BUD APAC(01876)
Search documents
中金:维持百威亚太(01876)跑赢行业评级 目标价9.80港元
智通财经网· 2026-02-13 02:09
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that China International Capital Corporation (CICC) has lowered Budweiser APAC's (01876) 2026 EBITDA forecast by 7.1% to $1.593 billion and introduced a 2027 EBITDA forecast of $1.637 billion, maintaining a target price of HKD 9.80 per share, which implies a 25.2% upside potential from the current stock price [1] Group 2 - For Q4 2025, the company's performance was in line with CICC's expectations, with revenue, sales volume, average selling price (ASP), and EBITDA showing year-on-year declines of -4.2%, -0.7%, -3.5%, and -24.7% respectively, particularly in China where these figures were -11.4%, -3.9%, -7.7%, and -42.3% [2] Group 3 - In the China region, Q4 2025 faced weak demand and deepened channel adjustments, leading to a 3.9% year-on-year decline in sales volume, primarily due to the poor performance in key channels like dining and nightlife, while ASP dropped by 7.7% due to increased investment in off-premise channels [3] Group 4 - Other regions showed mixed results, with India continuing to grow while South Korea's profitability awaited recovery; in the Eastern Asia region, sales volume declined by 1.3% year-on-year due to a weak consumption environment in South Korea, although ASP increased by 2.5% due to price hikes in core categories [4] Group 5 - The company has set a growth-first strategy for 2026, aiming to proactively address market challenges, with the current on-premise channel share at a historical low, suggesting limited downside potential; if the on-premise channel recovers, Budweiser could exhibit stronger-than-industry elasticity [5]
百威亚太(01876.HK):4Q25延续调整 公司2026年定调增长优先
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-12 22:09
Core Insights - The company's 4Q25 performance aligns with expectations, showing a decline in revenue, sales volume, ASP, and EBITDA, particularly in the Chinese market [1] - The company aims for growth in 2026, adopting a proactive approach to market challenges, with potential for recovery in the on-premise channel [2] Financial Performance - 4Q25 revenue, sales volume, ASP, and EBITDA decreased by 4.2%, 0.7%, 3.5%, and 24.7% year-on-year, respectively, with the Chinese market showing declines of 11.4%, 3.9%, 7.7%, and 42.3% [1] - The EBITDA forecast for 2026 is adjusted down by 7.1% to $1.593 billion, with a new estimate for 2027 at $1.637 billion [2] Market Trends - In China, weak demand and channel adjustments continue to pressure volume and pricing, with a 3.9% decline in sales volume attributed to poor performance in key channels [1] - The Indian market continues to show strong growth, helping to offset pressures from the Chinese market [1] Strategic Outlook - The company is prioritizing growth in 2026, with expectations for stabilization as the macro environment improves and strategic adjustments are made [2] - The current stock price reflects a valuation of 6.5x and 6.2x EV/EBITDA for 2026 and 2027, respectively, with a target price of HKD 9.80 per share indicating a potential upside of 25.2% [2]
百威亚太:重燃在华增长趋势
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-02-12 15:48
Core Insights - Budweiser APAC reported a revenue of $5.764 billion for 2025, a decrease of 6.1% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders at $489 million, down 32.6% [1] - Total sales volume reached 7.9658 million kiloliters, reflecting a decline of 6.08% compared to the previous year [1] - The company is undergoing a "strategic shift" in response to competitive pressures, particularly in the Chinese market, where it aims to enhance channel management and product diversification [2] Regional Performance - In the Western Asia-Pacific market, sales volume and revenue decreased by 6.7% and 8.2% respectively, with revenue per hectoliter down by 1.5% [1] - Conversely, in the Eastern Asia-Pacific market, sales volume declined by 3.7%, while revenue and revenue per hectoliter increased by 1.3% and 2.5% respectively [1] Chinese Market Focus - In Q4 2025, Budweiser APAC's sales in China fell by 3.9% due to weak performance in the ready-to-drink channel, leading to a year-on-year revenue decline of 11.4% [1] - For the entire year, sales and revenue in China decreased by 8.6% and 11.3% respectively, attributed to increased investments in expanding non-ready-to-drink business [1] - The company is focusing on three main areas: strengthening non-ready-to-drink channels, enriching product offerings, and driving innovation around key brands to reignite growth [2] Management's Strategic Outlook - The management believes that China remains a significant profit pool and growth opportunity, planning to leverage brand innovation and digital transformation to enhance execution and consumer engagement [3] - The CEO's leadership since April 2025 is seen as a pivotal moment for the company, with expectations for new strategies to address domestic competition and adapt to local consumer needs [2]
百威亚太(01876) - 持续关连交易设定ABI进口许可之新年度上限
2026-02-12 08:55
香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責,對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴 該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 茲提述招股章程及本公司日期為2023年9月29日的公告(「公告」)中「關連交 易-不獲豁免持續關連交易」及「關連交易-獲全面豁免持續關連交易」章節, 內容有關(其中包括)本公司與百威集團訂立的進口框架協議之修訂及其項下擬 授出之ABI進口許可。除另有指明外,本公告所用詞彙與招股章程所界定者具 有相同涵義。 設定ABI進口許可之新年度上限 根據上市規則第14A.53條,董事(包括獨立非執行董事,惟不包括放棄投票的董 事)已同意根據ABI進口許可將截至2026年及2027年12月31日止年度就將應付 百威集團的銷售最高費用總額的新年度上限分別設定為220百萬美元及253百萬 美元。 1 1. 設定ABI進口許可之新年度上限 Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Limited 百威亞太控股有限公司 (於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司) (股份代號:1876) 持續關連交易 設定ABI進口許 ...
