Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Anta Sports, Bosideng, and Xtep International, among others [10]. Core Insights - The overall performance of the sportswear sector is stable, with a forecasted slowdown in revenue growth for Q2 2025 compared to Q1 2025 due to fluctuations in the consumer environment [1][4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and quality, anticipating performance recovery and valuation increases in 2025 [4]. - The jewelry sector is experiencing significant disparities in performance among companies, influenced by high gold prices and varying consumer demand for gold jewelry [3][29]. Summary by Sections Sportswear Sector - The sportswear companies are expected to maintain a healthy inventory turnover ratio of around 5 as of the end of Q2 2025, despite a forecasted revenue growth slowdown [1][15]. - Anta Sports is projected to achieve over 10% revenue growth in H1 2025, while Li Ning's revenue is expected to remain flat with a 20% decline in net profit [1][18]. - Xtep International is anticipated to see a 5% revenue growth and a 10% increase in net profit for H1 2025 [1][19]. - 361 Degrees is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 10% to 15% and a similar increase in net profit for H1 2025 [1][19]. A-Share Brand Apparel - The A-share brand apparel sector is experiencing stable terminal retail performance, but individual company performance is diverging [2][20]. - Companies like Hailan Home are expected to see a revenue growth of 0% to 5% in Q2 2025, while Steady Medical is projected to grow by 15% to 25% [2][24]. - The report indicates that companies with healthy terminal performance and effective cost management may see year-on-year growth, while those struggling with revenue scale may face pressure [2][20]. Jewelry Sector - The jewelry sector is benefiting from rising gold prices, with retail sales of gold and silver jewelry expected to grow by 12.3% year-on-year in 2025 [3][29]. - Companies like Chow Tai Fook and Chao Hong Ji are highlighted for their strong product differentiation and market competitiveness, with Chow Tai Fook expected to see a 10% increase in operating profit year-on-year [7][29]. - However, companies like Lao Feng Xiang and Zhou Da Sheng are projected to experience revenue declines of 20% to 10% and 15% to 5%, respectively, due to fluctuating consumer demand [3][29]. Apparel Manufacturing - The apparel manufacturing sector is expected to see stable output in finished garments, while upstream textile manufacturing orders are affected by pessimistic expectations [3][6]. - Shenzhou International is projected to achieve a revenue growth of 10% to 15% in H1 2025, while Wei Xing Co. is expected to see a decline in both revenue and net profit by 10% to 15% [3][6]. - The report suggests that leading companies with integrated and international supply chains are likely to outperform the industry in the medium to long term [3][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the textile and apparel industry, indicating a "Buy" rating for the sector [2]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector outperformed the market, with the SW textile and apparel index rising by 1.4% from June 30 to July 4, 2025, surpassing the SW All A index by 0.2 percentage points [5]. - Recent industry data shows that from January to May 2025, the total retail sales of clothing, shoes, hats, and textiles reached 613.8 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.3% [31]. - The report highlights a new trade framework agreement between the U.S. and Vietnam, which includes a significant reduction in tariffs on Vietnamese goods, potentially benefiting manufacturers with integrated supply chains [11]. - The ISPO Shanghai 2025 outdoor sports exhibition showcased over 600 outdoor sports brands from nearly 30 countries, emphasizing trends in product innovation and sustainability [13]. - The report suggests that domestic demand recovery is a key investment theme for 2025, with a focus on