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石油化工行业周报(2026/2/2—2026/2/8):长丝原料成本支撑稳固,节后刚需补库行情可期-20260209
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-09 11:17
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment outlook for the polyester sector, particularly recommending high-quality companies in the polyester filament and bottle chip segments [6][13]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the cost support for polyester filament remains solid, with expectations for inventory replenishment post-holiday. The operating rate of polyester filament has significantly decreased, laying a foundation for recovery after the Spring Festival [6][7]. - Polyester filament inventory has been consistently declining since the beginning of 2026, with downstream textile raw material inventory also at low levels, indicating a strong demand for replenishment after the holiday [7][11]. - The price spread of polyester filament has improved significantly, with cost support expected to remain strong due to stable raw material prices and proactive supply adjustments [11][13]. Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Dynamics - The operating rate of polyester filament has dropped to 79.65%, down approximately 16 percentage points from previous highs, as companies conduct maintenance ahead of the holiday [6]. - Downstream textile operating rates have fallen to 25.15%, marking a low for the year, which is expected to lead to a rigid demand for inventory replenishment post-holiday [6][7]. Price Trends - As of February 6, 2026, the price spreads for polyester filament POY, FDY, and DTY are 1375, 1575, and 2475 CNY/ton respectively, indicating a recovery in price spreads since late January 2026 [11]. - The PTA price, a key raw material for polyester filament, remains high, with limited downward pressure expected, providing solid support for filament prices throughout the year [11][13]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality companies in the polyester filament sector such as Tongkun Co., Ltd. and in the bottle chip sector like Wankai New Materials. It also suggests monitoring leading refining companies such as Hengli Petrochemical and Rongsheng Petrochemical due to expected improvements in cost structures [13][15].
2月9日国企改革(399974)指数涨1.67%,成份股东方电气(600875)领涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 10:19
资金流向方面,国企改革(399974)指数成份股当日主力资金净流入合计74.37亿元,游资资金净流出 合计38.4亿元,散户资金净流出合计35.97亿元。成份股资金流向详情见下表: 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成 投资建议。 证券之星消息,2月9日,国企改革(399974)指数报收于1994.88点,涨1.67%,成交1603.78亿元,换 手率0.75%。当日该指数成份股中,上涨的有87家,东方电气以10.02%的涨幅领涨,下跌的有12家,中 海油服以0.83%的跌幅领跌。 国企改革(399974)指数十大成份股详情如下: ...
石油化工行业周报:长丝原料成本支撑稳固,节后刚需补库行情可期-20260209
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-09 07:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the polyester filament industry, indicating a "Buy" recommendation for quality companies in this sector [5][14]. Core Insights - The cost support for polyester filament raw materials remains solid, with expectations for a post-holiday inventory replenishment trend. The industry is currently in a seasonal lull before the Spring Festival, but proactive supply adjustments are laying the groundwork for recovery after the holiday [5][6]. - As of February 6, 2026, the operating rate for downstream textile production has dropped to 25.15%, while the operating rate for polyester filament has decreased to 79.65%. This decline is attributed to seasonal maintenance and self-regulated production cuts, effectively alleviating supply pressure [5][6]. - Inventory levels for polyester filament (POY/FDY/DTY) are at historical lows, with respective days of inventory at 12.7, 15.8, and 19.4 days. Downstream raw material inventory has also fallen to a historical low of 8.74 days, indicating a clear need for replenishment post-holiday [5][7]. - The price spread for polyester filament has significantly improved since late January 2026, with POY/FDY/DTY spreads recovering to 1375, 1575, and 2475 CNY/ton respectively. The PTA cost support remains robust, with no major new PTA facilities expected to come online in 2026, suggesting a tight supply-demand balance that will continue to support filament prices [5][12]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil prices have decreased, with the closing price on February 6, 2026, at 68.05 USD/barrel, down 3.73% from the previous week. The WTI price was 63.55 USD/barrel, down 2.55% [21]. - As of January 30, 2026, U.S. commercial crude oil inventories stood at 420 million barrels, a decrease of 3.455 million barrels from the previous week, marking a 4% decline compared to the past five years [23]. Refining Sector - The comprehensive price spread for major refined products in Singapore increased to 15.63 USD/barrel as of February 6, 2026, reflecting a rise of 6.2 USD/barrel from the previous week [60]. - The price spread for gasoline (RBOB) against WTI crude oil was 18.4 USD/barrel, up 1.8 USD/barrel from the previous week, although still below the historical average of 24.5 USD/barrel [63]. Polyester Sector - The profitability of PTA has increased, while the profitability of polyester filament has decreased. As of February 4, 2026, the average price of PX in Asia was 904.93 USD/ton, down 1.78% week-on-week [5][14]. - The overall performance of the polyester industry is currently average, with expectations for gradual improvement as new production capacities are expected to taper off in the coming years [5][14].
