中金维持太平洋航运2025至2026年盈利预测基本不变，当前股价对应2025/2026年预测市盈率分别为9.8 倍和8.8倍。基于行业风险偏好改善，该行将目标价上调14.3%至2.4港元(对应2025/2026年市盈率分别为 10.1倍和9.1倍)，潜在上行空间4.3%，维持"跑赢行业"评级。 中金发表报告指出，太平洋航运上半年营收按年下降20.5%至10.19亿美元，归属股东净利润2600万美 元。期内公司处置五艘老旧船舶，若剔除资产处置收益，上半年核心盈利为2200万美元，按年下降 50%。业绩低于该行预期，主要因平均期租租金(TCE)表现疲弱。 ...

美银证券发表研究报告指，太平洋航运上半年的基本溢利为2000万美元，低于预期的3800万美元。该行 表示，市场对公司前景看法好坏参半。部分投资者相信，需求复苏及港口挤塞将支撑近期散货运费。另 外，公司承认供过于求的压力将持续至明年，惟对2027年以后的前景则较为乐观。 该行指出，由于太平洋航运上半年业绩逊于预期，将今明两年的每股盈测平均下调16%，但上调2027年 预测。该行将集团目标价由1.7港元上调至2.4港元，重申公司"中性"评级，相信行业基本因素已见底， 而估值与历史平均值大致相若。 ...

大和认为，太平洋航运今年上半年基本溢利同比跌50%，至2,200万美元，符合该行预期，尽管复苏步 伐缓慢，但看到干散货市场正在改善。该行续指，尽管预计太平洋航运2025下半年盈利同比下降，但预 测稳健的现金流生成及严谨的资本支出，将支持未来持续股份回购，特别是管理层认为其股价仍低于资 产价值(但大和认为派发特别股息的可能性有限)。 太平洋航运(02343)跌超3%，截至发稿，跌3.06%，报2.22港元，成交额2126.98万港元。 消息面上，8月7日，太平洋航运公布截至2025年6月30日止六个月的中期业绩，营业额10.187亿美元， 同比减少21%；股东应占溢利2560万美元，同比减少56%；每股基本盈利3.9港仙，每股中期股息1.6港 仙。其中，上半年基本溢利2190万美元，较去年同期减少50%，此乃由于货运市况疲弱令营业额减少。 中金指出，公司业绩低于该行预期，主要因公司上半年实现TCE低于预期。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Pacific Shipping (02343) reported a significant decline in its interim performance for the six months ending June 30, 2025, with a revenue drop of 21% year-on-year and a 56% decrease in net profit attributable to shareholders [1] Financial Performance - The company recorded a revenue of $1.0187 billion, down from the previous year [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was $25.6 million, a decrease of 56% compared to the same period last year [1] - Basic earnings per share were 3.9 Hong Kong cents, with an interim dividend of 1.6 Hong Kong cents [1] - Basic profit for the first half was $21.9 million, a 50% decline year-on-year, attributed to weak freight market conditions [1] Analyst Insights - CICC noted that the company's performance was below expectations, primarily due to lower-than-expected Time Charter Equivalent (TCE) earnings in the first half [1] - Daiwa stated that the company's basic profit of $22 million for the first half was in line with their expectations, despite a slow recovery, and observed improvements in the dry bulk market [1] - Daiwa also projected a year-on-year decline in Pacific Shipping's profits for the second half of 2025, but highlighted strong cash flow generation and disciplined capital expenditure as supportive of ongoing share buybacks, despite limited likelihood of special dividends [1]

