Core Viewpoint - Zhongtai Securities projects Bilibili (09626) to achieve total revenue of 29.96 billion, 32.62 billion, and 35.32 billion yuan in 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth of +12%, +9%, and +8% respectively, and adjusted net profit of 2.26 billion, 3.26 billion, and 4.32 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of +44% and +33% in 2026 and 2027. The average dynamic PE for comparable companies in 2025 is estimated at 26x. The company is in a commercialization acceleration phase, and AI is expected to enhance content creation efficiency and diversify commercialization methods, significantly impacting its advertising and gaming businesses, leading to an "overweight" rating for the first coverage [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Bilibili is a leading video community in China, driven by a unique operational model and has become a significant player in the IP derivative market. By the end of 2024, the company will operate nearly 200 self-owned and authorized IPs, including national creations and comics. Since launching its official derivative brand in 2020, Bilibili has gradually built a core development model focused on "IP incubation and content empowerment," leveraging its high-engagement community and content ecosystem, and expanding into niche brands like figurines and blind boxes to enhance IP commercial value and cross-industry engagement [1]. Group 2: Business Highlights - AI: The "Peanut AI" tool is set to enhance content production and optimize ad placements, boosting eCPM. The AIGC tool will officially launch in Q4 2025, aimed at improving content quality and increasing traffic (DAU and per capita VV). It lowers the barrier for non-professionals to participate in content creation and enriches content diversity and innovation. Additionally, the InsightAgent system will integrate with various platforms to provide tailored AI solutions for different marketing scenarios [2]. - Advertising: Bilibili's advertising strategy includes three main approaches: single product promotions via Huohuo, oCPX effect ads, and brand advertising. Revenue from advertising is projected to grow by 27.7% and 20% in 2024 and the first half of 2025, reaching 8.2 billion and 4.4 billion yuan respectively. In Q3 2025, Bilibili's DAU reached 117 million, a 9% increase, with a DAU to MAU ratio of 31% and an average daily usage time of 112 minutes, up 6%. The company maintains a conservative approach to advertising commercialization, with an ad load rate of only 5-8%, indicating significant room for growth [3]. - Gaming: The gaming segment benefits from long-term operations of established games and new titles contributing incremental revenue. In H1 2025, gaming revenue reached 3.3 billion yuan, a 68% increase, driven by the success of "Three Kingdoms: Strategizing the World" and other enduring titles like "FGO" and "Azur Lane." The new game "Escape from Duckkov" has received positive feedback and is expected to contribute additional revenue [3].

Core Viewpoint - Zhongtai Securities projects Bilibili (09626) to achieve total revenue of 29.96 billion, 32.62 billion, and 35.32 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of +12%, +9%, and +8% respectively, with adjusted net profit expected to be 2.26 billion, 3.26 billion, and 4.32 billion yuan, showing significant growth of +44% and +33% in 2026 and 2027 [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Bilibili is a leading video community in China, driven by a unique operational model and has become a significant player in the IP derivative market, operating nearly 200 self-owned and authorized IPs by the end of 2024 [2] - The company has developed an "IP incubation and content empowerment" model, leveraging its high-engagement community and content ecosystem, and has established a brand for derivative products since 2020 [2] Group 2: Business Highlights - AI marketing is enhancing content production and optimizing ad placements, with the launch of the "Peanut" AIGC tool expected to improve content quality and increase traffic [3] - Bilibili's advertising revenue is projected to grow by 27.7% and 20% in 2024 and the first half of 2025, reaching 8.2 billion and 4.4 billion yuan respectively, with a daily active user (DAU) count of 117 million in Q3 2025, reflecting a 9% year-on-year increase [4] - The gaming segment is benefiting from both long-term operations of existing games and new game launches, with gaming revenue reaching 3.3 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a 68% year-on-year increase [4]

