Group 1 - The paper industry in Hong Kong is experiencing a strong upward trend, with companies like Nine Dragons Paper and Chenming Paper seeing increases of over 7%, reaching new highs [1] - A price increase wave has begun in the paper industry since August, with leading companies such as Nine Dragons Paper, Lee & Man Paper, and Shanying International announcing price hikes effective from August 1 [1] - This marks the fourth round of price increases in the packaging paper sector since July, indicating a significant acceleration in the frequency of industry price adjustments [1] Group 2 - The Guangdong Provincial Paper Industry Association has issued a proposal to promote high-quality development in the paper industry, advocating for a "de-involution" approach [1] - According to Zheshang Securities, the paper industry, characterized by an imbalance in supply and demand and operating at a profit bottom, is expected to benefit from the "de-involution" initiative [1]

Market Overview - US stock indices rebounded, influenced positively by Trump's market support, leading to a 0.68% rise in Hong Kong stocks [1] - San Francisco Fed President Daly indicated that the timing for interest rate cuts is approaching, with expectations for two 25 basis point cuts this year [1] - Goldman Sachs predicts three consecutive 25 basis point cuts starting in September, with a potential 50 basis point cut if unemployment rises further [1] Domestic Market Sentiment - A-share new account openings in July reached 1.96 million, a 71% year-on-year increase, indicating rising domestic confidence [2] - The stock of Upwind New Materials surged 20% after resuming trading, reigniting market enthusiasm [2] - The steel sector saw a significant rise, with Maanshan Iron & Steel's stock increasing over 15% due to improved loss forecasts and supportive policies [2] Industry Trends - The paper industry is experiencing a price increase, with major companies like Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper announcing price hikes [2] - The eleventh batch of centralized drug procurement in China saw a record 45 companies applying for the same drug, intensifying competition in the generic drug market [3] - Investment is shifting towards innovative drugs, with companies like Junshi Biosciences seeing stock increases of nearly 34% due to promising clinical trials [3] Financial Support for Key Industries - A joint guideline from the central bank and seven departments aims to support financing for key manufacturing sectors, including integrated circuits and medical equipment [4] - AI-related companies like Longi Green Energy and Lenovo's server business are seeing stock increases due to new orders and market interest [4] Gaming Industry Performance - The domestic gaming market is projected to reach RMB 168 billion in sales by the first half of 2025, a 14.08% year-on-year increase [4] - Heartbeat Games anticipates a revenue increase of approximately 37% for the first half of 2025, driven by strong performance from self-developed games [4] Individual Company Highlights - Tencent's mobile game "Valorant: Source Action" is set to launch on August 19, with projected annual revenue exceeding RMB 6 billion [5] - Oriental Selection's stock surged nearly 17% ahead of its upcoming financial report, reflecting strong market performance [6] - The Macau gaming sector is experiencing a positive trend, with Morgan Stanley raising its revenue growth forecast for the year from 5% to 10% [6] Technological Advancements - Apple's breakthrough in brain-computer interface (BCI) technology allows users to control devices through thought, indicating a significant market opportunity [7] - The Chinese BCI market is expected to exceed RMB 3.8 billion by 2025, with a CAGR of approximately 20% [7] Investment Opportunities - Kelun-Bio has become a top holding in a major fund, indicating strong market confidence in its innovative drug pipeline [8] - The company has established multiple technology platforms and is expected to accelerate commercialization in 2025 [8]

Group 1 - Xindong Company (02400) reported a positive earnings forecast, expecting revenue of at least RMB 3.05 billion for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of approximately 37%, and a net profit of at least RMB 790 million, a year-on-year increase of about 215% [1] - Yimai Sunshine (02522) also announced a positive earnings forecast, expecting revenue between RMB 450 million to 480 million for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of approximately 8.77% to 16.03%, and a net profit of RMB 14.5 million to 16.5 million, a year-on-year increase of about 1350% to 1550% [1] - Tianli International Holdings (01773) plans to repurchase shares up to a total of HKD 200 million based on market conditions, believing that the share buyback plan is in the best interest of the company and its shareholders [2] Group 2 - Liaogang Co., Ltd. (02880) reported a total operating revenue of RMB 5.693 billion for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.93%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 956 million, a year-on-year increase of 110.78% [2] - Yuan Zheng Technology (02488) reported a revenue of RMB 982 million for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.75%, and a net profit of RMB 195 million, a year-on-year increase of 27.74% [2] - Geekplus Technology (02590) expects revenue between RMB 995 million to 1.03 billion for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 27% to 32%, while the net loss is expected to narrow significantly [3] Group 3 - Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing (02314) and other leading companies in the paper industry have initiated a price increase for various products starting August 1, indicating a significant acceleration in price adjustment frequency within the industry [3] - Xinda Biopharmaceutical (01801) announced that its innovative oral small molecule GLP-1R agonist IBI3032 has received IND approval from the FDA [4] - Heyu-B (02256) reported a revenue of RMB 612 million for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 23.1%, and a net profit of RMB 328 million, a year-on-year increase of 58.84% [4] Group 4 - Bilibili (BILI.US) is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 20% year-on-year to RMB 7.3 billion in the second quarter, driven by stable performance in mobile games [5][6] - Li Auto (LI.US) launched the Li Xiang i8, with deliveries starting on August 20, and received positive outlooks from multiple institutions [6] - Xpeng Motors (XPEV.US) achieved a new monthly delivery record in July, delivering 36,717 smart electric vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 229% [7]

