Market Performance - On September 24, the oil service engineering sector rose by 0.44% compared to the previous trading day, with Junyou Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3853.64, up 0.83%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13356.14, up 1.8% [1] Stock Performance - Junyou Co., Ltd. (002207) closed at 8.12, with a gain of 10.03% and a trading volume of 268,100 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 216 million [1] - Tongyuan Petroleum (300164) closed at 5.50, up 4.96%, with a trading volume of 1,355,600 shares, totaling 762 million [1] - Other notable performers include Keli Co., Ltd. (920088) with a 3.96% increase, Beiken Energy (002828) up 3.09%, and Zhongman Petroleum (603619) up 2.64% [1] Capital Flow - The oil service engineering sector saw a net inflow of 151 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 96.89 million [1] - The detailed capital flow for key stocks indicates that Junyou Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 106 million from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 49.29 million [2] - Tongyuan Petroleum experienced a net inflow of 50.84 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 59.43 million from retail investors [2]

Core Insights - CNOOC Services has successfully deployed its self-developed OPUS eight-probe water-based electrical imaging logging instrument in the East Ba oilfield in Iraq, marking its commercial application in overseas markets [2] Technology and Innovation - The OPUS instrument features innovative designs such as a flexible short-section structure, a new hydraulic push system, and a "one-arm dual-probe" configuration, which enhance image clarity, wellbore coverage, and adaptability to well conditions [2] - The integration of electrical imaging circuits and orientation short sections into a single module reduces the instrument's length, lowers transportation difficulties, and improves operational flexibility and safety during downhole operations [2] Operational Impact - The eight-probe high coverage technology allows for the acquisition of more detailed stratigraphic information, providing a comprehensive reflection of downhole structures and reservoir characteristics, thus offering high-precision logging solutions for overseas markets [2] - The successful operation of OPUS provides valuable data support for fracture identification, sedimentary structure analysis, pore structure and heterogeneity description, and fluid pathway identification in the region [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the polyester sector, recommending high-quality companies such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, while also suggesting attention to major refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Rongsheng Petrochemical [3][33][49]. Core Insights - The report highlights a decline in oil prices in Q2 2025, with Brent crude averaging $66.7 per barrel, down 11.0% quarter-on-quarter and 21.5% year-on-year, impacting upstream oil and gas exploration and production [3][5][18]. - The downstream refining and chemical sector experienced a revenue drop of 10.4% year-on-year in Q2 2025, with net profits down 26.1% [33][35]. - The report notes a tightening supply-demand balance in the polyester sector, with expectations for improved profitability in the upcoming months as the industry enters a seasonal peak [3][51]. Summary by Sections Upstream Oil and Gas Sector - In Q2 2025, the oil and gas exploration and production sector reported revenues of 1,526.15 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.2% year-on-year, and net profits of 87.58 billion yuan, down 21.8% [17][19]. - The average gross margin for the sector was 20.1%, reflecting a decline due to falling oil prices [17][19]. Downstream Refining and Chemical Sector - The refining and chemical sector achieved revenues of 1,608.3 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 10.4%, with net profits also down 26.1% [33][35]. - The average gross margin for this sector was 16.9%, impacted by inventory losses due to declining oil prices and weak downstream demand [33][35]. Price Trends and Margins - The report indicates that the price spread for major petrochemical products showed mixed results, with some margins improving while others contracted [12][34]. - The PTA-PX price spread was reported at 219 yuan per ton, down 21% quarter-on-quarter, indicating pressure on the PTA segment [12][34]. Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-quality companies in the polyester sector, such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, due to expected improvements in demand and profitability [3][51]. - It also recommends monitoring major refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Rongsheng Petrochemical, which may benefit from cost improvements and competitive advantages [3][49].