Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's research report indicates that Prada's revenue growth has slowed to single digits (6%) in the latest quarter, with the Prada brand experiencing negative growth for the first time since 2020, while Miu Miu shows better-than-peer performance despite gradual normalization [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Prada's revenue growth has decreased to 6%, marking a significant slowdown [1] - The Prada brand has recorded negative growth for the first time since 2020 [1] - Miu Miu's performance is improving but still outpaces its competitors [1] Group 2: Investment Needs - The company requires substantial investments in advertising, promotions, production, IT infrastructure, and the expansion of Miu Miu's retail network, which may limit further profit margin expansion [1] Group 3: Financial Forecast Adjustments - Sales, EBIT, and earnings per share forecasts for 2025 have been reduced by 2%, 2%, and 4% respectively, and for 2026 by 3%, 5%, and 6% respectively [1] - The target price has been lowered from HKD 52.3 to HKD 45.5, maintaining a "neutral" rating [1]

Core Insights - Adidas reported a 7% year-on-year revenue growth for FY2025H1, reaching €12.105 billion, with a net profit increase of 121% to €798 million [4] - The brand's revenue growth was 14% on a currency-neutral basis, with all regional markets achieving double-digit growth [4] - The company maintains its full-year guidance, expecting high single-digit revenue growth on a currency-neutral basis for FY2025, with double-digit growth for the Adidas brand [4] Market Trends - The domestic market indices showed positive performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,617.60, up 0.96% [3] - The textile and apparel sector experienced a decline of 2.14% this week, underperforming the broader market [5] - Retail sales of sports and entertainment products grew significantly, with a 22.2% year-on-year increase in the first half of 2025 [5] Industry Dynamics - The Chinese gold consumption in the first half of 2025 was 505.205 tons, a decrease of 3.54% year-on-year, with jewelry consumption dropping by 26% [5] - The pharmaceutical industry is seeing advancements in innovative drugs, particularly in obesity treatments with GLP-1 and Amylin therapies showing promising results in clinical trials [8][11] - In the biopharmaceutical sector, ADC drugs for lung cancer are demonstrating significant efficacy, with several products showing improved outcomes in clinical trials [10][12]

| 截至月份: | 2025年7月31日 | | | | 狀態: | 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | | | | | 公司名稱: | PRADA S.p.A. | | | | | | | 呈交日期: | 2025年8月4日 | | | | | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | | | | | | | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01913 | 說明 | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上月底結存 | 2,558,824,000 | EUR | 0.1 | EUR | | 255,882,400 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | 0 | | EUR | | | ...

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Auto-W with a target price of HKD 138, expecting monthly sales of 6,000 units for its new electric SUV i8 [1] - China Biologic Products is rated "Outperform" by CMBI, highlighting its strong innovation pipeline and growth in biosimilars and generics [1] - JPMorgan upgrades Hang Lung Properties to "Overweight" with a target price of HKD 10, citing attractive dividend yield and improved sales outlook [2] Group 2 - Citi maintains a "Outperform" rating for China Overseas Property but lowers the target price to HKD 6.1, focusing on service quality improvement [3] - UBS maintains a "Buy" rating for Ping An Insurance, raising the target price to HKD 66, driven by improved macro conditions and growth in asset management [4] - UBS maintains a "Buy" rating for GCL-Poly Energy with a target price of HKD 1.9, benefiting from supply cuts and strong product quality [5] Group 3 - Macquarie maintains a "Outperform" rating for Prada but lowers the target price to HKD 60, citing lower-than-expected sales growth [6] - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Neutral" rating for CATL, adjusting the target price to HKD 436 due to expected declines in battery gross margins [7] - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating for Kuaishou-W with a target price of HKD 68, anticipating significant revenue growth in the AI sector [8] Group 4 - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating for HSBC, raising the target price to HKD 107.1 due to improved earnings forecasts [9]

