食品丨市场观察 -"精酿+茶"如何搅动酒饮市场？ -中式养生水赛道拥挤，激战4.5亿市场； -中国预制菜行业竞争格局。 行业 环境 1.微醺经济新势力："精酿 + 茶"如何搅动酒饮市场？ 关键词 ： 微醺经济,精酿啤酒,新中式茶啤,酒饮赛道,消费场景 概要 ： "微醺经济"推动酒饮创新，新中式茶啤成精酿细分亮点，融合中国茶元素吸引消费者。 2011至2021年国内精酿市场从33亿增至428亿，预计2030年破2000亿。茶啤兼具性价比与场景 多样性，但面临标准缺失、同质化及侵权争议等问题，需强化品类认知与用户教育释放潜力。 本周看点： 2.中国牛奶巧克力市场消费分析及销售前景预测报告2025-2031年 关键词 ： 牛奶巧克力,市场分析,消费趋势,销售预测,全球供需 概要 ： 这份报告分析了2019-2031年全球及中国牛奶巧克力市场的现状与趋势，从产品类型 （坚果、经典等）、销售渠道（超市、线上等）、供需情况、竞争格局等方面展开。中国在全 球市场中地位重要，产能持续上升。报告还研究了北美、欧洲、亚太等地市场表现，并分析了 Mondelēz、Mars等主要厂商的市场份额与动态。行业受政策、需求和技术驱动，未来 ...

Core Viewpoint - The event in Beijing showcased high-quality ecological agricultural products from Weichang, highlighting the region's unique ecological advantages and the collaboration with financial sectors to enhance market access for these products [1][3][5] Group 1: Event Overview - The promotional event titled "Duanwu Seeking Fresh Season, Weichang Good Time" took place on May 30, featuring over 100 high-quality agricultural products from Weichang [1] - Key enterprises from Weichang participated, presenting products that reflect the region's ecological richness and agricultural development [1][3] Group 2: Strategic Collaborations - Weichang established strategic cooperation agreements with Wumart Group and other companies to create an efficient production and sales platform [3] - The "order agriculture + supermarket direct supply" model was introduced to facilitate the green channel for agricultural products entering Beijing [3] Group 3: Product Highlights - The event featured a variety of products, including seabuckthorn beverages rich in vitamin C, traditional almond drinks, and specialty products like potato vermicelli and ganoderma spore oil [3][5] - A tasting experience area allowed consumers to engage with the unique flavors of Weichang's agricultural products, fostering deeper connections between producers and consumers [3] Group 4: Ecological and Economic Impact - Weichang is recognized as a key ecological function area, contributing to the ecological balance and agricultural productivity in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region [5] - The event aimed to enhance regional cooperation and market expansion for Weichang's agricultural products, promoting farmer income and agricultural efficiency [5]

General Provisions - The company establishes rules to ensure the lawful exercise of shareholder rights in accordance with the Company Law, Securities Law, and relevant regulations [1][2] - The company must strictly follow legal and regulatory requirements when convening shareholder meetings, ensuring that all shareholders can exercise their rights [1][2] - Shareholder meetings are categorized into annual and temporary meetings, with annual meetings held within six months after the end of the previous fiscal year [1][2] Shareholder Meeting Authority - The shareholder meeting is the company's authority body, responsible for electing and replacing directors, approving remuneration, and making decisions on significant asset transactions exceeding 30% of the company's audited total assets [2][3] - The meeting can authorize the board to make decisions regarding bond issuance [2][3] - Certain transactions, such as investments and asset sales, must be submitted for shareholder approval if they meet specified thresholds [2][4] Meeting Procedures - The board must convene the shareholder meeting within the stipulated timeframe and must notify shareholders accordingly [6][7] - Independent directors can propose temporary meetings, and the board must respond within ten days [6][7] - Shareholders holding more than 10% of shares can request a temporary meeting, and the board must respond within ten days [6][7] Proposals and Notifications - Proposals must fall within the authority of the shareholder meeting and be clearly defined [18][19] - Shareholders holding at least 1% of shares can submit temporary proposals ten days before the meeting [18][19] - Notifications for annual meetings must be sent at least 20 days in advance, while temporary meetings require a 15-day notice [19][20] Meeting Conduct - The shareholder meeting must be held at the company's registered location, and provisions must be made for remote participation [11][12] - All shareholders registered by the record date have the right to attend and vote [11][12] - The meeting must be presided over by the chairman or a designated director, and all proceedings must be recorded accurately [13][14] Voting and Resolutions - Each share carries one vote, and shareholders must express their opinions on proposals [16][17] - Voting results must be announced immediately after the meeting, and resolutions must be disclosed promptly [17][18] - The company must implement resolutions regarding profit distribution or capital increases within two months after the meeting [19][20] Legal Compliance - Any resolutions that violate laws or regulations are deemed invalid, and shareholders can request annulment within 60 days [20][21] - The company must fulfill its obligations to disclose information regarding any legal disputes related to shareholder resolutions [20][21]