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the petrochemical industry [2] Core Insights - In Q2 2025, crude oil prices experienced a decline, leading to a decrease in upstream oil and gas extraction and midstream refining profitability, while downstream polyester profitability showed signs of recovery [4][5] - The overall revenue for the oil and gas extraction and oilfield services sector in Q2 2025 was 1,526.15 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 10.2% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.1% [19][21] - The report highlights a tightening supply-demand situation in the downstream polyester sector, with expectations for improved market conditions [4] Summary by Sections Oil and Gas Prices - Brent crude oil average prices for April, May, and June 2025 were 66.5, 64.0, and 69.8 USD/barrel, respectively, with a Q2 average of 66.7 USD/barrel, reflecting an 11.0% decrease quarter-on-quarter and an 8.3% decrease year-on-year [4][20] - The report notes that gasoline and diesel prices were adjusted three times upwards and two times downwards, with total reductions of 155 CNY/ton and 150 CNY/ton, respectively [20] Upstream Oil and Gas Sector - The oil and gas extraction and oilfield services sector reported a total revenue of 1,526.15 billion in Q2 2025, with a net profit of 87.58 billion, marking a year-on-year decline of 21.8% [19][21] - The gross margin for the sector was 20.1%, down 0.7 percentage points year-on-year and 0.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to falling crude oil prices [19][21] Downstream Refining and Chemical Sector - The refining and chemical industry achieved a total revenue of 1,608.3 billion in Q2 2025, with a net profit of 52 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 26.1% [35][37] - The gross margin for the refining sector was 16.9%, down 0.3 percentage points year-on-year and 0.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, attributed to inventory losses from falling oil prices and weak downstream demand [35][37] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality companies in the polyester sector, such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, as well as large refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Rongsheng Petrochemical [4] - It also suggests that the overall oil price is expected to maintain a mid-to-high level with a "U" shaped trend, recommending companies with high dividend yields like China National Petroleum and China National Offshore Oil [4]

Core Insights - Deep-sea resource development focuses on areas deeper than 200 meters, encompassing strategic resources such as minerals, energy, and biological resources, which are crucial for overcoming land resource limitations and ensuring national security [1][2] - The Chinese government has integrated deep-sea development into its national security strategy, designating it as a strategic emerging industry in the 2025 government work report, supported by a special fund of 50 billion yuan for marine economy [1][5] - The industry is projected to reach a scale of 3.25 trillion yuan by 2025 and exceed 5 trillion yuan by 2030, driven by significant growth in oil and gas development, mining, and biopharmaceutical sectors [1][9] Industry Overview - Deep-sea resource development involves exploration, extraction, and utilization of resources in deep-sea areas, aiming to acquire strategic resources through advanced technologies [2][3] - The sector is categorized into five main types: deep-sea mineral resources, oil and gas resources, biological resources, energy resources, and spatial resources [3] Development Drivers - National strategy and policy support are key drivers, with deep-sea development included in China's national security framework and significant funding allocated to support technological advancements [5][6] - The high dependency on foreign oil and gas, with over 70% reliance, necessitates deep-sea oil and gas development as a strategic solution to energy security [5][6] - Technological breakthroughs and domestic equipment manufacturing have positioned China to lead in deep-sea resource development, enhancing its global competitiveness [6][7] Current Industry Status - The deep-sea economy is rapidly growing, with the marine economy reaching 10.54 trillion yuan in 2024, driven by significant demand in deep-sea oil and gas and biological resource development [8][9] - The deep-sea oil and gas sector has seen substantial advancements, with the first ultra-deepwater gas field "Deep Sea No. 1" entering production, marking China's entry into the global first tier of deep-sea oil and gas development [10][11] Corporate Landscape - Major companies in the deep-sea resource development