数据显示，中泰证券资管旗下1只基金重仓三环集团。中泰星锐景气成长混合A（018372）三季度持有 股数4.07万股，占基金净值比例为3%，位居第八大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约1.91万元。 中泰星锐景气成长混合A（018372）成立日期2023年7月18日，最新规模3035.84万。今年以来收益 25.83%，同类排名3615/8087；近一年收益23.91%，同类排名3654/8085；成立以来收益7.08%。 12月30日，三环集团涨1.02%，截至发稿，报46.57元/股，成交1.14亿元，换手率0.13%，总市值892.51 亿元。 资料显示，潮州三环(集团)股份有限公司位于广东省潮州市凤塘三环工业城内综合楼,香港铜锣湾勿地臣 街1号时代广场2座31楼，成立日期1992年12月10日，上市日期2014年12月3日，公司主营业务涉及电子 元件及其基础材料的研发、生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为：电子、通信元件及材料98.84%，其他 (补充)1.16%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 责任编辑：小浪快报 中泰星锐景气成长混合A（018372）基金经理为高兰君。 截至发稿，高兰君累计任职时间6年195天，现任 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Keda Li's stock price increased by 5.01% to 160.66 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 778 million CNY and a turnover rate of 2.56%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 43.984 billion CNY [1] - Keda Li, established on September 20, 1996, and listed on March 2, 2017, is primarily engaged in the research and manufacturing of precision structural components, with lithium battery structural components accounting for 96.52% of its main business revenue [1] - The company also generates revenue from automotive structural components (3.26%), and other structural components (0.09% for other and 0.13% for supplementary) [1] Group 2 - According to data, Keda Li is a top ten heavy stock in the fund managed by Zhongtai Securities Asset Management, specifically in the Zhongtai Xingrui Prosperity Growth Mixed A Fund (018372), which held 9,200 shares, representing 2.86% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund has a total scale of 30.3584 million CNY and has achieved a year-to-date return of 26.11%, ranking 3,686 out of 8,159 in its category [2] - The fund manager, Gao Lanjun, has a tenure of 6 years and 194 days, with the best fund return during this period being 126.62% and the worst being 6% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese stock market is experiencing a positive trend as it approaches the end of 2025, with significant movements in various sectors and a focus on potential investment opportunities for 2026 [1][30]. Group 1: Market Trends and Predictions - The Shanghai Composite Index has achieved an "eight consecutive days of gains" [1]. - The total scale of Chinese ETFs has surpassed 6 trillion, setting a new historical high [1]. - Major brokerages have provided insights on market trends, with predictions for 2026 focusing on sectors that may dominate [2][5][13]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - Citic Securities highlights that 39 out of 360 industry/theme ETFs reached new highs in December, with a focus on telecommunications, non-ferrous metals, and commercial aerospace as key sectors [3]. - Industry sectors such as chemicals, engineering machinery, and new energy are expected to see increased attention and potential growth due to their long-term return on equity (ROE) improvement [4]. - Guotai Junan emphasizes the importance of capital markets in driving social confidence and investment, marking a shift from traditional investment methods to more capital-intensive approaches [5]. Group 3: Currency and Economic Factors - The recent appreciation of the Renminbi is attributed to a weaker US dollar and seasonal capital inflows, which may support the Chinese stock market [9][30]. - The potential for a significant influx of capital back into China is anticipated, driven by the reversal of previous trends in currency valuation and investment sentiment [9][10]. - The structural transformation of the Chinese economy is expected to reduce uncertainty and enhance investment opportunities, particularly in technology and manufacturing sectors [7][24]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - Investment strategies are shifting towards sectors that benefit from the current economic environment, including AI hardware, renewable energy, and consumer services [19][31]. - Brokers suggest focusing on thematic trading opportunities in sectors like robotics, commercial aerospace, and healthcare, which are expected to gain traction in the upcoming year [19][31]. - The market is advised to adopt a cautious approach, emphasizing low-cost entry points and avoiding high-risk positions as the market stabilizes [35][36].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhongtai Securities indicates that the global tire industry is facing cost pressures due to trade changes in the U.S. and Europe, which could lead to a consumption downgrade trend in local markets, creating a demand for high-cost-performance products [1][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The supply-demand structure shows significant room for domestic tire companies to replace foreign brands, with unknown overseas tire companies holding nearly 50% market share in lower-tier markets [2]. - The mid-term outlook suggests that domestic tire companies are expected to gradually replace 1/2 tier well-known brands due to improved brand strength and high-end product offerings starting in 2026 [2]. - The performance of semi-steel tires is strong, with a gross margin close to 30%, indicating a high value-added consumer product [2]. Group 2: Strategic Developments - From 2026, leading domestic tire companies will implement a global scattered production layout, allowing them to switch production bases in Southeast Asia, Africa, Europe, and the Americas to avoid trade barriers [1][4]. - The report anticipates that the performance of leading domestic tire companies will see a significant increase in both volume and profit due to this strategic expansion [1][4]. Group 3: Short-term and Long-term Perspectives - In the short term, the focus should be on tracking production capacity utilization and cost factors, including trade policies, raw material prices, shipping costs, and exchange rates [3]. - The long-term perspective indicates a favorable market structure with substantial replacement potential, as domestic tire companies currently hold only 30% market share domestically and 20% internationally [2]. Group 4: Historical Context and Future Outlook - Historical analysis shows that after the 2008 financial crisis, Chinese tires captured over 20% of the U.S. market due to their cost-performance advantage, highlighting the potential for similar trends following current trade changes [3]. - The report predicts that by 2026, domestic tire companies will significantly enhance their market presence in high-end segments, potentially raising the valuation multiples from PE 10 to 20x [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience a spring rally driven by liquidity, policy expectations, and structural opportunities, with a focus on sectors like AI, commercial aerospace, and non-bank financials [5][10][12]. Group 1: Market Trends and Predictions - 39 out of 360 industry/theme ETFs reached new highs in December, with communication and non-ferrous metals being traditional favorites, while new themes like commercial aerospace are gaining traction [3]. - The A-share market is showing signs of a spring rally, supported by liquidity and positive policy expectations, with a focus on sectors such as technology and advanced manufacturing [5][10]. - The market is expected to maintain a high risk appetite due to favorable conditions, including a weak dollar and the upcoming Chinese New Year and Two Sessions [11][16]. Group 2: Sector Focus and Investment Opportunities - Key sectors to watch include AI, commercial aerospace, and non-ferrous metals, which are expected to benefit from structural changes and increased demand [10][12]. - The manufacturing sector, particularly in chemicals and engineering machinery, is showing signs of recovery and is expected to benefit from the shift in global competition [3][4]. - Non-bank financials, including insurance and brokerage firms, are positioned to benefit from the anticipated capital inflows and improved asset returns [9][12]. Group 3: Currency and Economic Factors - The appreciation of the RMB is expected to lower import costs and enhance domestic purchasing power, benefiting sectors reliant on imports and domestic consumption [7][9]. - The potential for significant capital inflows due to RMB appreciation could lead to a revaluation of Chinese assets, creating a favorable environment for investment [7][9]. - The overall economic environment is improving, with expectations of continued liquidity support and a stable policy backdrop, which is conducive to market growth [5][10].