quality domestic brands and their potential for growth [16]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The textile and apparel sector showed strong performance, with the SW textile and apparel index increasing by 1.4% during the specified period, while the SW apparel home textile index remained flat [5]. - The report notes that the textile manufacturing index rose by 1.0%, slightly underperforming the SW All A index [5]. Recent Developments - The U.S. announced a new trade agreement with Vietnam, reducing tariffs on Vietnamese goods from 46% to 20%, which is expected to positively impact manufacturers with local supply chains [11]. - The ISPO Shanghai 2025 exhibition highlighted five core product directions: wool technology, sustainable innovation, fluorine-free revolution, lightweight design, and sports fashion [13]. Market Data - From January to May 2025, China's textile and apparel exports totaled 116.67 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 1.0%, with textile yarns and fabrics seeing a 2.5% increase [31]. - Cotton prices in China rose to 15,090 yuan per ton, reflecting a 0.6% increase, while international cotton prices showed a slight decline [32]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality domestic brands and suggests specific companies for investment, including Anta Sports, Bosideng, and HLA [16].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The main brand of the company is expected to stabilize and recover, with a significant improvement in sales trends anticipated in the upcoming quarters [2] - The expansion of the JD Outlet is expected to accelerate, with a strong long-term growth momentum [3] - The company is characterized by high dividend yields, with a stable performance in its main brand leading the industry [1] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The company is recognized as the leading men's apparel brand with high dividends, and its main brand is performing steadily, outpacing peers [1] Positive Surprises - The main apparel business is expected to stabilize and rebound, with a forecasted reduction in revenue decline for the main brand in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, leading to a potential year-on-year revenue increase [2] - The JD Outlet's expansion is anticipated to accelerate in the second half of the year, with a significant number of new stores expected to open [3] Driving Factors - Improvement in the main brand's revenue is expected to enhance profit margins, leading to a steady increase in net profit and attractive dividend yields [4] - The accelerated opening of JD Outlet stores and the gradual refinement of the single-store model are expected to boost market confidence and valuation [4] Earnings Forecast - Revenue is projected to reach 22.3 billion, 24.8 billion, and 26.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.5%, 11.1%, and 7.4% [4] - Net profit is expected to be 2.41 billion, 2.66 billion, and 2.91 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 11.7%, 10.4%, and 9.2% [4] Valuation Analysis - The company is expected to achieve a net profit exceeding 2 billion yuan in 2025, with a target price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 14, leading to an estimated market value of around 30 billion yuan [5] - The new JD Outlet business is projected to contribute approximately 1 billion yuan to net profit within three years, with a target PE of 20, resulting in an estimated market value of around 20 billion yuan [5]

本报告导读： 稳定高分红， 安全边际出色。2022-2024 年公司分红率为86%/91%/91%，考虑到公司现金流充沛且盈利 稳定，25 年有望延续高分红，对应股息率6%+。 京东奥莱拓店稳步推进，新业态前景广阔。①在拓店方面，根据京东奥莱官方公众号，截至25 年6 月底 已开门店共计23 家，其中山东/河南/江苏/山西/安徽各设有6/4/3/3/3 家门店，在河北、广东、浙江等省 亦有布局。根据官方抖音号数据统计，目前在山东、四川、陕西、江苏等多地有约20 家门店处于已签 约或装修阶段，随着下半年旺季销售渐近，京东奥莱有望加速拓店。展望未来，根据《2024-2025 中国 奥特莱斯行业白皮书》，当前全国奥莱门店数量达到251家，考虑到京东奥莱差异化布局低线城市核心 商圈，未来开店天花板可达200-300 家。②在店效方面，25Q1 京东奥莱新开门店整体爬坡较快，预计 年化坪效可达8000-10000 元；考虑到渠道扣点及低线城市的人工成本较低，预计门店可保持较优盈利 水平。 海澜之家主品牌经营稳健，Q2 基本面稳中向好。25Q2 海澜之家主品牌线下销售稳健，随着Q2 收入基 数环比Q1 走低，Q2 线下销 ...

