 1.1 and 2 percentage points respectively [1] Group 3: Expense Ratio Adjustments - The bank has increased its projections for the sales, general, and administrative expense ratios, reflecting investments in the changing channels in China and commercial investments in the eastern and western regions [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS has slightly reduced the target price for Budweiser APAC (01876) from HKD 8.75 to HKD 8.6 while maintaining a "Buy" rating, citing lower-than-expected revenue and normalized EBITDA forecasts for 2025 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Budweiser APAC's revenue and normalized EBITDA for 2025 are projected to decline by 6.1% and 9.8% year-on-year, reaching USD 5.764 billion and USD 1.588 billion, respectively, which is below market expectations [1] - For Q4 2025, revenue and normalized EBITDA are expected to decrease by 4.2% and 24.7% year-on-year, amounting to USD 1.073 billion and USD 167 million, respectively [1] - The company's normalized EBITDA margin contracted by 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in gross margin and an increase in the ratio of selling, general, and administrative expenses (SG&A) [1] Group 2: Net Profit and Non-Recurring Items - The net profit for the period was USD 489 million, impacted by a non-recurring item related to a customs audit claim and tax issues in South Korea, which is considered a one-time factor [1] Group 3: Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2026 to 2028 have been increased by 2% to 3%, reflecting expectations of RMB appreciation; however, a slowdown in sales recovery in the Chinese market is anticipated, potentially delaying until the second half of 2026 [1] - EBITDA forecasts for 2026 to 2028 have been reduced by 6% to 7% to account for operational deleveraging and increased business investments, leading to a decrease in EBITDA margin by 2.5 to 2.8 percentage points [1]

Group 1 - UBS has slightly reduced the target price for Budweiser APAC (01876) from HKD 8.75 to HKD 8.6 while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - Budweiser APAC's revenue and normalized EBITDA for 2025 are expected to decline by 6.1% and 9.8% year-on-year, reaching USD 5.764 billion and USD 1.588 billion, respectively, which is below market expectations [1] - For Q4 2025, revenue and normalized EBITDA are projected to decrease by 4.2% and 24.7% year-on-year, amounting to USD 1.073 billion and USD 0.167 billion [1] Group 2 - The company's normalized EBITDA margin is expected to contract by 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in gross margin and an increase in the ratio of selling, general, and administrative expenses (SG&A) [1] - The net profit for the period is reported at USD 489 million, influenced by a one-time item related to a customs audit claim and tax issues in South Korea [1] - UBS has raised its revenue forecasts for Budweiser from 2026 to 2028 by 2% to 3%, mainly reflecting expectations of RMB appreciation, although a recovery in the Chinese market is anticipated to slow down and may be delayed until the second half of 2026 [1] Group 3 - EBITDA forecasts for 2026 to 2028 have been lowered by 6% to 7% to account for operational deleveraging and increased business investments, resulting in a reduction of EBITDA margin by 2.5 to 2.8 percentage points [1]

Core Insights - Budweiser APAC achieved a total revenue of $5.764 billion in 2025, with an organic year-on-year decline of 6.1% [1] - The normalized EBITDA for 2025 was $1.588 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 9.8% [1] - In Q4 2025, revenue reached $1.073 billion, with an organic year-on-year decline of 4.2% [1] Revenue and EBITDA Analysis - For the full year 2025, the company reported a sales volume of 7.9658 million kiloliters, down 6.0% year-on-year, while Q4 sales volume was 1.3518 million kiloliters, down 0.7% [1] - The revenue per hectoliter for the full year 2025 decreased by 0.2%, and for Q4, it decreased by 3.5% [1] - The gross margin for 2025 was 50.1%, an increase of 0.13 percentage points year-on-year, while the normalized EBITDA margin was 27.6%, a decrease of 1.13 percentage points year-on-year [1] Regional Performance - In the Western Asia-Pacific region, Q4 2025 sales volume showed a slight organic growth of 0.1%, but revenue and revenue per hectoliter declined by 5.6% and 5.7% respectively, with normalized EBITDA down 40.0% [2] - India emerged as a growth highlight, with high-end and super high-end products accounting for over two-thirds of total revenue and contributing over 20% to revenue growth [2] - In the Eastern Asia-Pacific region, Q4 2025 revenue showed a slight organic decline of 0.6%, with sales volume down 3.7% but revenue per hectoliter up 3.2% [2] China Market Focus - The Chinese market faced continued pressure, with Q4 2025 sales volume down 3.9% due to weak on-premise channels and delayed Lunar New Year shipments [3] - The company plans to increase investment in channel and product mix expansion, with Q4 2025 revenue down 11.4% year-on-year [3] - The company aims to revitalize its market share in China as a core focus for 2026, with strategies including enhancing high-end and digital channel penetration [4] Future Strategies and Forecasts - For 2026, the company will increase commercial investment as a percentage of net revenue, focusing on core and emerging channels [4] - The profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been revised down to $621 million and $680 million respectively, reflecting a decrease of 9% and 7% [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 21x for 2026, 20x for 2027, and 18x for 2028, with a maintained "buy" rating based on competitive advantages in high-end and super high-end segments [4]