Core Points - The company is established as a joint-stock limited company in accordance with the Company Law of the People's Republic of China and other relevant regulations [1][2] - The registered capital of the company is RMB 1,052,554,074.00 [2] - The company aims to revitalize the national beverage industry, develop new technology products, and ensure satisfactory economic benefits for all shareholders [3][4] Company Structure - The company was approved for establishment by the Hebei Provincial Government on October 6, 1997, and registered on October 17, 1997 [1][2] - The company has a permanent existence as a joint-stock limited company [2] - The legal representative of the company is the executing director, who is determined by the board of directors [2][3] Share Issuance and Capital Structure - The company has issued a total of 1,052,554,074 shares, all of which are ordinary shares [5][6] - The shares are issued based on principles of openness, fairness, and justice, with equal rights for each share of the same category [5] - The company is not allowed to provide financial assistance for others to acquire its shares, except under specific circumstances [6][7] Shareholder Rights and Responsibilities - Shareholders have the right to receive dividends and participate in decision-making processes, including the right to request meetings and supervise the company's operations [14][16] - Shareholders are obligated to comply with laws and regulations, and they cannot withdraw their capital except as legally permitted [40][41] - The company must maintain a shareholder register, which serves as proof of share ownership [14][15] Governance and Meetings - The company holds annual and temporary shareholder meetings, with specific procedures for calling and conducting these meetings [48][52] - The board of directors is responsible for convening shareholder meetings and must ensure compliance with legal requirements [52][53] - Shareholder proposals must be submitted in writing and can be made by shareholders holding at least 1% of the shares [58][59] Voting and Resolutions - Resolutions can be classified as ordinary or special, with different voting thresholds required for approval [80][81] - Ordinary resolutions require a simple majority, while special resolutions require at least two-thirds of the votes [80][81] - The company must disclose voting results, especially for matters affecting minority investors [83][84]

Core Viewpoint - The company is facing significant challenges as it prepares for the unlocking of 3.46 million restricted shares, which represents 0.33% of its total share capital, amidst declining revenue and profit in the first quarter of 2024 [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2024, the company's revenue decreased by 18.4% year-on-year to 1 billion yuan, while net profit fell by 12.5% to 215 million yuan [1][2]. - The company's revenue has been stagnant between 2 billion and 3 billion yuan from 2019 to 2023, with the anticipated growth in 2024 largely dependent on price increases rather than market expansion [2]. Group 2: Market and Product Challenges - The core product, almond milk, accounts for 96.84% of total revenue, but consumer feedback indicates issues with taste and a lack of innovation, leading to competition from new categories like coconut water [2]. - The company is experiencing pressure from rising raw material costs, particularly due to a 30% increase in procurement prices for wild almonds in 2023, which has contributed to a decline in gross margin from 52.62% in 2019 to 40.94% [2]. Group 3: Innovation and R&D Investment - The company relies on traditional retail channels for over 90% of its revenue, with the northern market contributing more than 90%, while the southern market remains underdeveloped due to trademark disputes and channel barriers [3]. - There is a significant disparity in R&D investment, with the company allocating less than 0.5% of its revenue to R&D, compared to over 5% for competitors like Oatly, which has resulted in a lack of product innovation [3]. Group 4: Industry Trends and Future Outlook - The traditional brand's competitive edge is eroding as new brands tighten their grip on the market, indicating a need for breakthroughs in product innovation, channel transformation, and organizational efficiency [4]. - The shift in consumer preferences towards functional and differentiated health drinks poses a challenge for the company, which has not adapted to the evolving market dynamics [3][4].

2025 年 05 月 13 日 业绩短期承压，期待新品反馈 —承德露露（000848.SZ）公司事件点评报告 买入(维持) 事件 2025 年 4 月 23 日，承德露露发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一 季报。 投资要点 ▌Q1 业绩表现承压，成本利好逐步显现 业绩符合预期，春节错期影响致 Q1 业绩承压。2024 年总营 收 / 归 母 净 利 润 分 别 为 32.87/6.66 亿元，分别同比 +11%/+4%；其中，2024Q4 分别为 11.28/2.47 亿元，分别同 比+23%/+27%。2025Q1 分别为 10.02/2.15 亿元，分别同比- 18%/-13%。Q1 毛利率提升受益于杏仁成本下降，市场投入加 大致费用率提升。2024 年毛利率/净利率分别为 41%/20%，分 别同比 -0.5/-1.3pcts ， 销 售 / 管 理 费 用 率 分 别 同 比 +1.1/+0.6pcts。2025Q1 毛利率/净利率分别为 48%/22%，分 别同比 +4.4/+1.4pcts ， 销 售 / 管 理 费 用 率 分 别 同 比 +2.1/+0.5pcts。经营净现金流表现稳健 ...