Core Viewpoint - Pacific Basin Shipping reported disappointing 1H25 results, with a significant decline in revenue and net profit, primarily due to lower-than-expected time charter equivalent (TCE) rates amid soft industry conditions [1] Financial Performance - Revenue decreased by 20.5% year-over-year to US$1,019 million in 1H25 - Attributable net profit was US$26 million, resulting in an earnings per share (EPS) of HK$3.9, down 55.6% year-over-year - Underlying earnings, excluding asset disposal income, were US$22 million, a 50% decline year-over-year [1] - The realized freight rate fell year-over-year, but remained above industry averages, with TCE rates for small and large handy vessels decreasing by 7% and 11% year-over-year to US$11,010/day and US$12,230/day, respectively [1] Share Buyback and Dividend Policy - The company plans to repurchase up to HK$312 million in shares during 2025, having already repurchased 93 million shares (1.8% of share capital) for HK$164 million by the end of June [2] - The dividend payout ratio for 1H25 was approximately 50%, maintaining a stable dividend policy [2] Balance Sheet Strength - As of 1H25, the company had net cash of US$66 million and reduced long-term borrowings, enhancing its cash position and alleviating future interest payment pressures [3] - The firm is expected to complete the conversion or redemption of its convertible bonds by August 14 [3] Industry Trends - Limited new supply is anticipated, with expectations for improving supply and demand conditions for small vessels [4] - Demand for minor bulk cargo is closely linked to global economic growth, with potential benefits from the peak season for grain exports in 2H25 [5] - The firm sold five old vessels and acquired three newer vessels, enhancing the competitiveness of its fleet [5] Valuation - The stock is currently trading at 9.8x 2025 estimated P/E and 8.8x 2026 estimated P/E - The target price has been raised by 14.3% to HK$2.4, implying a P/E of 10.1x for 2025 and 9.1x for 2026, with a potential upside of 4.3% [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company's 1H25 performance fell short of expectations, with significant declines in revenue and net profit, primarily due to lower TCE rates and industry freight rates [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for 1H25 was $1.019 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 20.5% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was $26 million, corresponding to an earnings per share of HKD 3.9, down 55.6% year-on-year - The company sold 5 old vessels during the first half of the year, and if asset disposal gains are excluded, the basic earnings for 1H25 would be $22 million, a 50% decline year-on-year [1]. Market Position - Despite the decline in freight rates, the company's TCE rates for small and large handy vessels were $11,010/day and $12,230/day, respectively, which were 27% and 40% higher than market indices, despite year-on-year declines of 7% and 11% [1]. - The BHSI and BSI indices fell by 21.6% and 30.0% year-on-year, indicating that the company's performance was better than the industry average [1]. Shareholder Returns - The company continued its share buyback program, having repurchased 93 million shares, or 1.8% of the initial share capital, using $16.4 million of the planned $31.2 million for 2025 [2]. - The dividend payout ratio for 1H25 was approximately 50%, excluding gains from vessel sales, maintaining a stable dividend policy [2]. Balance Sheet Strength - As of 1H25, the company had a net cash position of $6.6 million, with significant reductions in long-term debt compared to the end of 2024, improving cash flow and reducing future interest payment pressures [2]. - The company expects all convertible bonds to be converted or redeemed by August 14 [2]. Industry Outlook - Limited new supply is anticipated, with expectations for improved demand for small vessels, benefiting from global economic growth and seasonal increases in grain exports [2]. - The company is optimizing its fleet structure by selling older vessels and acquiring newer ones, enhancing long-term competitiveness [2]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company's earnings forecast remains largely unchanged, with the current stock price corresponding to 9.8 times the 2025 earnings and 8.8 times the 2026 earnings [2]. - The target price has been raised by 14.3% to HKD 2.4 per share, reflecting a potential upside of 4.3% from the current stock price [2].