百威亚太去年收入减少6.1%至57.64亿美元,中国市场非即饮及O2O渠道对销量及收入贡献有所提升
Cai Jing Wang· 2026-02-12 08:40
Core Viewpoint - Budweiser APAC reported a decline in total beer sales and revenue for 2025, with total sales at 7.966 billion liters, down 6.0% year-on-year, and revenue at $5.764 billion, down 6.1% year-on-year. Normalized EBITDA decreased by 9.8% to $1.588 billion [1] Sales and Revenue Summary - Total sales for 2025 were 7.966 billion liters, a decrease from 8.481 billion liters in 2024, reflecting a 6.0% decline [2] - Revenue for 2025 was $5.764 billion, down from $6.246 billion in 2024, marking a 6.1% decrease [2] - Normalized EBITDA for 2025 was $1.588 billion, compared to $1.807 billion in 2024, representing a 12.4% decline [2] Regional Performance - In the fourth quarter of 2025, sales in the Western Asia-Pacific region increased by 0.1%, while revenue and revenue per hectoliter decreased by 5.6% and 5.7%, respectively [3] - In China, fourth-quarter sales decreased by 3.9% due to weak performance in the ready-to-drink channel, with revenue and revenue per hectoliter down by 11.4% and 7.7%, respectively [3] - In India, the company achieved strong double-digit revenue growth through its premiumization strategy, contributing to overall market share expansion [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on expanding its non-ready-to-drink channels and increasing penetration in online-to-offline (O2O) channels, which have shown improved contributions to sales and revenue [4] - Increased investments to support distributors and activate brands in non-ready-to-drink and emerging channels have been noted, despite the impact on revenue performance [3][4]
里昂:百威亚太上季净亏损高于预期 派息符预期 予“跑赢大市”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 07:58
Core Viewpoint - The report from Citi maintains a target price of HKD 9 for Budweiser APAC (01876) and rates it as "outperform" [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Budweiser APAC's Q4 performance was largely in line with expectations, with organic revenue declining by 4% year-on-year and organic normalized EBITDA dropping by 25%, which aligns with Citi's forecasts and market consensus [1] - The net loss was higher than expected due to tax expenses exceeding projections [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - The Chinese market continues to drag down overall performance, with revenue decreasing by 11% and sales volume experiencing a continuous narrowing of decline; however, investment in home channels and product mix changes did not yield positive results, leading to pressure on average selling prices [1] - Conversely, the group's performance in South Korea and India remains robust [1] Group 3: Key Focus Areas - Key areas of concern include macroeconomic policies, the development of home channels, and marketing budgets [1]
里昂:百威亚太(01876)上季净亏损高于预期 派息符预期 予“跑赢大市”评级
智通财经网· 2026-02-12 07:52
Core Viewpoint - Credit Suisse has set a target price of HKD 9 for Budweiser APAC (01876) and rated it as "Outperform" based on its fourth-quarter performance, which was largely in line with expectations despite a decline in organic revenue and EBITDA [1] Financial Performance - For the fourth quarter, Budweiser APAC reported an organic revenue decline of 4% year-on-year and an organic normalized EBITDA drop of 25%, which was in line with both Credit Suisse's expectations and market consensus [1] - The net loss was higher than expected due to tax expenses exceeding forecasts [1] Market Analysis - The Chinese market continues to negatively impact overall performance, with revenue decreasing by 11% and a continuous narrowing of sales decline; however, investments in home channels and product mix changes have not yielded positive results, leading to pressure on average selling prices [1] - Conversely, the South Korean and Indian markets showed stable performance [1] Dividend and Strategic Focus - The dividend payout met expectations, indicating a stable return to shareholders [1] - Key areas for attention include macroeconomic policies, the development of home channels, and marketing budgets [1]
净利四年连降,中国市场失速,百威亚太仍深陷增长困境
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 07:27