Core Insights - The luxury goods industry is facing significant challenges due to a sharp decline in spending by tourists from Japan and Europe, impacting sales for major companies like LVMH, Prada, and Moncler [1] Industry Summary - The luxury sector is struggling to cope with the end of a boom period and the effects of U.S. tariffs, exacerbated by reduced consumer spending from tourists [1] - Sales for LVMH, Prada, and Moncler in the second quarter were negatively affected by decreased consumption from tourists in Europe and Japan [1] Economic Factors - Last year, a weak yen led to an influx of consumers in Japan purchasing luxury items, boosting sales during a period of declining demand [1] - The strong U.S. dollar previously enhanced American tourists' purchasing power abroad, particularly in European luxury stores, but this advantage has dissipated with the yen's recovery and the dollar's depreciation [1] - LVMH's CFO, Jean-Jacques Guiony, indicated that changes in tourist spending patterns were a primary reason for a 9% organic decline in sales in its key fashion and leather goods segment during the second quarter [1]

Group 1: Company Performance - Hermès reported a 9% sales growth in Q2, reaching €3.9 billion, with all regions showing growth. Leather goods sales increased by 14.8% to €1.76 billion, while watch sales declined by 5.5% to €130 million [14] - Adidas achieved a 7.3% increase in net sales for H1, totaling €12.1 billion, with a gross margin rise of 0.9 percentage points to 51.9% and operating profit up 70% to €1.2 billion [2] - Prada's H1 revenue reached €2.74 billion, marking a 9.1% increase at constant exchange rates, with retail sales up 10.1% to €2.453 billion [2][3] Group 2: Strategic Developments - Kering announced a €20 million signing bonus for new CEO Luca de Meo, alongside a nearly €9 million annual salary, which has positively impacted the company's stock price, rising 24% since the announcement [3] - PUMA appointed Andreas Hubert as COO, effective September 1, to streamline operations by integrating procurement, IT, and logistics under one role [6] - Arena appointed Mark Pinger as the new Chief Brand Officer, effective October 1, leveraging his background in sports and experience in strategic roles [7] Group 3: Market Trends and Challenges - L'Oréal's Q2 sales grew by 1.6% to €22.47 billion, with an operating margin of 21.1%, indicating a recovery from previous performance issues [8] - Canada Goose reported a strong start to the new fiscal year with a 22.4% revenue increase to CAD 107.8 million, showcasing brand resilience [9] - SMCP's sales grew by 2.7% to €601.1 million, with all regions outside Asia showing growth, indicating a stable performance despite regional challenges [11] Group 4: Leadership Changes and Impacts - Jil Sander's CEO Serge Brunschwig resigned after six months, indicating potential instability in leadership [13] - Nicolas Puech, the largest individual shareholder of Hermès, no longer holds shares, raising concerns about brand image and market confidence [5][6]

Group 1: Financial Performance - Hermès reported a 9% sales growth in Q2, reaching €3.9 billion, with all regions showing growth [15] - Adidas achieved a 7.3% increase in net sales to €12.1 billion, with a significant 70% rise in operating profit to €1.2 billion [2] - Prada's net revenue for H1 reached €2.74 billion, reflecting a 9.1% growth at constant exchange rates [3] - Canada Goose experienced a robust start to the fiscal year with a 22.4% increase in global revenue to CAD 107.8 million [10] - L'Oréal's sales for H1 were €22.47 billion, with a 1.6% growth, and an operating profit margin of 21.1% [9] - SMCP reported a 2.7% increase in sales to €601.1 million, with growth in all regions except Asia [11] Group 2: Management Changes - Kering appointed Luca de Meo as CEO, offering a €20 million signing bonus, which positively impacted the stock price [4] - PUMA appointed Andreas Hubert as COO, aiming to streamline operations by integrating various functions [8] - Arena announced Mark Pinger as the new Chief Brand Officer, effective October 1, 2025 [8] - Jil Sander's CEO Serge Brunschwig resigned after six months in the position [14] Group 3: Brand and Market Insights - The performance of Prada's main brand declined by 1.9%, while Miu Miu surged by 49.2%, indicating a divergence in brand performance [3] - Hermès' leather goods sales grew by 14.8%, while the watch segment faced challenges with a 5.5% decline [15][16] - L'Oréal's digital transformation efforts are beginning to show results, with a growth acceleration from Q1 to Q2 [9] - The luxury market is showing resilience, with brands like Canada Goose capitalizing on strong demand [10]

