FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 渣打集團有限公司 呈交日期： 2025年12月15日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02888 | 說明 | | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | 每股發行/出售價 (註4) | | 已發行股份總數 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China's macroeconomic work has shifted from short-term risk response to a focus on medium- and long-term economic transformation [1][4] - The external environment for China's economy is expected to stabilize by 2026, allowing for a return to policies aimed at enhancing potential growth and fostering new drivers [3][4] - The economic growth target for 2026 is projected to be between 4.5% and 5%, with an actual growth rate of approximately 4.6% [4] Group 2 - Inflation is expected to remain low, with the average CPI for 2026 estimated at around 0.6%, showing a mild recovery compared to 2025 [5] - Fiscal policy will continue to provide strong support, while monetary policy will remain moderately loose, focusing on coordination with fiscal efforts rather than significant rate cuts [5][9] Group 3 - Global economic growth is anticipated to remain stable in 2026, with a growth estimate of about 3.4% for 2025, continuing into 2026 [6] - The driving forces for global economic growth are expected to shift from consumption to investment, particularly in AI and semiconductor sectors [6][7] Group 4 - The "anti-involution" policy is likely to continue into 2026, with its effects expected to take at least 12 months to materialize [12] - The real estate market in China is undergoing adjustments, with key indicators such as housing sales and land transactions being closely monitored [13][14] Group 5 - Foreign investment in Chinese equity assets is increasing, driven by the return on investment potential, while there has been a net outflow in the bond market due to low yields [15] - AI investments are expected to have a direct impact on GDP growth, although the extent and speed of productivity enhancement remain uncertain [16]

Core Viewpoint - Major Wall Street banks are bearish on the US dollar, predicting a decline as the Federal Reserve continues its easing cycle, with Morgan Stanley forecasting a 5% drop in the first half of next year [1][2]. Group 1: Predictions on Dollar Decline - Deutsche Bank, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs anticipate that the dollar will weaken again by 2026 due to the Fed's continued easing while other central banks maintain or raise rates [1]. - The Bloomberg dollar index is projected to decline by approximately 3% by the end of 2026 [1]. - The dollar has already experienced a significant drop of nearly 8% this year, marking the largest annual decline since 2017 [2]. Group 2: Economic Implications - A weaker dollar is expected to have a chain reaction on the US economy, increasing import costs, enhancing the value of overseas profits for companies, and potentially boosting exports [3]. - The shift of investor funds to emerging markets for higher yields could extend the rally in these markets, with significant returns recorded in carry trades since 2009 [3]. Group 3: Diverging Opinions - Some analysts, such as those from Citigroup and Standard Chartered, argue that the US economy, driven by AI growth, remains strong and could attract international capital, supporting the dollar [5]. - The Federal Reserve has raised its growth forecast for 2026, indicating potential for stronger-than-expected growth, despite announcing a 25 basis point rate cut [5].

Core Viewpoint - Major Wall Street banks are bearish on the US dollar, predicting a decline as the Federal Reserve continues its easing cycle, with Morgan Stanley forecasting a 5% drop in the first half of next year [1][2]. Group 1: Predictions on the US Dollar - Deutsche Bank, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs anticipate a weakening of the dollar in 2026 due to the Fed's continued easing while other central banks maintain or raise rates [2]. - The Bloomberg consensus predicts a 3% decline in the dollar index by the end of 2026 [2]. - Morgan Stanley's David Adams states that the dollar has ample room for further depreciation, expecting a 5% drop in the first half of next year [2][3]. Group 2: Economic Implications - A weaker dollar is expected to have a chain reaction on the US economy, increasing import costs, enhancing the value of overseas profits for companies, and boosting exports [4]. - The shift of investor funds to emerging markets for higher yields could extend the rally in these markets, with significant returns recorded in carry trades since 2009 [4]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Currency Trends - Analysts note that the dollar tends to depreciate when global economic performance is strong, with G10 currencies like the Canadian and Australian dollars benefiting from better-than-expected data [5]. - Some institutions, like Citigroup and Standard Chartered, maintain a bullish outlook on the dollar, citing the strength of the US economy driven by AI and potential international capital inflows [5]. Group 4: Federal Reserve's Stance - The Federal Reserve has raised its growth forecast for 2026 while announcing a 25 basis point rate cut, indicating a cautious approach to future monetary policy [6]. - Market expectations include two more 25 basis point cuts next year, with a focus on the new Fed chair's potential influence on future rate decisions [6].