sector include China National Offshore Oil Corporation, China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, and others, forming a comprehensive ecosystem from resource development to equipment manufacturing [13][14] - The industry is characterized by a full-chain ecosystem that integrates resource development, equipment manufacturing, technological innovation, and regional collaboration [13][14] Future Trends - The industry is expected to evolve towards technological integration and intelligence, with AI and quantum sensing driving automation and efficiency in exploration and extraction processes [15][16] - Environmental sustainability will become a core focus, with the adoption of eco-friendly technologies and the establishment of monitoring systems to minimize ecological impact [16][17] - Expansion into ultra-deepwater and polar regions will reshape the competitive landscape, necessitating international cooperation and standard-setting to address high costs and technical challenges [17][18]

Market Overview - The oil service engineering sector experienced a decline of 0.46% on September 16, with Tongyuan Petroleum leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3861.87, up 0.04%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13063.97, up 0.45% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Key stocks in the oil service engineering sector showed mixed performance, with Huibo Yin closing at 3.24, up 0.93%, and Beiken Energy closing at 10.56, down 1.68% [1][2] - The trading volume and turnover for notable stocks included: - Huibo Yin: 482,900 shares, turnover of 155 million yuan - Shihua Oil Service: 1,015,700 shares, turnover of 216 million yuan - Potential Energy: 55,400 shares, turnover of 112 million yuan [1][2] Capital Flow Analysis - The oil service engineering sector saw a net outflow of 198 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 153 million yuan [2][3] - Notable capital flows for specific stocks included: - Zhongyou Engineering: Institutional net inflow of 499,300 yuan, retail net inflow of 2,545,200 yuan - Beiken Energy: Institutional net outflow of 17,508,300 yuan, retail net inflow of 24,413,100 yuan [3]

Core Viewpoint - The oil and gas industry has achieved significant exploration breakthroughs, with domestic oil and gas reserves expected to increase, benefiting oil service companies as the country deepens its reserve and production strategies [4]. Group 1: Exploration and Production Breakthroughs - The Ministry of Natural Resources announced major breakthroughs in energy mineral exploration, discovering 10 large oil fields and 19 large gas fields during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [4]. - New oil and gas reserves have significantly increased, supporting stable oil production of 200 million tons and natural gas production exceeding 240 billion cubic meters [4]. - From 2019 to 2024, China's crude oil production is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.2%, while natural gas production is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.3% [4]. Group 2: Capital Expenditure Trends - Global upstream capital expenditure is projected to decline slightly to around $600 billion in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4%, with deepwater investments expected to drop by 6% [5]. - As of July 2025, the average day rate for jack-up rigs is $109,700, a 5.9% increase year-on-year, while semi-submersible rigs average $279,600, up 11.5% year-on-year, both at their highest levels since 2022 [5]. Group 3: Oil Service Companies' Performance - In the first half of 2025, major oil service companies benefited from the ongoing domestic "reserve and production increase" strategy and the gradual release of overseas business performance [6]. - CNOOC's oil service subsidiary reported a 23.3% year-on-year increase in net profit, while other companies like CNOOC Engineering and CNOOC Development saw net profit increases of 13.1% and a 27% rise in gross profit, respectively [6]. - The gross profit margins for CNOOC's oil service companies improved year-on-year, indicating a continuous enhancement in operational quality [6]. Group 4: International Competitiveness - In the first half of 2025, the gross profit margins of international oil service giants Schlumberger, Halliburton, and Baker Hughes decreased compared to their 2024 annual levels, while CNOOC's subsidiaries showed improvements [8]. - The annualized ROE for CNOOC's oil service companies remained resilient, with slight increases compared to 2024, indicating a potential enhancement in international competitiveness [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the oil and gas industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The oil and gas industry has achieved significant exploration