证券研究报告：食品饮料|深度报告 发布时间：2025-05-12 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:蔡雪昱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522070001 Email:caixueyu@cnpsec.com 分析师:张子健 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050001 Email:zhangzijian@cnpsec.com 分析师:杨逸文 SAC 登记编号:S1340522120002 Email:yangyiwen@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《关注内需，建议积极布局（附重点标 的一季度预测）》 - 2025.04.14 行业投资评级 强于大市 |维持 行业基本情况 | 收盘点位 | | 18019.54 | | --- | --- | --- | | 52 | 周最高 | 19832.49 | | 52 周最低 | | 14118.56 | 行业相对指数表现（相对值） 2024-05 2024-07 2024-10 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 -28% -24% -20% -16% -12% -8% -4% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 食品饮料 沪深30 ...

股权激励到位，新品积极布局。公司管理层稳定性得到验证，并成功实施股权激励，激励效果显现，既 重视短期兑现，亦潜心布局长远。公司近年来加大研发投入，推新面市杏仁奶、杏仁大咖、巴旦木奶、 有杏寻茶植物奶茶、汽心动力果汁碳酸饮料和草本养生水，研发储备燕窝杏仁奶和特色品类/地域性饮 料。 随着草本养生水市场兴起，公司起步及时，已在北方市场加快铺市，同时借力承德露露"南拓"战略的资 源优势，依托杭州生产基地辐射江浙沪皖等核心区域，覆盖更多消费场景，随着市场投入同步加大，销 售有望起量。 事件：公司发布2024年报及 2025一季报。24年公司实现营收32.9亿元，同比+11.3%；归母净利润6.7 亿 元，同比+4.4%；25Q1 实现营收10.0 亿元，同比-18.4%；归母净利润2.2 亿元，同比- 12.53%。公司拟 向全体股东每10 股派发现金红利人民币3元（含税），合计派发现金红利人民币3.15 亿元（含税），现 金分红率47%。公司24 年股权激励和员工持股计划目标值达成，受春节错期影响，24Q4 收入同比高 增，25Q1 同比下滑，24Q4+25Q1 收入合计同比基本持平。草本养生水系列新品推出后续有望 ...

仅一家营收增长 过去一年，植物蛋白饮料上市"四巨头"的成绩单半忧半喜。 2024年报告期内，拥有"六个核桃"等知名品牌的养元饮品实现营业收入约为60.58亿元，同比下降1.69%；实现归母净利润约为17.22 亿元，同比增长17.35%。拥有"维维豆奶"和"天山雪牛奶"两个品牌的维维股份实现营业收入约为36.56亿元，同比下降9.4%；实现归 母净利润约为4.11亿元，同比增长96.26%。以"露露杏仁露"为大单品的承德露露实现营业收入约为32.87亿元，同比增长11.26%；实 现归母净利润约为6.66亿元，同比增长4.41%。水果罐头和椰子水"两条腿"走路的欢乐家实现营业收入约为18.55亿元，同比下降 3.53%；实现归母净利润约为1.47亿元，同比下降47.06%。 对于植物蛋白饮料上市"四巨头"去年的业绩表现，中国食品产业分析师朱丹蓬向北京商报记者分析，"在整个中国饮料行业里，每年 都有不同的明星和风口品类，蚕食其他品类的增长。近年来随着无糖茶、椰子水的兴起，对于植物饮料市场份额的蚕食非常明显"。 具体来看，养元饮品增利不增收，主要是核桃乳和其他植物饮料两个产品类别下滑。植物蛋白饮料受淡旺季影响非常 ...

承德露露 000848.SZ 公司研究 | 年报点评 杏仁露稳健增长，24 年圆满收官 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据 24 年年报及 25 年一季报，对 25、26 年下调收入、上调毛利率。我们预测公司 2025-2027 年每股收益分别为 0.69、0.75、0.79 元（原预测 25-26 年为 0.75、0.86 元）。结合可比公司，我们认为目前公司的合理估值水平为 2025年的 17倍市盈率， 对应目标价为 11.73 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示 原材料价格波动、新品放量不及预期、市场开拓不及预期、产能利用率不及预期风险。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 2,955 | 3,287 | 3,362 | 3,567 | 3,750 | | 同比增长 (%) | 9.8% | 11.3% | 2.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 844 | 880 | 960 | 1,041 | 1,0 ...