Core Viewpoint - Budweiser APAC reported a significant decline in performance for 2025, with total sales down 6.0% to 79.658 million hectoliters, revenue falling 6.1% to $5.764 billion, and net profit attributable to shareholders plummeting 32.6% to $489 million, indicating unprecedented growth pressures on the company [2][17]. Financial Performance - The company has experienced a continuous decline in net profit for four consecutive years, with revenue decreasing for two years despite growth potential in the Asia-Pacific beer market [2][17]. - Normalized EBITDA for 2025 was $1.588 billion, a decrease of 9.8%, with the corresponding profit margin dropping 113 basis points to 27.6% [2][17]. - Basic earnings per share fell from 5.51 cents to 3.70 cents, reflecting a weakening profitability that has eroded investor confidence [2][17]. Market Dynamics - The Chinese market, once a core growth engine, saw sales drop 8.6% and revenue decline 11.3% in 2025, significantly underperforming compared to overall company metrics [4][19]. - The company’s reliance on immediate consumption channels has been detrimental, as foot traffic in these areas has decreased, directly impacting sales [21]. - Despite efforts to expand non-immediate consumption channels and O2O strategies, these investments have temporarily reduced profitability [22][23]. Regional Performance - The western Asia-Pacific region, including China and India, reported a 6.7% decline in sales and an 8.2% drop in revenue, while the eastern markets achieved a slight revenue increase of 1.3% but experienced a minor sales decline [10][25]. - The strong performance in the Indian market, which contributed over 20% revenue growth, was insufficient to offset declines in the Chinese and Korean markets, highlighting a lack of regional synergy [10][25]. Internal and External Challenges - Internal issues include mismatches in channels, products, and organizational structure, with a high dependency on immediate consumption channels and slow responses to changing consumer trends [26]. - Externally, increasing competition from local brands and macroeconomic fluctuations have further pressured the company’s market position [26][27]. Strategic Adjustments - Budweiser APAC aims to regain growth momentum by focusing on market share recovery in China, enhancing product innovation in core and premium segments, and accelerating digital transformation through the BEES platform [28]. - The company plans to invest in the Korean market for profit margin expansion and target India as a key growth driver, while also exploring acquisition opportunities in Southeast Asia [28][29]. - The board has proposed maintaining a stable dividend of 5.66 cents per share, reflecting confidence in long-term growth despite current performance challenges [29].
业绩二连降!百威亚太2025年营收同比减少6.1%,股东溢利跌超三成!中国市场啤酒销量下滑8.6%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 06:41
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in total sales and revenue for the fiscal year 2025, with significant challenges in the Chinese market impacting overall performance [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Total sales decreased by 6.0% to 79.658 million liters in fiscal year 2025 compared to 84.811 million liters in fiscal year 2024 [2]. - Revenue fell by 6.1% to $5.764 billion from $6.246 billion year-on-year [2]. - Net profit attributable to equity holders dropped by 32.6% from $726 million in fiscal year 2024 to $489 million in fiscal year 2025 [1][2]. Group 2: Market Challenges - The company faced a 8.6% decline in beer sales and an 11.3% drop in revenue in the Chinese market for fiscal year 2025 [3][4]. - The fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025 saw a 0.7% decrease in total sales, primarily due to ongoing challenges in the Chinese market and a weak industry in South Korea, although strong growth in India partially offset these declines [2][3]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on revitalizing growth trends and rebuilding market share in China, emphasizing the importance of the market as a significant growth opportunity [4]. - Plans include accelerating the expansion of non-immediate consumption marketing channels and enhancing digital engagement to support growth [4].
大行评级丨里昂:百威亚太去年第四季度业绩大致符预期,评级“跑赢大市”
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-12 06:17
Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais indicates that Budweiser APAC's Q4 performance was largely in line with expectations, with organic revenue declining by 4% year-on-year and organic normalized EBITDA dropping by 25% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Organic revenue decreased by 4% year-on-year in Q4 [1] - Organic normalized EBITDA fell by 25% year-on-year, aligning with the bank's expectations and market consensus [1] - Net loss exceeded expectations due to higher-than-expected tax expenses [1] Group 2: Market Performance - The Chinese market continues to drag down overall performance, with revenue declining by 11% [1] - Sales volume decline has been narrowing consecutively, but investments in home channels and product mix changes did not yield positive results, leading to pressure on average selling prices [1] - Conversely, the markets in South Korea and India showed stable performance [1] Group 3: Dividends and Ratings - The proposed dividend is in line with expectations, suggesting a payout of 5.66 cents per share [2] - Credit Lyonnais set a target price of HKD 9 for Budweiser APAC and maintains a "Outperform" rating [1][2] - Key areas to monitor include macro policies, development of home channels, and marketing budgets [1]