breakthroughs, with the oil service sector expected to benefit from the ongoing domestic reserve increase and production actions [10][11] - The "Three Barrel Oil" companies have significantly increased capital expenditures from 2020 to 2023, and are expected to maintain high levels in 2024 and 2025, which will benefit their affiliated oil service companies [11][12] - Global upstream capital expenditures are projected to decline slightly in 2025, but domestic investment is expected to remain high due to supportive policies [12] - The oil service sector's performance has improved, with major companies showing resilience in profitability despite falling oil prices [21][26] Summary by Sections Oil and Gas Breakthroughs - The Ministry of Natural Resources announced major breakthroughs in energy mineral exploration, including the discovery of 10 large oil fields and 19 large gas fields during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [10] - New geological reserves of over 300 billion cubic meters have been confirmed in the Ordos Basin alone, supporting stable oil production of 200 million tons and natural gas production exceeding 240 billion cubic meters [10][11] Capital Expenditure Trends - The "Three Barrel Oil" companies plan to invest approximately 210 billion, 72.9 billion, and 130 billion yuan in upstream capital expenditures for 2025, reflecting a 6% decrease from 2024 but still maintaining high levels [11][12] - Global upstream exploration and development spending is expected to be around 600 billion USD in 2025, a 4% year-on-year decline, with deepwater investments projected to decrease by 6% [12] Oil Service Sector Performance - In the first half of 2025, major oil service companies reported significant profit increases, with CNOOC Services' net profit rising by 23.3% and CNOOC Development's by 13.1% [21] - The gross profit margins of key oil service companies have improved, with CNOOC Services, CNOOC Engineering, and CNOOC Development showing increases compared to the previous year [21][26] International Competitiveness - The international competitiveness of domestic oil service companies is expected to improve, as their return on equity (ROE) has shown resilience compared to major international competitors [26] - The gross profit margins of domestic oil service companies have increased, while international competitors have experienced declines in their margins [26] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for the "Three Barrel Oil" companies and the oil service sector, as well as for leading companies in the refining and chemical sectors [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the oil and petrochemical industry, indicating a "Cautiously Optimistic" investment rating [3][4]. Core Insights - OPEC's actual production increase is lower than expected, leading to an anticipated stable oil price range of $60-70 per barrel in the medium term [4][5]. - The upstream sector shows signs of recovery with oil prices rising, while drilling day rates remain stable [4][24]. - The refining sector is experiencing mixed results, with some product margins improving while others decline [4]. - The polyester sector is expected to see a recovery in profitability as supply and demand dynamics improve [4][18]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil futures closed at $66.99 per barrel, a week-on-week increase of 2.27%, while WTI futures rose by 1.33% to $62.69 per barrel [4][24]. - U.S. commercial crude oil inventories increased by 2.42 million barrels to 425 million barrels, remaining 4% lower than the five-year average [24][25]. - The number of active U.S. drilling rigs increased by 2 to 539, although this is a decrease of 51 rigs year-on-year [35][38]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin for major products decreased to $16.66 per barrel, down by $1.41 from the previous week [4]. - The price spread between gasoline and WTI crude oil fell to $18.30 per barrel, down by $2.48 from the previous week [4]. - The report suggests that refining profitability may improve as economic recovery progresses [4]. Polyester Sector - PTA prices have declined, with the average price in East China at 4606.6 CNY per ton, down 2.02% week-on-week [4]. - The report anticipates a gradual improvement in the polyester industry as new capacity additions taper off in the coming years [4][18]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the polyester sector such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials [4][18]. - In the refining sector, it suggests monitoring quality companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Sinopec [4][18]. - For upstream exploration and production, it highlights companies like CNOOC and China National Petroleum Corporation as having strong prospects [4][18].

