Weichai Power(02338)
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高盛:率先大幅上调潍柴动力目标价至37港元 看好发电业务成增长新引擎
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-04 07:16
高盛发布研报称,率先市场上调潍柴动力(02338)的长期盈利预测,以反映随着潍柴持续扩展其产品 及技术组合,其发电业务前景得到增强。重申对潍柴的"买入"评级,并将其目标价由21港元大幅上调至 37港元,认为其是亚洲AIDC发电领域的关键受益者。 高盛发布研报称,率先市场上调潍柴动力(02338)的长期盈利预测,以反映随着潍柴持续扩展其产品 及技术组合,其发电业务前景得到增强。重申对潍柴的"买入"评级,并将其目标价由21港元大幅上调至 37港元,认为其是亚洲AIDC发电领域的关键受益者。 AIDC(人工智能数据中心)发电业务目前约占潍柴2025年预测总净利润的10%,预计到2030年将增长 3.3倍,其盈利贡献将增加两倍以上,达到总利润约三分之一,超过国内重型卡车(HDT)发动机的贡 献。该行将潍柴2025至27年每股盈利预测上调1%至7%,2027年之后上调幅度更达9%至21%。高盛认为 潍柴这种由重型卡车(周期性)驱动转变为现在由发电(结构性)驱动的投资逻辑,值得对其进行重新 估值。 责任编辑:史丽君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资 ...
高盛:率先大幅上调潍柴动力(02338)目标价至37港元 看好发电业务成增长新引擎
智通财经网· 2026-02-04 07:14
智通财经APP获悉,高盛发布研报称,率先市场上调潍柴动力(02338)的长期盈利预测,以反映随着潍柴 持续扩展其产品及技术组合,其发电业务前景得到增强。重申对潍柴的"买入"评级,并将其目标价由21 港元大幅上调至37港元,认为其是亚洲AIDC发电领域的关键受益者。 AIDC(人工智能数据中心)发电业务目前约占潍柴2025年预测总净利润的10%,预计到2030年将增长3.3 倍,其盈利贡献将增加两倍以上,达到总利润约三分之一,超过国内重型卡车(HDT)发动机的贡献。该 行将潍柴2025至27年每股盈利预测上调1%至7%,2027年之后上调幅度更达9%至21%。高盛认为潍柴这 种由重型卡车(周期性)驱动转变为现在由发电(结构性)驱动的投资逻辑,值得对其进行重新估值。 ...
潍柴动力(02338) - 截至二零二六年一月三十一日止月份之股份发行人的证券变动月报表

2026-02-04 06:53
FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 柴動力股份有限公司 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02338 | 說明 | H股 | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 1,943,040,000 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 1,943,040,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 1,943,040,000 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 1,943,040,000 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 ...
潍柴动力:投资叙事转向值得重估;上调预期与目标价,重申买入评级
2026-02-04 02:32
Weichai Power (000338.SZ) Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Weichai Power (000338.SZ) - **Market Cap**: Rmb212.1 billion / $30.5 billion - **Enterprise Value**: Rmb236.4 billion / $34.0 billion - **Current Price**: Rmb24.31 - **12-Month Price Target**: Rmb34.00 (Upside: 39.9%) [1][5] Key Industry Insights - **Power Generation Focus**: Weichai is shifting its investment narrative from heavy-duty truck (HDT) engines to power generation, particularly in the AIDC (Automated Industrial Data Center) sector. This transition is expected to drive significant growth in earnings and market valuation [1][19]. - **Market Trends**: The demand for onsite power solutions, including fuel cells and reciprocating engines, is increasing due to delays in grid power availability. This trend is expected to enhance Weichai's order momentum in these technologies [2][41]. Financial Projections - **Earnings Growth**: Long-term earnings projections have been raised, with a forecasted net profit compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 30% from 2025E to 2030E for the AIDC power generation segment [18][21]. - **Revenue Estimates**: - 2025E Revenue: Rmb229.57 billion - 2026E Revenue: Rmb253.70 billion - 2027E Revenue: Rmb274.75 billion [5][16] - **EPS Growth**: Expected EPS growth rates are 26.5% for 2025E, 7.0% for 2026E, and 22.8% for 2027E [12][16]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - **Global Market Share**: Weichai aims to increase its share in the global power generator engine market for data centers from 3% in 2024 to approximately 20% by 2028E, capitalizing on supply chain tightness [2][32]. - **SOFC Market Entry**: The company is expected to capture a 5% share in the global solid-oxide fuel cell (SOFC) market by 2030E, which is a significant growth opportunity [2][18]. Valuation and Rerating Potential - **P/E Multiples**: Weichai's target P/E for 2026E is set at 20x, reflecting a premium over its historical average due to its stronger growth profile compared to global peers [19][30]. - **Rerating Journey**: The company is viewed as being only one-third through its rerating journey, despite a significant share price rally of 65-85% from September 2025 lows [1][19]. Strategic Developments - **KION Turnaround**: The turnaround of KION is expected to contribute over 10% earnings growth for Weichai, providing a buffer against domestic HDT demand normalization [20]. - **AIDC Power Generation**: The AIDC power generation business is projected to contribute significantly to Weichai's net profit, with estimates indicating it could account for over 30% of total net profit by 2030E [21][32]. Conclusion - **Investment Recommendation**: The analysis recommends a "Buy" rating for Weichai Power, highlighting its strong positioning in the AIDC power generation market and the potential for substantial earnings growth driven by strategic shifts in product offerings and market focus [1][19].