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa's report indicates that Pacific Basin Shipping (02343) experienced a 50% year-on-year decline in basic profit for the first half of the year, amounting to $22 million, which aligns with their expectations. Despite a slow recovery, improvements in the dry bulk market are noted [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The basic profit for Pacific Basin Shipping in the first half of the year fell to $22 million, a 50% decrease compared to the previous year, meeting Daiwa's expectations [1] - Daiwa has raised the target price for the stock from HKD 2.25 to HKD 2.65 and increased the earnings per share forecast for 2025 to 2027 by 10% to 36% [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - Daiwa expresses optimism regarding the dry bulk market, suggesting it is at the bottom of a recovery phase, albeit slowly. They anticipate that earnings for Pacific Basin Shipping will return to positive growth in 2026 based on a low base in 2025 [2] - For the second half of 2025, Pacific Basin Shipping has secured time charter equivalent (TCE) rates for Handysize and Supramax vessels at $11,680 and $13,480 per day, covering 60% and 74% of operational days, respectively [1] - Despite a projected year-on-year decline in earnings for the second half of 2025, Daiwa highlights the potential for profit expansion compared to the first half, supported by robust cash flow generation and disciplined capital expenditure [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 2.50, reflecting a 19% increase from the previous target price [7][5]. Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 showed a significant decline in net profit, down 55.6% year-on-year to USD 25.6 million, primarily due to weak global dry bulk market demand and falling freight rates [1][2]. - The report anticipates a potential recovery in freight rates in the second half of 2025, driven by seasonal demand and macroeconomic factors such as the US interest rate cycle and China's economic recovery [1][4]. - The report suggests that the dry bulk market may have reached a low point in the first half of 2025, with expectations for improved profitability in 2026-2027 [5][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's average daily freight rates for handy and super handy bulk carriers decreased by 6.8% and 10.7% year-on-year, respectively [2]. - The company's fleet operating days decreased by 7.4% for handy and 5.5% for super handy vessels due to the disposal of older ships [3]. - The report projects a decline in net profit for 2025, with estimates revised down by 53.0% to USD 70.58 million, while 2026 and 2027 profits are expected to improve [5][11]. Market Outlook - The report highlights that global dry bulk shipping volumes for iron ore, coal, and grain fell by 4%, 7%, and 13% year-on-year, respectively, in the first half of 2025 [2]. - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring the US interest rate cycle and China's domestic demand as key factors influencing global dry bulk demand and freight rates [4][5]. Valuation - The report adjusts the price-to-book (PB) valuation multiple to 0.9x for 2025, aligning with the company's historical average, and raises the target price to HKD 2.50 [5][8]. - The report indicates that the company's market valuation may benefit from improved liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market [5].

受行业运价影响，公司上半年实现运价同比下滑，但仍好于行业平均水平 上半年BHSI、BSI指数分别同比下降21.6%、30.0%，公司小灵便船、大灵便船分别实现TCE运价为 11,010美元/天及12,230美元/天，同比下滑7%、11%，分别较市场指数高出27%和40%。 上半年股份持续推进回购，分红比例稳定，资产负债表强劲 根据公司年初公告，2025年计划使用不超过3.12亿港元进行股份回购，截至6月底，公司已回购0.93亿 股，占年初股本的1.8%，已使用回购金额1.64亿港元。1H25公司年中分红比例约50%(不包括货船出售 收益)，公司维持稳定的分红政策。公司资产负债表保持强劲，截至1H25，公司现金净额为0.66亿美 元，此外公司通过可转债转股及偿还借款，长期借款较2024年年底大幅下降，进一步改善公司现金状 况，并减轻未来付息压力，根据公司公告，预计到8月14日公司可转换债券均完成转换或赎回。 中金发布研报称，维持太平洋航运(02343)盈利预测基本不变，当前股价对应9.8倍2025年市盈率和8.8倍 2026年市盈率。维持跑赢行业评级不变，考虑到行业风险偏好改善，上调公司目标价14.3%至2.4 ...

Group 1 - The top three stocks with net inflow of southbound funds are Yingfu Fund (02800) with 6.292 billion, Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) with 1.618 billion, and Southern Hang Seng Technology (03033) with 0.956 billion [1] - The top three stocks with net outflow of southbound funds are China Mobile (00941) with -0.289 billion, Jitu Express-W (01519) with -0.185 billion, and Horizon Robotics-W (09660) with -0.152 billion [1] - In terms of net inflow ratio, Anjii Food (02648), Pacific Shipping (02343), and Yuehai Investment (00270) lead the market with 55.07%, 54.09%, and 53.58% respectively [1] Group 2 - The top ten stocks with the highest net inflow include Yingfu Fund (02800) at 6.292 billion, Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) at 1.618 billion, and Southern Hang Seng Technology (03033) at 0.956 billion [2] - The top ten stocks with the highest net outflow include China Mobile (00941) at -0.289 billion, Jitu Express-W (01519) at -0.185 billion, and Horizon Robotics-W (09660) at -0.152 billion [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow ratio are Anjii Food (02648) at 55.07%, Pacific Shipping (02343) at 54.09%, and Yuehai Investment (00270) at 53.58% [3]