Group 1 - Standard Chartered Group announced a share buyback program costing £9.597 million to repurchase 558,000 shares at a price range of £17.01 to £17.30 per share [1]

智通财经APP讯，渣打集团(02888)公布，2025年12月11日耗资约959.75万英镑回购约55.82万股股份。 ...

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 渣打集團有限公司 呈交日期： 2025年12月12日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02888 | 說明 | | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份（不包括庫 ...

格隆汇12月12日｜渣打银行财富解决方案首席投资办公室(CIO)2026年全球市场展望称，随着主要资产 类别持续通胀，银行首席信息官预计2026年风险资产表现良好。涨幅膨胀预计将伴随着更广泛的分散， 因此CIO倾向于围绕三大关键主题进行更广泛的资产类别多元化投资：主题一——股票：随着市场膨 胀，CIO预计2026年强劲的盈利增长将主导高估值，市场涨幅由美国及亚洲(除日本外)领跑。通过区域 多元化或行业选择来管理风险也很重要。主题二——收益：我们预计新兴市场(EM)债券将优于发达市 场(DM)债券。仅凭以美联储为中心的展望，新兴市场(USD和本地货币)债券就提供了有吸引力的信用质 量、更高的收益率和多元化。主题三——分散投资：CIO预计黄金将在2026年继续上涨，但在一系列不 确定因素中，对替代策略和如日元和CNH的货币需求依然高涨，这对实现良好分散投资至关重要。 ...

新华社记者夏晓 渣打银行（香港）有限公司私人银行全球主管洪子寓日前在阿联酋迪拜接受新华社记者专访时表示，中 国经济展现的韧性以及高技术产业的蓬勃发展，正持续吸引全球高净值投资者关注，增强其投资中国的 信心。 新华社迪拜12月12日电 专访｜全球高净值投资者持续看好中国投资前景——访渣打银行（香港）有限 公司私人银行全球主管洪子寓 他认为，中国庞大的人口规模，坚实的数学与工程人才储备，以及丰富的数据资源，为人工智能应用提 供了独特优势。 "中国的优势在于新技术能快速落地并普及。"他说，"凭借规模庞大的消费市场和数据库，人工智能将 成为中国经济新的增长引擎，消费群体也将从中受益。" 谈及中国经济的韧性，洪子寓指出，今年以来，尽管面临关税不确定性等外部挑战，中国对东南亚及其 他新兴市场的出口仍持续扩大，特别是在高端机械与科技产品领域。 洪子寓说，他不久前访问中国杭州时了解到很多初创企业成长壮大的故事，当地浓厚的创业氛围和创新 精神令他印象深刻。他认为，当前中国的整体营商环境稳定，投资者信心也在回升。 "中国（经济）展现出极强的韧性。总体来看，中国经济目前处于一个非常良好的发展阶段。"他说。 （完） 洪子寓说，越来越 ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has upgraded Standard Chartered Group (02888) rating from "Neutral" to "Buy" and raised the target price by 21% from HKD 168 to HKD 203, indicating further revaluation potential despite an 83% increase in the stock price this year [1] Group 1: Rating and Target Price - The rating for Standard Chartered Group has been upgraded to "Buy" from "Neutral" [1] - The target price has been increased by 21% from HKD 168 to HKD 203 [1] Group 2: Financial Performance Expectations - Goldman Sachs expects the return on tangible equity (ROTE) to reach 14.6% by the end of this year, exceeding the management's guidance of 13% [1] - ROTE is projected to further increase to 15% in 2027 and 15.7% in 2028 [1] Group 3: Shareholder Returns - The expected total return to shareholders (dividends + buybacks) is projected to reach 8.4% by 2026 [1] - The long-term total payout ratio is anticipated to remain at 80% due to strong capital generation capabilities [1] Group 4: Capital Management Strategy - Share buyback forecasts for 2028-2029 have been raised from USD 2.5 billion to USD 2.8 billion annually [1] - Dividend payout ratios for 2026-2028 have been revised from a fixed 21% to 25%/30%/35% respectively [1] - The average total payout ratio for 2026-2028 is now expected to be 75% [1]