中海油服招标结果:油服天津装备-011339-海洋石油708船采购海底钳接插件-260121
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 04:34
证券之星消息,根据天眼查APP-财产线索数据整理,中海油田服务股份有限公司2月6日发布《油服天 津装备-011339-海洋石油708船采购海底钳接插件-260121》,详情如下: 标题:油服天津装备-011339-海洋石油708船采购海底钳接插件-260121 通过天眼查大数据分析,中海油田服务股份有限公司共对外投资了11家企业,参与招投标项目26229 次;财产线索方面有商标信息340条,专利信息2675条,著作权信息464条;此外企业还拥有行政许可 199个。 数据来源:天眼查APP 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成 投资建议。 采购方:中海油田服务股份有限公司 供应商:广州浩瀚电子科技有限公司 中标金额:247311.8 地区:天津市 发布日期:2026-02-06 ...
美伊谈判重启,油价震荡波动 | 投研报告
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 01:00
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the fluctuations in international oil prices due to geopolitical developments and supply dynamics, with a recent rebound in prices following a period of decline [1][2]. Group 2 - As of February 6, 2026, Brent crude oil futures settled at $68.05 per barrel, down $1.27 (-1.83%) from the previous week, while WTI crude oil futures settled at $63.55 per barrel, down $1.66 (-2.55%) [2]. - The global number of offshore self-elevating drilling rigs decreased by 6 to 370, with reductions in Southeast Asia, North America, and other regions [3]. - U.S. crude oil production was reported at 13.215 million barrels per day, a decrease of 481,000 barrels per day from the previous week [3]. - U.S. total crude oil inventory stood at 836 million barrels, a decrease of 3.241 million barrels (-0.39%) from the previous week [4]. - The price of biodiesel and biojet fuel remained stable, with the FOB price for ester-based biodiesel at $1,150 per ton [5]. Group 3 - Related companies in the sector include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (PetroChina) [6].
原油月报:IEA、OPEC下调2026年全球原油累库预期-20260208
Xinda Securities· 2026-02-08 13:49
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the oil refining industry [1]. Core Insights - The IEA and OPEC have revised down their global crude oil inventory expectations for 2026, indicating a more cautious outlook for supply and demand dynamics in the oil market [1][2]. - Predictions for global crude oil supply in 2026 are set at 10870.29, 10765.19, and 10593.14 thousand barrels per day by IEA, EIA, and OPEC respectively, showing an increase compared to 2025 [2][30]. - Global crude oil demand forecasts for 2026 are 10498.05, 10482.61, and 10650.00 thousand barrels per day, reflecting a modest increase from 2025 [2][30]. - The report highlights significant fluctuations in oil prices, with Brent crude at 66.30 USD/barrel, WTI at 62.14 USD/barrel, and a notable increase in prices over the past month [3][9]. Summary by Sections Oil Price Overview - As of February 2, 2026, Brent crude, WTI, Russian ESPO, and Urals prices are 66.30, 62.14, 52.90, and 65.49 USD/barrel respectively, with Brent and WTI showing increases of 9.14% and 8.41% over the past month [9]. Global Crude Oil Inventory - IEA, EIA, and OPEC predict global crude oil inventory changes for 2026 at +372.24, +282.58, and -56.86 thousand barrels per day respectively, with an average change of +199.32 thousand barrels per day [2][24]. Global Crude Oil Supply - The forecast for global crude oil supply in 2026 is 10870.29, 10765.19, and 10593.14 thousand barrels per day by IEA, EIA, and OPEC, with respective increases of +251.53, +138.75, and +122.43 thousand barrels per day compared to 2025 [2][30]. Global Crude Oil Demand - The demand forecast for 2026 is 10498.05, 10482.61, and 10650.00 thousand barrels per day, with increases of +93.22, +113.81, and +136.34 thousand barrels per day from 2025 [2][30]. Related Companies - The report mentions several related companies including China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and PetroChina [3][4].
