FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 03668 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | | 1,320,439,437 | | 0 | | 1,320,439,437 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | | 1,320,439,437 | | 0 | | 1,320,439,437 | 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: Yancoal Australia Lt ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that coal stocks in the Hong Kong market are experiencing a continued upward trend, driven by seasonal demand and supply constraints due to safety inspections and production policies [1] - Recent extreme cold weather in northern China has led to a significant drop in temperatures, with Heilongjiang's Mohe reaching -25°C, marking a historical low for late October, and parts of Inner Mongolia dropping below -30°C, indicating the start of the coal consumption peak season [1] - Demand for coal is expected to remain high as steel mills and thermal power companies continue to have strong needs, which, combined with supply-side constraints, is likely to stabilize and push coal prices upward [1] Group 2 - According to Guoxin Securities, while coal prices declined in early 2024 leading to poor profits for coal companies, a rebound in coal prices is anticipated in the second half of 2025, which could improve profitability for coal enterprises [1] - The coal sector has underperformed compared to other sectors, but there is a clear bottoming out, and a rebound in the fourth quarter is expected [1] - Specific coal stocks have shown notable price increases, with Hengding Industrial rising nearly 8%, and China Coal Energy reaching its highest price since 2011, indicating strong market performance [2]

Core Viewpoint - The coal industry is experiencing a recovery phase driven by seasonal demand and supply-side policies that restrict overproduction, leading to a stabilization and potential increase in coal prices [1][6][10]. Group 1: Demand and Supply Dynamics - A significant drop in temperatures across northern regions has initiated the heating season, increasing coal demand from steel mills and thermal power plants [1]. - The coal price has been rising due to high demand and supply-side policies aimed at reducing overproduction, with the Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal price increasing from 621 RMB/ton to 699 RMB/ton from June to September 2025, a rise of 12.6% [6][10]. - The coal market is expected to benefit from seasonal demand as heating needs rise, with predictions of a colder winter potentially boosting coal procurement [10][11]. Group 2: Company Performance - Major coal companies like China Shenhua and China Coal Energy have shown signs of improvement in their financial metrics, with China Shenhua's Q3 revenue decline narrowing to 12.56% year-on-year, compared to a 16.05% decline in the first half of the year [2][5]. - China Shenhua's coal business gross margin improved from 29.4% to 30.5% due to effective cost control, while China Coal Energy's net profit rebounded by 28.3% quarter-on-quarter despite a slight year-on-year decline [2][3]. - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company reported a 4.92% increase in coal production year-on-year for Q3 2025, indicating stable operational performance amidst industry challenges [9]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Valuation - The coal sector has seen a significant influx of capital, with over 2 billion RMB net inflow into coal stocks in October, making it one of the hottest sectors in the secondary market [1]. - The average price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the coal sector is currently at 14.82, indicating that the sector is undervalued compared to historical standards, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [12]. - High dividend payouts from major coal companies, such as China Shenhua's interim dividend of 0.98 RMB per share, reflect strong cash flow and commitment to shareholder returns, enhancing the sector's attractiveness [12].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the strong performance of the Hong Kong Dividend ETF, which has seen a 20.92% increase in net value over the past six months, with an average daily trading volume of 17.52 million HKD [2] - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF closely tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment Index, which selects 30 high-dividend, liquid stocks from Hong Kong listed companies [2] - The current policy environment encourages companies to distribute dividends, creating favorable conditions for dividend investments, especially as risk-free interest rates decline [2] Group 2 - According to Zhongtai Securities, the future performance of the Hong Kong stock market will heavily depend on the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies and international relations, with a continued flow of funds into high-dividend, low-valuation defensive sectors expected [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment Index account for 46.3% of the index, indicating a concentration in specific high-dividend stocks [3] - The top ten stocks include China COSCO Shipping, Yancoal Australia, and China Petroleum, with varying weightings and recent performance [5]

Group 1 - The coal stocks in the Hong Kong market experienced a collective surge, with notable increases in smaller coal companies such as Feishang Non-Smoking Coal, which saw a price increase of 108.33% [1][2] - Major coal companies also reported gains, including Yanzhou Coal Mining Company which rose over 5%, and China Qinfa Group which increased by 4.8% [1][2] - The recent extreme cold weather in northern China, with temperatures dropping to historical lows, has triggered the seasonal demand for coal, marking the beginning of the peak consumption period [1] Group 2 - The coal market faced a generally loose supply and insufficient demand in the first half of 2025, leading to a downward trend in coal prices [1] - However, the current seasonal demand and policy-driven supply reductions may create a shift in the supply-demand balance, potentially providing an opportunity for the coal sector to recover from its low valuation [1]

