记者丨易佳颖 编辑丨黄剑 "自8月1日起，瓦楞纸价格、再生牛卡纸价格上调30元/吨""再生纸、瓦楞纸、纱管纸所有克重统一上调 50元/吨"。 自7月初以来，这样的涨价函正密集砸向包装纸市场。玖龙纸业在短短一个月内已六次宣布调涨瓦楞 纸、再生牛卡纸等纸张价格，山鹰国际、理文造纸、湖北荣成等头部纸企紧随其后，纷纷宣布8月起将 执行新价格。 "7月异常降雨严重阻碍废纸回收，"广东造纸行业协会常务副会长陈竹在接受21世纪经济报道记者采访 时指出："近期纸价上行主要受成本端驱动，废纸原料占生产成本70%~80%。广东地区因持续降雨的异 常气候导致废纸回收与物流受阻，进一步加剧供应紧张，对成本构成显著压力。" 卓创数据显示，7月下旬废黄板纸均价达1482元/吨，同比上涨2.75%。然而，若将视野放得更远些，此 番涨价的背后是造纸行业困于"低价内卷"。"在行业出现亏损或微利、已无进一步降价空间的背景下， 纸价反弹成为供需触底后的市场自发现象。"在卓创资讯瓦楞纸分析师李莉看来，此轮涨价承载双重目 的：其一为修复纸厂自身利润水平；其二则为利用价格信号刺激下游在关键节点补库，从而有效缓解纸 厂高企的库存压力。 除了集体提价外，纸 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： HKD 200,000,000 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 | | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 理文造紙有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年8月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02314 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 8,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.025 HKD | | 200,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 8,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.025 HKD | | 200,000, ...

Price Trends - The price of waste paper has increased from 0.3 yuan per jin to 0.4-0.5 yuan per jin, leading to a rise in the prices of corrugated paper and boxboard paper by 30-50 yuan per ton due to increased costs [1][3] - Despite the price increases in packaging paper, prices for paper types made from pulp, such as white card paper and cultural paper, have been declining due to excess capacity and insufficient demand [1][7] Industry Dynamics - The paper industry is experiencing a negative cycle where expanding production does not lead to profitability, as companies feel pressured to expand to maintain market share [2] - The domestic paper industry is projected to add over 10 million tons of new capacity from 2023 to 2024, while demand growth is expected to be only 1.5% in 2024, leading to significant supply-demand imbalances [8] Cost Pressures - Rising operational costs have prompted multiple price increase notices from companies like Nine Dragons Paper, with the latest being the sixth notice in July alone [3][4] - The increase in waste paper prices due to heavy rainfall has contributed to the cost pressures faced by paper manufacturers [3][4] Market Sentiment - Despite the price increases, the transmission of these costs to the packaging sector remains uncertain due to weak terminal demand, leading to competitive pricing among packaging companies [5][6] - The overall profitability of the industry is under pressure, with some companies reporting losses while others are barely breaking even [12] Future Outlook - The paper prices are expected to remain weak in the second half of the year, with companies focusing on cost management to maintain profit margins [14] - The industry is likely to see further consolidation as smaller companies may struggle to survive in the current environment, leading to a potential increase in market share for larger firms [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The paper industry is experiencing a significant shift with the introduction of the first "anti-involution" initiative, aimed at promoting high-quality development and addressing structural overcapacity issues in the sector [1][6]. Group 1: Anti-Involution Initiative - The Guangdong Paper Industry Association has issued the first "anti-involution" initiative in the domestic paper industry, emphasizing the need to resist low-price competition and maintain market order [1][6]. - The initiative encourages companies to set prices based on actual costs, reasonable profits, and market demand, aiming to protect the overall value of the industry [1][6]. Group 2: Market Conditions - Despite steady growth in consumption for certain paper types like corrugated paper and household paper, overall capacity expansion has outpaced demand growth, leading to low utilization rates, with some types below 55% [4]. - The industry is facing a prolonged supply-demand imbalance, characterized by declining operating rates and slow inventory reduction, indicating a typical cyclical bottom phase [6][9]. Group 3: Price Adjustments - Several paper companies, including Nine Dragons Paper and Jiangxi Lee & Man Paper, have announced price increases due to rising costs, marking the fourth round of price hikes in July alone [7]. - The overall paper industry has been under significant pricing pressure, with major paper types experiencing price declines since 2021, reflecting weak market demand and overcapacity [7][9]. Group 4: Institutional Focus - Institutions are focusing on companies like Sun Paper, which has integrated pulp and paper production, and others in the sector that are expected to benefit from the "anti-involution" initiative and potential market restructuring [10][13]. - Analysts suggest monitoring companies that are diversifying product lines and those with integrated operations, as the industry may see improvements in profitability due to reduced competition and optimized capacity [10][13].

