｜2025年8月19日 星期二｜ NO.1 首批券商半年报出炉，5家券商均实现营收、净利双增长 时至8月中旬，首批券商2025年半年报陆续披露。截至8月18日，已有国盛金控、东方财富、哈投股份、 西南证券、粤开证券等5家券商及券商母公司公布半年度"成绩单"，上述5家券商均实现营收、净利双增 长。其中，得益于较低基数，哈投股份子公司江海证券净利润同比大增1311.6%。受益于二级市场行情 火热和业绩高增长态势，券商板块近期备受市场关注。券商非银团队普遍认为，增量资金接力入市打开 券商经纪、两融、资管、投行等业务的增长空间，证券行业有望进入新一轮增长期。 点评：首批券商半年报业绩亮眼，5家券商营收、净利双增长，显示证券行业景气度提升。江海证券净 利润同比大增13倍，反映低基数效应显现。券商经纪、两融、资管、投行业务有望受益于增量资金入 市，行业或将迎来新一轮增长周期。市场对券商板块关注度提升，投资者情绪偏向积极，金融板块估值 有望获得支撑。 NO.2 年内ETF总规模增长1.04万亿元，宽基ETF成为"压舱石" 统计显示，截至8月18日，ETF（交易型开放式指数基金）总份额增加了近1200亿份，目前已达2.77万 ...

截至18日10时34分，A股市值总和首次跨越100万亿元大关，这一里程碑式的突破，引发市场各方的高 度关注。业内普遍认为，在"政策托底+流动性宽松"的大背景下，当前市场正在经历"健康牛"，本轮牛 市有望持续两三年以上，并非短期行情。 8月18日，A股市场迎来历史性时刻。7月以来A股的单边上涨行情仍在持续，三大股指再创近年新高， 沪指更是盘中一度越过近十年新高。A股三大指数集体收涨，截至收盘，沪指报3728.03，涨0.85%，深 成指报11835.57，涨1.73%，创业板指报2606.20，涨2.84%，北证50指数报1567.63，涨6.79%。 制图:史明磊(元宝AI) 上证指数在高开后迅速摸高至3731.76点，突破2021年2月18日的高点3731.69点，成为2015年8月19日以 来的新高点。深成指盘中也越过11864.11点，突破2024年10月8日的高点，为2023年4月19日以来的新 高。创业板则越过2576.22点，突破2024年10月8日的高点，创2023年2月15日以来的新高。 值得一提的是，在A股上涨的同时，国债收益率出现同步上升，10年期国债收益率上涨3个基点至 1.775%，3 ...

8月18日盘中，上证指数站上3736点，刷新2015年8月21日以来的最高点，创近10年新高。 与此同时，长城证券（002939）4连板、华林证券（002945）、湘财股份（600095）等券商概念股涨超 5%，券商行业指数继续拉升……证券行业板块在8月18日成为同花顺（300033）热门板块第一名。 受益于A股市场，券商股整体火热的背后，南都·湾财社注意到，近期多家券商的业绩预告均呈现"双 增"态势，而首批正式公布2025年上半年财报的4家券商同样表现出"双增长"，其中江海证券更是实现了 净利润增长1311.60%的大跨越。 多项数据利好券商 在个股上，多只券商股实现了较大的增长，从行业指数看，这是一场行业板块的普涨。 近来，券商板块作为"牛市旗手"强势领涨，数据显示，证券精选指数自步入5月份以后开始快速攀升， 在进入7月的财报披露季后，这股上涨趋势更加迅猛。该指数在7月实现了一波"七连阳"与"六连阳"。截 至8月18日收盘，该指数较6月底上涨超15%。 A股市场的行情表现对于券商股有着重要的影响。在券商股大涨的背后，多项市场数据持续利好券商 股。 8月8日，两融余额达2.01万亿元，继2015年以来再次突 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a high and then a pullback on August 18, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a nearly 10-year high, and the North Star 50 hitting a historical peak. The Shenzhen Composite Index and the ChiNext Index both surpassed their high points from October 8 of the previous year. By the end of the trading day, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.85%, the Shenzhen Composite Index increased by 1.73%, and the ChiNext Index gained 2.84% [1][2]. Sector Performance - Financial sectors, including brokerage and fintech stocks, saw significant gains, with companies like Zhina Compass and Tonghuashun reaching historical highs. Sectors such as liquid cooling servers, film and television, CPO, and rare earth permanent magnets led the gains, while coal, non-ferrous metals, and steel sectors faced declines [2][3]. Brokerage Sector Insights - The brokerage sector continued its strong performance, with Longcheng Securities achieving four consecutive gains, and Huayin Securities and Xiangcai Shares rising over 6%. On August 15, the largest securities ETF in the market surged by 4.75%, with a trading volume of 5.239 billion yuan, both hitting new highs for the year [6][8]. - Recent positive developments in the brokerage sector include the release of mid-year reports, with four brokerages reporting net profit increases exceeding 25% year-on-year. Expectations for larger brokerages' mid-year performance are also optimistic, with projected net profit growth of 61.23% year-on-year [8][9]. - The approval of West Securities as a major shareholder of Guorong Securities and the ongoing trend of mergers and acquisitions in the brokerage industry are contributing to market optimism. The brokerage sector's performance is seen as potentially entering a new phase of growth, with historical data indicating significant past gains [9][10]. Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The current environment suggests that the brokerage industry's price-to-book (PB) ratio remains at historical lows, indicating strong potential for valuation recovery as market activity increases [10]. - The market is expected to maintain a relatively strong position in the short term, driven by liquidity, with potential fluctuations as it attempts to break previous highs. The medium-term outlook remains positive due to underlying factors such as policy support and capital inflows [11][12]. - Investment strategies are recommended to focus on sectors with lower valuations, such as consumer electronics, autonomous driving, and AI software, as well as new consumption trends and thematic investments like commercial aerospace and brain-computer interfaces [12].

西南证券8月18日发布研报称，给予贵州茅台（600519.SH，最新价：1430.19元）买入评级。评级理由 主要包括：1）茅台酒保持稳健增长，顺利实现"时间过半，任务过半"；2）毛利率略有下降，合同负债 环比减少；3）积极推进"三个转型"，追求长期高质量发展。风险提示：经济复苏或不及预期，市场竞 争加剧风险。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints - Last week, the share of treasury bond ETFs significantly rebounded, while the growth momentum of credit bond and convertible bond ETFs continued. Convertible bond ETFs showed outstanding performance with an increase in share and net value, as well as the highest cumulative net inflow [2][5]. Summary by Directory 1.1 各类债券 ETF 份额走势 - As of August 15, 2025, the shares of treasury bond, policy - financial bond, local bond, credit bond, and convertible bond ETFs were 555.45 million, 491.75 million, 79.78 million, 3101.15 million, and 4675.35 million respectively, with a total of 8903.48 million for bond - type ETFs. Compared with August 8, 2025, the changes were 37.52 million, - 9.28 million, - 1.60 million, 40.77 million, and 241.90 million respectively, and the total change for bond - type ETFs was 309.32 million. Compared with the end of last month, the changes were 26.72 million, - 14.39 million, - 0.40 million, 194.64 million, and 490.20 million respectively, and the total change for bond - type ETFs was 696.78 million [2][5]. 1.2 主要债券 ETF 份额走势 - The share changes of major bond ETFs were consistent with those of various bond ETFs. As of August 15, 2025, the shares of selected major bond ETFs changed by 24.50 million, - 8.58 million, - 1.00 million, 25.20 million, and 236.30 million respectively compared with the previous week's closing [2][7]. - The share trend of credit bond ETFs was gentle. As of August 15, 2025, among the 8 existing credit bond ETFs, most showed no change compared with the previous week's closing, except for one with a 0.30 - million increase [2][10]. - The share performance of individual science - innovation bond ETFs was differentiated, but the overall growth was maintained. As of August 15, 2025, among the 10 existing science - innovation bond ETFs, the share changes compared with the previous week's closing were - 1.25 million, 0.44 million, 40.15 million, - 0.25 million, no change, no change, 0.10 million, 3.40 million, 0.05 million, and no change respectively [2][13]. 1.3 主要债券 ETF 净值走势 - Last week, the net values of major bond ETFs turned down, while convertible bond ETFs rose against the trend. As of August 15, 2025, the net values of selected major bond ETFs changed by - 1.75%, - 0.48%, - 0.12%, - 0.08%, and 1.56% respectively compared with the previous week's closing [2][15]. - The net values of credit bond ETFs declined across the board. As of August 15, 2025, the net values of 8 credit bond ETFs changed by - 0.14%, - 0.14%, - 0.13%, - 0.12%, - 0.18%, - 0.18%, - 0.19%, and - 0.18% respectively compared with the previous week's closing [2][17]. - The net values of science - innovation bond ETFs slightly declined. As of August 15, 2025, the net values of 10 science - innovation bond ETFs changed by - 0.16%, - 0.13%, - 0.16%, - 0.17%, - 0.15%, - 0.18%, - 0.17%, - 0.12%, - 0.16%, and - 0.15% respectively compared with the previous week's closing [2][21]. 