Group 1 - The coal sector in Hong Kong has seen a general increase, with China Shenhua reaching a new high price, rising by 6% [1] - According to Guotai Junan's research report, the coal sector has confirmed a cyclical bottom expected in Q2 2025, with a reversal in supply-demand dynamics and sufficient release of downside risks [1] - Coal prices have exceeded 770 RMB/ton since the upward trend began on September 15, showing an unexpected increase driven by multiple favorable factors [1] Group 2 - Guosen Securities reports that while coal prices declined and profits for coal companies were poor in early 2024, a rebound in coal prices is expected in the second half of 2025, leading to improved profits for coal companies [1] - The coal sector has underperformed compared to other sectors, but a clear bottom has been established, and a rebound in Q4 is anticipated [1]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520890) closed down 0.89% with a trading volume of 37.99 million yuan on October 28, 2024 [1] - The fund was established on September 4, 2024, with an annual management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1] - As of October 27, 2024, the fund's latest share count was 74.008 million, with a total size of 108 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 39.83% in shares and 26.31% in size year-to-date [1] Fund Performance - The current fund manager, Li Qian, has managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 45.70% during her tenure [2] - The fund's performance benchmark is the Hang Seng Stock Connect High Dividend Low Volatility Index [1] Holdings and Liquidity - The top holdings of the fund include Shougang Resources, Yanzhou Coal Mining, and China Shenhua Energy, with respective weightings of 3.76%, 2.94%, and 2.17% [2] - Over the last 20 trading days, the fund's cumulative trading amount reached 1.311 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 65.55 million yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Invesco Great Wall National Index Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend Low Volatility ETF (159569) has shown significant growth in both share volume and fund size in 2024, indicating strong investor interest and performance [1][2]. Fund Overview - The fund was established on August 14, 2024, with an annual management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.08% [1]. - As of October 24, 2024, the fund's share volume reached 243 million, with a total size of 334 million yuan [1]. - Year-to-date, the fund's share volume has increased by 114.89%, and its size has grown by 158.55% compared to December 31, 2024 [1]. Liquidity Analysis - Over the last 20 trading days, the ETF has accumulated a total trading volume of 807 million yuan, averaging 40.34 million yuan per day [1]. - Since the beginning of the year, the total trading volume has reached 7.729 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 39.43 million yuan over 196 trading days [1]. Fund Management - The current fund managers are Gong Lili and Wang Yang, with Gong managing the fund since August 29, 2024, achieving a return of 40.59%, while Wang has managed it since August 13, 2025, with a return of 0.07% [2]. Top Holdings - The ETF's top holdings include: - Orient Overseas International: 9.65% [3] - China COSCO Shipping: 7.14% [3] - Yancoal Australia: 5.43% [3] - Yanzhou Coal Mining: 4.73% [3] - Seaspan Corporation: 4.36% [3] - China Hongqiao Group: 3.10% [3] - Sinopec: 3.08% [3] - CNOOC: 3.03% [3] - Minsheng Bank: 3.01% [3] - China Everbright Bank: 3.01% [3]

Group 1 - Yancoal Australia (03668.HK) opened down over 3%, currently down 3.09%, trading at HKD 26.32 [1] - The trading volume reached HKD 2.5004 million [1]

Group 1 - Yancoal Australia experienced a decline of over 3% in stock price, closing at 26.32 HKD with a trading volume of 250.04 million HKD [1] - The company reported a year-on-year decrease of 17.6% in average coal prices for Q3 2025, dropping to 140 AUD/ton, with thermal coal and metallurgical coal prices falling by 17.2% and 24.7% respectively [1] - The decline in average prices aligns with market trends, while logistics issues due to weather conditions led to a year-on-year drop in equity sales during the first half of the year [1] Group 2 - According to CMB International, Yancoal Australia's production decreased by 9% year-on-year in Q3 due to rainfall, while sales increased by 3% as previous shipment delays improved [2] - The comprehensive average price for the period fell by 18% year-on-year, consistent with market trends, leading to an estimated revenue of approximately 1.48 billion AUD, a year-on-year decline of 17% but a quarterly increase of 30% [2] - The firm has revised down its profit forecasts for Yancoal Australia for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 by 54%, 49%, and 40% respectively, primarily due to lowered average price predictions for thermal and metallurgical coal, although a slight increase in sales forecast was noted due to the Moolarben mine [2]