海澜之家集团股份有限公司 2024年年度权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 证券代码：600398 证券简称：海澜之家 编号：2025-017 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ａ股 | 2025/7/9 | - | 2025/7/10 | 2025/7/10 | 差异化分红送转：否 一、 通过分配方案的股东会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经公司2025 年 5 月 30 日的2024年年度股东大会审议通过。 二、 分配方案 重要内容提示： 每股分配比例 A 股每股现金红利0.18元 相关日期 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后，在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分 公司（以下简称"中国结算上海分公司"）登记在册的本公司全体股东。 3. 分配方案： 三、 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the long-term growth potential of Eastern Airlines Logistics, emphasizing its strategic positioning in the aviation logistics sector and the construction of a competitive moat through core resources [2][12][9] - The company has a diversified business model consisting of air express, ground comprehensive services, and integrated logistics solutions, which positions it well to benefit from the growth in cross-border e-commerce [12][3] - The report projects net profits for Eastern Airlines Logistics to reach CNY 21.20 billion, CNY 26.87 billion, and CNY 31.75 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [3][12] Company Overview - Eastern Airlines Logistics, headquartered in Shanghai, is a modern comprehensive logistics service provider and was the first civil aviation mixed reform stock listed in 2021, with China Eastern Airlines Group as its controlling shareholder [2][12] - The company operates in three main segments: air express, ground comprehensive services, and integrated logistics solutions, with a focus on providing efficient and precise logistics services [12][3] Financial Performance - Since its listing, Eastern Airlines Logistics has distributed a total of CNY 2.726 billion in dividends, with a planned annual cash distribution of 30%-50% of net profit attributable to shareholders from 2024 to 2026 [3][12] - The report anticipates a stable growth trajectory for the air logistics market, despite short-term disruptions from trade policies, with a slight expansion in cargo aircraft scale expected [3][12] Investment Analysis - The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for Eastern Airlines Logistics from 2025 to 2027 are 9.9x, 7.8x, and 6.6x, respectively, with expected dividend yields of 4.1%, 5.1%, and 6.1% based on a 40% payout ratio [3][12] - The report suggests that the company's assets in cargo aircraft and cargo stations provide a resource endowment advantage, with expectations for improved intercontinental cargo network capabilities and volume optimization [3][12]

Group 1 - The core index, the China Securities Dividend Singapore Dollar Index, increased by 0.7% to 5199.8 points with a trading volume of 6.888 billion [1] - Over the past month, the index has decreased by 1.59%, by 4.20% over the last three months, and by 7.49% year-to-date [2] - The index comprises 100 stocks with high cash dividend yields and stable dividends, reflecting the overall performance of high dividend yield companies [2] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include COSCO Shipping Holdings (2.59%), Jizhong Energy (1.81%), and Ningbo Huaxiang (1.76%) [2] - The index's holdings are primarily from the Shanghai Stock Exchange (81.48%), followed by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (17.78%) and the Beijing Stock Exchange (0.74%) [2] Group 3 - The industry composition of the index shows that finance accounts for 28.24%, industrials 19.03%, and energy 18.41% [3] - Other sectors include materials (12.07%), consumer discretionary (11.78%), communication services (4.12%), utilities (2.35%), healthcare (1.59%), real estate (1.54%), and consumer staples (0.87%) [3] Group 4 - The index samples are adjusted annually, with the next adjustment scheduled for the trading day following the second Friday of December [4] - Criteria for sample inclusion include a cash dividend yield greater than 0.5% over the past year and ranking within the top 90% for average total market capitalization and trading volume [4] - Adjustments typically do not exceed 20% of the sample, unless more than 20% of the original samples are disqualified due to the cash dividend yield criterion [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is positioned as the official strategic partner of the Suzhou Super League, which has gained significant popularity, enhancing brand exposure and sales conversion [7] - The company has a strong historical performance in sports sponsorship, including the Wuxi Marathon, which further strengthens its brand value [7] - The expected recovery in retail sales in Q2 2025 is anticipated due to the high-profile events and partnerships [7] - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio, with a projected static dividend yield of 5.6% based on the current stock price [7] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate a steady increase in net profit from 24.1 billion in 2025 to 30.5 billion in 2027, with corresponding PE ratios decreasing from 15 to 12 [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 20,957 million in 2024 to 27,004 million in 2027, with a CAGR of approximately 10% [3][17] - Net profit is expected to increase from 2,159 million in 2024 to 3,047 million in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 12.6% in 2027 [3][17] - The gross margin is projected to improve from 44.5% in 2024 to 47.6% in 2027, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [3][17] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 12.7% in 2024 to 16.4% in 2027, showcasing improved profitability [3][17]