Report Title - "Crude Oil Weekly Report: OPEC+ Rapidly Increases Production, International Oil Prices Decline" [1] Report Date - September 14, 2025 [1] Report Authors - Energy and Chemical Chief Securities Analyst: Chen Shuxian, CFA [1] - Energy and Chemical Analyst: Zhou Shaowen [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - This week, Brent/WTI crude oil futures had weekly average prices of $66.7/$62.7 per barrel, down $0.8/$1.2 from last week respectively. In the US, crude oil production, inventory, and the number of active rigs and fracturing fleets increased, while refinery processing volume decreased, and import and export volumes changed. US refined oil prices, inventory, production, and demand also showed various changes. [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Crude Oil Weekly Data Briefing - **Upstream Key Company Performance**: For example, China National Offshore Oil Corporation (600938.SH) had a weekly increase of 2.2%, and China National Petroleum Corporation (601857.SH) had a weekly decrease of 2.4%. [8][9] - **Crude Oil Price**: Brent, WTI, Russian Urals, and Russian ESPO crude oil prices had different degrees of decline compared to last week. [9] - **Crude Oil Inventory**: US total crude oil inventory, commercial crude oil inventory, strategic crude oil inventory, and Cushing crude oil inventory were 8.3/4.2/4.1/0.2 billion barrels respectively, with weekly changes of +445/+394/+51/-37 million barrels. [2][9] - **Crude Oil Production**: US crude oil production was 13.5 million barrels per day, up 70,000 barrels per day from last week. The number of active crude oil rigs was 416, up 2, and the number of active fracturing fleets was 164, up 5. [2][9] - **Refinery Data**: US refinery crude oil processing volume was 16.82 million barrels per day, down 50,000 barrels per day, and the refinery operating rate was 94.9%, up 0.6 pct. [2][9] - **Import and Export Volume**: US crude oil imports, exports, and net imports were 6.27/2.75/3.53 million barrels per day, with weekly changes of -47/-114/+67 million barrels per day. [2][9] - **Refined Oil Data**: US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel had weekly average prices of $83/$97/$90 per barrel, down $1.8/$1.5/$4.1 from last week respectively. Inventory, production, demand, and import and export volumes also changed. [2][11] 2. This Week's Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Market Review - **Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Performance**: Not detailed in the given content - **Sector Listed Company Performance**: Many listed companies in the petroleum and petrochemical sector showed different degrees of rise and fall this week. For example, Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (600871.SH) had a weekly increase of 3.4%, and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (600028.SH) had a weekly decrease of 1.2%. [24] 3. Crude Oil Sector Data Tracking - **Crude Oil Price**: Analyzed the price relationships and spreads among various types of crude oil, such as Brent, WTI, Russian Urals, and Russian ESPO, as well as the relationships between the US dollar index, LME copper price, and WTI crude oil price. [9][38] - **Crude Oil Inventory**: Studied the correlations between US commercial crude oil inventory and oil prices, and changes in US total crude oil inventory, commercial crude oil inventory, strategic crude oil inventory, and Cushing crude oil inventory. [45][49] - **Crude Oil Supply**: Focused on US crude oil production, the number of oil rigs, and the number of fracturing fleets, and their relationships with oil prices. [60][62] - **Crude Oil Demand**: Mainly looked at US refinery processing volume and operating rate. [9] - **Crude Oil Import and Export**: Analyzed US crude oil import, export, and net import volumes. [78] 4. Refined Oil Sector Data Tracking - **Refined Oil Price**: Analyzed the price adjustment rules of domestic refined oil based on international oil prices, and the price relationships and spreads between crude oil and refined oil in the US, Europe, and Singapore. [89][116] - **Refined Oil Inventory**: Studied the inventory changes of US gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and Singapore gasoline and diesel. [11][130] - **Refined Oil Supply**: Focused on US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel production. [152] - **Refined Oil Demand**: Mainly looked at US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel consumption and the number of US airport passenger security checks. [156][157] - **Refined Oil Import and Export**: Analyzed US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel import, export, and net export volumes. [170][173] 5. Oil Service Sector Data Tracking - **Day Rate**: Presented the average daily rates of self - elevating drilling platforms and semi - submersible drilling platforms. [187][188] Recommended Companies - Recommended companies include CNOOC Limited (600938.SH/0883.HK), PetroChina Company Limited (601857.SH/0857.HK), Sinopec (600028.SH/0386.HK), CNOOC Oilfield Services Limited (601808.SH), Offshore Oil Engineering Co., Ltd. (600583.SH), and CNOOC Energy Technology & Services Limited (600968.SH). Companies to be concerned about include Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (600871.SH/1033.HK), China Petroleum Engineering & Construction Corporation (600339.SH), and Sinopec Machinery Co., Ltd. (000852.SZ) [3]