1.4 部分债券 ETF 净流入情况 - Convertible bond ETFs had the highest cumulative net inflow last week and this month. Weekly, the top three bond ETFs with cumulative net inflows were convertible bond ETFs, urban investment bond ETFs, and 30 - year treasury bond ETFs, with net inflow amounts of 313.03 million yuan, 36.12 million yuan, and 31.13 million yuan respectively. Monthly, the top three were convertible bond ETFs, urban investment bond ETFs, and Shanghai Stock Exchange convertible bond ETFs, with net inflow amounts of 556.90 million yuan, 197.80 million yuan, and 86.56 million yuan respectively. In terms of cumulative trading days, the top three in the past 10 trading days were convertible bond ETFs (481.93 million yuan), urban investment bond ETFs (186.62 million yuan), and Shanghai Stock Exchange convertible bond ETFs (92.76 million yuan); and in the past 20 trading days, they were convertible bond ETFs (1096.32 million yuan), urban investment bond ETFs (242.94 million yuan), and Shanghai Stock Exchange convertible bond ETFs (152.66 million yuan) [2][24].

此外，近期A股市场活跃度明显提升，8月15日两融余额再超2万亿元。截至8月15日，上交所融资余额 报10377.57亿元，较前一交易日增加38.54亿元；深交所融资余额报10041.4亿元，较前一交易日增加 37.37亿元；两市合计20418.97亿元，较前一交易日增加75.91亿元。此外，交易所数据显示，8月13日和 8月14日，A股成交额和两融余额均突破2万亿元。 华泰证券指出，年初以来权益市场稳步向上，交易额、两融余额、权益产品发行规模等持续提升，券商 估值修复，但与过去行情有所不同。一方面，市场行情持续性增强，券商业绩增长更具持续性。另一方 面，板块内部修复节奏分化，H股先于A股，且业绩增长稳健的券商表现更好。当前权益资产收益率稳 步向上，中央对资本市场定调积极，类"平准基金"对市场形成支撑，居民资金循序渐进入市，我们看好 市场上行的持续性。当前板块低估低配，券商在新市场环境下进入业绩、估值修复新阶段，看好板块价 值重估行情。 8月18日，A股三大指数早盘集体高开，券商板块探底回升，其中长城证券四连板，西部证券涨超6%， 天风证券、西南证券等多股跟涨。 相关ETF中，券商ETF（159842）盘中探底 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has seen significant gains recently, particularly in the brokerage sector, which has become a strong market indicator, with the Wind brokerage index rising over 10 percentage points in the last 20 trading days [1][5]. Brokerage Sector Performance - Multiple brokerages are distributing dividends for the 2024 fiscal year, including major firms like Zheshang Securities, Bank of China Securities, Huatai Securities, and others, indicating a trend of increased dividend payouts [1][5]. - The total cash dividends for listed brokerages in 2024 exceed 55 billion, marking an increase of over 10 billion compared to the previous year, setting a historical high [5][6]. Dividend Trends - The new "National Nine Articles" and cash dividend regulations have led to a trend of "multiple dividends per year" among brokerages, with an increase in both frequency and total dividend amounts [5][6]. - Leading brokerages such as Guotai Junan, Huatai Securities, and Citic Securities have reported dividend totals exceeding 3 billion, ranking them among the top in the industry [5][6]. Dividend Payout Ratios - Smaller brokerages like Hongta Securities and Southwest Securities have high dividend payout ratios, with figures reaching 92.6% and 80.76% respectively, indicating a strong commitment to returning profits to shareholders [6][7]. - The new regulations emphasize the importance of cash dividends, with measures in place to encourage companies with low or no dividends to improve their payout policies [6][7]. Strategic Shifts in the Brokerage Industry - The brokerage industry is shifting focus from expansion to enhancing quality and returns, with an emphasis on sustainable profitability and stable dividends [6][7]. - The increase in wealth management and light capital business has contributed to a more stable income base for brokerages, allowing for consistent dividend distributions [7].