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for the highlighted stocks in the consumer sector, indicating a positive outlook for their performance in the coming years [8][12][13][14][18][19][20]. Core Insights - The report identifies nine key advantageous industries within the consumer sector, including agriculture, retail, social services, automotive, textiles and apparel, light industry, food, home appliances, and pharmaceuticals, with specific stock recommendations for each [4][8]. - The report emphasizes the potential for growth in the consumer sector, driven by factors such as market recovery, digital transformation, and international expansion strategies [11][12][13][14][17][20]. Summary by Relevant Categories Agriculture - Recommended stock: Muyuan Foods (牧原股份) with a projected net profit of 20.1 billion, 20.3 billion, and 34.1 billion for 2025-2027, respectively [11]. Retail - Recommended stock: Maogeping (毛戈平) with expected adjusted net profits of 1.17 billion, 1.50 billion, and 1.86 billion for 2025-2027, respectively [12]. Social Services - Recommended stock: Xiaocaiyuan (小菜园) with projected net profits of 703 million, 837 million, and 1.01 billion for 2025-2027, respectively [13]. Automotive - Recommended stock: Yutong Bus (宇通客车) with expected net profits of 4.82 billion, 5.60 billion, and 6.23 billion for 2025-2027, respectively [14]. Textiles and Apparel - Recommended stock: HLA (海澜之家) with projected net profits of 4.6 billion, 5.0 billion, and 5.8 billion for 2025-2027, respectively [14]. Light Industry - Recommended stock: Pop Mart (泡泡玛特) with expected net profits of 330 million, 610 million, and 850 million for 2025-2027, respectively [17]. Food - Recommended stock: Kweichow Moutai (会稽山) with projected earnings per share (EPS) of 0.48, 0.58, and 0.67 for 2025-2027, respectively [18]. Home Appliances - Recommended stock: Anker Innovations (安克创新) with expected net profits of 2.506 billion, 3.052 billion, and 3.689 billion for 2025-2027, respectively [19]. Pharmaceuticals - Recommended stock: Innovent Biologics (信达生物) focusing on innovative drug development with significant potential in oncology and autoimmune diseases [20].

Core Viewpoint - The men's clothing industry in China is facing significant challenges, with major companies experiencing declining revenues and profits due to a tough economic environment and increased competition [2][9][18]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The Chinese pet market is thriving, while the men's clothing sector is struggling, with listed companies reporting widespread performance declines in 2024 [2][9]. - The men's clothing market is characterized by lower purchase frequency compared to women's and children's clothing, leading to a relatively stable but now stagnating market [4][8]. - The overall clothing market in China is valued at over 2 trillion, but the low entry barriers have resulted in intense competition [7]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Major men's clothing companies, including Hai Lan Zhi Jia, reported a significant drop in revenue and profit in 2024, with Hai Lan Zhi Jia's revenue at 20.96 billion and net profit down 26.88% [12][17]. - Other companies like Bi Yin Le Fen and Hong Dou experienced similar downturns, with Hong Dou reporting a net loss of 238 million, marking its first loss since 1997 [14][17]. - Inventory pressures are rising, with Hai Lan Zhi Jia's inventory reaching 11.99 billion and turnover days increasing to 330 days, indicating severe stock accumulation [23][24]. Group 3: Strategic Responses - In response to market challenges, companies are focusing on their core clothing business and avoiding blind diversification, as seen with Ya Ge Er exiting the real estate sector to concentrate on fashion [27]. - Companies like Qi Pi Wolf and Bao Xi Niao are pursuing multi-brand strategies and investments to enhance their market position, with Qi Pi Wolf planning to continue securities investments in 2025 [28][32]. - Hai Lan Zhi Jia is expanding its business through partnerships and international markets, achieving a 30.75% revenue increase from overseas operations in 2024 [30].