Core Viewpoint - The paper industry is experiencing a price increase trend, with major companies like Lee & Man Paper (02314) and Nine Dragons Paper (02689) raising prices for multiple products starting August 1, indicating a significant acceleration in price adjustments within the sector [1] Industry Summary - The paper industry has initiated its fourth round of price increases since July, primarily affecting packaging paper prices, driven by rising costs of raw materials, energy, and logistics [1] - Year-to-date, the industry has seen two rounds of price hikes in January-March and May, reflecting a pattern of increasing pricing pressure [1] - The Guangdong Provincial Paper Industry Association has issued a proposal to promote high-quality development in the industry, aiming to counteract excessive competition [1] Company Summary - Major players such as Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper have reported significant stock price increases, with Nine Dragons Paper up 4.06% to HKD 4.61 and Lee & Man Paper up 5.06% to HKD 2.70 [1] - According to Zheshang Securities, the paper industry, characterized by supply-demand imbalances and profitability at a low point, is expected to benefit from the "anti-involution" initiative, which may help stabilize paper prices and improve profitability for leading companies [1] - The current operational status of the paper industry shows a solid bottom, with limited new capacity expected in 2025-2026 and many paper types and operating rates at cyclical lows, suggesting potential for significant valuation elasticity for leading firms if prices return to reasonable levels [1]

| 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 ▽ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00731 建发新胜 | | 0.208 | 6.67% | | 02689 | 玖龙纸业 | 4.620 4.29% | | | 02314 理文造纸 | | 2.680 | 4.28% | 今年以来，造纸企业已在1月—3月和5月进行过两轮提价，而本轮主要是包装纸价格上涨。原材料、能 源及物流等成本上升成为此轮涨价的主要推动因素。业界认为，纸企近期连番发涨价函拉涨纸品出厂价 格，可看作是包装纸行业对今年以来不断下探的市场行情的一次"反攻"。 此次涨价潮对造纸行业上市公司而言，短期内有助于缓解成本压力，但长期的行业健康发展仍需解决产 能过剩、需求提振以及规范市场竞争等多方面问题。(格隆汇) 消息上，刚进入8月，造纸行业便迎来一轮涨价潮。玖龙纸业、理文造纸、山鹰国际等龙头企业近日相 继发布涨价函，宣布自8月1日起上调多款产品价格。这已是7月以来包装纸行业发起的第四轮涨价，显 示出行业调价频率明显加快。 港股纸业股盘初拉升上涨，其中，建发新胜涨近7%，玖龙纸业、理文造纸涨4.3%。 ...

Group 1 - The top three stocks with net inflows of southbound funds are Yingfu Fund (02800) with 2.858 billion, Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) with 2.255 billion, and Meituan-W (03690) with 1.397 billion [1][2] - The top three stocks with net outflows of southbound funds are Pop Mart (09992) with -0.382 billion, Ping An of China (02318) with -0.360 billion, and Laopu Gold (06181) with -0.345 billion [1][2] - In terms of net inflow ratio, the top three are Hopson Development Holdings (00754) at 70.43%, K Wah International Holdings (00173) at 64.10%, and Qingdao Port International (06198) at 61.26% [1][2] Group 2 - The top three stocks with the highest net outflow ratios are Gawei Electronics (01415) at -60.55%, Bank of China Aviation Leasing (02588) at -46.75%, and GX Hengsheng Technology (02837) at -43.69% [1][3] - The top ten stocks with the highest net inflows include Kuaishou-W (01024) with 1.391 billion and Alibaba-W (09988) with 1.040 billion [2] - The top ten stocks with the highest net outflows also include CICC (03908) with -0.333 billion and Kangfang Biologics (09926) with -0.263 billion [2]