潍柴动力涨超4%再创新高 公司有望转型成为AIDC发电设备全面供应商
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-04 01:54
Core Viewpoint - Weichai Power (000338)(02338) has seen its stock price rise over 4%, reaching a historical high of 28.36 HKD, driven by the growing demand for power generation in data centers and the global electricity shortage [1] Group 1: Company Performance - As of the latest report, Weichai Power's stock is up 3.46%, trading at 28.12 HKD with a transaction volume of 1.95 billion HKD [1] - The company's power generation business is expected to become the largest growth engine in the internal combustion engine industry, with projected sales of over 100,000 units of power generation internal combustion engines by 2025 [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The demand for power generation units specifically for data centers is experiencing strong growth, with the company's generator capacity utilization currently at a high level [1] - According to Guotai Junan Securities, Weichai Power is transitioning from a heavy-duty truck powertrain manufacturer to a comprehensive supplier of AIDC (Advanced Industrial Data Center) power generation equipment [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The global investment in AIDC is rapidly increasing, and the ongoing electricity shortage in the United States is expected to drive high growth in various AIDC power generation equipment businesses under Weichai Power, including reciprocating gas generators, SOFC, and diesel generators for backup power [1]
港股异动 | 潍柴动力(02338)涨超4%再创新高 公司有望转型成为AIDC发电设备全面供应商
智通财经网· 2026-02-04 01:52
Core Viewpoint - Weichai Power (02338) has seen its stock price rise over 4%, reaching a historical high of 28.36 HKD, driven by the growing demand for power generation in data centers and the global electricity shortage [1] Group 1: Company Performance - As of the latest report, Weichai Power's stock is up 3.46%, trading at 28.12 HKD with a transaction volume of 195 million HKD [1] - The company's power generation business is becoming the largest growth engine in the internal combustion engine industry, with expectations to sell over 100,000 units of power generation internal combustion engines by 2025 [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The demand for power generation units specifically for data centers is experiencing strong growth, with the company's generator capacity utilization currently at a high level, indicating full production for data center generators [1] - According to Guotai Junan Securities, Weichai Power is expected to transition from primarily manufacturing heavy-duty truck powertrains to becoming a comprehensive supplier of AIDC (Advanced Industrial Data Center) power generation equipment [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The global investment in AIDC is rapidly increasing, and the ongoing electricity shortage in the United States is expected to drive high growth in various AIDC power generation equipment businesses under Weichai Power, including reciprocating gas generators, SOFC (Solid Oxide Fuel Cells), and diesel generators for backup power [1]
潍柴动力:AIDC 发电设备深度报告燃启寰宇智,气贯全球芯-20260203
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-03 10:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Weichai Power with a target price of 38.52 CNY [5][20]. Core Insights - Weichai Power is expected to transition from a heavy-duty truck powertrain manufacturer to a comprehensive supplier of AIDC power generation equipment, driven by the rapid growth in global AIDC investments and the ongoing electricity shortages in the U.S. [2][11]. - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 12.4 billion CNY, 15.3 billion CNY, and 28 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.43 CNY, 1.75 CNY, and 3.21 CNY [11][15]. - The report highlights the significant growth potential in the AIDC power generation sector, particularly for Weichai's gas engine generator sets and SOFC technology, as demand for distributed power generation increases [11][36]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is forecasted to grow from 213.96 billion CNY in 2023 to 277.18 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.3% [4][18]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase significantly from 9.01 billion CNY in 2023 to 27.96 billion CNY in 2027, with a CAGR of approximately 83.3% [4][18]. - The company's net asset return is projected to rise from 11.4% in 2023 to 23.2% in 2027, indicating improved profitability [4][18]. Business Segment Forecast - The intelligent logistics segment is expected to generate revenues of 91.39 billion CNY, 98.70 billion CNY, and 103.63 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding gross profits of 24.60 billion CNY, 27.23 billion CNY, and 28.95 billion CNY [15][18]. - The agricultural equipment segment is projected to achieve revenues of 20.18 billion CNY, 21.19 billion CNY, and 22.25 billion CNY for the same years, with gross profits of 2.68 billion CNY, 2.81 billion CNY, and 2.95 billion CNY [16][18]. - The complete vehicles and key components segment is forecasted to generate revenues of 103.25 billion CNY, 115.64 billion CNY, and 127.20 billion CNY, with gross profits of 20.83 billion CNY, 23.33 billion CNY, and 25.66 billion CNY [16][18]. Market Outlook - The global AIDC investment is expected to grow rapidly, with the total installed capacity of data centers projected to increase from 97 GW in 2024 to 226 GW by 2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of 15% [22][23]. - The report indicates a significant power supply gap in the U.S. AIDC market, with an estimated shortfall of approximately 1.5 GW in 2025, potentially expanding to nearly 7 GW by 2030, creating substantial opportunities for Weichai's gas engine generator sets and SOFC technology [36][39]. - The demand for distributed power generation equipment, such as gas engine generator sets and SOFC, is expected to rise significantly due to the limitations of existing power grids and gas turbine supply capabilities in the U.S. [36][39].