Key Points - The top three companies with net inflows from southbound funds are Xiaomi Group-W (01810) with 1.665 billion, Tencent Holdings (00700) with 830 million, and Alibaba-W (09988) with 747 million [1] - The companies with the highest net outflows are Pop Mart (09992) with -354 million, China Life (02628) with -351 million, and Kingsoft Cloud (03896) with -300 million [1] - In terms of net inflow ratio, Qin Port Co. (03369) leads with 78.68%, followed by Reshaping Energy (02570) with 76.94%, and Cang Port Railway (02169) with 65.01% [1] - The companies with the highest net outflow ratios include Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (03618) at -61.37%, Bank of China Aviation Leasing (02588) at -53.31%, and Swire Properties (01972) at -45.99% [1] Net Inflow Rankings - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) had a net inflow of 1.665 billion, representing a 12.37% increase [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700) saw a net inflow of 830 million, with an 8.94% increase [2] - Alibaba-W (09988) recorded a net inflow of 747 million, reflecting a 10.60% increase [2] - The highest net inflow was observed in CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093) with 654 million and a 21.81% increase [2] Net Outflow Rankings - Pop Mart (09992) experienced a net outflow of -354 million, with a -10.47% decrease [2] - China Life (02628) had a net outflow of -351 million, reflecting a -11.90% decrease [2] - Kingsoft Cloud (03896) recorded a net outflow of -300 million, with a -24.18% decrease [2] - Meituan-W (03690) also saw a significant outflow of -291 million, representing a -5.32% decrease [2] Net Inflow Ratio Rankings - Qin Port Co. (03369) leads with a net inflow ratio of 78.68% and a net inflow of 340,000 [3] - Reshaping Energy (02570) follows with a net inflow ratio of 76.94% and a net inflow of 10.53 million [3] - Cang Port Railway (02169) has a net inflow ratio of 65.01% with a net inflow of 4.3967 million [3] - Other notable companies include Meizhong Jiahe (02453) with a 61.71% net inflow ratio [3] Net Outflow Ratio Rankings - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (03618) has the highest net outflow ratio at -61.37% with a net outflow of -1.04 billion [3] - Bank of China Aviation Leasing (02588) follows with a net outflow ratio of -53.31% and a net outflow of -15.3728 million [3] - Swire Properties (01972) has a net outflow ratio of -45.99% with a net outflow of -29.4662 million [3]

Industry Overview - Guangdong Province is the second-largest paper-producing province in China, with a projected paper and board output of 26.48 million tons in 2024, marking an 8.1% year-on-year increase and accounting for 16.7% of the national total [1] - The production of packaging paper constitutes 72.3% of the total output, with key products including boxboard and corrugated paper [1] Market Dynamics - The paper industry is experiencing a wave of price increases, with leading companies like Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper announcing price hikes of 30 yuan per ton for products such as corrugated paper and recycled cardboard starting August 1 [1][3] - The frequency of price adjustments has notably increased this year, with multiple announcements made in March-April, May, and July [1] Cost Factors - Rising raw material costs are a primary driver of the recent price increases, with the market price for waste yellow board paper reaching 1,475 yuan per ton as of July 21, reflecting a 15 yuan increase since June 30 [2] - The packaging paper sector, particularly the corrugated and boxboard markets, has faced a