原油周报:美伊谈判重启,油价震荡波动-20260208
Xinda Securities· 2026-02-08 13:48
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the oil processing industry [1]. Core Insights - International oil prices experienced fluctuations due to geopolitical developments, including the potential resumption of nuclear talks between the U.S. and Iran, which initially eased risks but later saw a resurgence following military incidents [2][9]. - As of February 6, 2026, Brent and WTI oil prices were reported at $68.05 and $63.55 per barrel, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 1.83% and 2.55% from the previous week [2][25]. Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - Brent crude futures settled at $68.05 per barrel, down $1.27 (-1.83%), while WTI futures were at $63.55, down $1.66 (-2.55%) [2][25]. - The Urals crude price remained stable at $65.49 per barrel, and ESPO crude fell to $54.91, down $0.55 (-0.99%) [2][25]. Offshore Drilling Services - The number of global offshore self-elevating drilling rigs was 370, a decrease of 6 from the previous week, while floating drilling rigs totaled 132, down by 2 [28]. U.S. Oil Supply - U.S. crude oil production was reported at 13.215 million barrels per day, a decrease of 481,000 barrels from the previous week [35]. - The active rig count in the U.S. increased by 1 to 412 rigs as of February 6, 2026 [35]. U.S. Oil Demand - U.S. refinery crude processing averaged 16.029 million barrels per day, down by 180,000 barrels from the previous week, with a refinery utilization rate of 90.50%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points [43]. U.S. Oil Inventory - Total U.S. crude oil inventories stood at 836 million barrels, a decrease of 3.241 million barrels (-0.39%) from the previous week [52]. - Strategic oil inventories increased slightly to 415 million barrels, while commercial inventories decreased to 420 million barrels [52]. Related Companies - Key companies in the sector include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (PetroChina) [3].
原油周报:美国原油产量下降,后续关注美伊谈判进展-20260208
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-08 11:08
证券研究报告 原油周报:美国原油产量下降,后续关注美伊谈判进展 大化工首席分析师:陈淑娴,CFA 执业证书编号:S0600523020004 联系方式:chensx@dwzq.com.cn 石化化工分析师:周少玟 执业证书编号:S0600525070005 联系方式:zhoushm@dwzq.com.cn 2026年2月8日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 投资要点 ◼ 【美国原油】 2 ◼ 1)原油价格:本周Brent/WTI原油期货周均价分别67.7/63.5美元/桶,较上周分别-0.9/+0.1美元/桶。 ◼ 2)原油库存:美国原油总库存、商业原油库存、战略原油库存、库欣原油库存分别8.4/4.2/4.2/0.2亿桶,环比-324/- 346/+21/-74万桶。 ◼ 3)原油产量:美国原油产量为1322万桶/天,环比-48万桶/天。美国活跃原油钻机本周412台,环比+1台。美国活跃压 裂车队本周148部,环比-3部。 ◼ 4)原油需求:美国炼厂原油加工量为1603万桶/天,环比-18万桶/天;美国炼厂原油开工率为90.5%,环比-0.4pct。 ◼ 5)原油进出口量:美国原油进口量、出口量、净进口量 ...
中海油服:截至最新报告期末2025年9月30日普通股股东总数为64018户
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-02-06 13:08
证券日报网讯 2月6日,中海油服在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,截至最新报告期末2025年9月30日 普通股股东总数为64018户。 (文章来源:证券日报) ...
中海油服招标结果:油服天津装备-物探采集海洋石油623和720船空调设备更新改造购置-20260126-001成交候选人公示
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 04:51
通过天眼查大数据分析,中海油田服务股份有限公司共对外投资了11家企业,参与招投标项目26000 次;财产线索方面有商标信息337条,专利信息2659条,著作权信息464条;此外企业还拥有行政许可 199个。 数据来源:天眼查APP 采购方:中海油田服务股份有限公司 供应商:天津晨阳威盛科技发展有限公司 中标金额:197072.0 地区:天津市 发布日期:2026-02-04 证券之星消息,根据天眼查APP-财产线索数据整理,中海油田服务股份有限公司2月4日发布《油服天 津装备-物探采集海洋石油623和720船空调设备更新改造购置-20260126-001成交候选人公示》,详情如 下: 标题:油服天津装备-物探采集海洋石油623和720船空调设备更新改造购置-20260126-001成交候选人公 示 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成 投资建议。 ...