潍柴动力(000338):AIDC 发电设备深度报告:燃启寰宇智,气贯全球芯
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-03 08:19
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Weichai Power with a target price of 38.52 CNY [5][20]. Core Insights - Weichai Power is expected to transition from a heavy-duty truck powertrain manufacturer to a comprehensive supplier of AIDC power generation equipment, driven by the rapid growth in global AIDC investments and the ongoing electricity shortages in the U.S. [2][11]. - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 12.4 billion CNY, 15.3 billion CNY, and 28 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.43 CNY, 1.75 CNY, and 3.21 CNY [11][15]. - The report highlights the significant growth potential in the AIDC power generation sector, particularly for Weichai's gas engine generator sets and SOFC technology, as demand for distributed power generation equipment is expected to rise sharply [11][36]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is forecasted to reach 236.48 billion CNY in 2025, 258.35 billion CNY in 2026, and 277.18 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 9.6%, 9.2%, and 7.3% respectively [4][18]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 83.8% in 2023, followed by 26.5% in 2024, and further growth in subsequent years [4][15]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 11.4% in 2023 to 23.2% by 2027 [4][12]. Business Segments - The intelligent logistics segment is expected to generate revenues of 91.39 billion CNY, 98.70 billion CNY, and 103.63 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding gross profits of 24.60 billion CNY, 27.23 billion CNY, and 28.95 billion CNY [15][18]. - The agricultural equipment segment is projected to achieve revenues of 20.18 billion CNY, 21.19 billion CNY, and 22.25 billion CNY over the same period, with gross profits of 2.68 billion CNY, 2.81 billion CNY, and 2.95 billion CNY [16][18]. - The complete vehicles and key components segment is anticipated to see revenues of 103.25 billion CNY, 115.64 billion CNY, and 127.20 billion CNY, with gross profits of 20.83 billion CNY, 23.33 billion CNY, and 25.66 billion CNY [16][18]. Market Outlook - The global AIDC investment is expected to grow rapidly, with the total installed capacity of data centers projected to increase from 97 GW in 2024 to 226 GW by 2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of 15% [22][23]. - The report indicates a significant power supply gap in the U.S. AIDC market, with an estimated shortfall of approximately 1.5 GW in 2025, potentially expanding to nearly 7 GW by 2030, creating substantial opportunities for Weichai's gas engine generator sets and SOFC technology [36][39]. - The demand for distributed power generation equipment is expected to rise due to insufficient supply from traditional power sources, positioning Weichai Power favorably in the market [36][39].
港股潍柴动力涨超5%

Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-03 02:46
每经AI快讯,潍柴动力(02338.HK)涨超5%,截至发稿,涨5.04%,报26.66港元,成交额2.02亿港元。 ...
港股异动 | 潍柴动力(02338)涨超5% 数据中心建设拉动需求 机构指其长期成长空间广阔
智通财经网· 2026-02-03 02:46
Core Viewpoint - Weichai Power (02338) has seen a stock increase of over 5%, currently trading at 26.66 HKD with a transaction volume of 202 million HKD, driven by the growing demand for power generation in data centers and global electricity shortages [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company’s power generation business is becoming the largest growth engine in the internal combustion engine industry, with expectations to exceed 100,000 units sold by 2025, particularly for data center-specific models [1] - Weichai's generator set capacity utilization is currently high, with data center generator sets operating at near full capacity [1] Group 2: Market Position and Growth Potential - According to Founder Securities, Weichai Power is a leading player in the domestic Solid Oxide Fuel Cell (SOFC) technology, with significant long-term growth potential [1] - The company occupies a critical ecological position in domestic substitution and technology route layout, with broad global market potential and clear demand [1] - Weichai has a robust order backlog in the data center SOFC sector and is deepening collaborations with leading AI companies, indicating a promising profit outlook [1] - As the domestic supply chain matures and production capacity steadily increases, the scale of future orders is expected to accelerate, with the company's domestic substitution solutions showing significant advantages in both performance and cost [1]