supply-demand imbalance, leading to a downward price trend earlier this year [2] Profitability and Performance - The gross profit margins for the corrugated paper and boxboard sectors have declined, with the corrugated paper industry reporting a gross margin of 9.97%, down 1.11 percentage points year-on-year, and the boxboard industry at 18.96%, down 1.24 percentage points [2] Strategic Initiatives - The Guangdong Paper Industry Association has issued a "反内卷" (anti-involution) initiative aimed at promoting high-quality development in the industry, advocating for fair market practices, capacity optimization, quality enhancement, and industry self-regulation [4] Company Insights - Morning Paper (晨鸣纸业) anticipates a significant loss of 3.5 to 4 billion yuan for the first half of 2025 due to production halts, impacting revenue and profit [6] - Nine Dragons Paper (玖龙纸业) is expected to see a 58% year-on-year increase in core profit to 811 million yuan, with a stable revenue forecast of approximately 28.78 billion yuan [6] - Lee & Man Paper (理文造纸) is a global leader in paper production with an annual capacity exceeding 9 million tons, reporting total revenue of 24.073 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.216 billion yuan as of 2024 [7]

香 港 交 易 及 結 算 所 有 限 公 司 及 香 港 聯 合 交 易 所 有 限 公 司 對 本 公 布 之 內 容 概 不 負 責， 對其準 確性或 完整 性亦不 發表任 何聲 明，並 明確表 示概 不會就 本公布 全 部 或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 * （ 於 開 曼 群 島 註 冊 成 立 及 其 成 員 責 任 為 有 限 ） 香港，2 0 2 5年7月2 8日 於本公布日期，本公司董事會成員包括 五位執行董事，計有李文俊博士、李文斌先生、 葉向勤先生、李浩中先生及李經緯先生及三位獨立非執行董事， 計有周承炎先生、 羅 詠詩女士及陳惠仁先生。 * 僅供識別 董事會會議通告 理文造紙有限公司（「本公司」）董事會（「董事會」）欣然宣布，本公司之董事會會議將 於2025年8月7日舉行，藉以（其中包括）批准本公司及其附屬公司截至2025年6月30日止六個 月之中期業績及其發布，以及考慮派發中期股息( 如適用)。 承董事會命 理 文 造 紙 有 限 公 司 公 司 秘 書 羅潔茹 （股份編號：2314） ...

Core Viewpoint - The packaging paper industry is experiencing a price increase, with major companies like Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper announcing a price hike of 30 yuan/ton for corrugated paper and recycled kraft paper starting August 1, driven by rising raw material costs and tightening supply [1][2]. Group 1: Price Trends - July has seen the fourth round of price increases in the paper industry, with a consistent rise in various types of raw paper prices, each time by 30 yuan/ton [1]. - As of July 21, the market price for waste yellow board paper reached 1475 yuan/ton, an increase of 15 yuan/ton compared to June 30 [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The increase in waste yellow board paper prices is attributed to overall limited supply and heavy rainfall affecting local waste paper trading, leading to a decrease in market supply [2]. - Major paper companies have been steadily raising their procurement prices for waste yellow board paper, which has contributed to a bullish sentiment in the waste paper market and provided cost support for finished paper price increases [2]. Group 3: Industry Performance - In the first half of the year, the corrugated and box board paper markets continued to experience a supply-demand imbalance, with average prices declining: corrugated paper at 2682 yuan/ton (down 2.44% year-on-year) and box board paper at 3616 yuan/ton (down 3.42% year-on-year) [3]. - The gross profit margins for the corrugated paper industry and box board paper industry were 9.97% and 18.96%, respectively, both showing a decline compared to the previous year [3]. - The overall profitability of the industry remains under pressure due to the supply exceeding demand, with expectations of a price recovery in the second half of the year, although it may not fully offset the declines seen in the first half [3].

Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Market Movements - Jin Jing New Energy (01783) rose over 4.5% as the Hang Seng Index company is set to release its mid-year review results on August 22, with changes effective from September 8 [1] - Paper stocks in Hong Kong continued to rise, with Nine Dragons Paper (02689.HK) increasing over 7%, recording five consecutive gains, while Lee & Man Paper (02314.HK) rose about 5% [1] - Airline stocks saw significant gains, with China National Aviation (0753.HK) up over 7%, driven by the Civil Aviation Administration's emphasis on enhancing the industry’s competitive landscape [1] - Renrui Talent (06919) surged over 19% after announcing a positive earnings forecast, expecting revenue of approximately RMB 2.49 billion to 2.69 billion for the year ending June 30, 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.1% to 30.8% [1] Group 2: Other Notable Stock Movements - China Antibody-B (03681) increased over 8% after entering into subscription agreements for the issuance of 182 million new shares at a subscription price of HKD 2.03 per share [2] - Fufeng Group (00546) rose over 4% with an expected net profit of RMB 1.74 billion for the first half of the year, a 67% increase year-on-year, attributed to higher sales and lower raw material costs [2] - Cao Cao Travel (02643) gained over 4%, reaching a new high following a strategic partnership with a leading commercial aerospace company [2] - NIO-SW (09866) rose over 8%, with a cumulative increase of over 40% in the month [2] Group 3: US Stock Market Highlights - Kohl's (KSS.US) saw a dramatic increase of nearly 90%, becoming a popular "meme stock" among retail investors, closing at $14.34, up 37.62% [3] - Daqo New Energy (DQ.US) closed at $24.60, with a rise of 16.75%, as silicon material prices have been on the rise, with an increase of 25-35% recently [3] - General Motors (GM.US) stock fell by 8.12% to $48.89, with the CFO indicating potential tariff impacts of up to $5 billion this year [3] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose 1.35%, with notable gains in Chinese concept stocks, including PONY.US up 8.62% and NIO.US up 10.84% [3] Group 4: Additional Stock Movements - Faraday Future (FFAI.US) surged over 43% after receiving a non-binding order for 1,000 vehicles valued at up to $100 million [4] - Most new energy vehicle stocks rose, with Lucid Group (LCID.US) closing at $3.13, an increase of about 11% [4] - Circle (CRCL.US) fell by 8.23% after a downgrade from "neutral" to "sell" by Compass Point Research [4] - Replimune (REPL.US) dropped 77% after the FDA rejected its application for a combination therapy for advanced melanoma, citing insufficient evidence [4]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公布之內容概不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示 概 不 會 就 本 公 布 全 部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 * 根據該等協議收購之使用權資產將由本集團按照香港財務報告準則第16號 「租 賃」於 其 綜 合 財 務 狀 況 表 內 確 認。因 此，訂 立 該 等 協 議 及 其 項 下 擬 進 行 交 易 將 視 作 本 集 團 收 購 使 用 權 資 產。由 於 該 等 協 議 項 下 本 集 團 將 予 確 認 使 用 權資產的估計價值之最高適用百分比率高於0.1%但低於5%，故 根 據 上 市 規 則 第14A章，訂 立 該 等 協 議 及 其 項 下 擬 進 行 交 易 須 遵 守 申 報 及 公 布 規 定，惟 獲豁免遵守通函（包 括 獨 立 財 務 顧 問）及 股 東 批 准 之 規 定。 * 僅供識別 – 1 – 緒 言 董事會欣然宣布，於2025年7月18日（交易時段後），本公司之間接全資附屬公司利 龍 與Elite Properties就 ...