记者丨易佳颖 编辑丨黄剑 "自8月1日起，瓦楞纸价格、再生牛卡纸价格上调30元/吨""再生纸、瓦楞纸、纱管纸所有克重统一上调 50元/吨"。 自7月初以来，这样的涨价函正密集砸向包装纸市场。玖龙纸业在短短一个月内已六次宣布调涨瓦楞 纸、再生牛卡纸等纸张价格，山鹰国际、理文造纸、湖北荣成等头部纸企紧随其后，纷纷宣布8月起将 执行新价格。 "7月异常降雨严重阻碍废纸回收，"广东造纸行业协会常务副会长陈竹在接受21世纪经济报道记者采访 时指出："近期纸价上行主要受成本端驱动，废纸原料占生产成本70%~80%。广东地区因持续降雨的异 常气候导致废纸回收与物流受阻，进一步加剧供应紧张，对成本构成显著压力。" 卓创数据显示，7月下旬废黄板纸均价达1482元/吨，同比上涨2.75%。然而，若将视野放得更远些，此 番涨价的背后是造纸行业困于"低价内卷"。"在行业出现亏损或微利、已无进一步降价空间的背景下， 纸价反弹成为供需触底后的市场自发现象。"在卓创资讯瓦楞纸分析师李莉看来，此轮涨价承载双重目 的：其一为修复纸厂自身利润水平；其二则为利用价格信号刺激下游在关键节点补库，从而有效缓解纸 厂高企的库存压力。 除了集体提价外，纸 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： HKD 200,000,000 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 | | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 理文造紙有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年8月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02314 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 8,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.025 HKD | | 200,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 8,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.025 HKD | | 200,000, ...

Price Trends - The price of waste paper has increased from 0.3 yuan per jin to 0.4-0.5 yuan per jin, leading to a rise in the prices of corrugated paper and boxboard paper by 30-50 yuan per ton due to increased costs [1][3] - Despite the price increases in packaging paper, prices for paper types made from pulp, such as white card paper and cultural paper, have been declining due to excess capacity and insufficient demand [1][7] Industry Dynamics - The paper industry is experiencing a negative cycle where expanding production does not lead to profitability, as companies feel pressured to expand to maintain market share [2] - The domestic paper industry is projected to add over 10 million tons of new capacity from 2023 to 2024, while demand growth is expected to be only 1.5% in 2024, leading to significant supply-demand imbalances [8] Cost Pressures - Rising operational costs have prompted multiple price increase notices from companies like Nine Dragons Paper, with the latest being the sixth notice in July alone [3][4] - The increase in waste paper prices due to heavy rainfall has contributed to the cost pressures faced by paper manufacturers [3][4] Market Sentiment - Despite the price increases, the transmission of these costs to the packaging sector remains uncertain due to weak terminal demand, leading to competitive pricing among packaging companies [5][6] - The overall profitability of the industry is under pressure, with some companies reporting losses while others are barely breaking even [12] Future Outlook - The paper prices are expected to remain weak in the second half of the year, with companies focusing on cost management to maintain profit margins [14] - The industry is likely to see further consolidation as smaller companies may struggle to survive in the current environment, leading to a potential increase in market share for larger firms [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The paper industry is experiencing a significant shift with the introduction of the first "anti-involution" initiative, aimed at promoting high-quality development and addressing structural overcapacity issues in the sector [1][6]. Group 1: Anti-Involution Initiative - The Guangdong Paper Industry Association has issued the first "anti-involution" initiative in the domestic paper industry, emphasizing the need to resist low-price competition and maintain market order [1][6]. - The initiative encourages companies to set prices based on actual costs, reasonable profits, and market demand, aiming to protect the overall value of the industry [1][6]. Group 2: Market Conditions - Despite steady growth in consumption for certain paper types like corrugated paper and household paper, overall capacity expansion has outpaced demand growth, leading to low utilization rates, with some types below 55% [4]. - The industry is facing a prolonged supply-demand imbalance, characterized by declining operating rates and slow inventory reduction, indicating a typical cyclical bottom phase [6][9]. Group 3: Price Adjustments - Several paper companies, including Nine Dragons Paper and Jiangxi Lee & Man Paper, have announced price increases due to rising costs, marking the fourth round of price hikes in July alone [7]. - The overall paper industry has been under significant pricing pressure, with major paper types experiencing price declines since 2021, reflecting weak market demand and overcapacity [7][9]. Group 4: Institutional Focus - Institutions are focusing on companies like Sun Paper, which has integrated pulp and paper production, and others in the sector that are expected to benefit from the "anti-involution" initiative and potential market restructuring [10][13]. - Analysts suggest monitoring companies that are diversifying product lines and those with integrated operations, as the industry may see improvements in profitability due to reduced competition and optimized capacity [10][13].