Group 1: Company Performance - Hermès reported a 9% increase in sales for the second quarter, reaching €3.9 billion, with all regions showing growth [14] - Adidas achieved a 7.3% increase in net sales for the first half of the fiscal year, totaling €12.1 billion, with a gross margin of 51.9% [2] - Prada's net revenue for the first half of the fiscal year reached €2.74 billion, reflecting a 9.1% growth at constant exchange rates [2] - Canada Goose reported a strong start to the new fiscal year with a 22.4% increase in global revenue, amounting to CAD 107.8 million [9] - Kering's stock price rose 24% following the appointment of Luca de Meo as CEO, who received a €20 million signing bonus [3] - SMCP's sales increased by 2.7% to €601.1 million, with all regions outside Asia showing growth [11] Group 2: Operational Changes - PUMA appointed Andreas Hubert as COO, effective September 1, to streamline operations and integrate various functions [6] - Arena announced Mark Pinger as the new Chief Brand Officer, effective October 1, leveraging his sports background for brand growth [7] - Jil Sander's CEO Serge Brunschwig resigned after six months, indicating potential instability in leadership [13] Group 3: Market Trends and Insights - L'Oréal's second-quarter sales grew by 1.6%, with an operating profit margin of 21.1%, indicating a positive trend in digital transformation [8] - The luxury market shows a divergence in brand performance, with Prada's main brand experiencing a slight decline while Miu Miu surged by 49.2% [2][3] - The disappearance of shares held by Hermès' largest individual shareholder may impact brand image and market confidence [5]

Group 1 - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Kuaishou (01024.HK), highlighting the company's growth in platform ecology and commercialization, with future profit margins expected to optimize [1] - Huachuang Securities maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Li Auto (02015.HK), noting the company's strong competitiveness in the vehicle market and rapid AI transformation, with revised sales and revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 [1] - CMB International maintains a "Buy" rating for Budweiser APAC (01876.HK), indicating a recovery in sales and pricing in the Chinese market, while adjusting revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [1] Group 2 - JPMorgan maintains an "Overweight" rating for UBTECH (09880.HK), projecting a compound annual growth rate of 260% for its humanoid robot business from 2025 to 2027, with significant contributions to revenue [2] - Tianfeng Securities initiates a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong and China Gas (01083.HK), emphasizing its leading position in smart energy and strong profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [2] Group 3 - Guohai Securities maintains an "Outperform" rating for Laopu Gold (06181.HK), forecasting significant growth in sales and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by brand influence and product optimization [3] Group 4 - CICC maintains an "Outperform" rating for MGM China (02282.HK), reporting strong performance in Q2 2025, with expectations for continued market share growth and product updates [4] - CICC maintains a "Hold" rating for Prada (01913.HK), anticipating above-industry revenue growth despite uncertainties related to the Versace integration [4] Group 5 - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for New Oriental (09901.HK), reporting record revenue and profit in Q4 FY25, with a projected growth rate of 5%-10% for FY2026 [5] - CICC maintains an "Outperform" rating for Standard Chartered (02888.HK), noting better-than-expected Q2 2025 performance driven by non-interest income growth [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains a "buy" rating for Prada (01913) but lowers the target price by 6.3% to HKD 75 due to ongoing weakness in the luxury goods sector and uncertainties surrounding the integration of Versace [1] Group 1: Target Price and Valuation - The target price corresponds to a 2025 P/E ratio of 22.6 times and a 2026 P/E ratio of 18.9 times [1] - The current stock price reflects a 2025 P/E ratio of 13.8 times and a 2026 P/E ratio of 11.2 times, indicating a potential upside of 60.3% from the target price [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - Prada Group reported a 9% year-on-year increase in net revenue for 1H25, reaching EUR 2.74 billion, in line with FactSet consensus expectations [2] - Gross margin improved to 80.1% in 1H25 from 79.8% in 1H24 due to higher operational efficiency and lower logistics costs [2] - EBIT grew by 6% year-on-year to EUR 607 million, with an EBIT margin of 22.2%, slightly below FactSet consensus of EUR 631 million [2] - Net income stood at EUR 386 million, with a net margin of 14.1%, remaining stable year-on-year [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the group held net cash of EUR 352 million [2] Group 3: Growth Drivers - Despite uncertainties related to the Versace acquisition, Prada Group is expected to be one of the best-performing luxury companies in 2025, driven by: 1) Expansion of retail space for Prada and Miu Miu brands, expected to accelerate in 2H25 [1] 2) Increased production of leather goods for the Miu Miu brand [1] 3) Consistency in creativity while many peers undergo design transformations in 2025 [1]