Group 1 - The announcement indicates that the "Southwest Securities Double Happiness Incremental Collective Asset Management Plan" has been changed, with the distribution of earnings credited to accounts on August 15, 2025, and available for use from August 18, 2025 [1] - The collective plan uses a method of estimating the yield daily, which may differ from the actual distribution yield on the dividend date due to the way bank deposits are valued [1] - Investors who purchase shares of the collective plan on the same day will have distribution rights starting from the next working day, while those who redeem shares on the same day will not have distribution rights [1] Group 2 - The collective plan pays out earnings monthly, and if an investor's cumulative actual undistributed earnings are positive, cash earnings will be paid; if zero, no payment will be made; if negative, the corresponding shares will be reduced [1] - The management will ensure the smooth operation of the collective plan through an internal emergency mechanism if the remaining shares are insufficient for deduction [1] - Investors can access relevant information through the Southwest Securities website and customer service hotline [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment outlook for the insurance sector, particularly highlighting undervalued insurance stocks as potential investment opportunities [4][38]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recent strategic acquisitions by Ping An in China Pacific Insurance and China Life, indicating a potential revaluation of undervalued insurance stocks due to increased institutional investment [1][2]. - It notes that the downward trend in long-term interest rates and the pressure on bond yields necessitate insurance companies to diversify into "quasi-fixed income" assets, enhancing stable income sources [2]. - The report highlights the robust performance of brokerage firms, with significant growth in brokerage and credit business revenues, indicating a recovery in the capital markets [3]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The report indicates a general increase in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.70% and the Shenzhen Component Index by 4.55% during the week [9]. - The non-bank financial sector saw a significant uptick, with the non-bank financial index increasing by 6.48% [9]. Securities Sector - Brokerage business saw a total trading volume of 12.09 trillion yuan, with a daily average of 2.02 trillion yuan, reflecting a 21.39% increase week-on-week [17]. - The report notes a substantial increase in IPO underwriting, with a cumulative scale of 592.44 billion yuan for the year [17]. Insurance Sector - The report highlights the low price-to-book (PB) ratios of China Pacific Insurance and China Life at 1.25x and 1.21x, respectively, suggesting potential for value reappraisal [1]. - It emphasizes the importance of insurance companies in the long-term investment landscape, particularly as they adapt to changing interest rates and market conditions [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key insurance companies such as Sunshine Insurance, China Pacific Insurance, New China Life, Ping An, China Life, and China Property & Casualty [4][39]. - In the securities sector, it recommends attention to leading brokerage firms like CITIC Securities, Huatai Securities, Guotai Junan, and GF Securities [4][39].