Group 1 - The overall market outlook before the Spring Festival remains bullish, with short-term opportunities for bottom-fishing strategies [1] - Major risk factors that previously constrained the market have significantly weakened, leading to a potential maintenance of high risk appetite [1] - The current market phase is characterized by solidifying the bottom and preparing for the pre-Spring Festival rally, rather than indicating the start of a main upward trend [1] Group 2 - Market participants are adopting a strategy of "buying on dips and structural switching" rather than aggressively increasing positions at high levels [1] - The short-term market is likely to experience a "gradual rise in the center of gravity amidst fluctuations, with ongoing internal structural adjustments" rather than a rapid surge leading to sustained profit-making effects [1]

Group 1 - The overall market outlook before the Spring Festival remains bullish, with short-term opportunities for low-position layouts [1] - The main risk factors that previously constrained the market have significantly weakened, leading to a sustained high level of risk appetite [1] - The current market phase is characterized by solidifying the bottom and preparing for the pre-Spring Festival rally, rather than indicating the start of a major upward trend [1] Group 2 - Market participants are adopting a strategy of "buying on dips and structural switching" rather than aggressively increasing positions at high levels [1] - The short-term market is likely to experience a gradual increase in the center of gravity through fluctuations, with ongoing internal structural adjustments, rather than a rapid rise leading to a sustained profit effect [1]

本报讯 （记者袁传玺）天眼查App显示，近日，中泰证券（600918）发生工商变更，注册资本由约69.2 亿元增至约79.2亿元。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...